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‘North Korea has already won’: US urged to abandon denuclearisation farce

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‘North Korea has already won’: US urged to abandon denuclearisation farce

The US ought to admit defeat in its marketing campaign to influence North Korea to desert its nuclear weapons and deal with threat discount and arms management measures as an alternative, specialists have urged.

On Tuesday, North Korea fired a ballistic missile over Japan for the primary time since 2017, sparking renewed condemnation from Washington and its allies.

The US and South Korea responded by conducting joint navy drills and firing missiles into the Sea of Japan, whereas the USS Ronald Reagan, an American nuclear-powered plane service, carried out a uncommon U-turn to return to waters east of the Korean peninsula after a current go to.

However analysts mentioned the navy gestures and combative phrases emanating from Washington, Seoul and Tokyo belied the truth that they’ve run out of concepts and choices for holding North Korea’s nuclear weapons programme.

Consultants argued that the US and its allies ought to deal with agreeing with Pyongyang steps to cut back the danger of a battle on the Korean peninsula, even when doing so amounted to a tacit acceptance that North Korea would proceed to own nuclear weapons.

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“Insistence on denuclearisation isn’t just a failure, it has become a farce,” mentioned Ankit Panda, a nuclear weapons professional on the Carnegie Endowment for Worldwide Peace in Washington.

“They take a look at, we reply, we transfer on with our lives,” Panda added. “North Korea has already received. It’s a bitter tablet, however sooner or later we’re going to should swallow it.”

South Korea and the US carried out joint navy drills in response to North Korea’s newest weapons take a look at. Analysts mentioned an arms race in Asia made it unlikely Pyongyang would comply with denuclearise © South Korean Defence Ministry/AFP/Getty Photos

Final month, Kim Jong Un amended North Korea’s nuclear doctrine to permit for pre-emptive strikes. The earlier coverage solely permitted using nuclear weapons in a second-strike state of affairs.

“There’ll by no means be any declaration of ‘giving up our nukes’ or ‘denuclearisation’, nor any sort of negotiations or bargaining to fulfill the opposite facet’s circumstances,” Kim declared. “So long as nuclear weapons exist on earth and imperialism stays . . . our highway in the direction of strengthening nuclear energy received’t cease.”

Jenny City, director of the 38 North programme on the Stimson Middle think-tank in Washington, mentioned “the window for a denuclearisation-led course of has closed”.

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City pointed to the intensifying arms race in east Asia and rising tensions between the US and China. “It’s unrealistic to suppose in the course of all this, North Korea will ponder denuclearisation when everybody else, together with South Korea, is arming up,” she mentioned.

“As soon as the connection is healthier and the geopolitical developments shift in a extra constructive route, possibly we are able to discuss in regards to the nuclear programme once more. However that appears approach far down the road.”

Andrei Lankov, professor of historical past at Kookmin College in Seoul and a pre-eminent North Korea professional, mentioned “Kim’s message is as follows: ‘We now have nukes, we may have them without end and we’ll use them as we see match.”

Lankov argued that Pyongyang wouldn’t countenance talks so long as Washington maintains North Korea’s denuclearisation at the same time as a distant coverage objective, whereas Congress and the US public is not going to settle for something lower than a North Korean capitulation on the difficulty.

“The US public needs its authorities to pursue an unobtainable and harmful dream, however the North Koreans have made clear they don’t seem to be going to play this recreation,” mentioned Lankov. “The one technique to persuade them to think about restrictions on their nuclear weapons shall be to pay them obscenely nicely for it.”

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North Korea has eschewed diplomacy since 2019, when the final of a sequence of summits between Kim and then-US president Donald Trump collapsed in Hanoi.

In January 2021, Kim outlined the capabilities he meant to acquire inside 5 years, together with tactical nuclear weapons, manoeuvrable missiles, strong gas ICBMs and nuclear submarines.

Weapons specialists mentioned the North Korean regime has made appreciable progress on a number of fronts, regardless of powerful worldwide sanctions and Kim sealing the nation’s borders in 2020 in response to the coronavirus pandemic.

Co-operation between the everlasting members of the UN Safety Council on North Korea has additionally damaged down within the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, additional assuaging stress on Pyongyang.

North Korea has additionally seized on Russia’s worldwide isolation to foster nearer ties with Moscow. On Wednesday, the Safety Council did not condemn Pyongyang’s missile launch after Russia and China blamed Washington for ignoring North Korean safety considerations.

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Panda famous that policymakers needs to be particularly frightened by North Korea’s growth of low-yield tactical nuclear weapons that could possibly be deployed towards South Korea.

“A nuclear conflict would possibly finish with an ICBM, however it’s extra prone to start with a tactical nuke — they’re extremely harmful and regarding,” mentioned Panda. “This could possibly be the aptitude that Kim is ready for earlier than turning to nuclear coercion or territorial revisionism towards the South.”

US and Korean officers insisted that even a tacit acceptance of North Korea’s standing as a nuclear-armed state would have harmful penalties for world non-proliferation efforts.

However Panda argued that “the true advantages of threat discount efforts on the Korean peninsula would outweigh the prices to the non-proliferation regime”.

He mentioned the longer Washington waited earlier than acknowledging the truth that North Korean nuclear weapons had been right here to remain, the bigger and extra refined Pyongyang’s arsenal would change into, and the upper the fee that Kim would be capable to extract in an inevitable future negotiation.

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“It isn’t within the US nationwide curiosity to let this fester,” Panda mentioned.

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How a migrant aid group got caught up in a right-wing social media thread : Consider This from NPR

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How a migrant aid group got caught up in a right-wing social media thread : Consider This from NPR

The offices of Resource Center Matamoros. The nonprofit works with asylum-seekers at the U.S.-Mexico border.

Verónica Gabriela Cárdenas for NPR


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Verónica Gabriela Cárdenas for NPR


The offices of Resource Center Matamoros. The nonprofit works with asylum-seekers at the U.S.-Mexico border.

Verónica Gabriela Cárdenas for NPR

April 15 started off as a typical day for Gabriela Zavala. She was juggling the demands of her busy family life in Texas, with running Resource Center Matamoros, a small NGO that helps asylum seekers in Mexico, on the other side of the border from Brownsville.

By the evening, her world would be flipped upside down, as her inbox was inundated with threats.

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Zavala soon realized she and her NGO, RCM, had been featured prominently in a social media thread showing flyers purportedly found in Matamoros, Mexico, that were urging migrants to illegally vote for Joe Biden in the upcoming election. The thread was posted by an arm of the conservative Heritage Foundation called the Oversight Project. It showed an image of a Spanish-language flyer with RCM’s logo and that of President Biden’s campaign.

A video in the thread showed the flyers hanging in portable toilets at a migrant encampment in Matamoros, with a message reminding migrants to vote for Biden to keep him in office. The flyers are signed with Zavala’s name.

The issue? Zavala says she had nothing to do with the flyers.

You’re reading the Consider This newsletter, which unpacks one major news story each day. Subscribe here to get it delivered to your inbox, and listen to more from the Consider This podcast.

Clumsy translations, defunct phone numbers

Mike Howell, the executive director of the Oversight Project, says the thread did not accuse Zavala of authoring the flyer. He also told The New York Times he condemns death threats. He told NPR the flyer is “very real.”

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The flyers were composed in error-riddled Spanish. The text includes an outdated description of RCM from its website that hasn’t been updated in years. That part appears to have been run through Google Translate. The flyer also lists a very old phone number – which also appears on the outdated website.

“Reminder to vote for President Biden when you are in the United States. We need another four years of his term to stay open,” the flyer reads.

Zavala says she doesn’t support the flyer’s message, “I would never sit there and tell somebody that can’t vote, that I know can’t vote, ‘Hey. Go vote.’”

Zavala doesn’t know who wrote or who posted the flyers that were found in the portable toilets.

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Andrea Rudnik, with the migrant aid group Team Brownsville says she didn’t see the flyers at the encampment, or hear from any volunteers or migrants who did.

“Those port-o-potties are pretty filthy, If we wanted people to know something, it would be put in a different place,” Rudnik said.

A social media backlash

By the time Zavala realized why she had been receiving so many hateful messages, the viral storm had already exploded.

The thread about the flyers spread quickly and racked up more than 9 million views on the social media platform X.

The social media thread posted by the Oversight Project credited Muckraker, a right-wing website, with discovering the flyers. Muckraker is headed by Anthony Rubin, who often uses undercover tactics in his videos.

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Rubin spoke with NPR, and said that the video of the flyers was shot by an anonymous source with a “close connection” to his team.

On April 15th, in the hours before the thread about the flyers appeared online, Rubin and his brother rang the bell at Resource Center Matamoros saying they wanted to volunteer. Rubin confirmed that in an interview with NPR.

RCM’s staff called Zavala so she could speak to Rubin about volunteering. And later on, a clip from that phone call wound up as part of the thread about the flyers, with a caption saying Zavala had implied that she, “wants to help as many illegals as possible before President Trump is reelected.”

NPR’s Jude Joffe-Block delves into the full story on today’s episode. Tap the play button at the top of the screen to listen.

This episode was produced by Audrey Nguyen and Brianna Scott. Additional reporting from Mexico was contributed by Texas Public Radio’s Gaige Davila and independent journalist Verónica Gabriela Cárdenas. It was edited by Brett Neely and Courtney Dorning. Our executive producer is Sami Yenigun.

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Ministers split over aid for Titanic shipbuilder Harland & Wolff

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Ministers split over aid for Titanic shipbuilder Harland & Wolff

The UK government is split over a financial support package for Harland & Wolff in a row that casts uncertainty over the future of the Belfast shipbuilder behind the Titanic.

The Treasury has reservations about approving a taxpayer-backed £200mn guaranteed loan facility, while three rival ministries — Defence, Trade and Business, and the Northern Ireland Office — are all keen to press ahead, according to Whitehall officials.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, who must greenlight the package, has not made up his mind and is still receiving advice, with some involved in the talks claiming he is dragging his feet on the decision, three people with knowledge of the talks said. Insiders said a decision is expected in the coming days. H&W wants to borrow up to £200mn from a group of banks at a lower interest rate with the government acting as a guarantor for those loans.

Without the guarantee, the lossmaking business will need to find other sources of financing to help meet its working capital requirements and fulfil key contracts that include building three ships in a £1.6bn Royal Navy contract.

The company’s auditors last year warned the business faced “material uncertainty” unless it could source fresh financing and win additional new work.

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The group is also engaged in pay negotiations with staff and “needs the money” to meet payroll, one person with knowledge of the business said.

Report of the government split comes only days after defence secretary Grant Shapps claimed the UK was entering a “golden age” of shipbuilding, after he approved new warships as part of the UK’s increased military spending.

Two of the officials said that the government was inclined to help the Aim-listed company, which has operations in Scotland and England as well as the iconic shipyard where the Titanic was built and whose yellow cranes dominate the Belfast skyline.

One insisted that the Treasury was concerned about the specific financing mechanism proposed, but was not opposed to the principle of extending support to the 163-year-old company. Officials are weighing alternative support options in the event the chancellor blocks the guarantee scheme.

However, MPs have questioned whether it is right to use taxpayers’ money to support the struggling business at all.

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Kevan Jones, Labour MP for North Durham, on Wednesday called on the National Audit Office to investigate the matter.

“There are serious questions to answer around the use of taxpayer money in guaranteeing a multimillion pound loan to Harland & Wolff, given its current financial position,” Jones told the Financial Times.

Jones, who has previously raised concerns in parliament about the intention to offer an unprecedented 100 per cent guaranteed loan, wrote to Gareth Davies, head of the NAO, earlier this week asking the agency to look into what guarantees were in place to protect taxypayers. 

Jones said there were also questions to be asked about the “due diligence that was done on the ability of H&W to deliver on the £1.6bn contract prior to it being awarded”.

“The National Audit Office should seek answers to these questions on taxpayers’ behalf,” said Jones.

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In a statement on Wednesday, H&W said its management was “comfortable with progress on what is a complex and large transaction for all parties involved”.

H&W shares fell more than 28 per cent on Tuesday before recovering half their losses to close at £10.10, valuing the business at less than £18mn.

The company’s latest annual accounts, to the end of 2022, showed revenues of £27mn but losses of £70mn. H&W also had net debt of £82.5mn, in part thanks to high interest payments on a $100mn loan to New York-based Riverstone Credit Partners.

In December, H&W said it had “sufficient funds” to meet its working capital requirements “until the new loan facility is completed”.

Francis Tusa, analyst and editor of the Defence Analysis newsletter, said “awarding a £1.6bn contract to a company with a market value substantially below this level is not best practice”. H&W has not built a complex warship for more than two decades.

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Ministers had agreed in December to advance the loan guarantee to the next stage, so that H&W could work on financing with its bank syndicate.

The officials said the MoD, DBT and NIO want a financial package agreed swiftly to offer certainty around the future of the shipbuilding business.

The package is critical if H&W is to deliver on a £1.6bn contract to build three support ships for the Royal Navy, which it won in 2022 as part of a Spanish-led consortium. Unions have previously raised concerns that the work could migrate to Spain.

The NIO supports extending finance to Harland & Wolff, mindful of its status as an iconic Belfast-founded business that has particular significance to the unionist community, according to one of the Whitehall insiders. The government pledged in January to support the region’s shipbuilding and defence industries.

Despite the row, first reported by The Times, unions remain confident. Alan Perry, senior organiser for the GMB union in Belfast, said he was “definitely not” hearing the company was in any danger or anything “at the moment that would concern us”.

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A government spokesperson said: “We continue to engage with Harland and Wolff with the export development guarantee. Due to commercial sensitivities, it would not be appropriate to comment further until the outcome of the process is confirmed.”

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Morrisey dominated Eastern Panhandle, outdistanced opponents in 35 of 55 counties on way to victory – WV MetroNews

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Morrisey dominated Eastern Panhandle, outdistanced opponents in 35 of 55 counties on way to victory – WV MetroNews

CHARLESTON, W.Va. — State Attorney General Patrick Morrisey dominated the Eastern Panhandle counties in Tuesday’s Primary Election in which he won the GOP nomination for governor.

Greg Hunter

Morrisey outdistanced former state lawmaker Moore Capito by more than 10,000 votes in that area of the state.

MetroNews Decision 2024 vote analyst Greg Hunter said Capito needed to be stronger in Kanawha and surrounding counties to make up the difference but he wasn’t.

“Moore Capito did well in Kanawha County but really that whole sort of Kanawha Valley region, seven counties, he wasn’t as dominate as he needed to be,” Hunter said Wednesday.

The Capito campaign also needed to win what Hunter calls the neutral areas like Wood and Monongalia counties but the counties were even or Morrisey was the winner. Morrisey won 35 of 55 counties in the GOP race.

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“You get one dominate region and a few hundred vote wins in several other counties and you end up with a 10,000 vote lead like Morrisey had,” Hunter said.

Morrisey received approximately 75,000 which represented about 34% of the GOP votes cast.

Morrisey on Talkline

Patrick Morrisey

Morrisey made an appearance Wednesday on MetroNews Talkline. He said a dozen years in office as state Attorney General was a solid springboard to victory.

“Over the last 12 years, we’ve been able to get a lot of terrific things done to help our state and help pave the way for West Virginia to be the shining state in the mountains,” Morrisey said. “I think the conservative values and the experience made a really big difference.”

Morrisey said his victory sends a message.

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“I think the people of West Virginia spoke loud and clear that they are looking for changes. That they are looking for people who have a vision for putting West Virginia first, protecting our jobs and protecting us from all of the threats out there,” Morrisey said.

Advice for Williams

Danny Jones

Former Charleston Mayor Danny Jones has some advice for his friend, Huntington Mayor Steve Williams and his upcoming race against Morrisey.

Jones said on “Talkline” Wednesday that if Williams is serious about the race he should step down from being mayor and be a full-time candidate.

“When you get up in the morning you think about being governor and you do it until you go to bed at night,” Jones said. “Steve hasn’t been out on the trail in a long time and he’s never been nothing but a nice guy.”

Jones said Williams is going to have to take the gloves off against Morrisey.

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“He’s a good-looking tall man and he’s got to get out where people can see him,” Jones said.

Morrisey said he knows Williams and expects a campaign on the issues.

“I have respect for the Democrat nominee, we’ve worked together and he’s praised a lot of work we’ve done on the epidemic,” Morrisey said. “I think this will be spirited and focused on the issues.”

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