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New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals: Expert prediction, HR projections, and odds this Saturday

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New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals: Expert prediction, HR projections, and odds this Saturday


The New York Mets will lock horns with the Kansas City Royals in an interleague MLB matchup at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday, scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.

With the Mets sending Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA) to the mound against the Royals’ Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA), and both boasting sub-average ERAs, home runs are likely on Saturday.

After Saturday’s Mets-Royals simulation results were finalized, Dimers’ experts released updated predictions and betting guidance, along with a complete set of stat projections for both teams’ batters.

Following Soto’s historic snub from the 2025 All Star Game, he once again trails teammate Pete Alonso as the Mets’ most likely home run hitter. The complete data set is below.

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Updated Mets vs. Royals stat projections

Player Team 1+ Hit 2+ Hits To Get RBI To Hit HR
Pete Alonso NYM 59.8% 18.9% 38.6% 19.0%
Juan Soto NYM 61.8% 20.0% 35.7% 17.8%
Mark Vientos NYM 61.1% 19.6% 34.6% 15.9%
Francisco Lindor NYM 63.1% 21.8% 31.0% 15.0%
Salvador Perez KC 65.1% 23.0% 34.6% 14.7%
Bobby Witt KC 69.1% 26.7% 33.0% 14.1%
Vinnie Pasquantino KC 66.3% 23.1% 34.6% 14.0%
Brandon Nimmo NYM 61.8% 21.2% 30.1% 13.0%
Brett Baty NYM N/A N/A N/A 12.5%
Jac Caglianone KC 62.6% 20.3% 29.3% 12.4%
Ronny Mauricio NYM 62.8% 21.5% 30.9% 12.0%
Luis Torrens NYM N/A N/A N/A 9.7%
Freddy Fermin KC 65.7% 23.4% 28.5% 9.3%
Jeff McNeil NYM 66.9% 25.0% 30.4% 9.2%
Nick Loftin KC 62.6% 20.5% 26.6% 7.8%
Kyle Isbel KC 62.4% 21.5% N/A 7.8%
Jonathan India KC 61.9% 19.8% 22.9% 7.5%
Maikel Garcia KC 66.7% 24.2% 28.2% 5.9%

Mets vs. Royals betting preview

In addition to the stat projections above, Dimers’ experts have released newly updated Mets-Royals predictions and betting guidance.

Explore the interactive widget below to view the latest run line, over/under, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Mets-Royals game at Kauffman Stadium.

Game details

The key information you need before the Mets vs. Royals MLB game.

  • Teams: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
  • Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium

Starting pitchers

  • Mets: Frankie Montas (1-1, 6.14 ERA)
  • Royals: Michael Lorenzen (5-8, 4.60 ERA)

Odds

The latest and best odds for the MLB showdown between the Mets and Royals.

  • Run line: Mets -1.5 (+125), Royals +1.5 (-150)
  • Moneyline: Mets -125, Royals +108
  • Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115)

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Local Mets fans can use the BetMGM promo code “CUSE150″ to unlock bonus bets for Saturday’s matchup with the Royals, while fans nationwide can unlock Prime Day betting deals with the Bet365 bonus code “SYRACUSE”.

Expert prediction: Mets vs. Royals

Using advanced data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Mets vs. Royals game.

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According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, the Mets are more likely to defeat the Royals at Kauffman Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Mets a 53% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Royals (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.

Mets vs. Royals best bet

Our top pick for the Mets vs. Royals game on Saturday is to bet on the Royals +1.5 (-150).

This betting advice is formulated through cutting-edge simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making smarter investments.

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MLB Saturday: Mets vs. Royals

Get ready for Saturday’s matchup between the Mets and Royals inMLB at Kauffman Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We emphasize that all of the MLB best bets and MLB predictions on this page are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Mets vs. Royals matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. By using this site, you consent to our User Agreement and agree that your clicks, interactions, and personal information may be collected, recorded, and/or stored by us and social media and other third-party partners in accordance with our Privacy Policy.



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Bat Cats defeat Kansas Cannons, 4-1

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Bat Cats defeat Kansas Cannons, 4-1


AUGUSTA — Great Bend Bat Cat Jaxon Bunkers homered, doubled and drove home three runs to spark a 4-1 victory over the Kansas Cannons in Tuesday’s baseball game.

Bat Cats pitcher Quentin Medrano struck out seven batters in five innings. Hoisington’s Lane French threw three shutout innings and Hays native Carter Graham pitched one scoreless inning.

Bat Cat George McCarroll scored on a first-inning wild pitch after reaching base on an error.

Bunkers’ 2-run seventh-inning homer scored Andrugh Yee for a 3-0 lead.

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The Kansas Cannons scored when Talan Barraza’s sacrifice fly scored Colton Petersmith after a seventh-inning triple.

Yee scored on a Jaxon Bunkers double in the ninth inning.

Great Bend 100 000 201 — 4 5 0

Kansas Cannons 000 000 100 — 1 3 1

Medrano, French (6), Graham (9) and Chivira. Reed, Roberts (4), Stephenson (7), Humphreys (9) and Becker. W—Medrano, 1-0. L—Reed, 2B—GB—Bunkers. 3B—KC—Petersmith. HR—GB—Bunkers.

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Commentary: Kansas fans stepped up to prevent a Razorback takeover | Whole Hog Sports

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Commentary: Kansas fans stepped up to prevent a Razorback takeover | Whole Hog Sports





Commentary: Kansas fans stepped up to prevent a Razorback takeover | Whole Hog Sports







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Kansas City Mayor promises new conversion therapy ban amid ongoing fallout | Jefferson City News-Tribune

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Kansas City Mayor promises new conversion therapy ban amid ongoing fallout | Jefferson City News-Tribune


KANSAS CITY, Missouri — Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas is promising a replacement ordinance for the conversion therapy ban the City Council recently repealed.

Lucas, in a virtual town hall Sunday, said that new proposed legislation could be made public as early as Monday. He said a new version of the ordinance would be “among the toughest in the country” that will stand up to legal challenges.

“What we have done over recent weeks is tried to craft, and I think you will see very soon, new legislation that looks to ban harmful therapies that lead to suicides, that lead to self-harm,” Lucas said.

Lucas’ comments come as the fallout continues after the City Council’s recent vote to repeal its ban on conversion therapy, the scientifically discredited practice of attempting to change a gay or transgender person’s sexual orientation or gender identity.

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An online petition posted Friday — led by Justice Horn, a candidate for the Jackson County Legislature — aims to ban Lucas and six council members from participating in Kansas City’s Pride Parade. As of Monday morning, more than 400 people have signed the petition.

Lucas did not mention the petition during the town hall, but he said he’s dealt with negative response from constituents before, calling it a “tough part of the job.” He also said the City Council’s communication with the public regarding the plan should have been better, but the city is focused on enacting an ordinance that works.

“I think what we need to do is make sure that we repeal and replace and come up with something that’s better,” Lucas said. “I think we have that, something that’s better, and I expect us to be able to roll that out for you sometime pretty soon.”

U.S. Supreme Court ruling and free speech

The City Council’s vote on May 21 came as the Missouri attorney general’s office is suing the city on behalf of a group of Christian counselors. The case against the city was bolstered by a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in March that found a similar ban in Colorado is unconstitutional for limiting free speech. It also likely made the city’s ordinance unenforceable.

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The council members narrowly passed the ordinance repealing the ban with a 7-5 vote, with some voting against the measure as a form of protest. Lucas voted to repeal the ordinance and was joined by council members Ryana Parks-Shaw, Darell Curls, Melissa Robinson, Nathan Willet, Kevin O’Neil and Johnathan Duncan, who faced significant backlash from his constituents.

In response to the court ruling, Colorado lawmakers enacted a new state law that allows people who experience conversion therapy to seek civil lawsuits against organizations so they can claim damages.

New version of conversion therapy ban?

Lucas told the online audience Sunday that Kansas City’s new version of a ban would likely be different. He said the city does not have the legal authority to allow for civil lawsuits because it would require state legislation.

But he noted Kansas City’s previous ban included a criminal law punishment, unlike the Colorado ban, and a new ban would again include that kind of enforcement.

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“We are taking real steps to actually have a stronger ordinance, something that will stand the test within the courts,” Lucas said.



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