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NFL Week 9 upset predictions: Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers start time, odds, where to watch, stream

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NFL Week 9 upset predictions: Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers start time, odds, where to watch, stream


The Indianapolis Colts (7-1) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) in NFL Week 9 action. The Colts own the NFL’s best record and the Steelers lead the AFC North, though they have lost two straight.

NFL Week 9 odds: Are the Indianapolis Colts favored vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, Nov. 2?

  • via BetMGM
  • Favorite: Colts by 3 points
  • Over/under: 50.5 total points
  • Moneyline: Colts -165, Steelers +140
  • ESPN’s matchup predictor gives the Colts at 57.5% chance of winning

NFL Week 9 predictions, picks: Colts vs. Steelers

“This will be a tougher test than many so far this season, but the mismatch between the dominant Colts offense will eventually win out over the porous Steelers defense. Longtime Steelers coach Mike Tomlin will relish an opportunity to stop the NFL’s top offense, and future Hall-of-Fame QB Aaron Rodgers will at times cause the Colts’ secondary fits, but Indianapolis will have enough firepower to ride an early lead to a win.”

“Indianapolis has struggled to cover wide receivers and tight ends this season, and Aaron Rodgers is getting the ball out of his hands so quickly that it might be a tough day for the Colts defense. But Pittsburgh’s defense is even worse, and the Colts are taking the NFL’s No. 1 offense into Acrisure Stadium.”

“The Colts are riding high, while the Steelers have lost two straight and the defense can’t stop anybody. The Colts haven’t been stopped much at all by any defense, let alone a bad one. Look for Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor to keep the Colts offense rolling. They win a shootout with Aaron Rodgers.”

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“The simple truth for the Steelers is that their defense may not be good enough.”

“The Colts are the hottest offensive team in the league, and they must have chuckled watching the Steelers’ safety play on film. The Steelers’ defense has allowed the third-highest explosive play rate in the NFL (13%).”

“This is a terrible defensive matchup for the Steelers as they can’t slow down elite running games or cover big-time tight ends. That’s horrible news against sizzling Jonathan Taylor and star rookie Tyler Warren vs. a nasty offensive line. Oh yeah, they also give up more deep balls than expected, trouble vs. Daniel Jones. As for Aaron Rodgers, he’ll be stuck under pressure without much help from the run.”

“The Pittsburgh defense ranks 25th in efficiency. It does nothing well and can’t rush the passer. It has also allowed a ton of points this season, giving up 32 to the Jets, 31 to the Seahawks and 21 to New England. And that included the Patriots turning it over twice in the end zone.

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“Pittsburgh also gave up 33 to the Bengals and 35 to the Packers.

“The Steelers now face a Colts offense that’s the best in the NFL. Indy is first in yards per play, first in efficiency, first in points scored and so on. It’s a legit offense that is well-designed and, with execution, should get after the Pittsburgh defense.”

“The Colts’ success is built on fielding the league’s most efficient offense, with the game’s best ground attack. Daniel Jones has played well, of course, but that offense has overshadowed the fact that Indianapolis has legitimate issues on the other side of the ball.”

“Shane Steichen had a ton of success against Mike Tomlin defenses in the past two meetings in Indianapolis. He coached Gardner Minshew to 30 points against the Steelers in 2023 and then a combination of Anthony Richardson and Joe Flacco to 27 points last year. And now Steichen has an offense operating at historic efficiency levels. The Colts probably won’t keep up this pace, but it’s hard to imagine that this Pittsburgh defense will be the one to finally grind the Colts to a halt. Indianapolis is first in yards per drive, and the Steelers are allowing the most yards per drive in the NFL. Short of some weird turnovers or red zone inefficiency, the Colts are going to score. Despite Jonathan Taylor’s historic statistical season, the Colts are actually second in pass rate over expectation. They’re using the throw to set up the run, and it’s an offense I want to continue betting on.”

What time does Indianapolis Colts-Pittsburgh Steelers NFL game start Sunday, Nov. 2, 2025? When is Steelers-Colts NFL football game start time?

The Indianapolis Colts-Pittsburgh Steelers game is at 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Nov. 2, 2025, at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh.

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Where to watch Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts game on TV Sunday, Nov. 2, 2025? How to watch NFL Week 9 football game live

Watch NFL action with a free Fubo trial

  • (all times ET)
  • Thursday, Oct. 30: Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins, 8:15 p.m., Amazon Prime (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m., CBS (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m., Fox (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers, 1 p.m., Fox (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Denver Broncos at Houston Texans, 1 p.m., Fox (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots, 1 p.m., CBS (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants, 1 p.m., CBS (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m., CBS (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m., CBS (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams, 4:05 p.m., Fox (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:05 p.m., Fox (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills, 4:25 p.m., CBS (summary, box score)
  • Sun., Nov. 2: Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders, 8:20 p.m., NBC, Peacock, NBC Universo (summary, box score)
  • Mon., Nov. 3: Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys, 8:15 p.m., ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN Deportes (summary, box score)

Watch the NFL with a free Fubo trial

Who has a bye in Week 9?

Bye week: Cleveland Browns, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Indianapolis Colts 2025 schedule

  • Week 1: Indianapolis Colts 33, Miami Dolphins 8, box score, stats
  • Week 2: Colts 29, Denver Broncos 28, box score, stats
  • Week 3: Colts 41, Tennessee Titans 20, box score, stats
  • Week 4: Los Angeles Rams 27, Colts 20, box score, stats
  • Week 5: Colts 40, Las Vegas Raiders 6, box score, stats
  • Week 6: Colts 31, Arizona Cardinals 27, box score, stats
  • Week 7: Colts 38, Los Angeles Chargers 24, box score, stats
  • Week 8: Colts 38, Tennessee Titans 14 box score, stats
  • Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 2, at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m., CBS
  • Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 9, vs. Atlanta Falcons in Berlin, Germany, 9:30 a.m., NFL Network
  • Week 11: Bye
  • Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 23, at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 p.m., CBS
  • Week 13: Sunday, Nov. 30, vs. Houston Texans, 1 p.m., CBS
  • Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 7, at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m., CBS
  • Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 14, at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 p.m., CBS
  • Week 16: Monday, Dec. 22, vs. San Francisco 49ers, 8:15 p.m., ESPN’s “Monday Night Football”
  • Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 28, vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m., Fox
  • Week 18: Date TBD, at Houston Texans, time TBD, TBD

Joel A. Erickson and Nathan Brown cover the Colts all season. Get more coverage on IndyStarTV and with the Colts Insider newsletter.



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How IMPD Chief Chris Bailey will center public safety as Hogsett’s new chief of staff

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How IMPD Chief Chris Bailey will center public safety as Hogsett’s new chief of staff


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  • After more than two decades in law enforcement, IMPD Chief Chris Bailey will move into one of the city’s top civilian roles.
  • In a sit-down interview, Bailey discussed how public safety is the start of good governance, Statehouse politics and his future political aspirations.
  • Bailey also discussed what he wants to see in the next Indianapolis police chief.

Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department Chief Chris Bailey says he didn’t see his new job coming.

He expected to remain police chief through the rest of Mayor Joe Hogsett’s third term, digging into IMPD’s core issues as part of a new five-year strategic plan that he oversaw. But after two years leading the police department, Bailey will become Hogsett’s chief of staff Feb. 2, moving from one of the city’s top law enforcement jobs to one of its most influential civilian roles.

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The job, also known as chief deputy mayor, has been the source of controversy and repeated turnover. Bailey will be Hogsett’s fourth chief of staff in a decade as mayor.

Former Department of Public Works Director Dan Parker stepped down from the role Dec. 31, halfway through Hogsett’s third term, after more than three years as the mayor’s right-hand man.

The mayor’s first chief of staff, Thomas Cook, quietly resigned in late 2020 after Hogsett discovered Cook’s prohibited sexual relationship with a subordinate. In a 2024 IndyStar article, Lauren Roberts, Caroline Ellert and a third anonymous woman accused Cook of sexual misconduct; Ellert also accused him of sexually assaulting her in 2019. A Marion County grand jury is now investigating city development deals involving Cook, as well as allegations of “unlawful touching.”

In a sit-down interview with IndyStar Jan. 9, Bailey said none of that fraught history gave him pause as he considered the new job. “I’m focused on service and governing,” he said.

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To that end, Bailey’s more than two decades of law enforcement experience — starting as an IMPD patrol officer in 1999 and rising through the ranks to become chief in February 2024 — taught him something that he plans to keep top of mind: Good governance starts with public safety.

Bailey also discussed how he will navigate tensions over violent crime between the Democrat-led capital city and the Republican-dominated state legislature, what the city needs in its next police chief and whether he plans to run for political office someday.

Read the full Q&A with Bailey below:

IndyStar’s full Q&A with incoming Chief of Staff Chris Bailey

This conversation has been edited for length, brevity and clarity.

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Question: In late December, you told an IndyStar colleague the following: “The average tenure for a police chief is about three years. My goal while I’m here is to do the right thing, and to leave this organization better than I got it.” So you’ve been chief for two years. Was the offer to become chief of staff a surprise? Why leave IMPD now? 

Answer: Yeah, it’s a surprise. It wasn’t on my bingo card to be the chief of staff for a major metropolitan city mayor.

But as I contemplated the offer, I think everything in my career, in my life, has set me up for this opportunity, and it’s always been an interest of mine to govern. I did that as a police chief. I wasn’t really a police officer, as a police chief — I was an administrator. I managed a $350 million budget, 1,800 employees responsible for the safety of millions of people that either live or visit and come and go in our city every single day.

My intention when I said ‘yes’ to the mayor to take the police chief’s job was to finish this term as the police chief, and then walk away. But as fate has it, the opportunity came. And after careful reflection and discussions with my family, I thought it would be a great opportunity to help continue my service to the city.

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And it will be a different way of serving. How will the ways you try to influence the city’s direction as chief of staff differ from how you did so as police chief? 

I think that leadership generally is about people and relationships. And I think I’ve done a good job, from my time as deputy chief of investigations through assistant chief and chief, of building relationships across the political spectrum, across our city, across our state and across our country. [Through] my work with the Major Cities Chiefs Association, I have friendships with chiefs all over the country, and that allows me to have great perspectives and understand things that are happening in whatever city, things that may come here eventually. 

A lot of people [make this transition], and I didn’t realize that until one of my close advisers sent me a bunch of articles about all these police chiefs that transfer to city manager, to public safety director, and some even to mayor — which, by the way, I have no interest in. So I’ll just answer that question for you now. 

But [there are] skills that you learn in those positions, managing people, navigating obstacles, working through interdepartmental issues. An issue for [the Department of Public Works] is an issue for the police. An issue for [the Department of Business and Neighborhood Services] is an issue for the police. [Working] through those issues has prepared me for this role, and for Mayor Hogsett to see that is truly an honor for me.

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On that note, after more than two decades in policing, what perspective will you bring to the mayor’s office about how public policy decided up here on the 25th floor of the City-County Building affects what’s happening on the ground in neighborhoods? 

Everything that we do as a government revolves around public safety to start. If you don’t feel safe in your neighborhood, if you don’t feel like a city is safe, then you don’t come here. You don’t visit here. You don’t live here. You don’t raise your family here. You don’t invest your money here.

I think having that perspective helps lead everything else among the priorities that the mayor has: better roads, investments in parks, ending chronic homelessness, removing the barriers for housing, making the price of housing more affordable so people can have a home and then create some generational wealth that comes along with being a homeowner. All those things play a part, with public safety being at the top of that. 

As chief of staff, how will you handle the often contentious relationship between the mayor’s office and the state legislature, whose members frequently are talking about intervention in local law enforcement after episodes of violent crime?

I really am going to lean into the example that was set by [former Chief of Staff] Dan Parker. Dan Parker has a great relationship with people at the state on both sides of the aisle, and I think that our shared interests are to make sure that Indianapolis is great.

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Same thing with me: I’ve spent a lot of time being apolitical and being focused on doing what’s right and what’s best for the people of this city and working with both sides of the [Indianapolis City-County] Council, with both sides of the General Assembly, to pass bills like the Indiana Crime Guns Task Force bill or to work with the council on a bipartisan effort to help us combat issues related to street takeovers and street racing. 

I think when the focus is on governing, which is mine — I am not an elected person —
and so my obligation is to every single person who lives, works and visits Indianapolis. Politics play a part in everyday life. I play politics at home with my kids. You can’t escape it. But I’m here to govern and work with people to make Indianapolis better tomorrow than it is today. 

Obviously, there’s been some turnover in the chief of staff role. Currently, development contracts involving Hogsett’s first chief of staff, Thomas Cook, are being looked at by a Marion County grand jury. There’s been a lot of strife over the last year and a half regarding Cook’s impact in this role. Did any of that give you pause when you considered taking the role as chief of staff? 

No, because my focus is on the city. Everything I have in my life is because of this city. I’m focused on service and governing.

There’s challenges in every single administration and every single agency within any giant enterprise. There’s been steps taken to mitigate issues related to those things, but what I’m focused on now is continuing to push Mayor Hogsett’s agenda forward for the next two years and making sure that the people of Indianapolis have what they need to live in the greatest city in the country, in my opinion.

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Moving to your current department: Now IMPD will be without a chief. What do you want to see from the next police chief, and are there any specific people you’ll vouch for to the mayor? 

Between myself and [former IMPD Chief Randal Taylor], and my time as assistant chief and now as chief, we’ve spent a really large amount of time creating a deep bench and a leadership legacy within the Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department. And I’m proud of our team. Any successes that we’ve had in my tenure as a chief … you can give [my team] credit for them, and our officers, our professional staff, and our partnerships in the community and other city enterprises. 

So I think we all want someone who is visible, who is supportive, who will listen, who is accessible in the community, who is service-oriented, who understands what our mission is, who understands what the goals are that we’ve worked together on in the last two years. … And there’s someone within our existing team that I think fits that bill. Multiple people.

So the mayor’s choice is going to be very hard. I’ll provide input in all that, and whoever he decides on will be a much better chief than I could ever have imagined. 

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Do you think it’s important that someone from the current rank and file is promoted from within?

I think at this time, where we are right now, the best candidate to be police chief comes from right here within our department.

During your time as chief, IMPD dealt with some controversies related to outbursts of downtown violence, a number of officers being charged with sex crimes. Are there regrets from your time as police chief that you want the next chief to focus on improving?

Yeah, those are challenges. Any time you’re dealing with human beings, you’re going to have people that unfortunately step out from under their oath. And those things have to be dealt with. I think what you saw from us is that those things were dealt with, they were dealt with quickly and in the right way. It’s super unfortunate that it happened. 

I think I could have done a better job at fixing our recruitment and retention issues. This is a national issue, no doubt. The issues of 2020 and George Floyd and the racial reckoning, and all the things that occurred over the last five years in policing, definitely have impacted people who want to be police not just in Indianapolis, but across the country. There were tremendous investments made by Mayor Hogsett in starting pay in this last labor agreement to push our pay up significantly. And this is a great job if you have a mind for service.

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So I want the next chief to really — and it was going to be part of our strategic plan — to dive deeper into hiring practices. The whole process, from start to finish, which includes recruiting and all those things. We had just gotten started in doing some of those things and I have no doubt the next chief will continue those efforts to improve that area. 

You said you won’t run for mayor. That’s not in the works. Does this new job mean that you’re thinking of a future in elected office? 

I didn’t expect this job, and so I don’t know what the future holds. I may have my fill of governing in the next two years and just want to escape to some deserted island and stare at a palm tree. I don’t know.

I don’t want to box myself into anything, but at this point, I have no desire to run for political office.

Email Indianapolis City Hall Reporter Jordan Smith at JTSmith@usatodayco.com. Follow him on X @jordantsmith09 and Bluesky @jordanaccidentally.bsky.social.

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Indianapolis Colts highest and lowest PFF grades on offense in 2025

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Indianapolis Colts highest and lowest PFF grades on offense in 2025



These Colts’ players on offense received the highest and lowest PFF grades over the 2025 NFL season.

With the Indianapolis Colts’ season now behind us, let’s take a look at which players on offense received the highest and lowest grades from Pro Football Focus.

Below is a look at PFF’s grading system for some context. While this metric is very helpful when it comes to quantifying a player’s performance, PFF’s grading system isn’t the be-all and end-all either. It is one metric out of many that are out there.

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  • 90.0+: Elite
  • 80-89.9: High quality
  • 70-79.9: Good
  • 60-69.9: Above average
  • 50-59.9: Average
  • 40-49.9: Below average
  • 39.9 or less: Poor

Now, here are the Colts’ five highest graded players on offense from the 2025 NFL season.

Colts’ five highest graded players for 2025 season

  • LG Quenton Nelson: 84.5
  • C Tanor Bortolini: 82.6
  • LT Bernhard Raimann: 82.0
  • WR Alec Pierce: 79.3
  • RB Jonathan Taylor

In both pass-blocking efficiency and run-blocking grade, Nelson was one of the highest-rated guards in all of football by PFF’s metrics. Bortolini wasn’t credited with allowing any sacks, but what really boosted his overall grade was his performance as a run-blocker.

Raimann was steady across the board, grading out very well as both a run blocker and pass blocker.

Pierce led the Colts in receiving, totaling over 1,000 yards, and he also led the NFL in yards per catch. Taylor was the NFL’s second-leading rusher this season.

Colts’ three lowest graded players in 2025

  • OL Dalton Tucker: 39.3
  • QB Phillip Rivers: 51.0
  • WR Anthony Gould: 52.0

Tucker’s pass-blocking grade is what brought down his overall grade. He allowed eight pressures and two sacks in just 86 pass-blocking snaps.

Remember at the beginning of this I said take these grades with a grain of salt? Rivers’ grade is an example of that. Overall, he provided the Colts’ with stability at quarterback and kept them in games. However, the late interceptions and lack of explosive plays brought his grade down.

Gould has a very small sample size to pull from, but of his two receptions, he generated just six yards of offense.



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Best available 2026 NFL free agents on defense for Indianapolis Colts

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Best available 2026 NFL free agents on defense for Indianapolis Colts



According to a few different rankings, here are the best available NFL free agent defenders for the Indianapolis Colts.

As the Indianapolis Colts attempt to get back to the playoffs for the first time since 2020, free agency will have to be a big part of that equation.

The Colts will have money to spend this offseason. According to Over the Cap, the Colts have $45.77 million in available cap space. Compared to the rest of the NFL, this is the ninth-most in football currently.

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As GM Chris Ballard said on Thursday, salary cap-wise, the Colts are in “good shape.”

The Colts also have the ability to create more cap room if needed.

Last offseason, we saw Ballard take a much more aggressive approach in free agency. From the sounds of it, he will “continue down that path” this offseason.

There are always reasons to address just about every position group over the course of an offseason, but two specific areas Ballard mentioned on Thursday were the defensive front and getting faster on defense as a whole.

So, with a focus on the defense, specifically the front seven, here are the top available free agents this offseason at those positions.

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Best available 2026 NFL free agents on defense for Indianapolis Colts

  • DE Trey Hendrickson
  • DE Jaelan Phillips
  • IDL John Franklin-Myers
  • LB Quay Walker
  • LB Devin Lloyd
  • DE Odafe Oweh
  • DE Boye Mafe
  • LB Nakobe Dean
  • DE Joey Bosa
  • IDL Travis Jones
  • DE Khalil Mack
  • LB Demario Davis
  • DE Kyle Van Noy
  • IDL Teair Tart
  • IDL DaQuan Jones

*This list was compiled by rankings from Sports Illustrated, The Ringer, and Bleacher Report



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