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Guest Article: Re-thinking and Revitalizing SDG Financing | SDG Knowledge Hub | IISD

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Guest Article: Re-thinking and Revitalizing SDG Financing | SDG Knowledge Hub | IISD

By Damien Barchiche, Ivonne Lobos, Niels Keijzer, George Marbuah, and Elise Dufief

The many tumultuous events that the world has faced since the adoption of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the sheer challenge of the transformative changes it foresees underline that no country can finance the SDGs and other development agendas by freeing up more financial resources alone. Instead of such ‘business-as-usual’ efforts, systemic changes are needed in public and private finance towards achievement of the SDGs.

Delays in implementing the Paris Agreement on climate change and 2030 Agenda increasingly appear to come partly from unmet financing needs as well as the inability and unwillingness of the Group of 20 (G20) to move away from fossil fuel subsidies. The current state of play reflects the international financial architecture’s failure to channel resources to the world’s most vulnerable economies at the necessary scale and speed.

For the UN Secretary-General, this failure poses a growing and systemic threat to the multilateral system itself, as it leads to increased disparities, geo-economic fragmentation, and geopolitical divides across the globe. At the beginning of 2023, UNDP reports, 52 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), representing more than 40% of the world’s poorest population, were either in debt distress or at high risk of debt distress, and 25 of these countries have external debt service repayments in excess of 20% of their total revenues.

To enable developing countries to deliver on the SDGs, the Secretary-General has called for an SDG Stimulus: an additional USD 500 billion per year to be delivered through a combination of concessional and non-concessional finance. The plan calls for the international community and multilateral development banks (MDBs) in particular to significantly scale up funding for global public goods, and for countries to align all forms of finance with the SDGs, including by utilizing Integrated National Financing Frameworks (INFFs).

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As part of an effort to elevate the debate on financing the SDGs in developing countries, IDOS, IDDRI, and SEI have joined forces to conduct a study that enables better analysis of concrete challenges to address SDG financing in developing economies. The study focuses on the global picture and analyzes the state of play, recent initiatives, and prospects for financing the SDGs in Ghana, Indonesia, Mexico, and Senegal. We seek to answer the following question: how and under what conditions can partner countries further align their development plans and policies with the 2030 Agenda and the SDGs to better finance their objectives? As the UN Secretary-General states, more money needs to be made available globally for vulnerable countries, which is one of the key challenges today. However, it is also important to support countries in their ability to express their needs for investments for sustainable development, so that the money flows and is attracted to the right investments. The study’s main conclusion is that this alignment and effective SDG financing are possible when four main conditions are met. 

Condition number one: Avoiding SDG-incompatible financeWhile SDG financing gaps need to be considered and addressed, it should not be forgotten that for many countries – notably Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and BRICS (Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, China, and South Africa) states – realizing the 2030 Agenda is just as much about financing less as it is about financing more. Examples include less financing for approaches that compromise specific SDGs (e.g., fossil fuel subsidies) and making difficult policy decisions that require short-term costs to achieve long-term sustainability gains.

Condition number two: Long-term financing needs to be combined with long-term planning. Development financing strategies, operationalized through the INFFs or other frameworks, provide public and private investors with clarity and predictability. This allows key actors to better grasp the sequence of investments across relief, recovery, and long-term structural transformation. If conducted in an integrated manner, such financing strategies could allow for easier and more affordable access to financing by countries. Planning efforts should also seek to avoid lock-in situations and path dependencies where short-term recovery expenditure could hamper long-term goals of reducing inequalities or advancing environmental protection, and even increase vulnerabilities.

Condition number three: Governments, MDBs, the private sector, and other actors need a better understanding of the cost and benefits of SDG financing at country level. A clear understanding of allocation and spending on public services and public investments that contribute to the SDGs can provide information to identify the scale of funding shortfalls for the SDGs. When calculating costs, double-counting investment needs should be avoided while the identification of synergies between different types of investment should be prioritized. In view of the competing short-term claims on public budgets as witnessed in recent years, including COVID-19-related costs as well as public debt challenges, the benefits of SDG financing will also have to be concretized to justify and defend the long-term investments made. Ghana, Indonesia, Mexico, and Senegal all have a wealth of plans and strategies related to financing sustainable development. These should not be added to but rather finetuned and further operationalized where appropriate. Further progress can be made in connecting those plans to develop detailed and targeted financing plans to support their development objectives.

Condition number four: SDG financing instruments – and international support for these – need to be fully aligned with the country’s needs and priorities. The various tools developed for SDG budgeting, be it the development of INFFs or SDG bonds, can help improve access to and impact of funding and lead to better implementation to achieve the Goals, but only if developed in support of country-owned processes. In practice, they can be the cornerstone of strengthening financing for the SDGs in countries and establish more coherent links between the SDGs and development strategies, as well as their implementation. However, the case studies demonstrated, these tools only prove relevant if they do not add complexity to the administration but are well integrated into and supportive of existing national processes. To achieve this, they should also be sufficiently concretized and operational through dedicated targets and quantifiable indicators. One of the shared challenges across countries is to link these tools together according to local needs, to reinforce and consolidate national or local strategies for financing the SDGs. International partners should fully recognize, follow, and align to such national strategies in their dialogue with governments on international support to national SDG financing efforts.

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Way forward

To internationalize and guarantee these four conditions, it is critical that financing stakeholders and governments acknowledge the nature of the situation and the urgency to act. This requires that they acknowledge that the current international architecture is failing to fulfil its essential mission to support stable long-term financing for the SDGs. International actors should further support fundamental reforms and redesign of the international financing system, particularly by providing ways to secure long-term financing.

The 2023 Global Summit of Public Development Banks and the SDG Summit, both taking place in September, the IMF-World Bank annual meetings in October, as well as the 2024 G20 Summit in Brazil, are crucial platforms to discuss and further the design of key financial institutions in a manner that supports effective change at country level. We hope that leaders participating in these meetings will advance concrete and ambitious commitments and agreements in this regard.

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This article was written by:

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  • Damien Barchiche, Director, Sustainable Development Governance Programme, Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI);
  • Ivonne Lobos, Senior Expert, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI);
  • Niels Keijzer, Project Lead and Senior Researcher, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS);
  • George Marbuah, Research Fellow, SEI; and
  • Elise Dufief, Research Fellow
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A Better Way for Finance (and Others) to Handle Missing Data

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A Better Way for Finance (and Others) to Handle Missing Data

There are data about practically everything these days, and they can be used to try to answer any number of questions. Do clinical trials really show a drug works? Can surveys really signal who’s going to win the next election? Can a financial manager really predict a winning portfolio?

As powerful as data are, adjustments made for missing information—the people who drop out of drug trials, the questions people don’t answer in polling, incomplete corporate financial reports—may dramatically skew the results of predictive models, according to University of Bonn’s Joachim Freyberger and Björn Höppner (a PhD student), Washington University in St. Louis’s Andreas Neuhierl, and Chicago Booth’s Michael Weber.

They propose an improved method for handling missing data, having tested it against two popular existing approaches in a practical application of data, namely predicting stock returns. The results indicate that their method provides a consistent edge.

To compare the three methods, the researchers obtained a database of US stock and balance-sheet data from 1978 to 2021. The data set started out with 2.4 million observations, or rows, each with 82 variables covering trading volume, accounting information, momentum indicators, and the like. As is the case with many data sets, it wasn’t complete: some rows didn’t have values for all 82 variables.

The first of the two widely used methods, the “complete cases” approach, drops all incomplete observations, although this violates a cardinal rule of data analysis: “Thou shalt not throw data away.” This approach required that the researchers exclude rows of data where any information was missing—for example, if a stock was missing trading volume for one month, the complete cases method required dropping all the data collected for that stock that month. After the researchers did this, just 10 percent of the data remained. Most of the dropped instances were missing values for five variables or fewer.

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The other well-known method, “mean imputation,” keeps all of the observations but creates biases. It replaces missing values with an average of all the data set’s existing data points for a given variable and month. But the missing data might include extreme values that could make a significant difference in prediction models. For example, say there’s a housing database, but most of the high-end houses in it are sold by a realtor who never lists the square footage. If analysts replaced the missing data with the average square footage of all housing, they would most likely undershoot and skew their model’s predictions of market values.

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Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long reviewing campaign finance reports amid possible ‘issues’

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Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long reviewing campaign finance reports amid possible ‘issues’
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Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long, who is running for Delaware governor in 2024, announced Thursday evening that she is conducting an audit of her past campaign finance reports after possible issues have come to light.

About two weeks after launching her campaign, Hall-Long said in a written statement this audit came after she “requested a review of my past campaign finance reports and learned there may have been reporting issues that require attention.” 

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Hall-Long has not suspended her campaign.

She said she is working with “independent campaign finance experts and forensic accountants to thoroughly audit the finances.” She said she released a statement after “friends and constituents have asked about the status of my campaign.”

Hall-Long did not, in her statement, say what years are under review. She has been in Delaware politics for decades, most recently serving as lieutenant governor since 2016.

“We look forward to the results of the audit and amending any reports as needed,” Hall-Long said. “I have always been strongly committed to public integrity and transparency, and will continue to uphold those values throughout this campaign.”

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Who runs her campaign finances?

Hall-Long’s husband, Dana Long, previously served as her campaign treasurer for her current fundraising committee, according to Delaware’s Campaign Finance Reporting System. 

He is listed as serving in this role from Jan. 25, 2021 to May 2, 2023, according to the website.

Dana Long has in the past created major headaches for his wife’s various campaigns. In 2014, when she was a state senator, Hall-Long admitted that her husband stole Republican political signs, which were along a road in Middletown. This came to light after a video showed him carrying signs to his car. 

He was also accused of “abuse of power” when he served as a housing inspector for New Castle County. Hall-Long defended her husband against these claims.  He does not work on her gubernatorial election campaign, a campaign official said Thursday.

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Allison Murray, of Rhode Island, has been in the treasurer role since May 2. She is a partner of CFO Compliance, a firm that works with Democratic candidates and specializes in “state and local candidate compliance”

BACKGROUND Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long announces 2024 run for governor. To face Matt Meyer in primary

Canceled campaign events

The candidate has canceled two fundraisers in recent weeks, according to emails obtained by Delaware Online/The News Journal. One of these was supposed to be hosted this month by Gov. John Carney, who quickly endorsed her when she announced her candidacy. 

The campaign, in a statement to Delaware Online/The News Journal, said scheduled fundraisers “have been pulled down, and she is not currently soliciting donations pending the audit.”

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Hall-Long “is committed to leading with transparency and integrity, which is why she requested an audit of her campaign finance reports,” the campaign said.

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Climate Resilient Landscape Finance – CPI

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Climate Resilient Landscape Finance – CPI

This publication is CPI’s analysis of Climate Resilient Landscape Finance, an innovative climate finance instrument endorsed by The Global Innovation Lab for Climate Finance  (the Lab). CPI serves as the Lab’s Secretariat. Each instrument endorsed by the Lab is rigorously analyzed by our research teams. High-level findings of this research are published on each instrument, so that others may leverage this analysis to further their own climate finance innovation.

Climate Resilient Landscape Finance (CRLF)  is an innovative concessional debt facility combining microfinance, private debt, and technical assistance to address the underlying challenges to long-term sustainable, climate-resilient land management in and around African conservancies.

ABOUT

Africa’s protected areas are critical in safeguarding the continent’s biodiverse ecosystems. However, extractive commercial agriculture and urban and industrial development threaten important land for biodiversity conservation outside protected areas.

To meet the 30×30 goal of the Global Biodiversity Framework, an annual investment of USD 20-25 billion is needed to cover 30% of protected areas. However, traditional revenue streams – government, donor support, and tourism – only meet 10-20% of management needs. This means that current revenue sources are insufficient to manage the land, let alone provide landowners with economic incentives to forgo agricultural or other commercial development.

INNOVATION

CRLF is the first financial instrument to drive diversified expansion strategies with conservancy-led enterprises through structured microfinance and venture financing support, sharing the economic benefits with small landowners. This instrument taps growth in international markets for sustainable goods and services and nature-based attributes, increasing revenue flows to conservancy areas and enabling scaling.

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Ringfenced investment opportunities in conservancy debt and microfinance portfolios target a diversity of local and international impact-seeking investor types. In this way, CRLF attracts private investors by addressing the traditionally unattractive risk/return profile and small scale of most existing opportunities in nature-based and conservation projects.

“A thorough evaluation and stress test of our innovative financing facility combined with expert analysis and input from the Lab’s partners will take our idea to the next level. As much as we aim for a successful and impactful launch of our facility, we also hope to inspire the next cohort of innovative climate investment instruments in Africa!”

Jonty Rawlins, Head of Sustainability – Platcorp

IMPACT

The pilot target market lies in the Maasai Mara in Kenya, home to approximately 25% of Kenya’s wildlife, with replication expected in other conservation areas in Kenya and neighboring countries.

CRLF has the potential to transform the economics of conservation-critical areas by monetizing the value of tourism, climate, biodiversity, and sustainable production while sharing these benefits with local communities.

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During its first decade, it is expected to contribute to conserving and restoring over 90,000 hectares of land, sequestering over 1 million tC02e. CRLF will directly benefit 3,000 MSMEs and unlock USD 70 million value for the region.

DESIGN

The instrument is designed as an umbrella facility with a representative governance body setting investment strategy and policy and monitoring the operation of three synergistic facilities:

microfinance facility, capitalized in local currency, offering concessional lease-backed loans to local landowners, fostering financial inclusion through preferential terms, and complemented by technical assistance to support the development of sustainable livelihoods and MSMEs.

private debt facility, capitalized in dollars, offering patient and concessional growth financing to conservancy enterprises and potentially sustainable agriculture and forestry operators around conservation areas.

technical assistance facility encompassing business development and support services to enhance the growth and governance of local enterprises, as well as nature finance expertise to establish linkages to international carbon and biodiversity markets.

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CRLF is an evergreen structure, with all surpluses to be reinvested in conservancy areas. To drive responsible stewardship, all borrowers must adhere to environmental, social, and governance covenants tied to preferential loan terms. These features build durable incentives for sustainable land management in biodiversity-rich areas.

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