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Randy Peterson’s Big 12 predictions, Iowa State football vs. Kansas game preview

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Randy Peterson’s Big 12 predictions, Iowa State football vs. Kansas game preview


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AMES – Jaylin Noel stood in a corner of Iowa State’s football interview room Tuesday, talking about everything from how the Cyclones’ passing game has progressed to what’s allowed him to return kicks so well.

Then someone asked the question of the moment:

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Are the underclassmen ready for the program’s first prime-time month of November in a while?

“Oh yeah, for sure,” the junior said. “Everybody’s a little excited, but everybody knows what needs to be done. Nobody’s overwhelmed. Guys are excited, but it’s a good excitement. Guys will be ready to roll.”

This is the third time under coach Matt Campbell that the Cyclones enter November at least tied for first. He’s a look at the previous seven seasons:

2016: Tied with Kansas for last at 0-5.

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2017: Tied with Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and TCU for first at 4-1.

2018: Tied for fourth at 3-2.

2019: Tied for third at 3-2.

More: Iowa State football’s defense key to its first-place resurgence

2020: Tied for first with Kansas State at 4-1, while Oklahoma State was 3-1.

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2021: Fourth at 3-2.

2022: Last at 0-5.

2023: Tied for first at 4-1 with Oklahoma, Texas, Oklahoma State and Kansas State.

“The nice thing about being a freshman is, you don’t know it’s November,” Campbell said Tuesday. “You’re trying to get through the next day, and still learning what it takes to be successful.”

Safety Beau Freyler was on another side of the room, circled by reporters shortly after wrapping up Tuesday morning’s practice.

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He was being quizzed about the Cyclones’ 13 interceptions in eight games, and their plan for Kansas’ versatile quarterback, Jason Bean.

“He’s got track speed,” Freyler said.

Then someone asked about playing in a sold-out stadium, and on a fall homecoming Saturday night in a game with first place on the line.

“It’s crazy,” Freyler said. “I really give it to all the fans. They make it really special.”

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Night games are crazy most places throughout major college football. At Iowa State, Saturday night’s experience is expected to include fireworks and players breaking out the black uniforms.

“My favorite,” Freyler said. “They look the best. They’re the best.”

To win, Iowa State must continue its takeaway streak. What are the chances of that happening?

The Cyclones have an interception in five consecutive Big 12 games for the first time since 2005. The eye-popping 2023 season total of 13, includes five by Jeremiah Cooper. Injury-wise, Campbell said Cooper is 50-50 for Saturday, by the way. Kansas quarterback Jason Bean has been intercepted four times this season, including twice last Saturday against Oklahoma. Extending the turnover streak will be tough, although the Jayhawks have lost five of 11 fumbles.

We need a good start in the game that will keep the crowd into it.

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I liked the Baylor game plan that included turning Rocco loose on the first possession. Six-yard scripted rush on the first play, 26-yard completion to Noel on the third play, and an 18-yard touchdown completion to Jayden Higgins on the fourth play. That’s called making an impressive early-game statement – a four-play, 55-yard, 90-second drive and gut punch to the home team. The Cyclones scored the first 17 points against Cincinnati with an open offensive plan. I’m expecting much of the same Saturday against a defense that’s allowed an average of 400 yards a game.

To what do we owe offensive line improvement?

New line coach Ryan Clanton’s mantra from the beginning has been he wants his guys to play with a nasty attitude. He wants them to be the meanest position group on the field. I’m not sure new center Jim Bonifas, a sophomore from Dubuque Senior, is getting enough credit. He’s started all eight games after playing in just two last season. James Neal has started all games at left tackle, Jarrod Hufford has started them all at either left or right guard, and Tyler Miller is an eight-game starter at right tackle. Grant Treiber, Brendan Black and Jake Remsburg are in the rotation at right guard. There’s good depth, and maybe most important, there’s been zero major injuries.

No. 21 Kansas (3-2, 6-2) at Iowa State (4-1, 5-3)

Time, TV, line: 6 p.m., ESPN, Iowa State by 2

Why Iowa State has the edge: Running backs Eli Sanders and Cartevious Norton are coming off a Baylor game in which they combined for 148 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries. The Cyclones, averaging 166.7 rushing yards the past three games, will be facing a Kansas team against whom opponents have averaged 174.6 yards each games.

Why Kansas has the edge: Kansas quarterback Jason Bean doesn’t have eye-opening passing statistics. He’s a solid threat to run. He’s great, however, at making plays. That means Freyler and Malik Verdon must be on A-games more than usual; Bean is dangerous outside the pocket.

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Prediction: Two questions loom above all others – Is Iowa State ready for what is shaping up to be a prime-time month of November, and is Kansas back to earth after last Saturday’s huge win against Oklahoma? My hunch is yes and yes. If the Cyclones can make a point early – either on offense, defense or special teams – energy from the homecoming crowd could be suffocating. And Iowa State has been known to open the playbook as quickly as the first possession. Stay in your seat, because this has the makings of a close game. IOWA STATE 27, KANSAS 24.

No. 23 Kansas State (4-1, 6-2) at No. 7 Texas (4-1, 7-1)

Time, TV, line: 11 a.m., FOX, Texas by 4

Prediction: Chris Kleiman has beaten each Big 12 team except Texas. It’d be a shame if the Longhorns fled before the Waterloo native accomplished that. If Kansas State can force new Texas quarterback Maalik Murphy from his comfort zone, then there’s a great opportunity to for a major outcome in the Longhorns’ stadium. KANSAS STATE 20, TEXAS 17.

No. 9 Oklahoma (4-1, 7-1) at No. 22 Oklahoma State (4-1, 6-2)

Time, TV, line: 2:30 p.m., ABC, Oklahoma by 6.

Prediction: The nation’s third-longest continuous rivalry will end at 114 years, considering Oklahoma is moving to the SEC. The Sooners will concentrate on trying to stop national rushing leader Ollie Gordon. The question then becomes can Cowboys quarterback Alan Bowman be good enough to win the game? OKLAHOMA 34, OKLAHOMA STATE 27

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Houston (1-4, 3-5) at Baylor (2-3, 3-5)

Time, TV, line: 2:30 p.m., ESPN+, Baylor by 5

Prediction: Which coach gets canned first, Houston’s Dana Holgorsen or Baylor’s Dave Aranda? The Bears, I believe, are the best of the two not very good teams that will show up at their McLane Stadium.  BAYLOR 24, HOUSTON 21.

UCF (0-5, 3-5) at Cincinnati (0-5, 2-6)

Time, TV, line: 2:30 p.m., FS1, UCF by 4 ½

Prediction: Who really cares outside of Orlando and Cincinnati? UCF 24, CINCINNATI 10.

BYU (2-3, 5-3) at West Virginia (3-2, 5-3)

Time, TV, line: 6 p.m., FS1, West Virginia by 9

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Prediction: BYU is chartering 4,000 miles roundtrip – only to lose a game in which both teams need one victory to be bowl-eligible.  WEST VIRGINIA 28, BYU 24.

TCU (2-3, 4-4) at Texas Tech (2-3, 3-5)

Time, TV, line: 6 p.m., FS1, Texas Tech by 3

Prediction: Can a team really go from playing in college football’s national championship, to staying home during the following bowl season? TCU needs two wins among remaining games against Texas Tech, Texas, Baylor and Oklahoma to prevent that happening  TCU 30, TEXAS TECH 27.

Iowa State columnist Randy Peterson is in his 51st year writing sports for the Des Moines Register. Reach him at rpeterson@dmreg.com, on X @RandyPete, and at DesMoinesRegister.com/CyclonesTexts



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Iowa

Becht, Hansen lead No. 11 Iowa State over West Virginia 28-16 for first 6-0 start since 1938

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Becht, Hansen lead No. 11 Iowa State over West Virginia 28-16 for first 6-0 start since 1938


Iowa State quarterback Rocco Becht believes the Cyclones have yet to hit their peak during their best start in 86 years.

Carson Hansen rushed for three scores, Becht threw a touchdown pass and No. 11 Iowa State beat West Virginia 28-16 on Saturday night.

The Cyclones (6-0, 3-0 Big 12) opened the season with six wins for the first time since 1938.

“I feel like we haven’t even played our best game yet as a whole — special teams, defense, and offense,” Becht said. The goal is “finding ways to get better each and every single week, and our mindset is just 0-0 and trying to win that next game.”

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Iowa State forged a first-place tie in the league with BYU and idle Texas Tech.

The Cyclones broke open a close game by scoring two touchdowns after intercepting West Virginia’s Garrett Greene in the second half.

Becht found Eli Green on passes of 12 and 34 yards on consecutive plays to set up the Cyclones at the West Virginia 17. A third-down holding call on West Virginia cornerback Ayden Garnes gave Iowa State first-and-goal at the 3, and Hansen scored on the next play for a 21-10 lead early in the fourth quarter.

Jontez Williams made his third interception of the season on West Virginia’s next drive, and Iowa State took over at the Mountaineers’ 34. Hansen ran for 20 yards on the ensuing drive, capped by his 2-yard scoring run for a 28-10 lead with 4:42 left.

Hansen, a sophomore who also scored on an 11-yard run in the second quarter, finished with 96 rushing yards, one shy of the career high he set last week against Baylor. He ran for a total of 67 yards during an injury-filled freshman season.

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“For him to consistently play the way he has the last couple of weeks, it’s awesome to watch,” Becht said.

West Virginia (3-3, 2-1) was held to 148 rushing yards against the league’s top defense after amassing 389 yards on the ground a week ago at Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers were hurt by several high snaps that threw off their timing and runs parallel to the line of scrimmage that lost yardage.

“In the second half, when it was winning time, we didn’t win,” said West Virginia coach Neal Brown. “We struggled to get into a rhythm.”

Becht completed 18 of 26 passes for 265 yards, including a 60-yard scoring toss to Jaylin Noel in blown coverage in the second quarter.

Becht’s father, Anthony, was honored on the field after the first quarter for his induction into the West Virginia Sports Hall of Fame. He played tight end for the Mountaineers from 1996-99 and 11 seasons in the NFL.

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“You couldn’t ask for a greater night for his family,” Iowa State coach Matt Campbell said.

Rocco Becht said he wished he could have been there with his dad, “but I had bigger things going on trying to win this game.”

Jahiem White had an 8-yard scoring run and a 10-yard TD catch for West Virginia. Greene finished 18 of 32 for 206 yards.

Iowa State: The Cyclones answered the challenge on both sides of the ball in winning their seventh straight road game. Becht played smart and efficient, and the nation’s sixth-best scoring defense was stout again.

West Virginia: The Mountaineers many too many mistakes at key times and now have lost eight consecutive games to ranked opponents.

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Iowa State might have a tough time moving up when the AP poll comes out on Sunday. The Cyclones were tied at No. 11 with Notre Dame, which beat Stanford 49-7.

Iowa State: Hosts UCF on Saturday night.

West Virginia: Hosts No. 18 Kansas State on Saturday night.

___ Get alerts on the latest AP Top 25 poll throughout the season. Sign up here. AP college football: https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll and https://apnews.com/hub/college-football

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Iowa football isn’t always pretty, but because of Kirk Ferentz, it has punched above its weight class

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Iowa football isn’t always pretty, but because of Kirk Ferentz, it has punched above its weight class


IOWA CITY, Iowa — In unseasonably warm air and beneath a blueish haze over Kinnick Stadium, Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz took a moment to himself with two minutes left and his team wrapping up a 40-16 win against Washington.

Ferentz stood apart from his team on the sideline with his headset on as his offense huddled during the media timeout. On the video board, his picture appeared. Public address announcer Mark Abbott relayed that Ferentz was about to win his 200th game as Iowa’s head coach, passing Amos Alonzo Stagg for second in Big Ten history. The crowd stood and applauded, and Ferentz acknowledged them with a wave.

GO DEEPER

Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz earns 200th career win as Big Ten coach

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Tight end Luke Lachey gave him a hug, as did running back Kaleb Johnson. Backup quarterback Marco Lainez III shook his hand. With 33 seconds left, Ferentz walked to the TigerHawk at midfield, shook hands with Washington counterpart Jedd Fisch and completed an interview with Fox Sports. More subdued than emotional, Ferentz jogged off the playing surface, up the tunnel and into Iowa’s locker room where his players welcomed him with a water bottle shower.

Sunshine and 70-degree days — literally or figuratively — rarely have followed Ferentz into October in his coaching career, so the picturesque autumn setting was abnormal for college football’s longest-tenured coach. However, how Ferentz and the Hawkeyes responded to a 35-7 loss to Ohio State last week went entirely by script.

There are two defining characteristics through the highs and lows of Ferentz’s 26 years at Iowa: One, his players trust him and believe in him. The other truth is, no football coach — thus, no program — responds better to adversity than Ferentz and his Hawkeyes.

Ferentz’s entire career has revolved around continual improvement. And Iowa has gone very far following Ferentz’s ethos.

“He’s the same person every day,” said left tackle Mason Richman, who is in his fifth season. “He brings the same exact energies. You know exactly what to expect from him, no matter what the scoreboard says.”

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Iowa rarely recruits five-star players and mostly signs three-star prospects. Only once in his career did Iowa finish in the top 15 in national recruiting, and that was in 2005. The Hawkeyes are a low-offer program because they heavily research character in recruiting. They want high achievers with good grades who were team captains in multiple sports. To Ferentz and his staff, those players invest themselves and improve others.

“I feel like we recruit the type of the right type of guys,” Iowa linebacker Jay Higgins said. “We just don’t have selfish guys in the locker room. So when you have good guys who understand what a team should look like, and then you also have a good leader, it’s easy to stand together. I just think this team, this program, anytime there’s adversity, we only get closer.”

Those types of players are built to handle challenges, and Iowa continues to have the right coach to navigate them through it. The examples in Ferentz’s era abound.

• In 2016, the Hawkeyes gave up 599 yards in a 41-14 massacre at eventual Big Ten champion Penn State. As a three-touchdown home underdog to No. 2 Michigan the following week, Iowa bounced back with a stunning 14-13 upset.

• Sitting at the midpoint of the 2008 season, Iowa was 15-16 over 2 1/2 seasons. Ferentz never wavered, and neither did his team. The Hawkeyes won their final four games to end that season, and then their first nine in 2009. They finished with their highest final ranking (No. 7) since 1960.

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• In 2014, Iowa continued a slope of mediocrity by losing all four rivalry trophy games and finishing 7-6. The next year, dubbed “New Kirk,” Ferentz switched practices from afternoon to morning and became much more open in the public. The players responded in 2015 with a spirit of togetherness, leading to a school-record 12 wins. From that year onward, Iowa ranks tied for 10th among power-conference teams in victories.

• Two years ago, Iowa’s offense was among the nation’s worst in every category. After a 7-3 season-opening win against South Dakota State in which the Hawkeyes scored on two safeties and a field goal, linebacker Jack Campbell shot down any question that dealt with division. Campbell’s attitude set the tone for that season and it carried over to 2023, in which Iowa’s offense posted the Big Ten’s worst statistical numbers in nearly 40 years. Yet there was no sniping, let alone dissension. The team eventually claimed the Big Ten West Division crown.

• In 2004, Iowa started 2-2, including a 44-7 loss at Arizona State. Despite losing four scholarship running backs to injury, the Hawkeyes held it together with defense mixed with an occasional highlight-reel play. The Hawkeyes won their final eight games, claimed a share of the Big Ten title and won the Capital One Bowl with a 56-yard touchdown pass on the game’s final play.

That 2004 team was honored Saturday before the second quarter to rousing applause. One of its stars, defensive tackle Jonathan Babineaux, was Iowa’s honorary captain on Saturday. It was a team molded by adversity, and it charted an unconventional path of success. It even took a safety midway through the fourth quarter against Penn State in a 6-4 win. Ferentz gave the eulogy at his father’s funeral in Pittsburgh the day before that game.

Most teams would have crumbled in any of those situations, but Iowa never did.

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Why? Ferentz.

“It’s definitely his leadership,” Higgins said. “He truly only cares about the guys in the locker room. When you’ve got a guy like that thinking you’re able to respond, it’s nice. He’s not gonna freak out. Doesn’t matter what the headline is. He’s not gonna come to the meeting room and read off the headlines. He keeps his voice, and we all respond off him. If he’s calm and he knows that we need to respond after a bad game or a tough situation, we’re all going to follow that.”

None of those anecdotes mean Ferentz is perfect. Far from it. Critiques are plentiful about his son, Brian, running his offense for seven years, especially when the final three were so rough. Brian remained in place until university president Barbara Wilson and athletic director Beth Goetz stepped in and dismissed him following the 2023 season. Other complaints about Ferentz’s game-day decision making are fair.

And in 2020, dozens of former players accused the program of racial insensitivity and bias, which was confirmed through an independent investigation. Instead of resisting necessary changes or stepping down, Ferentz opted for a new course. He accepted responsibility and sought counsel from former players, relieved longtime strength coach Chris Doyle and extended a leadership council to include more voices. Many arbitrary rules such as not using X or wearing hoodies in the football complex were vacated. Although some feel the changes didn’t go far enough — while others believed they went too far — there’s no doubt the program has become more welcoming to all players. Its attrition rate is among the lowest in the Big Ten, and it has won the third most games in the Big Ten since that season.

With Ferentz’s guidance, Iowa has punched well above its weight class.

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Its recruiting rankings are closer to those of Illinois and Purdue than Michigan and Penn State, yet the Hawkeyes’ results are closer to the latter. Iowa finds ways to win where its peers fall short. It’s not always pretty and perhaps it won’t ever win the ultimate prize. But that Iowa remains anywhere near the College Football Playoff rankings most years is a credit to Ferentz.

“I appreciate him how much this program means to him,” Richman said. “When you get an appreciation like that, you’re less stressed out. With him at the helm, this place has a really special place in my heart and the hearts of many across the entire state.”

(Top photo of Kirk Ferentz: Matthew Holst / Getty Images)



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What channel is Iowa State vs. West Virginia game tonight (10/12/24)? FREE LIVE STREAM, Time, TV, Channel for college football, Week 7

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What channel is Iowa State vs. West Virginia game tonight (10/12/24)? FREE LIVE STREAM, Time, TV, Channel for college football, Week 7


The No. 11 Iowa State Cyclones, led by quarterback Rocco Becht, face the West Virginia Mountaineers, led by quarterback Garrett Greene on Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024 (10/12/24) at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, W. Va.

How to watch: Fans can watch the game for free via a trial of DirecTV Stream or fuboTV. You can also watch via a subscription to Sling TV.

Here’s what you need to know:

What: NCAA Football, Week 7

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Who: Iowa State vs. West Virginia

When: Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024

Where: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium

Time: 8 p.m. ET

TV: FOX

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Live stream: fuboTV (free trial), DirecTV Stream (free trial)

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Here are the best streaming options for college football this season:

Fubo TV (free trial): fuboTV carries ESPN, FOX, ABC, NBC and CBS.

DirecTV Stream (free trial): DirecTV Stream carries ESPN, FOX, NBC and CBS.

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Sling TV ($25 off the first month)– Sling TV carries ESPN, FOX, ABC and NBC.

ESPN+($9.99 a month): ESPN+ carries college football games each weekend for only $9.99 a month. These games are exclusive to the platform.

Peacock TV ($5.99 a month): Peacock will simulstream all of NBC Sports’ college football games airing on the NBC broadcast network this season, including Big Ten Saturday Night. Peacock will also stream Notre Dame home games. Certain games will be streamed exclusively on Peacock this year as well.

Paramount+ (free trial): Paramount Plus will live stream college football games airing on CBS this year.

***

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Here’s a preview capsule via the Associated Press:

No. 11 Iowa State (5-0, 2-0 Big 12) at West Virginia (3-2, 2-0), Saturday, 8 p.m. ET (Fox)

BetMGM College Football Odds: Iowa State by 3.

Series record: West Virginia leads 6-5.

WHAT’S AT STAKE?

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Iowa State is off to its best start since 1980, and a win would make them 6-0 for the first time since 1938. The Cyclones are looking to extend their road winning streak to seven games. West Virginia is going after its third straight win after a 1-2 start. Iowa State and West Virginia are 2-0 in conference play. One of them will forge a first-place tie with idle Texas Tech.

KEY MATCHUP

Iowa State’s defense vs. West Virginia QB Garrett Greene. Of the dual-threat quarterbacks the Cyclones have faced so far, Greene could be the best. He had runs of 39, 15 and 10 yards against Oklahoma State last week and is averaging 5.4 yards per carry and 59 yards per game. Run defense hasn’t been a strength for the Cyclones, who hope to force Greene to try to beat them through the air. Iowa State has the Big 12’s top defense, allowing just 10 points and 272 yards per game.

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Iowa State: LB Kooper Ebel has led or co-led the team in tackles in three straight games. He made just three tackles in eight games as a freshman last year. He added 15 pounds to get up to 240 on his 6-foot-4 frame and has made at least six stops in all five games. Last week he had eight tackles and a quarterback hurry against Baylor.

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West Virginia: RB Jahiem White. The sophomore ran for a season-high 158 yards in the lopsided win at Oklahoma State and the Mountaineers compiled 389 on the ground. White hopes to be back on track after being limited to 94 yards combined against No. 4 Penn State, No. 22 Pittsburgh and Kansas.

FACTS & FIGURES

Anthony Becht, a tight end for the Mountaineers from 1996 to 1999, will be honored during the game for his induction into the West Virginia Sports Hall of Fame. His son, Rocco, is Iowa State’s quarterback. … The Cyclones have won 12 straight when scoring at least 30 points. They’ve scored at least 30 in the last five meetings with WVU. … ISU had nine plays of 20 or more yards against Baylor last week, tied for the most by a Power Four team against a conference opponent this season. … The Cyclones’ defense gets better as the game progresses. They’re allowing an average of 4.0 points and 112 yards in the second halves. … West Virginia will wear all-black uniforms in honor of the state’s coal mining industry.

(The Associated Press contributed to this report)

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