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Sinn Féin takes narrow lead in Ireland general election exit poll

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Sinn Féin takes narrow lead in Ireland general election exit poll

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Ireland’s general election delivered an early surprise on Friday as Sinn Féin, the pro-reunification party, emerged with a narrow lead in an exit poll.

But the country’s main opposition party, which had rattled business leaders in the campaign with promises of policy changes, tax cuts and spending pledges, looked set to struggle to form a government, compared with the combined forces of outgoing partners Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil, who were only slightly behind.

Sinn Féin won 21.1 per cent of first preference votes under Ireland’s proportional representation system, according to the exit poll conducted by Ipsos B&A; the conservative Fine Gael was on 21 per cent and centrist party Fianna Fáil had 19.5 per cent in the same survey.

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Matt Carthy, Sinn Féin’s director of elections, called it a “phenomenal result” for the nationalist party, which won the most first-preference votes at the last election in 2020, but has plummeted in the polls in the past year.

“Sinn Féin may emerge from these elections as the largest political party,” he told Irish public broadcaster RTÉ.

The result was unexpected since Prime Minister Simon Harris’s conservative Fine Gael — which has been in office since 2011 and is seeking a record fourth consecutive term — had been falling in opinion polls after a series of campaign mis-steps, and had been in third place going into the election. Fianna Fáil had been seen as being ahead of Sinn Féin in first place.

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Longtime rivals before teaming up in government in 2020, Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil had warned voters of the dangers of turfing them out given the risk of transatlantic trade shocks under a new term for Donald Trump.

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Ireland has built its economic model on attracting foreign investment, including major US tech and pharma giants, whose huge corporation taxes have delivered eye-popping surpluses that could be at risk if the US president-elect follows through on tax and tariff threats.

Both Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have vehemently ruled out any coalition with Sinn Féin, which was once the mouthpiece of IRA paramilitaries in Northern Ireland’s Troubles conflict. This would make its path to power complicated even if it emerges as the country’s most popular party.

Gary Murphy, politics professor at Dublin City University, said “on these numbers, a continuation of Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael and one other looks the most likely”.

But Aidan Regan, a professor of political economy at University College Dublin, wrote on social media platform X that “It will take four parties to form a stable government” given Ireland’s increasing political fragmentation.

Fianna Fáil’s director of elections, Jack Chambers, looked unperturbed.

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“It’s all in the margin of error,” he told RTÉ. “It’s a three-way race now.” The exit poll had a margin of error of 1.4 per cent.

Damien English of Fine Gael called his party’s result “a very solid performance . . . Hopefully tomorrow will bring us even better news.”

Fine Gael Taoiseach Simon Harris voted with his family in his Wicklow constituency
Fine Gael leader Simon Harris only became prime minister in April this year after his predecessor abruptly resigned © Reuters

Vote counting begins on Saturday.

Under Ireland’s proportional representation system, voters rank candidates according to their preference. As such, the way that lower-preference votes are transferred between parties will determine the final outcome.

According to the exit poll, which was carried out on behalf of the Irish Times, broadcasters RTÉ and TG4 and Trinity College Dublin, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael both scored 20 per cent of second-preference votes, ahead of Sinn Féin on 17 per cent.

Carthy said that if Sinn Féin’s lead was confirmed, there would be an “obligation” on other parties to “reflect on the new make-up of the Dáil [lower house of parliament]”.

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Sinn Féin had campaigned to oust the two parties that have dominated Irish politics for a century and deliver sweeping change to end the country’s housing crisis.

But Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael will be eyeing potential junior partners among the smaller parties in a bid to secure the 88 seats needed to form a government.

The small leftist Social Democrats party scored 5.8 per cent; Labour had 5 per cent. The Green party, the junior member of the outgoing coalition, had 4 per cent, according to the exit poll. Independents also polled strongly.

Social Democrats leader Holly Cairns was unable to vote after giving birth on election day.

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Graham Platner makes it official in Maine, submitting paperwork to leave Senate race

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Graham Platner makes it official in Maine, submitting paperwork to leave Senate race

Now-former Democratic Senate candidate Graham Platner speaks at his primary election night event on June 9 in Blue Hill, Maine. Platner officially dropped out of the race July 10 following rape allegations from a former romantic partner that he denies.

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Graham Platner, Maine’s Democratic nominee for Senate, is officially out of the race.

The Maine Secretary of State said Platner filed the necessary paperwork to withdraw his candidacy two days after he announced he planned to do so following an accusation of rape by a former romantic partner. Platner denies the allegation.

The Maine Democratic Party has until July 27 to pick Platner’s replacement.

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In his withdrawal notice, Platner said “people are desperate for change” and that’s why they voted “for a new kind of politics” by making him the Democratic nominee. He expressed gratitude for those who supported his campaign and said that he will continue to fight for “the movement we have built together and the future we believe in.”

He ended his notice with a strong statement aligned with the progressive platform.

“F*ck ICE. Free Palestine. Up the Hearts.”

Platner announced his plan to withdraw from the race in an 11-minute video he posted to social media on July 8. He said he had no choice but to suspend his campaign, citing it was no longer viable financially.

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“We are going to lose our ability to fundraise. We are going to lose our ability to access voter data. We are going to lose all of the things that any campaign needs on the basic level simply to function,” he said.

Platner added that dropping out was not an admission of guilt. Rather, the decision, he said, is to keep the progressive movement in Maine alive to defeat Republican Sen. Susan Collins in November. Platner blamed the “political establishment” for his downfall and argued the goal was to force him out of the race.

“We built a campaign. We engaged in electoral politics. We motivated people. We banded together. We did it the way that we were told we are supposed to make change and we won. And now they are not going to let us have it. Not if it’s me,” he said.

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Waymo called the cops on teen riders, raising privacy concerns

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Waymo called the cops on teen riders, raising privacy concerns

A Waymo robotaxi drives in San Francisco’s North Beach neighborhood this week.

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Police in San Mateo, Calif., posted Monday on social media that they had apprehended a pair of teenagers from a Waymo driverless robotaxi after the company alerted authorities to suspected criminal activity. It’s the latest incident involving video surveillance of passengers and others by autonomous vehicles — raising questions about the limits of privacy in such vehicles.

The Facebook post by the San Mateo County Police said: “Parents do you know where your teens are? @waymo does!”

The 15-year-olds were allegedly drinking alcohol and shooting toy guns from the car, according to the police. They said Waymo’s systems detected behavior that then triggered a safety response, after which the company disabled the vehicle and contacted police.

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Waymo’s cars, equipped with an array of cameras, microphones and other sensors to monitor passengers and other nearby vehicles, are becoming more common in cities across the United States. Experts say the detention of the two teens in San Mateo highlights a potential — but not inevitable — trade-off between privacy and convenience. It also questions the extent to which companies similar to Waymo are required to hand over private data, including audio and video of passengers, in situations where a crime is suspected.

NPR reached out to Waymo, which is owned by Alphabet, the parent company of Google, for comment on the details of the San Mateo incident and how the company responded, but did not hear back. But on its website, the company says that as many as 29 cameras in its autonomous cars provide an all-around view and “are designed with high dynamic range and thermal stability, to see in both daylight and low-light conditions, and tackle more complex environments.”

“There already exist laws that govern duty to report or even duty to protect” for carriers such as Waymo, according to Alessandro Acquisti, a professor of information technology at the MIT Sloan School of Management. “The privacy problems arise when and if driverless carrier companies used such laws or ethical obligations as a pretext for blanket, indiscriminate accumulation of identifiable data for unspecified future purposes.”

That includes not just monitoring people inside the cars, but outside too. Take, for example, a hit-and-run investigation last year in Los Angeles. Media reported that the police inquiry was aided by video captured by a Waymo taxi that had a clear view of the crime. Critics suggested at the time that authorities were using the company’s vehicles as a mobile surveillance platform. And during 2025 protests in Los Angeles against Immigration and Customs Enforcement crackdowns, demonstrators vandalized Waymos, apparently angry that video recorded by the vehicles could be used by police, although there is no evidence that happened.

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Trump fires last members of election commission, inciting fears of midterm ‘chaos’

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Trump fires last members of election commission, inciting fears of midterm ‘chaos’

Donald Trump has terminated the remaining members of the independent, federal commission that assists election administration officials nationwide just a few months before the midterm elections, multiple outlets reported Thursday.

The remaining three commissioners of the four-member bipartisan commission ⁠were forced out on Thursday in different ways. The one Republican appointee resigned and the other ⁠two, Democratic appointees were notified of their terminations via email from ​the White House presidential personnel office.

“On ‌behalf of President ‌Donald J Trump, I am writing to inform you that your position ‌as Commissioner of the Election Assistance Commission is terminated, effective immediately. Thank you for your service,” the email, seen by Reuters, said.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The Election Assistance Commission serves as a “national clearinghouse of information on election ‌administration”, accredits testing laboratories and certifies voting systems, and maintains the national mail-voter registration form developed by the National ​Voter Registration Act of 1993, according to the commission’s website. The terminations follow Trump and top administration officials’ advocacy to change vote-by-mail requirements and investigations into the 2020 election outcome, which Trump lost to Democrat Joe Biden.

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“It is ⁠irresponsible and dangerous that this Administration remains dead set on ​causing chaos for ​our election officials across this ​country,” Arizona secretary of state Adrian Fontes said in a ​Thursday statement. “This ‌move undermines the integrity ​of nonpartisan ​election administration.”

The 2002 law that established the commission, the Help America Vote Act, states the president can appoint replacements to the commission.

It is unclear how Trump will move ahead with the commission.

Reuters contributed reporting

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