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Green Energy Is Stuck at a Financial Red Light

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Green Energy Is Stuck at a Financial Red Light

After years of uncertainty, final yr’s Inflation Discount Act lastly gave America’s renewable-energy business a protracted, inexperienced sign. Now the financial system is obstructing the highway.

The wind and photo voltaic industries have at all times suffered from the short-term nature of subsidies, with federal tax credit usually prolonged in nail-biting one-year increments. Final yr’s local weather invoice modified that, giving the business subsidies that final not less than a decade. However simply as coverage winds blow of their favor, two essential development drivers—rates of interest and gear prices—are transferring within the improper path.

Wind and photo voltaic initiatives are particularly delicate to charges as a result of debt can comprise as a lot as 85% to 90% of capital expenditures. Renewable builders have recognized solely low charges for many of their historical past. Practically all U.S. utility-scale photo voltaic services and 85% of onshore wind farms had been put in since 2009, throughout which interval the goal federal-funds fee was near 0% in eight out of 13 years. Not any extra: After the newest hike, charges are the very best since 2007.

Renewable vitality initiatives are typically financed with floating-rate loans that rise and fall with the benchmark rate of interest. Fortunately, most of these initiatives are well-shielded from fee threat as a result of lenders require them to hedge not less than 75% of their loans by way of swaps, in response to Elizabeth Waters, managing director of challenge finance at MUFG. Most ended up hedging 90-95% to lock in low charges, she famous. However these swaps received’t assist new initiatives. Some new photo voltaic and wind initiatives going through larger borrowing prices than after they had been deliberate may not make it off the drafting board. 

Borrowing isn’t the one factor that prices extra. Following years of worth declines because of expertise and economies of scale, gear is getting dearer too. Commerce insurance policies aimed toward Chinese language producers have triggered delays and shortages for the photo voltaic business, which depends closely on the nation for its parts. German utility RWE, an energetic developer within the U.S., stated in its annual report launched final week that imports of photo voltaic modules from Asia at the moment are topic to “stringent checks” and stated it might fall behind on its growth plans if the U.S. continues to “impede the procurement of photo voltaic panels.”

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After falling to a file low in 2020, the common worth of a photo voltaic photovoltaic system rose in 2021 after which once more in 2022, in response to information from the Photo voltaic Power Industries Affiliation and Wooden Mackenzie. In the meantime, the common value to construct an onshore wind farm within the U.S. rose in 2020 and 2021 earlier than leveling off final yr, in response to information from BloombergNEF. Provide-chain points and interconnection delays already began slowing the clear energy business final yr: In 2022 it put in 25.1 Gigawatts of complete capability, a 16% decline from a yr earlier, in response to the American Clear Energy Affiliation, which tracks photo voltaic, wind and vitality storage. Whereas that’s nonetheless sufficient to satisfy roughly half of Texas’ electrical energy demand, it was nonetheless beneath expectations–although a part of the drop was pushed by an preplanned phase-down for tax credit generally utilized by the wind business earlier than the Inflation Discount Act was handed.  

Finally, photo voltaic and wind’s capability to soak up value and interest-rate hikes will depend on how prepared utilities and firms are to pay larger costs. Many onshore wind and photo voltaic initiatives have been in a position to renegotiate pricing on their energy buy agreements as a result of demand is strong, in response to business executives. However cracks are exhibiting for offshore wind, which is extra uncovered to rising prices and charges as a result of it takes longer to develop. BloombergNEF estimates that the weighted common value of capital for U.S. offshore wind initiatives rose to five.25% in 2022 from 4.41% in 2020. 

Developer

Avangrid

Renewables, for instance, is attempting to terminate its energy buy settlement with utilities in Massachusetts for a 1.2 Gigawatt offshore wind challenge after an unsuccessful try at renegotiating its fixed-price contract. If constructed, Commonwealth Wind would generate sufficient vitality to energy 700,000 properties. The corporate cited “historic worth will increase for international commodities, sharp and sudden will increase in rates of interest, extended provide chain constraints, and protracted inflation” for the reason that challenge secured a contract in late 2021. Avangrid plans to bid the identical challenge into the state’s subsequent aggressive offshore wind procurement, a spokesman stated over electronic mail. Danish energy firm Orsted stated in its annual report launched February that it incurred an impairment of two.5 billion Danish kroner, the equal of $369 million, on its 50% curiosity within the Dawn Wind challenge off the coast of New York, noting that the challenge value has elevated considerably since its bid in 2019.

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Because the identify implies, the Inflation Discount Act is meant to alleviate a few of these value pressures. Nevertheless it received’t really feel like a bonanza with out readability on how the principles apply. Increasing the eligibility of tax credit to extra applied sciences, for instance, has unfold the restricted pool of tax fairness buyers—that’s, these with each the tax burden and the know-how to make use of renewable tax credit—extra thinly throughout extra initiatives. Mockingly, that has shrunk the pool of tax fairness out there to photo voltaic and wind within the close to time period. The invoice tries to handle this by making such tax credit transferable, however business executives stated that pool of capital will stay constrained till there’s extra steering.

A photo voltaic website in Lumpkin, Ga.



Picture:

Audra Melton for The Wall Road Journal

There are two different more moderen developments value watching: One is the plummeting value of pure gasoline which, if extended, might impression demand for photo voltaic and wind on the margins. The U.S. benchmark Henry Hub has fallen 49% yr to this point. Secondly, banks’ latest turmoil might shrink their capability to lend. Ted Brandt, chief govt of clean-energy targeted funding financial institution Marathon Capital, notes that the business has at all times had low cost debt, low cost fairness and “huge liquidity chasing it.” How the business will reply to costly capital continues to be an open query, he stated.

It isn’t sufficient for coverage winds to blow in the suitable path for a renewable vitality growth–financial headwinds must abate too.

Write to Jinjoo Lee at jinjoo.lee@wsj.com

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Cop29: $250bn climate finance offer from rich world an insult, critics say

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Cop29: 0bn climate finance offer from rich world an insult, critics say

Developing countries have reacted angrily to an offer of $250bn in finance from the rich world – considerably less than they are demanding – to help them tackle the climate crisis.

The offer was contained in the draft text of an agreement published on Friday afternoon at the Cop29 climate summit in Azerbaijan, where talks are likely to carry on past a 6pm deadline.

Juan Carlos Monterrey Gómez, Panama’s climate envoy, told the Guardian: “This is definitely not enough. What we need is at least $5tn a year, but what we have asked for is just $1.3tn. That is 1% of global GDP. That should not be too much when you’re talking about saving the planet we all live on.”

He said $250bn divided among all the developing countries in need amounted to very little. “It comes to nothing when you split it. We have bills in the billions to pay after droughts and flooding. What the heck will $250bn do? It won’t put us on a path to 1.5C. More like 3C.”

According to the new text of a deal, developing countries would receive a total of at least $1.3tn a year in climate finance by 2035, which is in line with the demands most submitted before this two-week conference. That would be made up of the $250bn from developed countries, plus other sources of finance including private investment.

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Poor nations wanted much more of the headline finance to come directly from rich countries, preferably in the form of grants rather than loans.

Civil society groups criticised the offer, variously describing it as “a joke”, “an embarrassment”, “an insult”, and the global north “playing poker with people’s lives”.

Mohamed Adow, a co-founder of Power Shift Africa, a thinktank, said: “Our expectations were low, but this is a slap in the face. No developing country will fall for this. It’s not clear what kind of trick the presidency is trying to pull. They’ve already disappointed everyone, but they have now angered and offended the developing world.”

The $250bn figure is significantly lower than the $300bn-a-year offer that some developed countries were mulling at the talks, to the Guardian’s knowledge.

The offer from developed countries, funded from their national budgets and overseas aid, is supposed to form the inner core of a “layered” finance settlement, accompanied by a middle layer of new forms of finance such as new taxes on fossil fuels and high-carbon activities, carbon trading and “innovative” forms of finance; and an outermost layer of investment from the private sector, into projects such as solar and windfarms.

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These layers would add up to $1.3tn a year, which is the amount that economists have calculated is needed in external finance for developing countries to tackle the climate crisis. Many activists have demanded more: figures of $5tn or $7tn a year have been put forward by some groups, based on the historical responsibilities of developed countries for causing the climate crisis.

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This latest text is the second from an increasingly embattled Cop presidency. Azerbaijan was widely criticised for its first draft on Thursday.

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There will now be further negotiations among countries and possibly a new or several new iterations of this draft text.

Avinash Persaud, a former adviser to the Barbados prime minister, Mia Mottley, and now an adviser to the president of the Inter-American Bank, said: “There is no deal to come out of Baku that will not leave a bad taste in everyone’s mouth, but we are within sight of a landing zone for the first time all year.”

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US Treasury Selects BNY as Financial Agent for Direct Express Program | PYMNTS.com

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US Treasury Selects BNY as Financial Agent for Direct Express Program | PYMNTS.com

The Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) will serve as the financial agent for the Direct Express program, which provides 3.4 million Americans with a prepaid debit card to receive monthly federal benefits.

The U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Bureau of the Fiscal Service said in a Thursday (Nov. 21) press release that it selected BNY for this role after evaluating proposals from multiple financial institutions and seeing the bank’s offering of features and customer service options.

The new agreement will begin Jan. 3 and will last five years, according to the release.

“Since 2008, the Direct Express program has paid federal beneficiaries seamlessly, inclusively and securely, while sparing taxpayers and customers the costs and risk associated with cashing paper checks,Fiscal Service Commissioner Tim Gribben said in the release.This new agreement will further our goals of delivering a modern customer experience and strengthening Treasury’s commitment to paying the right person, in the right amount, at the right time.”

With this agreement, BNY will add to the cardholder experience features like online/digital funds access, bill pay, cardless ATM access, omnichannel chat and text customer service, online dispute filing and in-person authentication options, the bank said in a Thursday press release.

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“Drawing on our leading platform capabilities, we look forward to advancing the program’s goal of providing high-quality financial services to individuals and communities throughout the U.S.,Jennifer Barker, global head of treasury services and depositary receipts at BNY, said in the release.

Seventy-seven percent of the recipients of disbursements opt for instant payments when given the option, according to the PYMNTS Intelligence and Ingo Payments collaboration,Measuring Consumers’ Growing Interest in Instant Payouts.”

That’s because consumers looking for disbursements — paychecks, government payments, insurance settlements, investment earnings — want their money quickly, the report found.

In October, the Treasury Department credited the Office of Payment Integrity, within the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, with enhancing its fraud prevention capabilities and expanding offerings to new and existing customers.

The department said itstechnology and data-driven” approach allowed it to prevent and recover more than $4 billion in fraud and improper payments, up from $652 million in 2023.

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Islamic finance: a powerful solution for climate action – Greenpeace International

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Islamic finance: a powerful solution for climate action – Greenpeace International

Across the globe, Muslim communities find themselves disproportionately affected by climate change, with extreme weather events, rising food insecurity, and other climate impacts taking a toll on their livelihoods, cultural practices, and spiritual life. 

In the last few years, devastating floods swept through Pakistan, affecting millions, displacing thousands, and leaving entire communities struggling to rebuild. In Indonesia, one of the world’s most populous Muslim-majority countries, rising sea levels threaten to submerge coastal villages and erode vital agricultural lands. Meanwhile, in parts of the Middle East and North Africa, persistent droughts and water scarcity are increasing pressures on already fragile ecosystems and economies.

Pakistan’s 2022 monsoonal floods affected 33 million people across the country and claimed more than 1730 lives. Climate change has been identified as a contributing factor to the increasing frequency and severity of floods in Pakistan.

The climate crisis is having a profound impact on the daily lives and religious practices of millions of people

These climate pressures extend beyond immediate threats to survival. Climate change has also begun affecting food security in Muslim-majority regions, especially during Ramadan, a holy month where fasting is practised from dawn until dusk. In communities already grappling with the impacts of droughts or floods, maintaining food stocks for Ramadan can become a significant challenge. In Somalia, where cycles of drought and flash floods have eroded food systems, many families are forced to navigate long-standing shortages, with climate-induced shocks compounding existing vulnerabilities.

August 2019: A member of Greenpeace Indonesia’s Forest Fire Prevention (FFP) team holds a carbon monoxide meter as Muslims attend Idul Adha prayers at Darussalam Mosque. Haze from forest fires blankets the area in Palangkaraya City, Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. High atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, combined with deforestation-induced dry conditions, further exacerbate these fires. © Ulet Ifansasti / Greenpeace

Food insecurity is a worsening crisis as global warming affects harvests, disrupts fisheries, and drives up food prices, making the observance of Ramadan particularly strenuous, both physically and economically. This brings climate change into the daily lives and religious practices of millions in profound ways, reminding us that the climate crisis is as much a social and economic issue as it is an environmental one.

Islamic finance: a financial system grounded in ethical responsibility

Islamic finance has been operating in the global financial system for decades, providing an ethical foundation rooted in Islamic principles that promote fairness, social responsibility, and environmental stewardship.

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Islamic Social Finance for Climate Action at COP 28 in Dubai. © Marie Jacquemin / Greenpeace
December 2023, COP28: An Islamic Social Finance For Climate Action event co-hosted by UNHCR and Greenpeace MENA (as part of the Ummah for Earth Alliance) explored the critical role of Islamic Social Finance in addressing global humanitarian and climate challenges. © Marie Jacquemin / Greenpeace

Ethical banking is a core pillar of Islamic finance. Through principles like zakat (charity) and waqf (endowment for public good), Islamic finance encourages financial activity that uplifts communities, supports sustainable projects, and avoids investments in industries harmful to people and the planet. 

Many Islamic financial institutions in countries like Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia already support projects aimed at protecting the environment and enhancing social welfare. Success stories are already emerging. Malaysia’s green sukuk initiative has mobilised billions for renewable energy projects, while the UAE’s recent US$3.9 billion in green sukuk issuance demonstrates growing momentum. Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 has allocated US$50 billion for renewable initiatives, targeting an emissions reduction of 278 million tons by 2030. 

A US$400 billion opportunity for climate action

While Islamic finance principles already provide a framework that aligns well with sustainability, there is still much room to strengthen its role in addressing the climate crisis, enhancing resilience in vulnerable communities, and shifting investments towards clean, renewable energy.

A new report by Greenpeace Middle East & North Africa (MENA) (as part of the Ummah For Earth Alliance) and the Global Ethical Finance Initiative (GEFI), highlights the transformative potential of Islamic finance in accelerating the global transition to renewable energy and addressing the triple planetary crisis: climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss.

The report shows that the Islamic finance industry continues its robust expansion, with assets projected to reach USD$ 6.7 trillion by 2027, and that a strategic allocation of just 5% toward renewable energy and energy efficiency initiatives could mobilise approximately USD$ 400 billion by 2030 – a transformative sum for climate-vulnerable regions.

In the build up to COP26, in October 2021, the Ummah for Earth alliance delivered a message to world leaders through a projection on the Glasgow Central Mosque close to the conference venue. The coalition solarised the Glasgow central mosque with around 120 solar panels. © Ummah For Earth / Greenpeace MENA
In the build up to COP26, in October 2021, the Ummah for Earth alliance delivered a message to world leaders through a projection on the Glasgow Central Mosque close to the conference venue. The coalition solarised the Glasgow central mosque with around 120 solar panels. © Ummah For Earth / Greenpeace MENA

Islamic finance can help foster climate-resilient infrastructure, restore and protect biodiversity, and finance climate adaptation projects in at-risk communities. By explicitly directing funds away from fossil fuels and into green energy projects, Islamic financial institutions like the Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) can lead by example, especially in regions that are both vulnerable to climate impacts and hold significant influence in the global fossil fuel market. These institutions must accelerate their commitment to renewable energy investments.

As climate impacts intensify, Islamic finance offers a bridge between faith-based values and practical climate solutions. The convergence of Islamic finance and climate action represents more than a financial opportunity – it’s a moral imperative aligned with Islamic principles of environmental stewardship (khalifah) and balance (mizan).

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Islamic finance, grounded in ethical principles and community responsibility, has a unique role to play in the global climate movement, particularly in the Global South. For millions across the globe, this form of finance offers a culturally relevant and powerful instrument to not only protect their communities from the worsening climate crisis but to promote environmental and economic sustainability in ways that align with their beliefs. Islamic finance offers a bridge between economic strength and ethical stewardship, creating pathways toward a more equitable and sustainable world for all.

November 2024 - Islamic Finance & Renewable Energy Greenpeace MENA (member of the Ummah For Earth alliance), GEFI

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