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Ohio State vs. Nebraska score prediction by expert college football model

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Ohio State vs. Nebraska score prediction by expert college football model


An important Big Ten football matchup kicks off on Saturday as No. 4 Ohio State returns home against Nebraska in college football’s Week 9 action. Let’s take a look at the latest prediction for the game from an expert model that projects scores and picks winners.

Ohio State fell to 2-1 in Big Ten play after a 1-point loss at Oregon and is back in the Horseshoe looking to build some confidence heading into another tough road date against Penn State next weekend with the team’s playoff hopes potentially hanging in the balance.

Nebraska skidded to a 2-2 mark in conference games after getting punched in the mouth by Indiana in a 56-7 decision and embarks on the second straight road game against a ranked conference opponent looking to make what would be one of the biggest upsets of the season.

What do the analytical models suggest for when the Buckeyes and Cornhuskers meet in this Big Ten clash?

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For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Ohio State and Nebraska compare in this Week 9 college football game.

As expected, the models are siding strongly with the Buckeyes over the Cornhuskers this week.

SP+ predicts that Ohio State will defeat Nebraska by a projected score of 33 to 11 and to win the game by an expected margin of 22 points in the process.

The model gives the Buckeyes a strong 92 percent chance of outright victory.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 211-194-4 against the spread with a 52.1 win percentage after going 31-27-1 (53.4%) last weekend.

Ohio State is a 25.5 point favorite against Nebraska, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 47.5 points for the game (Over -115, Under -105).

And it set the moneyline odds for Ohio State at -7000 and for Nebraska at +2000 to win outright.

If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …

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If you do, you’ll be in the minority of bettors who are taking the Cornhuskers this week, according to the latest spread consensus picks.

62 percent of wagers currently project that Ohio State will win the game and cover the spread in the process.

Nebraska is getting 38 percent of bets to either win the game in an upset, or more likely, to keep the final score under this generous line.

Ohio State has been 41.3 points better than its opponents when playing at home so far this season.

And the Buckeyes have been 19.3 points better than the opposition on average over its last three games overall.

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Nebraska has averaged 15.5 points worse than its opponents when playing on the road in 2024.

And the Cornhuskers are averaging 8 points worse overall over the last three games, with last week’s 49-point loss at Indiana playing a big role in determining that average.

Most other analytical models are also favoring the Buckeyes over the Cornhuskers in this game.

That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Ohio State is projected to win the game in the overwhelming 96.5 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.

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That leaves Nebraska as the expected winner in the remaining 3.5 percent of sims.

Ohio State is projected to be 29.5 points better than Nebraska on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

Ohio State is second among Big Ten teams with a 77.2 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.

That model gives the Buckeyes a win total prediction of 10.6 games this season.

Nebraska is expected to have an 85.3 percent chance at becoming eligible for a bowl game this year.

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FPI gives the Cornhuskers a win total projection of 6.5 games in ‘24.

When: Sat., Oct. 26
Time: 12 p.m. ET | 11 a.m. CT
TV: Fox network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks



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Manufacturing history unfolds at North Central Ohio Industrial Museum

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Manufacturing history unfolds at North Central Ohio Industrial Museum


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MANSFIELD ― If you’re interested in manufacturing, you can come and see hundreds of products made in North Central Ohio — including appliances, tires, pumps, Klondike bars, cigars and pieces made for streetcars.

The North Central Ohio Industrial Museum inside the lower east diagonal wing of the historic Ohio State Reformatory showcases the history of manufacturing in Mansfield and surrounding areas.

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Location

The Ohio State Reformatory, 100 Reformatory Road, Mansfield.

Why it matters

The museum traces the history of manufacturing in North Central Ohio since the first steam locomotive came through town in 1846. Exhibits highlight the accomplishments of local residents and industry in peace and war, according to NCOIM President Jerry Miller.

What to see

The NCOIM has several themed sections of exhibits, beginning with “Every town had a mill,” then the Cast Iron Age, City of Stoves, Wires & Electric Exhibits, Cigar & Beer, Wheels, AG Industry and Mickey Rupp, which then begins an exhibit on what is currently manufactured in Richland County.

Miller said the late Bob Glasener started the museum and was responsible for saving many local industrial artifacts over the years. Miller said Glasener’s daughter has in her possession the 1939 World’s Fair Westinghouse (gold-plated) roaster, which she donated to the museum.

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The museum is full of surprising finds.

Elektro the Westinghouse robot should be on display this summer at the North Central Ohio Industrial Museum after being restored.

A manhole and stormwater grate from 1935 made by the Tappan Stove Co. are among the treasures Miller helped to preserve. He also has the Tappan marquee and a Westinghouse marquee.

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Plan your visit

Hours/admission: The museum will be open the same hours as OSR and will be free to tour with the purchase of a ticket to the prison-turned-museum.

Getting there: OSR is on the north side of Mansfield, just off U.S. 30.

Learn more: mrps.org (OSR is operated by the Mansfield Reformatory Preservation Society).

Contact Lou Whitmire at 419-5-21-7223. She can be reached at X at @lwhitmir.



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Warren man sentenced for Niles police chase

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Warren man sentenced for Niles police chase


WARREN, Ohio (WKBN) — A Warren man who led police on a chase received his sentence on Wednesday.

Michael Greene, 32, was sentenced to three years of probation and ordered to make restitution.

Greene pleaded guilty in February to failure to comply with the order or signal of a police officer and failure to stop after an accident.

Greene was charged following a November 2025 police chase in Niles.

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Prosecutors say that the chase involved speeds of about 103 miles per hour.

It was discovered that the car Greene was driving was reported stolen by a family member.

Patty Coller contributed to this report.



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A unique project asks Ohioans to map Revolutionary War graves

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A unique project asks Ohioans to map Revolutionary War graves


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Ohioans have until May 25 to help document the final resting places of Revolutionary War veterans buried across the state.

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The effort is part of the Revolutionary War Veterans Graves Identification Project, a first-of-its-kind initiative led by America 250-Ohio, the commission organizing the state’s celebration of the nation’s 250th anniversary. The project aims to create a publicly accessible database of veterans’ graves, complete with photographs, inscriptions and GPS coordinates, according to a community announcement.

The public can submit information through the Grave Marker and Cemetery Collection Portal until May 25. Submissions will be reviewed and finalized before the database is released July 4, the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence.

Thousands of graves documented by volunteers

Launched on Memorial Day 2025, the project has mobilized about 350 volunteers who have documented more than 4,000 grave markers across Ohio. The database is expected to include information on up to 7,000 veterans believed to be buried in the state.

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Clusters of graves have been found in areas such as Clermont County and regions corresponding to the original Virginia Military and United States Military Districts. The first documented entry was the grave of Nathaniel Massie, a Virginia Militia private who founded the city of Chillicothe.

A window into Ohio’s early history

Ohio is home to a large number of Revolutionary War veterans’ graves, despite not being one of the original 13 colonies. After the war, portions of Ohio’s land were granted to veterans as payment for their service, drawing many to settle and build communities in the region.

Previously, records from organizations like the Sons of the American Revolution and Daughters of the American Revolution identified about 6,800 veterans buried in Ohio, but lacked precise locations and current photographs.

How to participate before the deadline

Anyone with a smartphone can contribute to the project. No historical expertise is required. Here’s how to participate:

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  • Visit ohiohistory.org/revwargraves to review instructions and explore the map of cemeteries already identified as likely grave sites.
  • Download the free Survey123 app on your smartphone.
  • Visit a cemetery, photograph the grave marker, record inscriptions, and log GPS coordinates.
  • Submit your entry through the portal before May 25.

Volunteers who do not wish to remain anonymous will be acknowledged by name for their contributions. The completed database will remain publicly accessible beyond the America 250 celebration and will be maintained by the Ohio State Historic Preservation Office and the Ohio History Connection.

A lasting legacy for future generations

The project is led by the Ohio History Connection and its State Historic Preservation Office, with support from Terracon Consultants, Inc. Submissions appear on a live, publicly viewable dashboard at ohpo.maps.arcgis.com.

“These are the very first veterans of the United States of America,” Krista Horrocks, historian, cemetery preservationist, and project manager with the Ohio History Connection said in the announcement. “Documentation is the part that will outlive all of us. Gravestones won’t survive forever, but if we can record their location and story today, that information will be here for generations to come.”

To learn more, view the live dashboard, or submit information on a grave site, visit ohiohistory.org/revwargraves.

This story was created with the assistance of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Journalists were involved in every step of the information gathering, review, editing and publishing process. Learn more at cm.usatoday.com/ethical-conduct.



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