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Stock market today: S&P 500, Dow waver near records ahead of key inflation data

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Stock market today: S&P 500, Dow waver near records ahead of key inflation data

US stocks paused near record highs on Wednesday as investors digested fresh data that showed inflation made little progress toward the Fed’s 2% target in October.

After clinching record highs on Tuesday, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell about 0.1% at the open while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose less than 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was down about 0.5%.

The mood is muted in the wind-down to the Thanksgiving holiday, which will see markets shut on Thursday and close early on Friday. But the Fed is taking the fore again after being eclipsed somewhat by the debate over the impact of Donald Trump’s tariff plans and Cabinet choices.

The latest reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed price increases were flat in October from the prior month, raising questions over whether progress in getting to the central bank’s 2% goal has stalled.

The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out food and energy costs and is closely watched by the central bank, rose 0.3% from the prior month during October, in line with Wall Street’s expectations for 0.3% and the reading from September. Over the prior year, core prices rose 2.8%, in line with Wall Street’s expectations and above the 2.7% seen in September.

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Traders currently see a roughly 34% chance the Fed holds rates steady at that meeting, up from roughly 24% a month before, per the CME FedWatch Tool.

Also out Wednesday, the second estimate of third quarter GDP was unchanged, showing the US economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in the period. Meanwhile, weekly jobless claims continued to move lower with 213,000 unemployment claims filed in the week ending Nov. 23, down from 215,000 the week prior.

Trump on Tuesday tapped Jamieson Greer — a veteran of his first term — as US trade representative. Given Greer was heavily involved in Trump’s original China tariffs, Wall Street is assessing what his role could mean for the big new tariffs promised for the US’s top trading partners.

On the corporate front, Dell (DELL) shares sank over 10% after quarterly revenue fell short amid flagging PC demand. Peer HP’s (HPQ) stock also fell post-earnings, down 8%.

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  • Key inflation gauge shows price increases stayed flat from prior month

    The latest reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed price increases were flat in October from the prior month, raising questions over whether progress in getting to the central bank’s 2% goal has stalled.

    The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out food and energy costs and is closely watched by the central bank, rose 0.3% from the prior month during October, in line with Wall Street’s expectations for 0.3% and the reading from September.

    Over the prior year, core prices rose 2.8%, in line with Wall Street’s expectations and above the 2.7% seen in September. On a yearly basis, overall PCE increased 2.3%, a pickup from the 2.1% seen in September.

    Read more here.

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  •  Josh Schafer

    JPMorgan issues S&P target of 6,500 for 2025 as ‘US exceptionalism’ rolls on

    Another Wall Street strategist sees a solid backdrop for the US economy and a broadening corporate earnings picture driving stocks higher in the year ahead.

    JPMorgan’s global equity strategy team led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas sees the S&P 500 (^GSPC) hitting 6,500 by the end of 2025, joining the likes of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, who issued the same target. The target represents about an 8% increase from current levels.

    Lakos-Bujas wrote that continued “US exceptionalism,” continued earnings growth, and interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve will be a tailwind for stocks in the year ahead. He argued the US is likely to remain the “global growth engine with the business cycle in expansion, healthy labor market, broadening of AI-related capital spending, and prospect of robust capital market and deal activity.”

    He added, “heightened geopolitical uncertainty and the evolving policy agenda are introducing unusual complexity to the outlook, but opportunities are likely to outweigh risks. The benefit of deregulation and a more business-friendly environment are likely underestimated along with potential for unlocking productivity gains and capital deployment.”

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  •  Josh Schafer

    Stocks waver ahead of inflation print

    US stocks paused near record highs on Wednesday as investors waited for a reading on the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge to provide clues to the path of interest rates.

    After clinching record highs on Tuesday, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell about 0.2% at the open while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was down about 0.3%.

    The October print of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, is due for release on Wednesday morning at 10 a.m. ET. The focus is on whether inflation has stalled.

    Economists expect annual “core” PCE — which excludes food and energy — to have clocked in at 2.8% in October, up from the 2.7% seen in September.

  •  Josh Schafer

    Weekly jobless claims fall, GDP steady

    Weekly jobless claims rose less than expected last week, and hit a seven-month low, as the impact of labor strikes and severe weather continued to abate.

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    New data from the Department of Labor showed 213,000 initial jobless claims were filed in the week ending Nov. 23, down from the 215,000 the week prior and below the 215,000 economists had expected.

    Meanwhile, the number of continuing applications for unemployment benefits hit 1.9 million, up 9,000 from the week prior and the highest level since November 2021.

    Elsewhere in economic data, the second estimate of third quarter GDP came in unchanged, once again showing the US economy grew at annualized rate of 2.8%.

  • Jenny McCall

    Good morning. Here’s what’s happening today.

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  • Brian Sozzi

    About those potential Trump tariffs

    Shares of automakers General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) were throttled on Tuesday following Trump’s tariff threats toward China, Mexico, and Canada.

    GM lost 9%, while Ford dropped 3% as both companies have a strong presence in Mexico.

    But automakers aren’t the only companies that stand to be hurt by tariffs, of course.

    Think computers and T-shirts!

    Here’s what HP Inc. (HPQ) CEO Enrique Lores and Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) CEO Fran Horowitz told me on the tariff topic.

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    Enrique Lores

    “Some of that [cost of potential tariffs] will have to go to consumers given what is the overall margin that we have in the categories. But again, we need to wait and see what the final tariffs are for us to define what the exact plan is going to be.”

    Fran Horowitz

    “When we understand truly what’s happening, we will have to make some adjustments, and we will adjust accordingly,It’s exactly what we did in 2018 when we had the same challenge. In 2024 we will not be receiving more than 5% or 6% of our US receipts from China. We’re taking a look at it country by country, but the agility that we’ve built into our supply chain is really what’s going to help us manage through this.”

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Coalition urges lawmakers to advance South Carolina Financial Freedom Act

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Coalition urges lawmakers to advance South Carolina Financial Freedom Act

Dozens of local elected officials from across South Carolina are urging state lawmakers to pass legislation that would allow cities, counties and school districts to deposit taxpayer funds in the financial institution of their choice, including qualified credit unions.

The Palmetto Public Deposits Coalition, formed by more than 40 mayors, county council members and municipal leaders have signed a joint letter calling on the General Assembly to advance the South Carolina Financial Freedom Act, a bill that, if signed, would lift long-standing restrictions that require public entities to deposit funds exclusively in commercial banks, even though state law already allows credit unions to accept public deposits.

The coalition argues the current system limits competition and prevents local governments from seeking potentially better rates, lower fees and more responsive service.

READ MORE | Lowcountry residents feel squeeze as inflation rises 25% over five years

“Local governments should have the same financial freedom that families and businesses have — the ability to choose the financial institution that best meets their needs,” Rick Osborn, chairman of the Palmetto Public Deposits Coalition, explained. “This commonsense reform will introduce healthy competition, help stretch taxpayer dollars further, and strengthen partnerships with community-focused financial institutions that are deeply invested in South Carolina.”

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The efforts also won support from the South Carolina Association of Counties and the Municipal Association of South Carolina, whose boards have formally endorsed expanding deposit options. Their backing signals broad agreement among local government officials that the law should be modernized.

In their letter to lawmakers, the coalition argued that permitting credit unions to hold public deposits would restore financial choice and improve outcomes for residents.

“This legislation is about giving local leaders more tools to serve residents effectively and make responsible financial decisions,” said Goose Creek Mayor Greg Habib, one of the signatories.

READ MORE | Treasury to hold conferences on AI regulation reductions for banks

The Financial Freedom Act would allow, but not require, public entities to deposit funds in qualified credit unions. Coalition members said the bill is not designed to favor one type of institution over another, but to encourage competition in a market currently limited to commercial banks, many of which operate outside the state.

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The Palmetto Public Deposits Coalition said it will continue working with local leaders, state associations and lawmakers as the legislation moves through the current session.

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FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks muted as Trump delays strikes on Iran power plants

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FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks muted as Trump delays strikes on Iran power plants

The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was hovering around the flatline on Friday, while European stocks headed lower, as traders shrugged off Donald Trump’s latest pause on striking Iran’s energy infrastructure.

On Thursday night, the US president extended the deadline for Iran to open the strait of Hormuz by 10 days, meaning the new date would be 6 April. He claimed that talks were “going very well”. However, Iran denied it was “begging to make a deal”, despite Trump’s earlier claims.

It comes after Wall Street posted its biggest daily loss since the Iran war began on Thursday.

The Wall Street Journal also reported on Thursday that the US was considering sending as many as 10,000 additional troops to the Middle East.

Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, said Trump has extended the uncertainty gripping markets.

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“While the rhetoric around de-escalation and dialogue is certainly preferable to outright conflict, the market appears to be growing increasingly numb to President Trump’s verbal reassurances. By extending the deadline, it effectively kicks the can down the road, pushing back any concrete resolution regarding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. This, in turn, simply extends the uncertainty weighing on markets and the broader global economy.”

Elsewhere, UK retail sales dipped by 0.4% in February, following a rise of 2.0% in January, the Office for National Statistics revealed. In the December to February quarter, sales volumes were up 0.7% compared with the previous three months.

  • London’s benchmark index (^FTSE) was hovering around the flatline in early trade

  • Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) dipped 0.5% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris headed 0.2% into the red

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was down 0.3%

  • Wall Street is set for a muted start as S&P 500 futures (ES=F), Dow futures (YM=F) and Nasdaq futures (NQ=F) were all lacklustre.

  • The pound was 0.1% down against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.3311

Follow along for live updates throughout the day:

LIVE 4 updates

  • Consumer confidence in Britain slips in March

    GfK revealed on Friday that the UK confidence index fell two points to -21 in March – the weakest level since Donald Trump announced sweeping import tariffs in April last year. At the time, the index sank to -23.

    Neil Bellamy, the firm’s consumer insights director, said the survey showed people are concerned about the prospects for inflation and the economy.

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    The group said the sharp rise in energy prices caused by the effective closure of the strait of Hormuz and attacks on infrastructure in the region “has led to fears of higher inflation and weaker growth across oil-importing countries”.

    A majority of respondents said the economy had improved modestly over the last year, but was about to decline significantly. They said they were likely to save more and spend less on big ticket items over the next 12 months as a result.

  • UK retail sales dip amid wet weather and weaker supermarket trading

    UK retail sales decreased in February as supermarket sales slipped and demand for household goods was impacted by wet weather, according to official figures.

    The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the total volume of retail sales, which measures the quantity bought, fell by 0.4% last month.

    It compared with a 2% rise in January, which was revised up from a previous estimate of 1.8%.

    The monthly decline in February was nevertheless shallower than expected, with analysts having predicted a drop of 0.7% for the month.

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    A fall in supermarket sales partly contributed to the fresh monthly decline, falling by 0.6%.

    All food stores, which includes convenience stores and specialist retailers, reported a 0.7% decline in sales volumes, marking the weakest level since August last year.

    Elsewhere, the data showed that household goods stores saw weaker demand, dropping by 2.6%, with retailers partly blaming “wet weather” for reduced demand.

    Met Office data indicated that the UK, had above average rainfall in February 2026, more so than in either January this year or the previous February.

    Non-store retailers also reported a slight dip over the month, with retailers suggesting that consumers brought forward spending to January to make the most of post-Christmas discounts.

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    Matt Dalton, consumer sector leader at Forvis Mazars, said:

  • Asia and US overnight

    Stocks in Asia were mixed overnight, stuck in a wait and see mode, with the Nikkei (^N225) fell 0.4% on the day in Japan, while the Hang Seng (^HSI) rose 0.4% in Hong Kong.

    The Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) was 0.6% up by the end of the session and in South Korea, the Kospi (^KS11) lost 0.4% on the day. Part of the Kospi’s weakness was also due to the ongoing sell-off in South Korean chipmaker stocks from Google’s memory chip announcement.

    Across the pond, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) slipped 1.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) was 2.4% down, both seeing their biggest declines since the start of the war and fell back to their lowest levels since September. The Dow Jones (^DJI) ended 1% lower, while the VIX index rose 2.11 points to 27.44pts, its highest since 6 March.

    Part of the Wall Street selloff was also driven by the ongoing rout from Tuesday’s announcement that Google had found a new algorithm that could reduce the memory chip amount needed in AI models.

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  • Coming up

    Good morning, and welcome back to our markets live blog. As usual we will be taking a deep dive into what’s moving markets and what’s happening across the global economy.

    To the day ahead we’ll get the US March Kansas City Fed services activity, UK February retail sales. Central bank events include the ECB consumer expectations survey, and the Fed’s Daly and Paulson will speak.

    Here’s a snapshot of what’s on the agenda today:

    • 7am: UK retail sales for February

    • 9am: ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations survey

    • 2pm: University of Michigan consumer confidence report

Download the Yahoo Finance app, available for Apple and Android.

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NDSU College of Business launches Center for Banking and Finance

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NDSU College of Business launches Center for Banking and Finance

FARGO, N.D. – North Dakota State University’s College of Business has launched the Center for Banking and Finance, a new academic and industry‑engaged hub designed to prepare students for careers in banking and finance while supporting the evolving workforce needs of the region’s financial industry, a release states.

Announced during a press conference at NDSU’s Louise Auditorium at Barry Hall, the center brings together students, faculty and industry partners to expand experiential learning opportunities, strengthen connections to employers, and address emerging trends shaping the financial services industry. The center is housed within NDSU’s College of Business and builds on growing student interest in finance‑related programs.

“The Center for Banking and Finance reflects NDSU’s responsibility as a student‑focused, land‑grant, research university to respond to workforce and economic needs across our state and region,” said Interim President Rick Berg. “By connecting education, industry, and community, this center helps ensure our graduates are prepared to contribute on day one and throughout their careers.”

The center will support undergraduate and graduate students through hands‑on learning experiences, exposure to financial tools and technologies, and direct engagement with financial institutions, regulators and business leaders. It will also serve professionals already working in banking and finance through workshops, training and research‑informed programming aligned with business needs, according to the release.

“The Center for Banking and Finance is about momentum — students who are eager to learn, faculty who are pushing applied scholarship forward, and industry partners who want to shape the future workforce,” said Kathryn Birkeland, Ronald and Kaye Olson dean of the NDSU College of Business. “When education and industry move together, everyone benefits.”

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The launch of the Center for Banking and Finance coincides with a series of regional events focused on finance, fintech and economic outlook, including programming with the Bank of North Dakota, the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and regional business leaders. Together, these events underscore the Fargo‑Moorhead area’s role as a hub for financial dialogue, talent development and economic collaboration.

The center’s foundational banking partners include Dacotah Bank, Gate City Bank, Bell Bank and Western State Bank, who attended the launch and are helping shape early student experiences and industry-informed programming.

The center is led by Mark Jensen, a career banker and longtime adjunct instructor who joined NDSU full-time in 2026 as director of the Center for Banking and Finance.

“The Center for Banking and Finance is designed as a bridge,” Jensen said. “It brings industry into the learning experience in meaningful ways, and it gives students clearer pathways into a wide range of banking and finance careers.”

For students, the center represents a more direct bridge between academic study and professional opportunity.

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“As a finance student, experiences outside the classroom make a real difference,” said Tavian Nelson, a senior at NDSU majoring in finance. “Going into college, I knew I wanted to be involved in the finance program but was unsure of what that would look like once I graduated. The school has truly shaped my desired career outcomes with many hands-on experiences, professional leaders, and connections throughout my time here. This center will truly strengthen these experiences for students.”

Initially, the center will focus on experiential learning opportunities, business partnerships and workforce‑aligned programming, with plans to expand offerings as partnerships and resources grow. The center is supported through external funding and business engagement.

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