WHO: Northern Illinois Huskies (6-5)
WHEN: 6:00 PM CT (Friday, December 29, 2023)
WHERE: Carver-Hawkeye Arena (Iowa City, IA)
TV: BTN+
RADIO: Hawkeye Radio Network (Gary Dolphin, Bob Hansen)
MOBILE: bigtenplus.com
ONLINE: bigtenplus.com
FOLLOW: @IowaAwesome | @IowaHoops | @IowaonBTN
LINE: Iowa -18.5
KENPOM SPREAD: Iowa -15 (Iowa 92, Northern Illinois 77; 93% chance of Iowa winning)
Illinois
Go Iowa Awesome – Preview: Iowa MBB vs Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois represents the last of the “gimme” games on Iowa’s 2023-24 schedule; after this, the schedule turns fully to Big Ten play (in which Iowa is currently 0-2) and the competition ramps up significantly. Per KenPom, the Hawkeyes has a 93% chance of beating the Huskies on Friday night; they have a win probability higher than 60% for only five remaining games in Big Ten play (home games against Rutgers, Nebraska, Maryland, Minnesota, and Penn State).
The Huskies are 6-5 on the season, but two of their six wins have been against non-Division I opposition (Illinois Tech and Calumet) and three of their remaining four wins were against teams ranked 222nd or lower in the KenPom rankings. Against the three best teams they’ve played thus far (Marquette, Northwestern, and Indiana State), the Huskies have lost by an average of 22.3 points per game.
Still, Iowa should know better than to overlook any directional Illinois team after getting upset by an even-worse Eastern Illinois team last season. Several members of this year’s Iowa team played in that game, so those memories ought to still be pretty fresh for them. Hit shots, don’t turn the ball over, and take care of the glass and the Hawkeyes should be able to close out 2023 with one more victory.
PROJECTED NORTHERN ILLINOIS STARTING FIVE
G David Coit (5’11”, 175, 17.5 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.1 spg, 42.2 FG%, 33.3 3FG%)
G Philmon Gebrewhit (6’7″, 190, 9.5 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.9 apg, 36.1 FG%, 26.3 3FG%)
F Zarique Nutter (6’7″, 200, 15.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.4 apg, 55.5 FG%, 46.2 3FG%)
F Xavier Amos (6’8″, 215, 11.6 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.0 apg, 55.9 FG%, 44.1 3FG%)
C Yanic Konan Niederhauser (6’11”, 255, 8.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 64.3 FG%, 28.6 3FG%)
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Like several of the teams that Iowa has played in non-conference action this season, the Huskies are poor on the defensive end — they rank 298th nationally in defensive efficiency and four of the five teams that have defeated them averaged at least 1.19 points per possession in those wins. The only thing NIU is particularly good at on defense is not fouling — they’re 90th nationally in letting opponents get to the free throw line.
But teams are shooting well against NIU — opponents have an effective FG% of 51.3% against NIU this year. The Huskies have allowed opponents to make 35.2% of 3-point attempts this season (270th) and 50.6% of 2-point tries (198th). The Huskies are also lousy on the offensive glass on both sides of the floor. They’re only rebounding 26.6% of their own misses (ranking 271st nationally) while allowing opponents to grab 32.7% of their misses (285th).
NIU also does not force turnovers — they rank 361st nationally in turnover creation rate, including 341st in steal rate (6.5% of opponent possessions) and 347th in non-steal turnover rate (6.0% of opponent possessions). From an Iowa standpoint, that should pair well with a Hawkeye team that doesn’t turn the ball over very much (just 13.3% of possessions, 8th best nationally).
The Huskies do have a lot of height (65th nationally in average height), thanks to the presence of four starters 6’7″ or taller, most of whom play heavy minutes every game. (NIU ranks 310th in bench minutes this season, so the Huskies have been very reliant on their starting five.) That height advantage has allowed them to avoid getting shots blocked (they’re tops in the nation at that) and convert 2-point shots at a fairly good clip (52.6%, 100th).
Junior guard David Coit is the main scoring force for NIU, averaging 17.5 ppg to lead the team. He’s converting 50% (26/52) of his 2-point tries, and while he leads the lead with 27 made 3-pointers, he’s primarily a volume shooter from deep (27/79, 34.2%). He’s also a 91% free throw shooter, so Iowa would be wise to avoid putting him on the line.
Wing Zarique Nutter has also provided decent scoring pop for NIU, with 15.7 ppg (as well as 5.1 rpg). He’s shooting 46% from 3-point range, but that’s not his preferred shot — he’s attempted just 13 triples so far this season. Nutter is shooting 52% from 2-point range and this season (47/90) and has attempted a team-high 49 free throws this season (though he’s only shooting at a 61% clip from the line).
6’8″ forward Xavier Amos is the final Huskie scoring in double figures this season, at 11.6 ppg. He also leads the team with 6.1 rpg. Amos is also a willing — and able — 3-point shooter, taking 29 attempts beyond the arc (3rd-most on the team) and making 13 of them (45%).
The final two NIU starters are guard Philmon Gebrewhit and big man Yanic Konan Neiderhauser. Gebrewhit, a DePaul transfer, is averaging 9.5 ppg this year but has struggled to find his shot (41% from 2-point range, 28% from 3-point range). Neiderhauser, a 6’11” big man from Switzerland, averages 8.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, and 2.0 blocks per game and is, predictably, most effective near the basket (71% on 2-point attempts this season).
The Huskies play at a pretty fast tempo (71.4 possessions per game, 74th nationally), so this could certainly be a high-scoring shootout. NIU has some capable scorers, so if they’re on, they could NIU in the game with Iowa and make things uncomfortably close. But this is also a game where Iowa should be able to control the glass (Owen Freeman could feast in this game) and where Iowa’s 3-point shooting can get on track. If that happens, this game will probably end up like NIU’s other games this season against quality opponents, with the Huskies on the wrong side of a 20-point loss.
Illinois
Detective Fatally Shot, Road Rage Slaying: Illinois News
ILLINOIS — On the weekend, we present a week in review of the top stories and headlines from all across Illinois. Here’s a roundup of some of the most-read stories across the state. You can also find your local Patch and catch up on those stories by clicking here.
Murder Charge Filed In I-80 Road Rage Shooting Death
State police responded to a 911 call of a shooting on I-80 and found a 30-year-old man who had been shot to death after a road rage-related crash, officials said.
Detective Killed In Shooting
Police said the officer, 40, was fatally shot after responding to a report of an armed person leaving a bank. The person accused in the shooting was also shot and is hospitalized, police said.
Illinois
Brad Underwood finally mastered Illinois’ winning formula
Happy Friday, Illinois Land!
Instead of doing the usual column with post-Thanksgiving word puns involving side dishes and jokes about turkeys, I will use my time to point out a few things that I now know about college basketball in 2025, and the place that Illinois occupies inside of that stratosphere.
I will also discuss where Illinois fits into the landscape of the Big Ten. I think you’ll like how I see that unfolding. My pending Big Ten Analysis will highlight the lack of good depth in the conference.
It is not exactly a banner year for the Big Ten in men’s college basketball. To say the least.
Despite the fact that the Big Ten has dropped in the national landscape, and despite the fact that Illinois lost to a True Elite in 2025 against Alabama in Birmingham by double digits, it’s great beyond words to have a head basketball coach leading your program playing basketball the way it needs to be played at this present date.
Brad Underwood has turned Illinois into a National Program. Do not confuse this with being a national powerhouse.
As I see it, here are the five levels of Illinois basketball. National Championship Contender can replace Blue Blood for Illinois. There was no way for me to get in a shot at Indiana and its fans unless I constituted it this way.
For reference: Indiana is now No. 61 in KenPom (76 in OER, and 51 in DER). I was told that they are the conference favorite. I was also told Illinois cannot play defense. More on this in a bit.
- Conference Bottomfeeder (Year 1-2): 26-39 in his first two seasons, 11-27 in the Big Ten. I would call this 1990s Era coaching. Up the line, full court pressure, etc.
- Respected NCAA Tournament Team (Year 3+): This will be five-straight non-bubble NCAATs for Underwood, six if you count the COVID-19 cancellation of 2020.
- Big Ten Power (Year 3+): In turn, this makes you a Final Four contender on semi-annual basis, at a minimum. I don’t mean make a Final Four, but be a Top Four seed. No one believes that NC State had a better season than Illinois last year.
- National (and International) Program (Year 4+): Playing games on CBS on Thanksgiving by request, re-hiring arguably the country’s top assistant coach (Orlando Antigua), signing two potential lottery picks from two countries outside the United States. I could go on, but I won’t. You get it.
- Blue Blood (Never): This outdated term continues to keep Indiana fans from jumping off the nearest bridge for the last three-plus decades. Illinois will never be here. UCONN can’t get into the club with six National Championships since 1999.
Having said that, I’m going to say this.
John Calipari is in the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame. He has taken three different programs to the Final Four: Massachusetts, Memphis and Kentucky. He is an all-time great coach with a dazzling record (814-260, for a .758 winning percentage).
Calipari won an NCAA Tournament and cut down the nets in 2012, his third year in Lexington leading the Cats. He was outstanding at Kentucky (410-123), winning games at a .769 clip during his 15-year tenure.
He inexplicably missed the NCAA Tournament twice, going just 9-16 in 2021. His last three years, Kentucky lost 30 games and twice in the NCAAT to vastly inferior teams against No. 15 St. Peter’s and last year against No. 14 Oakland.
Please read the words I type. Do not create a false narrative around comparing Calipari and Underwood, in totality.
Underwood certainly has not had the career of Calipari — it’s not close — nor will he likely end up in the Hall of Fame anywhere outside of Champaign. Not impossible, but not likely.
Looking to the future, it’s clear which coach of the pair from the Thanksgiving matchup in Kansas City has the brighter future. This isn’t close, either.
While Underwood’s Illini blitzed Arkansas with a barrage of threes, high ball screens and floor spacing for play makers, Calipari and Kentu…Arkansas…had a plan “to attack the rim all game,” according to Calipari post-game.
Arkansas ATTEMPTED 17 threes. Illinois MADE 15. Illinois was +30 in in this category.
Frees (points at the free throw line) and threes (points behind the arc) is something I look at during every halftime, and after every game.
Illinois was +29 in this category. BU’s squad scored 90 points on the elite Arkansas defense, which was ranked No. 8 in KenPom DER prior to the contest.
The Illini had 60 of their 90 points (67.7%) of their points on Frees and Threes. Check on this stat every game that Underwood and Illinois play the entirety of the season. It will likely tell the story.
Factor in 2P% defense and you can get the winner of every game Illinois plays this year. The defensive strategy of Illinois is to defend the bucket and the arc. Despite giving a bucket full to Alabama in the lone loss (100-87), Illinois is currently No. 21 in DER.
Let’s take a look at pace of play, and how it affects efficiency, from a large scale perspective. What Illinois is doing is hard to copy.
For that matter, the Illinois offense is now No. 18 in OER (Offensive Efficiency Rating). Of the top 21 in DER on KenPom, Illinois has the FASTEST tempo, at No. 36.
In summary, Illinois plays in the Top 10% in pace of play and ranks even better in efficiency at both ends. It’s not only extremely difficult to do, but largely unnecessary.
When you play fast and efficient on offense, defense lessens in importance in direct correlation with how more efficient your offense can be. In short, play fast and good on offense and you outscore your opponent and win based on simple math.
Here are the avearages for defensive and offensive efficiency. The lower the number, the faster the pace.
Top 5 DERs in terms of pace average: 260.6
Top 5 OERs in terms of pace average: 66.8
Illinois pace of play: 36 (Top 21 in both DER and OER)
I know it’s a lot of numbers. I get it. Underwood has embraced the numbers game and turned Illinois from a Big Ten Bottomfeeder to a National Program.
You may not like it, but you’re gonna learn to love it.
Please take The Scientific Poll.
Poll
What is the win ceiling for Illinois men’s basketball in 2024-25?
This is threes and frees. This is creating space. This is the winning formula.
This is Illinois Basketball.
Illinois
Kasparas Jakucionis scores a season-best 23 points as Illinois tops No. 19 Arkansas
KANSAS CITY (AP) — Freshman Kasparas Jakucionis scored a season-high 23 points, Tomislav Ivisic had 21 points and 10 rebounds and Illinois beat No. 19 Arkansas 90-77 on Thursday in the Thanksgiving Hoops Showcase.
Jakucionis hit two free throws to give Illinois a double-digit lead with 3:49 remaining in the game. Arkansas had a turnover and a missed jumper on its next two possessions and Jakucionis hit an open 3-pointer to make it 85-71 at 2:42.
Kylan Boswell added 18 points for Illinois (6-1). Head coach Brad Underwood broke a tie with J. Craig Ruby (1922-36) for fifth place in program history with 149 wins.
Adou Thiero went 12 of 21 from the line and scored 26 points for Arkansas (5-2). Zvonimir Ivisic had 13 points, six rebounds and two blocks.
Takeaways
Tomislav Ivisic won the battle against his twin brother, Zvonimir. Along with his double-double, Tomislav Ivisic made 6 of 9 3-pointers and blocked three shots. The 7-foot-1 center, playing his first college season, had 13 points and seven rebounds in the first half.
Key moment
Illinois stated the game on a 21-6 run and maintained at least a nine-point lead the rest of the way. Ben Humrichous made the Illini’s fifth 3-pointer with 12:36 left in the first half while Arkansas was 3 of 9 from the field.
Key stat
Illinois made 55% of its shots in the first half, including 9 of 16 from 3-point range, while Arkansas was 0 for 7 from long distance and shot 44% overall. The Illini finished 15 of 31 from distance. Arkansas shot 5 of 17 beyond the arc.
Up next
Arkansas plays at Miami in the second SEC/ACC Challenge on Tuesday. Illinois plays at Northwestern on Dec. 6 to begin Big Ten play.
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