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Analysis: The West plans to increase its military aid to Ukraine with Russia planning its next big assault

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Analysis: The West plans to increase its military aid to Ukraine with Russia planning its next big assault

Heroic resistance from Ukrainian troops, with the assistance of Western anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles, has already claimed a well-known victory — the saving of Kyiv and the federal government of President Volodymyr Zelensky. However now, Russia has named a brand new normal to guide what has been a chaotic struggle effort and is grouping its forces in jap Ukraine for a fearsome, concentrated assault that would stretch Ukraine’s outnumbered forces as by no means earlier than.

The shift of technique is forcing Western leaders to contemplate their very own willingness to supply extra offensive armaments to Kyiv forward of what’s shaping as much as be a vicious battle that would dictate how a lot of Ukraine survives as a nation-state.

Stress on the West to do extra is being exacerbated by the truth that Russia’s new method augurs but extra carnage for the civilians that it has been intentionally focusing on with a vicious struggle plan.

As Washington evaluates how to reply to Russia’s newest maneuvers, there have been sighs of aid within the US capital as French President Emmanuel Macron prevailed within the first spherical of the presidential election. However the survival in workplace of a key member of the Western management coalition will solely be assured if he can beat the runner-up, far-right candidate Marine Le Pen — a long-time Putin sympathizer — within the tight marketing campaign that can play out forward of the second spherical in two weeks.
New questions for the West about how greatest to bolster Ukraine’s resistance observe a skittishness in Washington earlier within the struggle about antagonizing Putin with, for instance, the switch of Soviet-era jets from NATO states like Poland to Ukraine. Extra just lately, the US has signaled it’s prepared to assist its companions to get Soviet-era tanks to Ukraine. And Britain promised a sturdy package deal of arms following Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s dramatic go to to Kyiv on Saturday.

Choices on precisely what sort of weapons to supply may rely on the tip recreation the West sees within the nation, particularly after Zelensky’s more and more caustic appeals for extra offensive weaponry following the invention of atrocities in opposition to Ukrainian civilians when Russian forces pulled again from Kyiv.

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President Joe Biden’s nationwide safety adviser Jake Sullivan seemed on CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday that Washington’s coverage would observe Kyiv’s lead. However he additionally implied that broader US help and unprecedented sanctions on Russia’s economic system have been additionally designed to higher place Ukraine for any future ceasefire talks — regardless of the failure of such efforts thus far, given that there’s little signal Putin is severe a couple of de-escalation.

“This isn’t a narrative of anybody standing by,” Sullivan advised CNN’s Jake Tapper. “We’re taking aggressive motion in an effort to each assist the Ukrainians succeed on the battlefield and assist the Ukrainians have the absolute best place on the negotiating desk.”

However Republican Rep. Liz Cheney gave voice to a faction in Washington that claims the US needs to be doing way more, although the Wyoming congresswoman is just not advocating the dispatch of US troops to Ukraine. Western leaders have been involved about igniting direct battle with Russia amid fears of a nuclear escalation.

“We shouldn’t be speaking about, as Jake Sullivan did simply now, enhancing Zelensky’s place on the negotiating desk,” Cheney stated, additionally on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“That is about defeating Russian forces in Ukraine. It is about way more than Ukraine,” Cheney stated, calling for shipments of tanks, artillery and armored tools to be despatched to the nation. “We have to be doing way more, extra rapidly.”

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Russia digs in for escalation in jap Ukraine

CNN reported over the weekend that Putin has, for the primary time, put a single navy officer in control of the Ukraine invasion, which has thus far been stricken by poor technique, provide points, indiscipline and low morale among the many troops.
The appointment of Military Gen. Alexander Dvornikov, the commander of Russia’s Southern Navy District, has raised alarm in Washington.

White Home press secretary Jen Psaki warned that Dvornikov was answerable for “atrocities we noticed in Syria” and pledged that the US will proceed to work to make sure Ukraine has the weapons it wants.

Washington has been strolling a line between offering Ukraine with {hardware} that might enable it to repel the Russian invasion and inflict a heavy price on Putin’s troops and being seen to take steps that might flip the struggle right into a direct conflict between the USA and Russia, which may trigger a harmful escalation.

However there are clear indicators now that the West is reevaluating the place these pink traces are because the struggle enters a brand new stage. The method comes because the world reels with revulsion from atrocities in opposition to civilians within the Kyiv suburb of Bucha and from an assault on a prepare station within the jap metropolis of in Kramatorsk that refugees have been utilizing to flee the combating in jap Ukraine.

Cheney stated on CNN that the assault “clearly is genocide.” US and Western officers have stopped in need of utilizing that designation, citing the necessity for a authorized course of on a time period that’s usually used with specificity, however have often accused Putin and his troops of committing struggle crimes.

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Each Psaki and Sullivan talked about a two-hour name that befell between senior US navy and administration appointees with high Ukrainian officers final week. Throughout that decision, the Ukrainians went down an inventory, merchandise by merchandise, of {hardware} and armaments that they’ve requested. Psaki stated that the administration was working to make sure that if the US could not present the requested materials, its allies may.

Johnson, as an example, laid out a package deal of apparatus that the UK was prepared to supply, together with 120 armored autos and new anti-ship missile methods.

It was not clear what limits that Washington would possibly place on the factors of weaponry that could be accessible to the Ukrainians.

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Space engine start-up in talks for new capital after funding crunch

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Space engine start-up in talks for new capital after funding crunch

A British technology start-up which had promised to build the world’s first space plane is in last-ditch talks to secure new financing after two of its backers wrote down the value of their investment.

Reaction Engines, which was founded in 1989, is in detailed talks with the UAE-backed Strategic Development Fund (SDF), one of its existing shareholders, about a new injection of capital, according to two people familiar with the situation. The SDF led a £40mn funding round in January last year. 

The British start-up is also backed by several aerospace giants, including BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce, as well as financial investors Artemis and Schroders.

Reaction has previously raised more than £150mn and grew its commercial revenues by more than 400 per cent last year. The company, however, warned earlier this year that it would need to raise additional financing. It has this weekend lined up PwC, the accountancy firm, to act as administrator if the funding talks collapse.

Sky News first reported that PwC had been put on standby. The accountancy firm, which has not yet been formally appointed, declined to comment on Saturday. Reaction also declined to comment. 

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Other existing investors are monitoring the situation, said one of the people close to the talks. 

Artemis and Schroders both announced last week that they had significantly written down the value of their stakes in Reaction. Artemis cut the value of its 2.3 per cent holding by 75 per cent. Artemis Alpha Trust, the fund that manages the London-based fund manager’s stake, now values it at £1.2mn, compared with £6.4mn in April. 

Reaction has in recent years focused on developing a hybrid jet and rocket engine, known as Sabre. The innovative engine was originally planned to power Skylon, a space aircraft also designed by Reaction.

Key to Sabre’s development is Reaction’s groundbreaking pre-cooling technology which prevents engines from overheating and could lead to hypersonic space planes. The company is part of a UK-led military project aiming to make hypersonic flight a reality. At hypersonic speeds, the temperature generated inside a conventional gas turbine would start to melt components unless they were cooled in some way.

More recently the company has focused its attention on developing nearer-term aerospace and commercial applications for its pre-cooling technology. It signed an agreement with US industrial group Honeywell to collaborate on the development of thermal management technologies to help reduce aircraft emissions. 

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Reaction is chaired by Philip Dunne, a former UK defence minister. It has been led by Mark Thomas, who was previously at Rolls-Royce. 

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Former US President Trump hints at support for Florida ballot measure legalising recreational marijuana – Times of India

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Former US President Trump hints at support for Florida ballot measure legalising recreational marijuana – Times of India
Former President Trump has suggested he might support a Florida ballot measure to legalise recreational marijuana for adults, known as Amendment 3, reported the Hill.
Trump, a Florida resident, emphasised the importance of this measure being appropriately managed by the state Legislature to avoid public consumption issues.
Emphasis on responsible legislation
“In Florida, like so many other States that have already given their approval, personal amounts of marijuana will be legalised for adults with Amendment 3,” Trump said in a post on his Truth Social site.“Whether people like it or not, this will happen through the approval of the Voters, so it should be done correctly.”

Trump avoided stating his voting intention or openly backing marijuana legalisation but stressed that responsible legislation is necessary to avoid public nuisances. He pointed to the need for laws that prevent marijuana use in public areas to keep public spaces free from the smell of marijuana, similar to the issues observed in other cities.
“The state Legislature needs to responsibly create laws that prohibit marijuana consumption in public spaces so we do not smell marijuana everywhere we go, like we do in many of the Democrat-run Cities,” said Trump.
Concerns over inconsistent marijuana laws
He also highlighted the inconsistency of criminalising marijuana possession in Florida when it is legal in many other states. Trump emphasised that law enforcement resources and lives should not be wasted on arresting adults for possessing small amounts of marijuana.
“We do not need to ruin lives & waste Taxpayer Dollars arresting adults with personal amounts of it on them, and no one should grieve a loved one because they died from fentanyl-laced marijuana,” he added.
Impact on voter mobilisation and Republican division
Trump’s comments follow recent efforts by Democrats to attract younger voters in Florida, focusing on issues like abortion and marijuana legalisation. These issues have mobilised younger voters in other regions, as seen in Ohio, and Democrats hope for a similar impact in Florida.
Democrats are targeting the fall ballot measures, aiming to increase voter turnout and gain the support of younger voters, a group with which Trump has faced challenges.
Earlier in the year, the Department of Justice made a significant move toward reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug. If this reclassification is approved, marijuana will be downgraded to a Schedule III drug.
Despite the trend toward normalisation and Trump’s comments, some Republicans remain opposed to legalising recreational marijuana. Sen Rick Scott has publicly stated his intention to vote against the measure. He cited personal family experience with addiction as a key reason for his opposition.
“My brother, who died at 67 in April, began smoking marijuana as a teenager and led a life of addiction,” Scott said.

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Big Oil calls on Kamala Harris to come clean on her energy and climate plans

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Big Oil calls on Kamala Harris to come clean on her energy and climate plans

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The US oil industry and Republicans are demanding Kamala Harris clarify her energy and climate policy, as the Democratic candidate tries to please her progressive base without alienating voters in shale areas like Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state.

On Thursday, the vice-president said she no longer supported a ban on fracking, the technology that unleashed the shale revolution. But Harris’s reversal has not quelled attacks from Donald Trump or US executives that she would damage the country’s oil and gas sector.

The heads of the US’s two biggest oil lobby groups said the Democratic candidate must also say whether she would keep or end a pause on federal approvals for new liquefied natural gas plants, and whether she supported curbs on drilling imposed by the Biden administration.

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“Based on what we know of her past positions, the bills that she has sponsored, and her past statements she’s taken a pretty aggressively anti-energy and anti-oil and gas industry stand,” said Anne Bradbury, head of the American Exploration and Production Council.

“These are significant and major policy questions that impact every American family and business, and which voters deserve to understand better when making their choice in November,” she said.

Mike Sommers, chief executive of the American Petroleum Institute, Big Oil’s most powerful lobby group, said Harris should say whether she would stick with Biden administration policies that had unleashed “a regulatory onslaught the likes of which this industry has never seen”.

Trump, the Republican candidate, has accused Harris of plotting a “war on American energy” and has repeatedly blamed her and President Joe Biden for high fuel costs in recent years.

On Thursday, he vowed to scrap Biden administration policies that “distort energy markets”. The former president has called climate change a hoax and his advisers have said he would gut Biden’s signature climate legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act.

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The debate over Harris’s energy policy comes as she and Trump court blue-collar workers in Pennsylvania, a huge shale gas producer that employs 72,000 workers — a potentially decisive voting group in a state Biden won narrowly in 2020.

Harris said in 2019 that she supported a fracking ban but told CNN on Thursday she had ditched that position and the US could have “a thriving clean energy economy without banning fracking”.

US oil and gas production has reached a record high under Biden, even as clean energy capacity has expanded rapidly.

But gas executives in particular have been alarmed at a federal pause on building new LNG export plants, which supply customers from Europe to Asia, saying the policy will stymie further US shale output.

Toby Rice, chief executive of Pennsylvania-based EQT, the US’s largest natural gas producer, said Harris should lift the restrictions, which he argued would compromise energy security.

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“Ignoring her anti-fracking statement four years ago for a second, can we talk about the recent LNG Pause that was put in place this year?”, he said. “This is a policy that has received massive criticism from all sides — our allies, industry and environmental champions . . . a step backwards for climate and American energy security.”

While Biden put climate at the centre of his and Harris’s 2020 White House campaign, Harris has been largely silent, and made only a passing reference to climate change in her speech at the Democratic convention.

“It looks like the Harris campaign has concluded that it’s safer to avoid antagonising producers or climate activists by skirting these issues entirely,” said Kevin Book, managing director of ClearView Energy Partners.

Climate-focused voters are less vexed than energy executives by the lack of explicit policy from Harris.

“Let’s be clear: the most important climate policy right now is defeating Donald Trump in November,” said Cassidy DiPaola of Fossil Free Media, a non-profit organisation. “All the wonky policy details in the world won’t matter if climate deniers control the White House.”

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Last week the political arms of the League of Conservation Voters, Climate Power and the Environmental Defense Fund unveiled a $55mn advertising campaign backing Harris in swing states, focused on economic rather than climate issues.

In contrast, Trump has courted oil bosses who are backing his pledge to slash regulation and scrap clean energy subsidies. His campaign received nearly $14mn from the industry in June, according to OpenSecrets, almost double his oil haul in May.

Additional reporting by Sam Learner

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