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Did Neuralink make the wrong bet?

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Did Neuralink make the wrong bet?

Elon Musk promised Neuralink would bring superhuman abilities and minds merged with AI. Then he fueled a runaway hype train for his brain implant technology, which ended up with a grisly record for implants in monkeys and some success with human subjects. But for all of the hype, he’s still further away than Mars from his goal. And that’s because his relentless ambition is once again hitting the wall of scientific reality.

The heart of the issue is how brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) translate thought into results. Neuralink’s products have all been brain-to-cursor interfaces, which allow patients to control a mouse with their minds. But Neuralink’s competitors have raced ahead with newer BCIs that translate thought directly to speech. Turns out that’s a more promising approach — enough to convince Neuralink to quietly invest in BCIs that focus on speech.

Musk has a strong record of overpromising and underdelivering, and his biggest quagmire may end up being his pursuit of a grand, unified vision of a human-AI-hybrid technology. When it comes to the human mind, he’s underestimated and oversimplified the steps it will take to make meaningful brain-computer interfaces a reality for patients who really need them.

BCIs are similar, but there’s a big difference

All BCIs connect a brain to a computer with wires or Bluetooth. They stalk the tiny bursts of electricity your neurons use to talk to each other and then try to make sense of them so that they can predict what you might want to do in the future. The key difference between BCIs is the type of behavior they’re trying to emulate.

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Patients think about speaking the word “good” and the word appears on the screen. It is not mind reading — it is detecting what they’re trying to say.

A motor BCI, like the one Neuralink has been building, helps users guide a cursor across a computer screen. Unlike those, speech BCIs translate brain waves into sounds and small sections of words called phonemes. In the span of five years, speech BCIs have reached impressive milestones that rival the achievements of the two-decade-old motor BCI technology. A 2019 study reported that a speech BCI could predict what a person planned to say when given only a few options. By 2024, a 45-year-old ALS patient could speak naturally with 97 percent accuracy using his speech BCI.

In November 2025, Neuralink patient Brad Smith showed The Verge his motor BCI. He thought about moving his arm, which he could no longer move due to ALS, and instead the computer cursor moved across the screen. For speech BCIs, it’s words or chunks of words. Patients think about speaking the word “good,” for example, and the word appears on the screen. It is not mind reading — it is detecting what they’re trying to say.

Here is the catch: Both versions are technically motor BCIs. The underlying neuroscience is the same. If you move your finger, your brain is sending signals down into the muscles in your pinky. If you talk, your brain sends similar signals down into your tongue and other muscles that help you form sounds. The BCI detects what muscle the user is thinking about moving, whether tongue or finger, and predicts what they’re trying to do or say.

Neuralink is now course-correcting to be in line with the rest of the BCI community: In May, Neuralink began recruiting patients for a clinical trial to study speech restoration at the Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi hospital in the United Arab Emirates; in October, it launched a speech restoration trial in the United States at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center. The patients will use the same hardware as the current Neuralink patients but for the goal of turning their thoughts into speech rather than cursor movements. The company has already claimed success in a video posted to X on March 24th of a speech BCI trial participant who can still speak but whose speech is hard to understand because of ALS.

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Speech BCIs seem to be the future of the field, but it remains to be seen whether the technology will speed past motor BCIs to market or simply offer another technology option to patients with different needs.

Neuralink has been making moves to step into its commercial era. The company hired a former director of the FDA office that oversees medical devices like BCIs to head its medical affairs, and Musk announced that Neuralink will begin “high-volume production” of the devices in a post on X on December 31st, though any Musk production predictions need to be taken with a grain of salt. As Musk’s medical company falls in line with the broader BCI field, does it also drift further from his vision of human enhancement and back to regular medical assistance for those who need it most? It is unclear.

Space is hard; the brain is harder

Sergey Stavisky was one half of the leadership team for the 2024 speech BCI research study out of the University of California, Davis that set a high bar for speech BCI accuracy. Stavisky was a former motor BCI researcher but pivoted to speech BCI in 2019 to make rapid progress in a field that looked to him ripe for success. “It seemed like it was a bit of an untapped opportunity,” he said. This has borne out, he said, noting how speech BCIs quickly expanded the size of their vocabulary from only 50 words to “being able to say any word in the dictionary,” he said.

“There’s this false assumption that they can get so good at brain-machine interfaces that they can decode from the brain faster than we can encode with our natural body typing or swinging a baseball bat or things like that.”

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But he doesn’t think that Neuralink made the wrong bet to focus on motor BCIs when the company formed in 2016. At that time, academic research into motor BCIs had matured enough for industry to step in, he said. “I think at that time, cursor control was sufficiently de-risked by academic trials that it was clear that with better hardware, a very useful medical device could be built,” he said. (Stavisky has been a paid consultant for Neuralink in the past, but he did not provide details because he signed a non-disclosure agreement. It is not uncommon for academic BCI researchers to consult with for-profit BCI companies. Stavisky is tangentially working with Neuralink’s competitor Paradromics on its upcoming clinical trial through his coinvestigator at Davis.)

Matt Angle, CEO of Paradromics, disagrees. Neuralink did make a mistake by focusing on motor BCIs, he told The Verge. Paradromics started one year earlier, in 2015, with speech as its first priority. Like Stavisky, many top Paradromics scientists come from the motor BCI research field.

Speech is a better first application of BCI technology than motor restoration, from Angle’s perspective, because it’s “the biggest quality-of-life deltas that you can imagine,” he said, “being able to talk to your loved ones again — and it’s something that BCI can do today.”

I asked Angle why a motor BCI might not be as valuable to a patient unable to talk as a speech BCI given that both result in words spoken aloud by a computer program. I witnessed Neuralink patient Brad Smith use his motor BCI to communicate in a real-time conversation with me and his wife in November. Smith typed out answers to my questions letter by letter, word by word, with his mind-controlled computer cursor. Smith told me that Neuralink changed his life for the better.

Speed limits motor BCIs, according to Angle. (Smith typed out his 16-word response to my question in one minute and 17 seconds.)

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“If I lost the ability to communicate and my primary means of communication was the BCI, I would like to have speech back,” he said. Still, he is quick to note that all BCIs, speech and motor, should exist: “I don’t think it’s for us to armchair what someone with a disability would or wouldn’t want,” Angle said.

Looking further, AI chatbots seem like an obvious complement to speech BCIs. The two technologies are tangentially related: BCIs are already built on algorithms similar to the large language models powering AI chatbots, and many people with speech impairments use predictive word software — again, somewhat related to LLMs — to pick out which words or phrases they most likely want to say next. (Smith used text-to-speech app Proloquo4Text in conjunction with his Neuralink BCI.) Speech BCIs could make it easier and faster, with fewer clicks, to input prompts into AI chatbots, and access the benefits of agents and agentic browsers (when they work) to navigate the virtual world.

Patients want all types of BCIs

Former BCI user Ian Burkhart was unable to speak or move during the two weeks following a diving accident in 2010 that resulted in a spinal cord injury. Communication emerged as “a huge, huge priority” during that time, more so than being able to move, he said. Burkhart now appears to speak with relative ease and has recovered partial movement of his hands. But he said he would still like a speech BCI today, just for the ability to rapidly input text into a computer.

This seems noteworthy given that Burkhart is one of the several dozen people in the world to actually use a motor BCI. He was part of a roughly seven-year-long clinical trial at The Ohio State University, where he controlled a computer cursor and played Guitar Hero with this brain. He also became the first person to reanimate some muscles in his body using electrical stimulators controlled by his thoughts.

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Speech BCIs cannot enable him “to be fully functional in [his] virtual environment.”

If forced to choose between speech or motor BCIs, ALS patient Spero Koulouras told The Verge in a written comment: “for me it’s motor by a mile.” A former software engineer and entrepreneur, Koulouras says that he is “effectively quadriplegic and mute” over six years after his diagnosis with ALS in 2019. He communicates entirely through his computer and spends much of his day writing code and doing 3D design, all of which contribute to his preference for a mind-controlled computer cursor rather than a brain-to-speech BCI.

Both technologies come with downsides, Koulouras noted. Speech BCIs cannot enable him “to be fully functional in [his] virtual environment,” he said. “But family gatherings are torturous,” he said, even though he uses prerecorded phrases to make a point within a conversation. “The inability to joke, snark, and harass friends and relatives in real time is emotionally devastating… Motor control today can’t provide the communication speed to be an active participant.”

Koulouras was not selected to join Neuralink’s motor BCI trial after the company evaluated him in February 2025. He is not sure why but guesses that his existing technology works well — too well, perhaps. He uses a motion tracker device called Cato that attaches to his glasses and translates subtle head movements into cursor movements on a screen. Koulouras is the cofounder of the company behind the device, Auli.Tech. “I believe my proficiency with my current tech may have factored into Neuralink’s decision. As a clinical trial I may not have had as much potential for improvement, negatively impacting reported results,” he said. In June 2025, Neuralink contacted him again for its speech BCI trial, but his low respiratory scores would have required him to get a tracheostomy, which he declined.

Koulouras’ experience highlights just how inaccessible BCI technology is for most patients. Potential BCI users need to meet a long list of criteria to be considered for a trial, after meeting the most obvious criterion of simply living near a trial location. Advocacy groups the ALS Association and the ALS Network, which connected Spero to The Verge, include information or host events about BCIs on their websites, but the bulk of their efforts are focused on advocating for insurance reimbursement for necessities like wheelchairs, navigating healthcare denials, and increased research funding.

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“From a cursor guided by thought to speech restored directly from the mind, every advance in brain–computer interfaces represents real progress for real people,” ALS Network president and CEO Sheri Strahl wrote to The Verge. “Each breakthrough – whether restoring movement, communication, or autonomy – expands dignity and quality of life. It all matters, and it’s encouraging to see so many innovative scientists taking different approaches toward the same deeply human goal.”

“What’s the market?”

There is the question of what patients want, and there is another question of how many patients might benefit from it. In other words, “What’s the market?” associate professor Kip Ludwig asked when speaking to The Verge. Ludwig leads an institute focused on neuroengineering at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he studies how electrical zaps to the body’s nerves can treat heart failure and other complex disorders. For all BCIs, “it’s incredibly small for an incredibly expensive technology,” he said. Most motor BCI patients have either ALS or a paralysis from a spinal cord injury. There are roughly 30,000 ALS patients and 300,000 patients with traumatic spinal cord injury in the US, according to recent estimates. In order to enter a BCI clinical trial, participants must also live within a several-hour drive of the trial site, have a caregiver who can assist them, and not have other serious medical conditions like epilepsy or anything requiring regular MRIs.

Motor BCI companies, therefore, have to find other patient populations that might benefit from their technology. Stroke patients with a less severe motor dysfunction than full quadriplegia are an obvious target population. But, if the spinal cord is doing its job and sending signals from the brain and out to the nerves, then these same patients don’t really need a brain surgery, Ludwig argued. Motor BCIs are “an invasive version of something I can do less invasively in the periphery,” he said.

Speech BCIs, in contrast, might be a good fit for stroke patients, according to Paradromics CEO Angle. The company is first focusing on a small group of patients with ALS or an injury that affects muscles or nerves. As the trials of speech BCIs located in the motor cortex progress, Angle said the company plans to launch more clinical trials in other parts of the brain, like the superior temporal gyrus, which has been shown to encode spoken speech and internal speech, like an inner monologue. Tapping into the STG can open up the patient pool to those with strokes in the motor region of their brain, and who can no longer speak. After these small feasibility studies show that speech BCIs are safe, like all clinical trials, later studies will include more and more patients so that enough data can convince the FDA that the tech is so useful that it should come to market.

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The reality of augmentation

Perhaps the largest divide within the BCI industry is not speech versus motor, but augmentation versus medical assistance. At the company’s 2019 launch event, Musk set Neuralink’s ultimate goal as a “full brain-machine interface,” which he defined as “a sort of symbiosis with artificial intelligence.” Motor BCIs were the necessary stepping stones to his eventual goal of augmenting any human who wants a BCI to achieve superhuman AI incorporation. Neuralink first needed to “solve” several “issues” related to “brain disorders” like Alzheimer’s or dementia, as well as paralysis resulting from broken or injured spines.

But the theory behind augmentation has a major flaw: Evolution capped how much information can flow from the brain to the body, associate professor at University of Wisconsin-Madison Kip Ludwig told The Verge. “In reality, we’re limited by our own physiology,” he said. Even if BCIs got super fast at decoding the brain’s signals, we would not be able to make the most of it, he said. “Evolution did a great job.”

Perhaps the largest divide within the BCI industry is not speech versus motor, but augmentation versus medical assistance.

“There’s this false assumption that they can get so good at brain-machine interfaces that they can decode from the brain faster than we can encode with our natural body typing or swinging a baseball bat or things like that,” Ludwig said. He is quite familiar with the “natural rate” of information transfer — he measures the brain-to-organ latency rate as part of his own research exploring the ways that electrical zaps to the body’s nerves can treat complex disorders like heart failure. Motor BCIs could, in theory, shave 200 milliseconds or so off someone’s reaction time, he said. That is roughly how long it takes for a command from the brain to travel down nerves into muscles and cause a movement. But that isn’t that useful to people trying to regain independence in doing tasks at home, he said.

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For now, speech BCIs don’t seem to fit into the futuristic vision of human augmentation, Ludwig noted. It could get more sci-fi if the technology moves from motor regions of the brain that control the mouth to areas that tap into abstract ideas of language — and could decode someone’s inner monologue.

The “bummer” of commercial BCI efforts

Technical success does not necessarily translate into commercial success, as seen by the boom-and-bust cycles of many medical device companies attempting experimental technologies. A pair of companies providing retinal prostheses to partially blind patients offer two unrelated examples. Both Second Sight Medical and Pixium Vision went bankrupt and left patients stranded with unserviceable technology; both also had their IP bought, and their patients rescued, by newer medtech ventures, one of whom was Science Corporation, founded by Neuralink cofounder Max Hodak.

Blackrock Neurotech may boast over 19 years of testing in humans, but the company has pushed back the year that it expects to commercialize its at-home motor BCI system called MoveAgain. In 2021, the company predicted that it could bring MoveAgain to market within the year. In 2022, I spoke to the company’s cofounder and then-president, now chief science officer, Florian Solzbacher for STAT News. Only one document required by the FDA stood between the company and its commercialization goal of 2023. “We are quite confident that this will work,” Solzbacher said at the time.

“There’s no medical justification that says people need to be able to use a computer or use a robotic arm … But there is medical justification for people being able to accurately convey their health needs.”

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But the deadline came and went. In 2024, when the investment arm of crypto company Tether took a majority stake in Blackrock Neurotech, the announcement lacked mention of a timeline for commercialization. Blackrock Neurotech did not respond to The Verge’s multiple requests for comment on the commercialization delay.

“It’s a bummer,” Burkhart said of the delay. While he occasionally consults with Blackrock Neurotech, he can only surmise the reason for the delay. Medical insurance reimbursement tops his list. Home devices are always a pain to get reimbursed by insurance companies, which disabled people know all too well. Motor BCIs are a particularly unique device with no precedent, he said. “There’s no medical justification that says people need to be able to use a computer or use a robotic arm or use a muscle stimulation device, anything like that,” he said.

Speech, in contrast, does have precedent. “But there is medical justification for people being able to accurately convey their health needs,” he adds. The vast number of speech generators or alternative communication devices already FDA-approved and reimbursable by insurance might make the reimbursement pathway for speech BCIs a “little bit cleaner” compared to motor BCIs, he said.

As of June 2025, Neuralink has implanted between five and 12 humans — reports vary and Neuralink did not respond to our requests for an exact count — since the first patient was implanted in January 2024. While impressive, Neuralink trails Blackrock Neurotech’s 52 total patients by several dozen.

It remains to be seen whether speech BCIs can leap-frog traditional cursor-based motor BCIs to the commercial market. Motor BCIs have the advantage of patient use at home, which the FDA will use to evaluate the safety of the technology. Speech BCIs, meanwhile, have only been used in controlled lab settings.

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And yet, Angle is unconcerned about which type of BCIs will come to market first. He is convinced that whenever patients have the option to speak again with a speech BCI, they’ll choose to get the device. It’s the adoption of the technology that matters more to him.

“It’s about making sure that we’re launching not a gee-whiz gadget but an actual medical device that meets an important unmet medical need and is delivering value to the people who get it.”

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Microsoft’s Edge Copilot update uses AI to pull information from across your tabs

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Microsoft’s Edge Copilot update uses AI to pull information from across your tabs

Microsoft Edge is adding a new feature that will allow its Copilot AI chatbot to gather information from all of your open tabs. When you start a conversation with Copilot, you can ask the chatbot questions about what’s in your tabs, compare the products you’re looking at, summarize your open articles, and more.

In its announcement, Microsoft says you can “select which experiences you want or leave off the ones you don’t.” The company is retiring Copilot Mode as well, which could similarly draw information from your tabs but offered some agentic features, like the ability to book a reservation on your behalf. Microsoft has since folded these agentic capabilities into its “Browse with Copilot” tool.

Several other AI features are coming to Edge, including an AI-powered “Study and Learn” mode that can turn the article you’re looking at into a study session or interactive quiz. There’s a new tool that turns your tabs into AI-powered podcasts as well, similar to what you’d find on NotebookLM, and an AI writing assistant that will pop up when you start entering text on a webpage.

You can also give Copilot permission to access your browsing history to provide more “relevant, high-quality answers,” according to Microsoft. Copilot in Edge on desktop and mobile will come with “long-term memory” as well, which can tailor its responses based on your previous conversations. And, when you open up a new tab, you’ll see a redesigned page that combines chat, search, and web navigation, along with the Journeys feature, which uses AI to organize your browsing history into categories that you can revisit.

Meanwhile, an update to Edge’s mobile app will allow you to share your screen with Copilot and talk through the questions about what you’re seeing. Microsoft says you’ll see “clear visual cues” when Copilot is active, “so you know when it’s taking an action, helping, listening, or viewing.”

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Apple’s $250M Siri settlement: Are you owed cash?

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Apple’s 0M Siri settlement: Are you owed cash?

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If you bought a newer iPhone because Apple made Siri sound like it was about to become your personal artificial intelligence sidekick, you may want to pay attention.

Apple has agreed to pay $250 million to settle a class-action lawsuit over claims that it misled customers about new Apple Intelligence and Siri features. The case centers on the iPhone 16 launch and certain iPhone 15 models that were marketed as ready for Apple’s next wave of AI. The settlement still needs court approval, and Apple denies wrongdoing.

The lawsuit argues that Apple promoted a smarter, more personal Siri before those features were actually available. For some buyers, that was a big deal. A new iPhone can cost hundreds of dollars, and many people upgrade only when they think they are getting something meaningfully new.

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WHY IPHONE USERS ARE THE NEW PRIME SCAM TARGETS

U.S. buyers of certain iPhone 16 and iPhone 15 Pro models may qualify for payments if a judge approves Apple’s proposed settlement. (Getty Images)

What Apple is accused of promising

Apple introduced Apple Intelligence in June 2024 and promoted it as a major step forward for iPhone, iPad and Mac. A key part of that pitch was a more personalized Siri that could understand context, work across apps and help with everyday tasks in a more useful way.

The lawsuit claims Apple’s marketing made consumers believe those advanced Siri features would arrive with the iPhone 16 or soon after. Instead, buyers received phones that had some Apple Intelligence tools, but not the full Siri overhaul that many expected.

That gap is the heart of the case. Plaintiffs say customers bought or upgraded devices based on AI features that were not ready. Apple says it has rolled out many Apple Intelligence features and settled the case, so it can stay focused on its products. 

How much money could iPhone owners get?

The proposed settlement creates a $250 million fund. Eligible customers who file approved claims are expected to receive at least $25 per eligible device. That amount could rise to as much as $95 per device, depending on how many people file claims and other settlement factors.

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That means this will not be a huge payday for most people. Still, if you bought one of the covered phones, it may be worth watching for a claim notice. A few minutes of paperwork could put some money back in your pocket.

Which iPhones may qualify?

The proposed settlement covers U.S. buyers who purchased any iPhone 16 model, iPhone 15 Pro or iPhone 15 Pro Max between June 10, 2024, and March 29, 2025.

Covered iPhone 16 models include the iPhone 16, iPhone 16 Plus, iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16 Pro Max and iPhone 16e. The settlement also includes the iPhone 15 Pro and iPhone 15 Pro Max, but not every iPhone 15 model.

The key details are the device model, the purchase date and whether the phone was bought in the United States.

HOW YOU CAN GET A SLICE OF APPLE’S $250M IPHONE SETTLEMENT

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Apple has agreed to pay $250 million to settle claims it misled customers about Apple Intelligence and Siri features on newer iPhones. (Michael Nagle/Bloomberg)

How will you file a claim?

You do not need to do anything immediately. The settlement still needs a judge’s approval. Once the claims process opens, eligible customers are expected to receive a notice by email or mail with instructions on how to file through a settlement website.

That notice matters because scammers love moments like this. A real settlement notice should not ask for your Apple ID password, bank login or payment to claim your money. If you receive a message about this settlement, do not click blindly. Go slowly, check the sender and look for the official settlement administrator details once they are available.

Why this case matters beyond one Siri feature

This case hits a bigger nerve. Tech companies are racing to sell AI as the next must-have feature. That creates a problem for shoppers. You are often asked to buy now based on what a company says will arrive later.

That can be frustrating when the feature is the reason you upgraded. A smarter Siri sounds useful. A phone that can understand your personal context, search across apps and help with daily tasks could save time. But if those tools are delayed, limited or missing, the value of the upgrade changes.

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This settlement also sends a message about AI marketing. Companies can talk about future features, but consumers need clear timing and plain explanations. “Coming soon” can mean very different things when you are spending $800, $1,000 or more.

We reached out to Apple for comment, but did not hear back before our deadline.

FIRST 15 THINGS TO DO OR TRY FIRST WHEN YOU GET A NEW IPHONE

Apple denies wrongdoing but agreed to settle claims tied to its marketing of Apple Intelligence and Siri features. (Qilai Shen/Bloomberg)

What this means to you

If you bought a covered iPhone during the settlement period, keep an eye on your email and regular mail. You may qualify for a payment if the court approves the deal.

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You should also keep your receipt or proof of purchase if you have it. Your Apple purchase history, carrier account or retailer receipt may help if the claim process asks for details.

More broadly, this is a reminder to treat AI features like any other big tech promise. Before you upgrade, ask one simple question: Can the feature do what is being advertised today, or is the company asking me to wait?

That question can save you from buying a device for a future feature that may arrive much later than expected.

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Kurt’s key takeaways

Apple has built its brand on making technology feel polished, personal and easy to use. That is why this Siri settlement hits a nerve. People were buying phones they use every day for texts, photos, directions, reminders and everything in between. Many expected AI to make those everyday tasks easier, which is why the delay felt frustrating. The proposed payout may be modest, but the bigger issue is trust. When a company sells AI as a reason to upgrade, customers deserve to know what actually works now and what is still coming later.

Would you still buy a new phone for promised AI features, or would you wait until they actually show up? Let us know by writing to us at CyberGuy.com.

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Instagram hits the copy button again with new disappearing Instants photos

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Instagram hits the copy button again with new disappearing Instants photos

Instagram is once again cribbing from competitors like Snapchat and BeReal with a new photo-sharing format it calls “Instants,” which are ephemeral photos that you can’t edit and that you can only share with your close friends or followers that follow you back. Instants are available globally beginning on Wednesday as a feature in the inbox in the Instagram app and as a separate app that’s now in testing in select countries.

To access Instants from the Instagram app, go to your DM inbox and look in the bottom-right corner for an icon or a stack of photos. After you post a photo, your friends can emoji react to it and send a reply to your DMs, but after they see it, the photo disappears for them. Instants also disappear after 24 hours, and they can’t be captured in screenshots or screen recordings.

However, your Instants will remain in an archive for you for up to a year, and you can reshare them as a recap to your Instagram Stories if you’d like. You can also undo sending an Instant right after you post it or delete it from your archive.

The Instants mobile app, which popped up in Italy and Spain in April, gives you “immediate access to the camera” and only requires an Instagram account, Instagram says. “Instants you share on the separate app will show up for friends on Instagram and vice versa. We’re trying this separate app out to see how our community uses it, and we’ll continue to evolve it as we learn more.”

Instagram, in its testing, has seen that people “tend to use Instants to share much more casual, much more authentic moments about their day,” according to Instagram boss Adam Mosseri. “And we know that this type of sharing of personal moments with friends is a core part of what makes Instagram Instagram, but we also know that a lot of people don’t really share a lot to their profile grids anymore.”

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