Kansas
New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals: Expert prediction, HR projections, and odds this Saturday
The New York Mets will lock horns with the Kansas City Royals in an interleague MLB matchup at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday, scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.
With the Mets sending Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA) to the mound against the Royals’ Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA), and both boasting sub-average ERAs, home runs are likely on Saturday.
After Saturday’s Mets-Royals simulation results were finalized, Dimers’ experts released updated predictions and betting guidance, along with a complete set of stat projections for both teams’ batters.
Following Soto’s historic snub from the 2025 All Star Game, he once again trails teammate Pete Alonso as the Mets’ most likely home run hitter. The complete data set is below.
Updated Mets vs. Royals stat projections
| Player | Team | 1+ Hit | 2+ Hits | To Get RBI | To Hit HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | NYM | 59.8% | 18.9% | 38.6% | 19.0% |
| Juan Soto | NYM | 61.8% | 20.0% | 35.7% | 17.8% |
| Mark Vientos | NYM | 61.1% | 19.6% | 34.6% | 15.9% |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | 63.1% | 21.8% | 31.0% | 15.0% |
| Salvador Perez | KC | 65.1% | 23.0% | 34.6% | 14.7% |
| Bobby Witt | KC | 69.1% | 26.7% | 33.0% | 14.1% |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | 66.3% | 23.1% | 34.6% | 14.0% |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | 61.8% | 21.2% | 30.1% | 13.0% |
| Brett Baty | NYM | N/A | N/A | N/A | 12.5% |
| Jac Caglianone | KC | 62.6% | 20.3% | 29.3% | 12.4% |
| Ronny Mauricio | NYM | 62.8% | 21.5% | 30.9% | 12.0% |
| Luis Torrens | NYM | N/A | N/A | N/A | 9.7% |
| Freddy Fermin | KC | 65.7% | 23.4% | 28.5% | 9.3% |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | 66.9% | 25.0% | 30.4% | 9.2% |
| Nick Loftin | KC | 62.6% | 20.5% | 26.6% | 7.8% |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | 62.4% | 21.5% | N/A | 7.8% |
| Jonathan India | KC | 61.9% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 7.5% |
| Maikel Garcia | KC | 66.7% | 24.2% | 28.2% | 5.9% |
Mets vs. Royals betting preview
In addition to the stat projections above, Dimers’ experts have released newly updated Mets-Royals predictions and betting guidance.
Explore the interactive widget below to view the latest run line, over/under, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Mets-Royals game at Kauffman Stadium.
Game details
The key information you need before the Mets vs. Royals MLB game.
- Teams: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
- Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Kauffman Stadium
Starting pitchers
- Mets: Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA)
- Royals: Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA)
Odds
The latest and best odds for the MLB showdown between the Mets and Royals.
- Run line: Mets -1.5 (+125), Royals +1.5 (-150)
- Moneyline: Mets -125, Royals +108
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115)
The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Local Mets fans can use the BetMGM promo code “CUSE150″ to unlock bonus bets for Saturday’s matchup with the Royals, while fans nationwide can unlock Prime Day betting deals with the Bet365 bonus code “SYRACUSE”.
Expert prediction: Mets vs. Royals
Using advanced data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Mets vs. Royals game.
According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, the Mets are more likely to defeat the Royals at Kauffman Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Mets a 53% chance of winning the game.
Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Royals (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Mets vs. Royals best bet
Our top pick for the Mets vs. Royals game on Saturday is to bet on the Royals +1.5 (-150).
This betting advice is formulated through cutting-edge simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter investments.
MLB Saturday: Mets vs. Royals
Get ready for Saturday’s matchup between the Mets and Royals inMLB at Kauffman Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.
We emphasize that all of the MLB best bets and MLB predictions on this page are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Mets vs. Royals matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.
If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.
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Kansas
Deadly 4-car crash kills 2 people, injures others in Kansas City
KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) – A crash near a busy highway killed two people and injured two others.
Emergency crews responded to the crash at U.S. 71 Highway and Meyer Boulevard around 12:40 p.m. on Monday, March 2.
When crews arrived they determined four cars were involved in the crash.
Police are investigating how the crash happened.
Copyright 2026 KCTV. All rights reserved.
Kansas
Homegrown Jayhawk stars ready to shine at Big 12 Tournament in Kansas City
LAWRENCE, Kan. (KCTV) – As Kansas women’s basketball prepares to enter the postseason at the Big 12 Tournament in Kansas City, they’ll be led by two Overland Park natives who have been two of the most electrifying players to watch in the country this year.
Junior guard S’Mya Nichols and freshman forward Jaliya Davis have played integral roles in the recent growth of the program. Both cite the desire to help grow the Jayhawks into something special as reasons for committing there.
“Where we wanted to take Kansas women’s basketball, I wanted to be a part of that growing evolution,” Nichols told KCTV5.
“We [my family] were also really big Jayhawk fans. We came to a lot of games,” Davis said about her childhood.
The two were both 5-star recruits in high school, and their commitments marked historic recruiting victories for the KU women’s basketball program.
First came Nichols in the Class of 2023, picking KU over Tennessee and Oklahoma.
“I genuinely wanted to go to Kansas,” she said.
Then Davis became the highest-rated player to ever commit to KU as part of the Class of 2025.
“When you go back to S’Mya Nichols being a local, Kansas City, Overland Park product, a nationally respected player, Jaliya was really the next one that was very important for the Jayhawks to keep home,” said head coach Brandon Schneider.
Now as a junior, Nichols has established herself as one of the most consistent scorers and physical guards in the nation.
But it’s the Shawnee Mission West’s alum’s leadership that defines her legacy in Lawrence.
“The team leader, the quarterback,” Coach Schneider described Nichols. “I think oftentimes the player that everybody looks up to off the court.”
“I mean it means everything. Knowing that I’m important to the team, and that they see me as that as well,” said Nichols with a smile.
Both Nichols and Davis were recruited by the Jayhawks for years, going all the way back to seventh grade.
“Well, we offered her in middle school,’ Coach Schneider said with a laugh about Davis.
“Oh he put in a lot of work,” laughed Davis. “I mean, obviously, seventh grade, that’s a long time.”
It was that dedication from Coach Schneider that led her to choose the Jayhawks over Texas, South Carolina, Baylor, and Oklahoma – where he dad played ball.
“I think it really was the relationship we had and grew. He was always there, every single one of my games,” Davis said about Schneider.
After just one practice as teammates, Nichols voiced a big belief about Davis into existence – and it’s probably going to come true.
“I saw her first practice, and I sent her a text, and I’m like ‘I think you can win Freshman of the Year’, and I still stand by that,”
Davis is averaging 21.0 points per game, and has been named the Big 12 Freshman of the Week for eight weeks in a row. That sets a power conference all-time record.
“I think it’s really cool. I mean obviously it’s a team effort, they’re always looking for me,” Davis said about her historic accomplishment.
“Just a phenomenal stretch of basketball for her, and so well deserving,” said Coach Schneider.
Now these two homegrown stars are at the forefront of a late-season push to earn a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Right now, CBS Sports bracketology has them as a ‘First Four Out’ team.
But a few wins in the Big 12 Tournament could certainly help seal their invite to the big dance.
“Obviously we’re not in the position that we were hoping to be in, but I think we can make the most out of it, and get to where we want to be,” Davis said about the opportunity at hand in the Big 12 Tournament in Kansas City.
The Overland Park kids are especially fired up about starting the postseason in their own backyard.
“I have a big support system. So I bet my family will take a big chunk of that area during that tournament,” Davis laughed.
“I remember being younger, and the College Basketball Experience is right next door. So I felt like at one moment that was the big stage, when I got to play my little AAU tournaments in there. And then all of a sudden I’m literally in T-Mobile Center on the actual big stage, so it’s pretty cool,” said Nichols.
The Jayhawks are the 11-seed in the Big 12 Tournament, and will face 14-seed UCF in the first round on Wednesday at 8:00 p.m.
Copyright 2026 KCTV. All rights reserved.
Kansas
Why Matthew Driscoll continues to say Kansas State is ‘close’
Kansas State interim coach Matthew Driscoll recaps loss to TCU
Kansas State basketball coach Matthew Driscoll reacts to the Wildcats’ 77-68 loss to TCU.
MANHATTAN — David Castillo sank his free throw to finish off a three-point play to cut TCU’s lead to two late in the second half. Kansas State had a chance to play spoiler to a team that was on the NCAA Tournament bubble.
For the previous 36 minutes, the Wildcats were more engaged than they had been all season. You wouldn’t have recognized they were just under two weeks removed from their head coach getting fired. The Wildcats were in the middle of a competitive basketball game when there haven’t been many this season.
And then the final four minutes happened, and the Wildcats lost once again.
Kansas State pulled within one score six different times in the second half against the Horned Frogs, only to never take a lead, and then go 4 minutes, 4 seconds without a point after Castillo’s late bucket, leading to a 77-68 loss.
K-State interim coach Matthew Driscoll compared the loss to a broken record, when the Wildcats have been close late, only to fall apart in the end.
“We get there, and then, for whatever reason, we can’t break through,” Driscoll said. “When we got it to a one-point game, I thought that this was when we were going to turn the corner. It just seems like we keep getting close, and we can’t break through that wall.”
Kansas State (11-18, 2-14 Big 12) has been within striking distance in a handful of games this season, only to go on lengthy scoring droughts and come up short in the end.
While there are plenty of games in which the Wildcats were blown out or didn’t show half the effort they showed against the Horned Frogs, there have been enough games that if the Wildcats finished, they wouldn’t be fighting to not finish at the bottom of the Big 12 standings.
K-State’s Feb. 25 loss to Colorado is another example, having two five-plus-minute spurts in which it didn’t score a point. The Wildcats held late leads against West Virginia and Oklahoma State, and in their first game against TCU, only to choke away those leads.
“There’s a lot of frustration,” Khamari McGriff said. “It’s been a fight to continue to focus on the next right thing and let whatever has happened in the past, and just try to get to a point where we can compete for 40 minutes. We gotta look at it with the perspective that we’ve been close a lot of times, and we just gotta figure out how to take that next step.”
Kansas State is running out of opportunities to achieve that “next step.” The Wildcats have a home game on Tuesday, March 3, against a beatable West Virginia team before closing the regular season at Kansas on March 7. After that, it would be surprising if the Wildcats get more than two games at the Big 12 Tournament.
But Driscoll hasn’t seen his team quit, which is almost all he can ask for after what has been a season to forget.
“We just haven’t completed the deal,” Driscoll said.
Wyatt D. Wheeler covers Kansas State athletics for the USA TODAY Network and Topeka Capital-Journal. You can follow him on X at @WyattWheeler_, contact him at 417-371-6987 or email him at wwheeler@usatodayco.com
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