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New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals: Expert prediction, HR projections, and odds this Saturday

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New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals: Expert prediction, HR projections, and odds this Saturday


The New York Mets will lock horns with the Kansas City Royals in an interleague MLB matchup at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday, scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.

With the Mets sending Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA) to the mound against the Royals’ Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA), and both boasting sub-average ERAs, home runs are likely on Saturday.

After Saturday’s Mets-Royals simulation results were finalized, Dimers’ experts released updated predictions and betting guidance, along with a complete set of stat projections for both teams’ batters.

Following Soto’s historic snub from the 2025 All Star Game, he once again trails teammate Pete Alonso as the Mets’ most likely home run hitter. The complete data set is below.

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Updated Mets vs. Royals stat projections

Player Team 1+ Hit 2+ Hits To Get RBI To Hit HR
Pete Alonso NYM 59.8% 18.9% 38.6% 19.0%
Juan Soto NYM 61.8% 20.0% 35.7% 17.8%
Mark Vientos NYM 61.1% 19.6% 34.6% 15.9%
Francisco Lindor NYM 63.1% 21.8% 31.0% 15.0%
Salvador Perez KC 65.1% 23.0% 34.6% 14.7%
Bobby Witt KC 69.1% 26.7% 33.0% 14.1%
Vinnie Pasquantino KC 66.3% 23.1% 34.6% 14.0%
Brandon Nimmo NYM 61.8% 21.2% 30.1% 13.0%
Brett Baty NYM N/A N/A N/A 12.5%
Jac Caglianone KC 62.6% 20.3% 29.3% 12.4%
Ronny Mauricio NYM 62.8% 21.5% 30.9% 12.0%
Luis Torrens NYM N/A N/A N/A 9.7%
Freddy Fermin KC 65.7% 23.4% 28.5% 9.3%
Jeff McNeil NYM 66.9% 25.0% 30.4% 9.2%
Nick Loftin KC 62.6% 20.5% 26.6% 7.8%
Kyle Isbel KC 62.4% 21.5% N/A 7.8%
Jonathan India KC 61.9% 19.8% 22.9% 7.5%
Maikel Garcia KC 66.7% 24.2% 28.2% 5.9%

Mets vs. Royals betting preview

In addition to the stat projections above, Dimers’ experts have released newly updated Mets-Royals predictions and betting guidance.

Explore the interactive widget below to view the latest run line, over/under, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Mets-Royals game at Kauffman Stadium.

Game details

The key information you need before the Mets vs. Royals MLB game.

  • Teams: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
  • Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium

Starting pitchers

  • Mets: Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA)
  • Royals: Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA)

Odds

The latest and best odds for the MLB showdown between the Mets and Royals.

  • Run line: Mets -1.5 (+125), Royals +1.5 (-150)
  • Moneyline: Mets -125, Royals +108
  • Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115)

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Local Mets fans can use the BetMGM promo code “CUSE150″ to unlock bonus bets for Saturday’s matchup with the Royals, while fans nationwide can unlock Prime Day betting deals with the Bet365 bonus code “SYRACUSE”.

Expert prediction: Mets vs. Royals

Using advanced data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Mets vs. Royals game.

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According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, the Mets are more likely to defeat the Royals at Kauffman Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Mets a 53% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Royals (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.

Mets vs. Royals best bet

Our top pick for the Mets vs. Royals game on Saturday is to bet on the Royals +1.5 (-150).

This betting advice is formulated through cutting-edge simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter investments.

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MLB Saturday: Mets vs. Royals

Get ready for Saturday’s matchup between the Mets and Royals inMLB at Kauffman Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We emphasize that all of the MLB best bets and MLB predictions on this page are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Mets vs. Royals matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. By using this site, you consent to our User Agreement and agree that your clicks, interactions, and personal information may be collected, recorded, and/or stored by us and social media and other third-party partners in accordance with our Privacy Policy.



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Kansas

Boeing makes $1 billion investment in Wichita facility

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Boeing makes  billion investment in Wichita facility


WICHITA, Kan. (KSNW) — Boeing is making a billion-dollar investment in its Wichita location over the next three years, the company announced Monday.

Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg said the investment will be used to upgrade facilities, expand employee training and strengthen the production system.

He said this will prepare the facility for a higher production rate, especially as Boeing tries to keep up with a record-high demand. The company is currently sitting on a backlog of 6,100 commercial planes, valued at $695 billion.

“It’s going to take the skills and capabilities of all of you to help us deliver on our record backlogs and meet the growing demand in aerospace,” Ortberg said. “And I know the 13,000 Wichita teammates are ready to deliver on that promise.”

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There could be even more work coming to the facility. Reuters reported that Ortberg will be going to China with President Donald Trump and a few other leaders in the tech industry to talk about trade and investment opportunities.

Lt. Gov. David Toland said that more work at the company will help the Wichita economy and that it is up to the city to build up the workforce.

“We’ve got a company that’s put its money where its mouth is,” Toland said. “And as Kansans, as Wichitans, it’s on us now that we’re continuing to skill up our workforce, that we’re creating the talent pipeline that’s essential to allowing companies like Boeing to continue growing.”

Over the past several years, Wichita has invested in the aviation workforce. This includes expanding aviation education at WSU Tech and tapping students in WSU’s National Institute for Aviation Research to help with federal projects like the “Golden Dome” missile defense shield.

Last week, Boeing and WSU Tech announced a new partnership to build a workforce training center that will be a hub for Boeing’s Wichita workforce.

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Sen. Jerry Moran hopes Boeing’s investments will ease concerns or caution surrounding the company’s return to Wichita and build on the city’s reputation in the aviation industry.

“You’ve heard me say that people come here and we convince them that this is the Air Capital of the World,” Moran said. “I don’t think we need any more convincing. This is now known. We are the Air Capital of the World.”


For more Kansas news, click here. Keep up with the latest breaking news by downloading our mobile app and signing up for our news email alerts. Sign up for our Storm Track 3 Weather app by clicking here. To watch our shows live on our website, click here.



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Detroit Tigers beat Kansas City Royals 6-3 to stop 5-game losing streak

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Detroit Tigers beat Kansas City Royals 6-3 to stop 5-game losing streak


Gage Workman came off the bench and hit his first major league homer, a two-run shot that sent the Detroit Tigers past the Kansas City Royals 6-3 on Sunday night to snap a five-game losing streak.

Matt Vierling had a two-run double and Riley Greene reached safely four times as the Tigers prevented a three-game sweep.

Called up hours earlier from Triple-A Toledo when Kerry Carpenter was placed on the 10-day injured list with a left shoulder sprain, Workman entered as a pinch hitter in the sixth inning.

Workman drove a 1-1 slider from Nick Mears (2-2) to right field to give Detroit a 5-3 lead.

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Wenceel Pérez added an RBI single in the seventh.

Enmanuel De Jesus (2-0), the fourth of six Tigers pitchers, retired all seven batters he faced. Kenley Jansen struck out two in a perfect ninth for his 483rd career save and seventh this season.

Kansas City lost for only the third time in 10 games.

Hao-Yu Lee’s two-out RBI triple off the outstretched glove of Royals right fielder Jac Caglianone opened the scoring in the second. Zack Short walked and Vierling delivered a two-run double off the left-field wall to give the Tigers a 3-0 lead.

In the third, Kansas City greeted reliever Drew Anderson with three straight hits, scoring their first run on a hit-and-run, opposite-field single by Vinnie Pasquantino, and another on Carter Jensen’s sacrifice fly.

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In the fourth, Caglianone doubled to left-center and scored the tying run on Maikel Garcia’s third hit, a two-out single to center.

Royals starter Noah Cameron exited after allowing a leadoff hit in the fifth on his 95th pitch. He allowed three runs and five hits with three walks and four strikeouts.

The top three Kansas City batters combined for seven of the team’s eight hits.

Greene has reached base safely in a career-best 21 consecutive games. In 27 games since April 11, he is batting .384 with 13 extra-base hits.

Up next

Tigers RHP Jack Flaherty (0-3, 5.56 ERA) faces Mets RHP Freddy Peralta (2-3, 3.12) on Tuesday night in New York.

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Royals RHP Stephen Kolek (1-0, 4.50 ERA) pitches Tuesday in Chicago against White Sox RHP Erick Fedde (0-4, 3.79).



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Four teens hurt in southeast Kansas rollover – AOL

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Four teens hurt in southeast Kansas rollover – AOL


Four teens hurt in southeast Kansas rollover

WICHITA, Kan. (KSNW) — Four teenagers are hurt after being in a rollover crash on Sunday.

The Kansas Highway Patrol said a 16-year-old girl was behind the wheel of a Jeep. She went off the road, hit a culvert and rolled.

The crash happened just after midnight near the intersection of North 150th and North streets, northeast of Girard.

 Man dead after downtown Wichita shooting 

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Two 15-year-olds and a 13-year-old were passengers in the Jeep. All four teens were hurt and taken to the hospital after the crash.

The driver received suspected serious injuries, and the rest received suspected minor injuries.


For more Kansas news, click here. Keep up with the latest breaking news by downloading our mobile app and signing up for our news email alerts. Sign up for our Storm Track 3 Weather app by clicking here. To watch our shows live on our website, click here.

Copyright 2026 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

 For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to KSN-TV. 

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