The New York Mets will lock horns with the Kansas City Royals in an interleague MLB matchup at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday, scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.

With the Mets sending Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA) to the mound against the Royals’ Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA), and both boasting sub-average ERAs, home runs are likely on Saturday.

After Saturday’s Mets-Royals simulation results were finalized, Dimers’ experts released updated predictions and betting guidance, along with a complete set of stat projections for both teams’ batters.

Following Soto’s historic snub from the 2025 All Star Game, he once again trails teammate Pete Alonso as the Mets’ most likely home run hitter. The complete data set is below.

Updated Mets vs. Royals stat projections

Mets vs. Royals betting preview

In addition to the stat projections above, Dimers’ experts have released newly updated Mets-Royals predictions and betting guidance.

Explore the interactive widget below to view the latest run line, over/under, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Mets-Royals game at Kauffman Stadium.

Game details

The key information you need before the Mets vs. Royals MLB game.

• Teams: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
• Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Kauffman Stadium

Starting pitchers

• Mets: Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA)
• Royals: Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA)

Odds

The latest and best odds for the MLB showdown between the Mets and Royals.

• Run line: Mets -1.5 (+125), Royals +1.5 (-150)
• Moneyline: Mets -125, Royals +108
• Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115)

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Local Mets fans can use the BetMGM promo code “CUSE150″ to unlock bonus bets for Saturday’s matchup with the Royals, while fans nationwide can unlock Prime Day betting deals with the Bet365 bonus code “SYRACUSE”.

Expert prediction: Mets vs. Royals

Using advanced data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Mets vs. Royals game.

According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, the Mets are more likely to defeat the Royals at Kauffman Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Mets a 53% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Royals (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.

Mets vs. Royals best bet

Our top pick for the Mets vs. Royals game on Saturday is to bet on the Royals +1.5 (-150).

This betting advice is formulated through cutting-edge simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter investments.

MLB Saturday: Mets vs. Royals

Get ready for Saturday’s matchup between the Mets and Royals inMLB at Kauffman Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We emphasize that all of the MLB best bets and MLB predictions on this page are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Mets vs. Royals matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.