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Game Day Prediction, 3 Keys For Indiana Football Against Western Illinois

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Game Day Prediction, 3 Keys For Indiana Football Against Western Illinois


BLOOMINGTON, Ind. – During his radio show Wednesday, Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti once again broached the topic of Indiana fan habits at games.

He was diplomatic, but he made his point. His standard is a sellout crowd that sticks around for the whole game. He acknowledged that it will take time, but he did not waver in setting the highest bar for the fanbase to reach.

“I did notice how empty the stadium was in the second half. And I know our players did too, and that does have an effect. And that’s why, you know, the crowd is a 12th man. We need you there. We need you cheering –  create momentum, energy in the stadium,” Cignetti said on Wednesday.

Indiana fans seemed to take Cignetti’s postgame words to heart after he mentioned the issue in the wake of the Hoosiers’ 31-7 victory over Florida International Saturday. Anecdotal, but I heard fans in the grocery store talking about it the day after the game. Football talk is not something I’ve heard since I relocated to Bloomington.

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I think some people agreed with Cignetti. Others said it was too soon to hear it, and still others want the Hoosiers to do more on the field before they generate the level of devotion Cignetti seeks. I think those are all fair opinions. After all, Cignetti isn’t the first coach to come to Indiana promising to change the culture and start winning.

The off-field culture shift will take time, and a 7 p.m. ET Friday game against Western Illinois won’t be any kind of acid test of where it’s going.

I hope expectations are calibrated appropriately for what kind of crowd does show up. It’s a Friday night game against an opponent that doesn’t sell tickets. I do think the students will show up, because they can create a Friday night party vibe, but the adult crowd? We’ll see.

It’s high school football night. All three Monroe County high schools play at home, and of course, there’s action all over the state. Friday Night Lights is part of the fabric of the schools, especially in smaller towns, and it’s a real shame that the Big Ten and its broadcast partners trod on the tradition of high school football that so many hold dear.

In other words? I don’t expect a sudden run on the ticket office Friday. So I hope Cignetti and the players are patient.

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“Look, I want to be the best in everything we do. That should be the goal. And so, you know, baby steps,” Cignetti said Wednesday.

Good advice to live by. Here’s three keys that will be important to get a victory over Western Illinois. There is also a score prediction at the bottom of the story.

1. Let Kurtis Rourke show what he can do … but not for too long

Kurtis Rourk

Indiana’s Kurtis Rourke (9) passes during the first half of the Indiana versus Florida International football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024. / Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK

Indiana quarterback Kurtis Rourke had a perfectly acceptable first game. Rourke completed 15 of 24 passes for 180 yards and one touchdown. Rourke executed a conservative gameplan as the passing game went. It would be nice to open things up for him.

I’d like to see him take some shots downfield. I’d like to see how he dissects his downfield options with really good protection. I’d like to see if he can keep a drive alive with his legs if it calls for it.

And I’d like to see it all before The Marching Hundred takes to the field at halftime. It would be optimal for Rourke to get Indiana into the end zone on all of the Hoosiers’ first half series so he can take it easy and watch his fellow quarterbacks take care of the second half.

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2. A lot of players need to play

CJ West

Indiana’s CJ West clelebrates a sack during the first half of the Indiana versus Florida International football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024. / Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK

Indiana used 55 players in its 31-7 win over Florida International last Saturday. That’s not bad against a lesser foe, but when games get to be blowouts against FCS competition. You want as many players to get a chance to play as possible.

It’s not just because of injury avoidance for the core players or for sportsmanship purposes, though those matter, too. With college football allowing players to play as many as four games before they burn a redshirt, a rout against a FCS team offers a real opportunity to look at the width and breadth of your roster in a real game atmosphere.

Last year, when Indiana defeated Indiana State 41-7, Tom Allen managed to get 73 Hoosiers into the game. I’d love to see a number near that Friday.

3. Score a special teams or defensive touchdown

When I used to write these kinds of stories from the FCS perspective, one of the things the underdog wanted to avoid was a special teams touchdown.

It’s not as easy as it sounds. There are areas of the field where a FCS team can more or less hang physically with a FBS team, but one place you see the major difference is in the athleticism and speed a FBS team has over a FCS team on special teams. FBS rosters are bigger, they recruit at a higher level, and that’s often born out in special teams mismatches.

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Punt returner Myles Price and kick returners Solomon Vanhorse and Ke’Shawn Williams should be licking their chops. FCS teams just can’t put special teams gunners on the field to handle the speed and blocking difference.

The same rule applies to defensive touchdowns. They’re always demoralizing for an opponent when you can force one, but when the margin of being competitive for a FCS team is so slim? A defensive TD is a dagger that often can’t be overcome.

Score prediction

If this game took place in the 1990s or 2000s? Back when Western Illinois was one of the better programs in FCS? I’d predict a relatively close game. Good FCS teams are often better than mediocre-to-bad FBS teams like Florida International. It’s a division that deserves more respect than it gets at its top level.

However, bad FCS football teams are a standard well-below the worst of FBS. I know from experience, having covered Indiana State at its nadir in the 2000s. Struggling FCS programs are just trying to survive. Very often, they’re also trying to find their way out of being financially mismatched against their peers, much less playing against a team from a Power Four conference.

Sadly, that is the state the once-proud Western Illinois program finds itself in. The Leathernecks have moved down to the Ohio Valley Conference after struggling mightily in its final years in the elite Missouri Valley Football Conference. That should help WIU in the long run.

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However, none of that has relevance to Friday. Indiana is also in the process of trying to build something under Cignetti. Indiana plays a Big Ten game the following weekend at UCLA and it doesn’t have the time or inclination to water things down for the Leathernecks. There’s a job to be done.

It will be done, too – and with little mercy. Indiana wins 55-0. It will be far more interesting to see how many fans ride it out to the finish than what we likely will see on the field.



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Kurtis Rourke passes for 4 touchdowns as Indiana spoils UCLA’s Big Ten debut, 42-13

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Kurtis Rourke passes for 4 touchdowns as Indiana spoils UCLA’s Big Ten debut, 42-13


Kurtis Rourke passed for 307 yards and four touchdowns as Indiana spoiled UCLA’s Big Ten debut, 42-13 on Saturday.

Rourke completed 25 of 33 passes for Indiana (3-0, 1-0 Big Ten) as Curt Cignetti became the first Hoosiers coach to begin his tenure with three straight wins since Bill Lynch in 2007.

It is the 10th 300-yard game of Rourke’s career, with the previous nine coming at Ohio University, where he was the Mid-American Conference’s Offensive Player of the Year in 2022. It was also his fourth game with at least four touchdown passes.

The 29-point victory is the Hoosiers’ largest in the Big Ten since they beat Northwestern 34-3 in 2019.

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Cignetti showers QB with praise after Hoosiers win

Indiana head coach Curt Cignetti talks about what went right for the Hoosiers in their win against UCLA to open Big Ten play and what the team can improve on.

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UCLA (1-1, 0-1) struggled for the second straight game under first-year coach DeShaun Foster. After rallying for a 16-13 win at Hawaii on Aug. 31, the Bruins again found themselves in a double-digit hole in the first half, but this time couldn’t recover.

Senior quarterback Ethan Garbers was 14 of 23 for 137 yards and a pair of turnovers (one fumble, one interception).

Two of Rourke’s TD passes went to Ke’Shawn Williams. The senior transfer from Wake Forest, who had three receptions for 31 yards, gave the Hoosiers a 14-0 lead midway through the first quarter when he caught a short flare from Rourke on a crossing route and went 14 yards.

Williams then caught a 2-yard pass on third-and-goal with 4:55 remaining in the third quarter to extend Indiana’s lead to 28-10.

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Indiana scored on its opening possession for the second straight game when Miles Cross caught a 2-yard touchdown pass in the back of the end zone to complete a 75-yard, 12-play drive.

UCLA quickly turned it over when Ethan Garbers fumbled and Indiana defensive lineman Mikail Kamara recovered at the Bruins 17.

Rourke: Hoosiers brought together by common goal

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Indiana quarterback Kurtis Rourke speaks with Kathryn Tappen after the Hoosiers win against UCLA and talks about how a team with a high number of transfers is bonding.

Cross had six receptions for 90 yards, including a one-handed grab for 33 yards while being covered by UCLA’s Devin Kirkwood during the second quarter. On the next play, Justice Ellison had his third straight game with a touchdown when his 1-yard carry up the middle extended IU’s lead to 21-0.

After UCLA’s Mateen Bhaghani kicked his second field goal early in the fourth quarter, Rourke threw his fourth touchdown on the ensuing possession — a 23-yard strike to Omar Cooper Jr.

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Elijah Greene then capped the scoring with a 14-yard run.

The Bruins only touchdown came in the second quarter when T.J. Harden’s 1-yard run with 42 seconds remaining got them within 21-7 at halftime.

The Takeaway

Indiana: The Hoosiers had a better result at the Rose Bowl compared to their first trip here in 1968, when they lost to Southern California 14-3 in the Granddaddy of Them All.

UCLA: Things will not get any easier for the Bruins, with LSU, Oregon and Penn State awaiting the next three weeks.

Up next

Indiana: Host Charlotte next Saturday.

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UCLA: At 16th-ranked LSU next Saturday.





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LIVE BLOG: Follow Indiana’s Big Ten Football Game At UCLA

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LIVE BLOG: Follow Indiana’s Big Ten Football Game At UCLA


PASADENA, Calif. – Welcome to sunny California! Indiana and UCLA will kickoff in about 55 minutes from the iconic Rose Bowl stadium.

Let me say that seeing is believing when it comes to the lore of the Rose Bowl. It really is beautiful. The many Indiana fans here are getting a treat. Weather is a little bit warm, into the 80s, but apart from that? It’s the Chamber Of Commerce vista that you’re used to watching games at the Rose Bowl on TV.

Indiana 21-0, 421 2Q. If you give these Hoosiers a second chance – as UCLA did with the offsides penalty on fourth down – they will make you pay. The Cross one-hander was the cherry on the sundae for the Hoosiers, who are rolling in Pasadena.

Touchdown Indiana. Justice Ellison rolls in on his second effort from the 1-yard line. Touchdown is confirmed on review.

Indiana 14-0, 431 2Q. Miles Cross does it again. A 33-yard one-handed catch that puts the Hoosiers at the UCLA 1. Perfect touch on the lob over the middle by Rourke, but Cross did the hard work to haul it in. Impressive.

Indiana 14-0, 559 2Q. UCLA jumps offsides as Indiana lined up to go for it on 4th-and-3 from the UCLA 46. Killer penalty for the Bruins who have been their own worst enemy in the first half.

Indiana 14-0, 650 2Q. StatBroadcast live statistics have frozen up at the Rose Bowl if you’re following remotely.

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Indiana 14-0, 950 2Q. Bruins go three-and-out. UCLA quarterback Ethan Garbers doesn’t look confident out there at all. Threw a pass way too hard on a first down play where he had Bruins open. On 3rd-and-1, he rolled right, waited too long to decide to run or throw, and was forced out of bounds for a sack by James Carpenter. Hoosiers have done a great job to make sure he’s not getting into a rhythm. Indiana takes over at its won 11 after a good punt by UCLA’s Chase Barry.

Indiana 14-0, 11:14 2Q. First bit of adversity for the Hoosiers. Indiana steadily drove into UCLA territory via catches by Omar Cooper Jr. and Elijah Sarratt, but the drive stalled just out of field goal. The Hoosiers went for it on 4th-and-6 from the UCLA 33, but Kurtis Rourke’s intended pass for Sarratt was batted away. Bruins ball.

Indiana 14-0, end 1Q. UCLA drove into field goal range, aided by a questionable personal foul called on Jailin Walker on a hit against UCLA quarterback Ethan Garbers. However, a sack by Amare Ferrell knocked the Bruins backwards and Mateen Bhaghani missed a 41-yard field goal wide right.

Indiana defensive starters: DE Lanell Carr Jr., DE Mikail Kamara, DT James Carpenter, DT CJ West, LB Jailin Walker, LB Aiden Fisher, CB Jamier Johnson, CB D’Angelo Ponds, S Josh Sanguinetti, S Shawn Asbury II, S Amare Ferrell.

The first UCLA play occurred so fast, the usual observers didn’t catch who started at defensive tackle and I only caught Carpenter. West is official for now, but if Marcus Burris Jr. started, it will get corrected.

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Indiana 14-0, 728 1Q. A dream start for the Hoosiers. UCLA gifted Indiana an opportunity and the Hoosiers didn’t waste it. Did Williams get to the end zone before his knee was down? It was deemed to be so and Indiana has an early two-touchdown advantage.

Touchdown Indiana. Ke’Shawn Williams takes a dump-off pass by Rourke on a UCLA blitz and ran it about 10 yards on what is officially a 14-yard touchdown catch.

Indiana 7-0, 717 1Q. Fumble UCLA! As Ethan Garbers dropped back, he hit his arm on his running back and the ball came loose. Mikail Kamara recovered it for Indiana at the UCLA 17. One play, one turnover forced by the Hoosiers.

Indiana 7-0, 831 1Q. With Derek McCormick out, Alejandro Quintero is handling kickoffs. His kickoff landed at the goal line and was returned to the 17.

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Indiana 7-0, 831 1Q. Impressive first series for Indiana. Hoosiers converted three third down conversions in the 75-yard drive, including a 24-yard catch by Elijah Sarratt on 3rd-and-16. Donaven McCulley made an impact when he entered the game, drawing a pass interference penalty on a goal line fade route. Two plays later, Rourke was patient to pick his options and found Cross open in the middle of the end zone.

Touchdown Indiana. Miles Cross catches a 2-yard TD pass over the middle.

Indiana offensive starters: QB Kurtis Rourke, RB Ty Son Lawton, WR Elijah Sarratt, WR Myles Price, WR Miles Cross, TE Zach Horton, LT Carter Smith, LG Drew Evans, C Mike Katic, RG Bray Lynch, RT Trey Wedig.

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Pregame – Indiana injuries today submitted to the Big Ten for the availability report, all players listed as out: K Derek McCormick, TE James Bomba and DB Te’Derius Collins are all out. Losing McCormick hurts as he has been excellent getting kickoffs into the end zone. UCLA did not list its starting tackles on its injury report, so the Bruins might be able to run the ball more effectively today.

• Something to watch for today. Tyler Stephens is listed as a tight end and is wearing No. 84. With James Bomba out, the Hoosiers might need him.

• UCLA has won the toss and deferred to the second half. Indiana hasn’t won a toss this season. Hoosiers get the ball first.

• I was speaking to the Indiana student reporters before the game. They were obviously impressed by the Rose Bowl as we all are. To put it in perspective for them, I told them, besides myself, another Indiana media figure was also making his first trip to the venue. Spoke pre-game with Don Fischer, who has never called a game here. He was as impressed with the joint as all of us were.

• The one downside of the Rose Bowl is that it’s so vast, it swallows up the crowd. With 18 minutes to go to kickoff, fans are spread around all over the place with plenty of space to fill. The top sections in the end zones are tarped off. This would be a substantial crowd anywhere else, but because this stadium is so wide, it doesn’t look like it. It makes you appreciate the Rose Bowl game crowd as it’s almost always sold out.

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A lot of Indiana fans are in the southeast corner of the Rose Bowl. There is a lot of crimson mixed in with the blue-and-gold everywhere.

• For many of you, this is a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. However, you quickly adapt to the time change as this is kicking off at 4:30 p.m. PT. I am a night person and won’t be fazed, but I will pay the price when I return to the Eastern Time Zone.

• My press pass gave me pre-game field access and I wasn’t going to pass that up. Here are some pictures.

While I was down there, Indiana coach Curt Cignetti popped out of the Indiana tunnel. He checked out the field for a minute and then retreated back to the locker room. It kind of reminded me of Clark Griswold checking out the Grand Canyon in “National Lampoon’s Vacation”. Cignetti, of course, has coached here before when he was on the Alabama staff when the Crimson Tide played in the BCS championship game here.

• If you’ve not been to the Rose Bowl, I had not been here in previous visits to the Los Angeles area, it’s an interesting place. I had not realized it sits in what could be best described as a large city park. Or land similar to it. It is not imposing from the outside. Memorial Stadium would tower over it if it was placed next to it, but it is incredibly wide on the inside.

The neighborhood it’s in is largely residential. When I came to check out the lay of land, there was a farmer’s market taking place, and the Rose Bowl area was inundated with joggers, walkers and families walking around with their kids. It was a very chill vibe.

• You can see evidence of the wildfires that are burning in the mountains north of the Los Angeles basin in the guise of a vague haze over the mountains, but it’s not overwhelming. I flew into Ontario Airport in the Inland Empire, between two of the fire zones. If you know there’s a fire, you could tell, but if you didn’t know there were fires, you probably wouldn’t have known. Obviously, our thoughts are with all of those affected by the blazes.

• Fashion report: Indiana is in all-white with their red IU helmets. UCLA is in their traditional baby blue jerseys with the shoulder hoop. They have gold helmets and gold pants. One of the best home uniforms in all of college football in my humble opinion.

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• Other Big Ten games this weekend: Wisconsin took it on the chin in Madison against No. 4 Alabama as the Crimson Tide rolled 42-10. I can tell you from family ties (Wisconsin native here) that Badger fans are not happy with Wisconsin’s general mediocrity at present.

No. 17 Michigan bounced back from its home loss to Texas, but not convincingly as the Wolverines bested Arkansas State 28-18 at the Big House. The other early Big Ten games were expected outcomes. Minnesota shut out Nevada 27-0 in Minneapolis. Illinois dropped Central Michigan 30-9 in Champaign, Ill. Michigan State defeated Prairie View A&M 40-0 in East Lansing, Mich.

The 3:30 time slot games brought both relief and concern for Big Ten teams. Concern in West Lafayette as Purdue was trounced 66-7 by Notre Dame. Meanwhile, No. 9 Oregon bounced back after two unconvincing wins as they went to Corvallis, Ore. and defeated Oregon State 49-14 in the Civil War game.

The other former Pac-12 rivalry game, the state of Washington’s Apple Cup, was won by Washington State 24-19. Iowa defeated Troy 38-21 in Iowa City, Iowa in another late afternoon kickoff.

There are three other Big Ten games tonight. Nebraska hosts Northern Iowa, Northwestern hosts Eastern Illinois and Maryland plays at Virginia.

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What time, TV channel is UCLA vs Indiana Hoosiers football game on today? Free live stream, spread, odds

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What time, TV channel is UCLA vs Indiana Hoosiers football game on today? Free live stream, spread, odds


Under new head coach DeShaun Foster, the UCLA Bruins face the Indiana Hoosiers as their program rebuild continues with this Week 3 college football showdown. This game kicks off at 4:30 p.m. PT/7:30 p.m. ET (6:30 p.m. CT) on Saturday, September 14 with a live broadcast on NBC, and streaming live on demand.

WATCH: UCLA vs. Indiana football live for free with Fubo (free trial), or stream this game and more Big Ten football on the cheap with Peacock (costs $7.99/month, cancel anytime).

What TV channel is the UCLA vs. Indiana game on?

When: Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. PT/7:30 p.m. ET (6:30 p.m. CT) on Saturday, September 14.

Where: Rose Bowl | Pasadena, California

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TV Channel: NBC, and streaming on Peacock

How to watch streaming live: If you don’t have cable, you can still watch this game live for FREE with Fubo (free trial) or with DirecTV Stream (free trial). If you are out of free trials, the cheapest and best way to watch this game and more football this month is by signing up for Sling (promotional offers, cheapest streaming plans), which is $25 off for the first month if you add the “Sports Extra” package that includes Big Ten Network, SEC Network and a few other sports channels. If you are a die-hard Big Ten football fan, the best way to watch this game on the cheap is by signing up for Peacock Premium (costs $7.99/month, cancel anytime) which will have several streaming-only games on the service this season. Here’s the complete Big Ten football on Peacock schedule.

If you already have a cable or satellite subscription already, you can watch the game on NBC Live by signing in with your provider information.

You can find out more about which channel NBC is on in your area by using the channel finders here: Comcast Xfinity, DIRECTV, Dish, Verizon Fios, Spectrum/Charter, Optimum/Altice.

UCLA vs. Indiana spread, betting odds

Point spread: IU: -3.5 | UCLA: +3.5

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Over/Under: 47



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