North Dakota
Poll: Most 2024 North Dakota ballot measures appear too close to call
BISMARCK — North Dakota voters appear split and largely undecided about four of the five ballot measures up for a vote on Nov. 5, a new poll commissioned by the North Dakota News Cooperative found.
The four ballot measures — Measures 2, 3, 4 and 5 — are expected to have major ramifications if approved.
Trevor Smith, chief research officer of WPA Intelligence, which conducted the North Dakota Poll between Sept. 28-30, said the large number of undecided voters shows a “lack of understanding.”
“The initiatives are written too complicated for the average voter to understand when they see them,” Smith said, adding pollsters only see large numbers of undecided voters in states where initiatives are written this way.
Measure 4: Abolish property tax measure
On the property tax measure, Measure 4, 33% of those polled were undecided.
The measure would prohibit local governments from taxing property on assessed value and require the state to find an estimated $3.15 billion per biennium in replacement revenue, which would then go back to those local governments.
Those in favor of eliminating property taxes accounted for 28% of voters polled, with only 16% a definite yes.
More voters are opposed to Measure 4, with 40% against, 27% of which were a definite no.
Measure 4 was sponsored by former Rep. Rick Becker and the End Unfair Property Tax group as part of an effort to force a restraint in spending by elected officials and potentially tap into Legacy Fund interest to support local governments if those taxes are abolished.
The coalition formed to oppose Measure 4, Keep It Local, is made up of the North Dakota Association of Counties, the state School Boards Association, Greater North Dakota Chamber and several other prominent groups. The groups argue taking away the ability of local governments to levy property taxes would diminish local control and adversely impact everything from police to fire departments to schools.
Measure 5: Recreational marijuana measure
Voting yes for the recreational marijuana measure, or Measure 5, would create a new chapter in the North Dakota Century Code allowing the production, processing and sale of cannabis as well as its legal possession for those 21 and older.
The poll found 45% in favor of legalization, with 40% opposed, and another 15% undecided.
The measure was sponsored by the group New Economic Frontier, which has promoted the economic development and tax revenue possibilities of cannabis legalization, as well as its potential to reduce burdens to the judicial system.
The North Dakota Medical and Hospital Associations, North Dakota Peace Officers, Chiefs of Police Association of North Dakota, and North Dakota Sheriffs and Deputies Associations have all opposed the measure. These groups say legalization would increase substance abuse and behavioral health issues.
Similar marijuana legalization initiatives were rejected in 2022 and 2018 in North Dakota, while a measure allowing the medical use of marijuana passed in 2016.
Measure 2: Ballot initiative reform measure
Among the more confusing measures for voters, Measure 2, partially aims to make ballot initiatives less confusing. Other aspects make initiating measures more difficult.
This measure, initiated by the Legislature, calls for any future ballot initiatives to be limited to a single subject. The second part of the measure would require that single-subject initiatives be approved by voters in two consecutive elections. A third part would increase the signature requirement from 4% of the population to 5%.
According to North Dakota Poll data, 38% would vote yes for those changes and 28% would vote no.
Again, a large chunk of eligible voters — 34% — are undecided.
Of the 26 states that have at least one kind of citizen-initiated measure process, 17 have single-subject rules. However, Nevada is the only other state requiring initiated measures to go through two consecutive elections.
Measure 3: Legacy Fund measure
A Legacy Fund measure, Measure 3, was also initiated by the Legislature. According to the poll, few voters have paid attention to it.
A total of 47% are undecided. In favor of the changes are 33% who would vote yes. Another 20% would vote no.
A yes vote for Measure 3 would decrease the amount allowed to be spent from the Legacy Fund principal during a two-year biennium period from 15% to 5%.
Currently, the Legislature can take 15% from the principal during a two-year period if it is needed to cover budget shortfalls, and only if two-thirds of the Legislature approves.
The Legacy Fund is split into two streams: the principal, which is the over $10.2 billion the fund had grown to by the end of June 2024; and the earnings that stood at over $601 million, which are accrued off the growth of the fund, some of which is diverted each biennium to the general fund for legislative needs or reinvested into the fund. Together those amounted to over $10.8 billion as of the end of June 2024.
Measure 1: Outdated language measure
The only measure where there is little confusion is Measure 1, which would amend parts of the constitution of North Dakota to replace what is seen as outdated language. This measure was also initiated by the Legislature.
A yes vote would allow the state to change terminology describing specific public institutions, including changing the “school for the deaf and dumb” to the “school for the deaf and hard of hearing” and the “state hospital for the insane” to the “state hospital for the care of individuals with mental illness.”
The poll found 75% would vote yes to allow those changes. Only 9% would vote no. Another 16% are undecided.
The North Dakota Poll surveyed 500 eligible and likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. The poll surveyed roughly equal numbers of men and women, as well as equally from the eastern and western halves of the state.
A total of 94% of the voters polled said they definitely plan to vote in the coming election.
This story was originally published on NewsCoopND.org
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North Dakota
Port: Make families great again
MINOT — Gov.-elect Kelly Armstrong is roaring into office with some political capital to spend. I have some ideas for how to spend it during next year’s legislative session.
It’s a three-pronged plan focused on children. I’m calling it “Make Families Great Again.” I’m no marketing genius, but I have been a dad for 24 years. There are some things the state could do to help.
The first is school lunches. The state should pay for them. The Legislature had a rollicking debate about this during the 2023 session. The opponents, who liken this to a handout, largely won the debate. Armstrong could put some muscle behind a new initiative to have the state take over payments. The social media gadflies might not like it, but it would prove deeply popular with the general public, especially if we neutralize the “handout” argument by reframing the debate.
North Dakota families are obligated to send their children to school. The kids have to eat. The lunch bills add up. I have two kids in public school. In the 2023-2024 school year, I paid $1,501.65 for lunches. That’s more than I pay in income taxes.
How much would it cost? In the 2023 session,
House Bill 1491
would have appropriated $89.5 million to cover the cost. The price tag would likely be similar now, but don’t consider it an expense so much as putting nearly $90 million back in the pockets of families with school-age children. A demographic that, thanks to inflation and other factors, could use some help.
Speaking of helping, the second plank of this plan is child care. This burgeoning cost is not just a millstone around young families’ necks but also hurts our state’s economy. We have a chronic workforce shortage, yet many North Dakotans are held out of the workforce because they either cannot find child care or because the care available is prohibitively expensive.
State leaders haven’t exactly been sitting on their hands. During the 2023 session, Gov. Doug Burgum signed
a $66 million child care package
focusing on assistance and incentives. We should do something bolder.
Maybe a direct tax credit to cover at least some of the expenses?
The last plank is getting vaccination rates back on track.
According to data from the state Department of Health,
the kindergarten-age vaccination rate for chicken pox declined 3.76% from the 2019-2020 school year. The rate for the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine is down 3.72%, polio vaccines 3.54%, hepatitis B vaccines 2.27%, and the vaccine for diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis 3.91%.
Meanwhile, personal and religious exemptions for kindergarten students have risen by nearly 69%.
This may be politically risky for Armstrong. Anti-vaxx crankery is on the rise among Republicans, but, again, Armstrong has some political capital to spend. This would be a helpful place for it. A campaign to turn vaccine rates around would help protect the kids from diseases that haven’t been a concern in generations. It would help address workforce needs as well.
When a sick kid can’t go to school or day care, parents can’t go to work.
These ideas are practical and bold and would do a great deal to help North Dakota families.
North Dakota
North Dakota 77-73 Loyola Marymount (Nov 22, 2024) Game Recap – ESPN
LOS ANGELES — — Treysen Eaglestaff had 23 points in North Dakota’s 77-73 win over Loyola Marymount on Friday night.
Eaglestaff also contributed five rebounds for the Fightin’ Hawks (3-2). Mier Panoam scored 16 points and added seven rebounds. Dariyus Woodson had 12 points.
The Lions (1-3) were led in scoring by Caleb Stone-Carrawell with 17 points. Alex Merkviladze added 16 points, eight rebounds, four assists and two steals. Will Johnston had 15 points and four assists.
North Dakota went into the half ahead of Loyola Marymount 36-32. Eaglestaff led North Dakota with 12 second-half points.
——
The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
North Dakota
National monument proposed for North Dakota Badlands, with tribes' support
BISMARCK, N.D. — A coalition of conservation groups and Native American tribal citizens on Friday called on President Joe Biden to designate nearly 140,000 acres of rugged, scenic Badlands as North Dakota’s first national monument, a proposal several tribal nations say would preserve the area’s indigenous and cultural heritage.
The proposed Maah Daah Hey National Monument would encompass 11 noncontiguous, newly designated units totaling 139,729 acres (56,546 hectares) in the Little Missouri National Grassland. The proposed units would hug the popular recreation trail of the same name and neighbor Theodore Roosevelt National Park, named for the 26th president who ranched and roamed in the Badlands as a young man in the 1880s.
“When you tell the story of landscape, you have to tell the story of people,” said Michael Barthelemy, an enrolled member of the Mandan, Hidatsa and Arikara Nation and director of Native American studies at Nueta Hidatsa Sahnish College. “You have to tell the story of the people that first inhabited those places and the symbiotic relationship between the people and the landscape, how the people worked to shape the land and how the land worked to shape the people.”
The National Park Service oversees national monuments, which are similar to national parks and usually designated by the president to protect the landscape’s features.
Supporters have traveled twice to Washington to meet with White House, Interior Department, Forest Service and Department of Agriculture officials. But the effort faces an uphill battle with less than two months remaining in Biden’s term and potential headwinds in President-elect Donald Trump ‘s incoming administration.
If unsuccessful, the group would turn to the Trump administration “because we believe this is a good idea regardless of who’s president,” Dakota Resource Council Executive Director Scott Skokos said.
Dozens if not hundreds of oil and natural gas wells dot the landscape where the proposed monument would span, according to the supporters’ map. But the proposed units have no oil and gas leases, private inholdings or surface occupancy, and no grazing leases would be removed, said North Dakota Wildlife Federation Executive Director John Bradley.
The proposal is supported by the MHA Nation, the Spirit Lake Tribe and the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe through council resolutions.
If created, the monument would help tribal citizens stay connected to their identity, said Democratic state Rep. Lisa Finley-DeVille, an MHA Nation enrolled member.
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum is President-elect Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Interior Department, which oversees the National Park Service, including national monuments. In a written statement, Burgum said: “North Dakota is proof that we can protect our precious parks, cultural heritage and natural resources AND responsibly develop our vast energy resources.”
North Dakota Sen. John Hoeven’s office said Friday was the first they had heard of the proposal, “but any effort that would make it harder for ranchers to operate and that could restrict multiple use, including energy development, is going to raise concerns with Senator Hoeven.”
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