Connect with us

Culture

The case for Aaron Judge, Juan Soto as MLB’s greatest offensive duo since Ruth-Gehrig

Published

on

The case for Aaron Judge, Juan Soto as MLB’s greatest offensive duo since Ruth-Gehrig

Sometimes it takes a while before it hits us what we’re watching.

One minute, we’re just doing what we do, tuning into baseball in 2024. The next, it begins to dawn on us. We’re witnessing something special.

Then we ask: Just how special? Next thing we know, we’ve taken a trip back in time, to that place where legends dwell. And that’s where Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have taken us.

It never feels comfortable to do what we’re about to do. But we’re about to do it anyway. As they near the finish line of an astonishing season in the modern-day incarnation of Yankee Stadium, Judge and Soto are connecting the dots to a very different incarnation of Yankee Stadium.

Is it OK to argue this? That we’re watching the 21st-century version of the two most prodigious and productive teammates who ever played baseball? Can we really connect those dots, from Judge and Soto to Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig? I think we can.

Advertisement

They’re not the same — in many ways. I get that. Ruth and Gehrig were all-time behemoths, cranking out seasons we’ll never see again. I get that, too. But am I crazy to make this comp? I don’t think I am. I’m not alone.

“I think you’re on firm ground,” said STATS Perform’s Steve Hirdt, one of baseball’s most prominent and all-knowing historical minds.

“Just the fact that you’re contemplating it might answer your question,” said Buck Showalter, former manager of two New York baseball teams, the Yankees and Mets. “And the fact that it’s so interesting to contemplate is the beauty of baseball. You’ve just described the beauty of baseball — that we can ask those questions and compare guys from different eras.”

We’re about to make that comparison in all sorts of ways. You’ll have fun thinking about it. I promise. But you should also know that not everyone who got dragged into this project agrees with its premise. Of course they don’t.

“Here’s where it’s crazy,” said Bob Costas, whose perspective, as baseball’s foremost broadcaster/historian/poet laureate, was invaluable, even if we didn’t find ourselves in the same lane. “Obviously, Ruth and Gehrig did it together for a sustained period of time. And for Judge and Soto, this is just the first year. It could be the only year. So right there, the whole comparison would break down.”

Advertisement

OK then! But I never went into this under the illusion that one year of historic 2024 domination equals the incomparable nine-season run of Ruth and Gehrig.

I just think we should recognize that what we’ve watched, over these last six months, is the two best offensive seasons, side by side, by any two teammates, in most of our lifetimes. Here’s why.

The thing that separates Judge and Soto


Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have had plenty to celebrate this season. (Wendell Cruz / USA Today / Imagn Images)

I can hear you off in the distance. You have some names for me. You have some thoughts for me. I can guess the names of other famous duos that are swirling in your head.

Roger Maris/Mickey Mantle … Henry Aaron/Eddie Mathews … Willie Mays/Willie McCovey/Orlando Cepeda … Gehrig/Joe DiMaggio … David Ortiz/Manny Ramirez … Johnny Bench/Joe Morgan … Ken Griffey Jr./A-Rod.

There are more. Shout ’em out. Drop them in the comments section. I hear you. I’m open to any and all of them. I can just assure you I checked out every one of these — and lots more.

Advertisement

How Judge and Soto are different from all those great duos? It’s the combination of power and on-base skills that makes them unlike any other set of teammates you can name.

I went way, way back in time. There is no other teammate tag team that has hit this many balls over the fence, done this much extra-base damage, created this many runs, walked this many times, reached base this many times or seen this many pitches … at the same time, in the same season. Other than one pair:

Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig.

Now let’s document that for you. Facts are always good!

The homers/walks daily double

Judge and Soto rank 1-2 in all of baseball in walks. They rank first and third in the American League in homers, with Soto (40) close behind Baltimore’s Anthony Santander (43) for the No. 2 slot after Judge. Home runs and walks often go together in modern baseball. But to have two teammates overpowering the sport in both — together — is probably more rare than you think.

Advertisement

I asked my friends from STATS Perform to dig into this, and lots more, for this piece.

Teammates in top 3 in BB and HR in their league, AL/NL history

 YEAR TEAMMATES

2024 

Judge/Soto

1931

Advertisement

Ruth/Gehrig

1930 

Ruth/Gehrig

1927

Ruth/Gehrig

Advertisement

(Source: STATS Perform)

They’re 1-2 in everything!


Aaron Judge leads the majors in home runs, RBIs, walks, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. (Wendell Cruz / USA Today / Imagn Images)

OK, Bobby Witt Jr. and Shohei Ohtani also play baseball. So it’s not quite true that Judge and Soto rank first/second in MLB in every category. But it’s close.

Heading into Thursday, the day of The Ohtani Game and also the day Soto banged up his knee, Soto and Judge owned the leaderboard in a set of categories that measure greatness across a wide spectrum of skills.

1st/2nd in MLB in OBP — Ruth and Gehrig did that only once, in 1930.

1st/2nd in MLB in OPS* — Ruth and Gehrig did that three times, in 1927-30-31.

Advertisement

(*Update: Ohtani’s three-homer, five-extra-base-hit, 6-for-6 eruption Thursday blew up the MLB leader lists in many ways. One of those ways was, he moved past Soto to second in MLB in OPS. But Judge and Soto still rank 1-2 in the AL. Now back to our regularly scheduled programming.)

1st/2nd in MLB in times reaching base — Ruth and Gehrig did that four times, in 1927-28-30-31.

1st/2nd in MLB in walks — Ruth and Gehrig did that only once, in 1927.

1st/2nd in MLB in Win Probability Added — Ruth and Gehrig finished 1-2 in that “clutchiness” metric four times, in 1926-27-28-31. No AL teammates have done it since.

I acknowledge that other sets of teammates have finished 1-2 in some of these categories in the years since Ruth and Gehrig. Not many, but it’s happened. STATS did that math for us.

Advertisement

In OBP, there was Mickey Cochrane/Jimmie Foxx for the 1933 A’s, Ken Singleton/Ron Fairly for the 1973 Expos, Wade Boggs/Mike Greenwell for the 1988 Red Sox.

In walks, there was Joey Votto/Shin-Soo Choo for the 2013 Reds, Boggs/Dwight Evans for the 1986 Red Sox and Eddie Stanky/Augie Galan for the 1945 Dodgers.

There’s a slightly longer list, six duos long, in most times reaching base, with Joe Morgan/Pete Rose doing that twice.

But here’s why Judge and Soto belong in an orbit all their own: Because all those other guys showed up only on that list. Whereas Judge and Soto dominate every list. It’s just one more reason they keep pointing us back to Ruth and Gehrig. And guess what? We’re not done!

Production and patience

Have you checked out the bases on balls leaders lately? It’s unreal.

Advertisement

Judge — 129
Soto — 125

After them comes Kyle Schwarber … at 102! And no other player in the majors has more than 78 walks … meaning Judge and Soto both have about a 50-walk lead over the next-most-patient walk-grinders. Really?

Then there’s the RBI leaderboard, which shows Judge leading the league with 138. That’s 26 more than anyone else in the AL. Crazy. You’ll find Soto in the next group, as one of just six other AL hitters over 100, with 104. Now here’s why we mention that.

Teammates in history with 120+ BB and 100+ RBI

Judge/Soto

Advertisement

End of list

But what if we lower the bar to 115 walks for players in the 154-game era? That seems fair. So let’s do that — and only one other duo shows up from that era. Guess who?

Ruth/Gehrig, 1931

The OPS+ standard

Next up, it’s OPS+, Baseball Reference’s definitive metric for evaluating hitters’ seasons across all eras. If we don’t count the 60-game pandemic year, only two sets of teammates have ever had an OPS+ of 177 or better, side by side, over any full season. Yup! Those two:

Judge/Soto, 2024
Ruth/Gehrig, five times

Advertisement

(Source: Baseball Reference / Stathead)

The 600 Times On Base Club

With seven days left in this season, Judge and Soto have reached base a ridiculous 603 times combined — 314 by Judge, 289 by Soto. So welcome to the 600 Times on Base Club. Not surprisingly, that club has slightly fewer members than, say, your high school’s TikTok Club.

TEAMMATES FINISHING 1-2 AND COMBINING FOR 600 TIMES ON BASE*

Ruth/Gehrig, four times
Ted Williams/Johnny Pesky, 1947
Pete Rose/Joe Morgan, 1975
Wade Boggs/Mike Greenwell, 1988

(Source: STATS Perform; *modern era, 1901-2024)

Advertisement

But if Soto reaches base only one more time, he and Judge will do more than merely join this club. They’ll also be the first set of AL teammates to reach base at least 290 times apiece since … (how’d you guess?) Ruth and Gehrig.

Hold on, though. There’s more. Remember that all those visits to the basepaths have been accompanied by many, many baseballs soaring toward the bleacher creatures. So how about this!

TEAMMATES WITH 40+ HR AND 285+ TIMES ON BASE APIECE 

Judge/Soto, 2024
Ruth/Gehrig, three times

The long walks home


Juan Soto has racked up 125 walks, second only to Aaron Judge’s 129, even though he hits in front of the most dangerous hitter in baseball. (Michael Chow / The Arizona Republic / Imagn Images)

OK, just one more. Did you know Ruth and Gehrig never had a season in which they walked 120 times apiece? (Gehrig’s biggest walk years all came — here’s a shocker — when Ruth was gone or hurt.)

Advertisement

But here’s the Ruth/Gehrig walks tidbit that’s even more unfortunate: Because the intentional walk didn’t become an official stat until 1955, we can’t truly know how often Ruth was pitched around with Gehrig lurking behind him.

We know this, though: Nobody is pitching around Soto to get to Judge. Yet, amazingly, Soto still has piled up 125 walks — only one of them intentional. And that puts him in rare territory.

120+ walks, no more than 1 INT BB*

YEAR  HITTER  BB INT BB

2024 

Juan Soto 

Advertisement

125

1

1976

Jim Wynn  

127

Advertisement

1

1960 

Eddie Yost

125

1

Advertisement

1959

Eddie Yost

135

1

 (*Since 1955, when INT BB became an official stat)
(Source: Lee Sinins’ Complete Baseball Encyclopedia)

Advertisement

But Wynn and Yost weren’t hitting in front of anyone remotely similar to Aaron Judge. So that’s what made the one intentional walk Soto was issued — by the White Sox, on Aug. 15 — such massive news. Well, that and the fact that it led to Judge’s 300th career homer about four seconds later.

How often, I wondered, had any other hitter been intentionally walked to get to a man who would lead MLB in homers, RBIs and OPS that season? Baseball Reference’s Katie Sharp took a look.

Before Soto, only one man — in the 70 seasons where intentional walks were an official stat — ever had that happen. That was Will Clark, hitting in front of Kevin Mitchell, for the 1989 Giants. Except Mitchell was so un-Judge-like, it happened 11 times that season.

But what about the years before intentional walks were officially recorded? Baseball Reference and Retrosheet have tried to track them. So when was the last time it happened in that era? Ha. Thanks for asking. It was (who else) …

Babe Ruth … to get to Lou Gehrig … (in the first inning) … on Aug. 12, 1934. (And how’d that work out? The Red Sox got a bases-loaded double play out of it.)

Advertisement

I could do this all day long. But why do I have a feeling you’re catching on to where the numbers take us? So let’s do this another way. Let’s hear from the unlucky American Leaguers who have to face these dudes. Not surprisingly, they have some tales to tell.

What it’s like to manage against them

We begin with the Rays’ Kevin Cash, who got to experience this thrill ride 13 times this season.

“Discipline and damage,” Cash said. “They’re elite at both of them. I mean, Juan Soto is just not going to swing at a pitch that he doesn’t want to swing at. And Judge — anything he swings at has a chance of traveling 400 feet. They’re amazing. What they do is unbelievable.”

What it’s like to game plan against them

For this section, we spoke to an AL executive whose team ran into the Judge and Soto Show recently — and did not enjoy every minute of it.

“I think what’s probably most underappreciated in this,” he said, “is that everybody agrees that Soto is an all-time talent. And he’s having one of the better seasons of his career. And Judge has an OPS 150 points higher than him! It’s something like a 1.150 OPS to 1.000. Which means the difference between Judge and Soto is roughly the difference between Soto and Frankie Lindor (who ranks 22nd).

Advertisement

“So the magnitude of the greatness of Judge makes it impossible to just say, ‘We’ll let somebody else beat us beside Soto.’ Because if you don’t get Soto out — and he never chases, he walks all the time, and he just runs an at-bat in a way that’s so unique to the league. It’s like he’s in control of every pitch, even though he’s the hitter. And that is a really unique thing. It feels like he has the ball when the at-bat starts.

“And knowing that Judge is on deck — and he’s just staring at you, like this cartoonish figure in the on-deck circle who is leading the free world in offense — it makes it really hard. In some ways, it’s like they’re in 1997 playing offense, and everybody else is in 2024.”

What it’s like to pitch to them

Rays starter Ryan Pepiot actually used the word, “fun.” I wasn’t expecting that one. But why the heck not tell yourself what Pepiot tells his inner self — that “it’s a fun test. Every time you go out there to face those guys, you’re facing two of the best in the league, and show if your stuff really does play, right?”

Right! Let’s go with that. Now listen to him describe his most memorable battles with both of these guys, starting with his duel with Judge in a July 9 game in Tampa Bay.

“Judge hammers any fastball you can throw,” Pepiot said. “I think I threw him one fastball in three at-bats, and he absolutely crushed it, 113 miles an hour. It was just a single to right. But as I threw it, I was like, I didn’t get that up enough. … But you don’t realize how tall he is over the box. So that pitch would be up for anybody else. Just with him, it’s hard to get it all the way up there. So I was like: That ball flew past me. By the time I could get my head around, it was already in right field.”

Advertisement

Soto, meanwhile, took Pepiot deep last September, when Pepiot was still a Dodger and Soto was still a Padre. But in July, Pepiot struck out Soto. And just as you’d expect, Pepiot remembered everything about that sequence.

“I got Soto this year, and he ‘shuffled’ me (with the famed Soto Shuffle) on the pitch before,” Pepiot said with a laugh. “But I got him on the next pitch. I threw him a changeup, and he swung through it. But I threw him a heater the pitch before, and he ‘shuffled’ me. Normally, most of the time, you don’t see it. You’re getting the ball back, and you don’t see it. But I saw that one, and I was like: ‘You can’t really do that.’ But he’s done it to me plenty of times.”

What it’s like to manage them

Aaron Boone didn’t quite want to go there. He knows he’s managing two guys who are unlike just about anyone who has ever played baseball together. But the best since Ruth and Gehrig? If that meant Boone was Miller Huggins, the Yankees manager made the clear decision it was time to hedge this bet — but just barely.

“Yeah, I think when you try and put into context their season … it’s a short list of historic great duos,” Boone told The Athletic’s Brandon Kuty last week. “That’s Ruth-Gehrig. That’s Mantle-Maris. That’s (Big) Papi-(Manny) Ramirez. I’m sure there’s others. But I think they’re absolutely right in that conversation. Especially in the hitting environment today — to have two guys that are just, wow.”

So what do you say? I’ve furnished you with all the numbers that got us into this discussion. I’ve delivered direct quotes from the combatants. I even punctuated them with a “wow.” I feel like I proved this case. But have I?

Advertisement

The jury speaks


Case closed? (Wendell Cruz / USA Today / Imagn Images)

I turned to our jury members. They were mostly with me.

Steve Hirdt had only one reservation: “Obviously, I’d have to put Gehrig and Ruth in 1927 above what Judge and Soto have done,” he said … with good reason! But I’m not arguing that this Judge/Soto Show is superior to any Ruth/Gehrig season — only that it’s fair to use the expression: best since … So he’s in.

Cash and the AL executive I spoke with had zero problem with this premise. They didn’t particularly want to compare themselves with Connie Mack, trying to outfox those Yankees behemoths. But they get where I’m going with this.

“In any era that you put these guys in, they would stand out as generationally talented,” the exec said, “both in what they’re doing today and the track record. So when you talk about comparing them with Ruth and Gehrig, you could roll your eyes if it was somebody who was a flash in the pan, that we didn’t know.

“But these guys already have the credentials. They were on Hall of Fame tracks before. And now they’ve converged — to hit second and third for the New York Yankees.”

Advertisement

Bingo. So I only had to convince one holdout — Bob Costas.

I chipped away. I asked: What about the Yankee Factor? How can you not at least compare them when they’re all Yankees? He was good with that comp (mostly).

“Well, the Yankee factor is inevitable,” he conceded, “because it’s still called Yankee Stadium. And the monuments to Ruth and Gehrig are within sight. Judge is standing right in front of them.”

Except there’s a hole in that Yankee Factor argument. And Costas, naturally, didn’t miss it.

“But even though Judge is well on his way,” he said, “to being a truly historic player … it’s very, very difficult to compare anyone’s aura and impact in legend to Ruth, because he reinvented the game.”

Advertisement

Once again, though, I’m not arguing that! Have I said once that Judge is better — or projects a more sweeping aura — than Babe Ruth? Never!

I’d be happy to suggest that Judge is “Ruthian” — especially by 2024 standards. He has reached 60 homers once. He is chasing it again. He wears pinstripes. He’s larger than life. Sounds pretty Ruthian to me. I thought I could sense Costas beginning to come around.

“The very fact,” he said, “that these comparisons come up — that it occurs to us, and that you’ve got the backdrop of Yankee Stadium, the pinstripes, Yankees history, Judge’s standing already. … He’s the comp to Ruth. It may be a bit of a reach for Soto to be the comp to Gehrig. But for one year, this year? Maybe. And if Soto stays and they sustain it, maybe the comparison becomes valid, difficult as it is to compare across the years.”


The Judge-Soto comp with Ruth and Gehrig? Not everyone was completely convinced.  (MPI / Getty Images)

I should have rested my case right there. Oops. Costas kept going — and that didn’t turn out well for my presentation to the jury.

“But what we know for a fact,” he continued, “is that Ruth and Gehrig are firmly set in baseball legend — not because of one year or even two or three years, but because of a sustained run where they defined what it is to have a murderers’ row. …

Advertisement

“So if you look at this as like 1927, (Ruth and Gehrig) are in the midst of a legendary, sustained run — that literally, they are part of baseball lore, to the point where someone who doesn’t follow baseball knows who Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig are. There’s a movie that your grandmother liked about Lou Gehrig and the luckiest-man speech.”

Oh yeah. I know all about it. And with Judge and Soto — all right, I get it. No major motion pictures. Not even a “30 for 30” (yet). They’re not legends. They’re not part of a legendary team. There has been no legendary, sustained run — not by them or a franchise that hasn’t played a World Series game for 15 years. Good points!

However … have I ever tried to argue they were legends? No. Have I ever talked about sustained runs? No! Heck, I conceded many paragraphs ago that I was talking only about what Judge and Soto have done this year. And if we just stick to that one-year stuff, we haven’t seen anything like this since … well, you know.

So ultimately, Costas was willing to nudge himself about half an inch in my direction. I’ll take it.

“I certainly feel comfortable,” he said, “if I were writing the story, with saying they’ve put themselves in the discussion with such legendary duos. And if they sustain this for a few more years, then we’re looking at Ruth/Gehrig territory.”

Advertisement

All right then. Now … I’m resting my case. They’re in the discussion. We’ve had that discussion. And the evidence is overwhelming. I don’t know what the future of Judge and Soto looks like. I just know what 2024 looks like.

I think it looks kind of like two pinstriped mashers from nine decades ago.

Maybe you’re with me. Maybe you’re not. But just think about it — because that, as Buck Showalter said, is the beauty of baseball.

(Top image: Meech Robinson / The Athletic. Ruth and Gehrig: Bettmann / Contributor / Getty Images; Judge and Soto, center: Julio Aguilar / Getty Images; Judge and Soto, right: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images) 

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Culture

Grand Slam prize money is enormous. The economics of tennis tournaments is complicated

Published

on

Grand Slam prize money is enormous. The economics of tennis tournaments is complicated

Four times a year, one of the biggest and most important tennis tournaments in the world sends out an announcement full of dollar signs and zeroes with the words “record prize money” scattered liberally.

The four Grand Slams, the first of which begins Sunday in Melbourne, are the high points of the tennis calendar. Players at the 2025 Australian Open will compete for $59million (£47m) this year — over $6.2m more than last year. In 2024, the four tournaments paid out over $250m between them, while their leaders spent the year aligning themselves with the players who make their events unmissable, whose gravity pulls in the broadcast deals and sponsorships, with their own dollar signs and zeroes.

Led by Australian Open chief Craig Tiley, the Grand Slams led the movement for a so-called premium tour which would pare down the overloaded tennis calendar and guarantee top players always being in the same events, let alone time zones. It would also lock swaths of the globe out of the worldwide spectacle that tennis represents.

The great irony is that despite the largesse and the cozy relationship, the players get a smaller cut of the money at the Grand Slams than they do in most of the rest of the rest of that hectic, endless season — and a fraction of what the best athletes in other sports collect from their events. The Australian Open’s prize pool amounts to about a 15-20 percent cut of the overall revenues of Tennis Australia, the organization that owns and stages the tournament, which accounts for nearly all of its annual revenue. The exact numbers at the French Open, Wimbledon and U.S. Open vary, but that essential split is roughly a constant. The 2023 U.S. Open had a prize pool of $65m against earned revenue from the tournament that came out at just over $514m, putting the cut at about 12 percent. The U.S. Open accounted for just under 90 percent of USTA revenues that year.

The explanations from the Grand Slams, which collectively generate over $1.5bn (£1.2bn) a year, run the gamut. They need to dedicate hundreds of millions of dollars each year to fund junior tennis development and other, less profitable tournaments in their respective nations — an obligation pro sports leagues don’t have. There is a constant need to upgrade their facilities, in the silent race for prestige and primacy of which the constant prize money one-upmanship is just one element.

Advertisement

Aryna Sabalenka with her winner’s check at the 2024 U.S. Open. (Emaz / Corbis via Getty Images)

That dynamic is not lost on players — least of all Novak Djokovic, the top men’s player of the modern era and a co-founder of the five-year-old Professional Tennis Players Association (PTPA).

“I’m just going to state a fact,” Djokovic said during a post-match news conference in Brisbane last week.  “The pie split between the governing bodies in major sports, all major American sports, like NFL, NBA, baseball, NHL, is 50 percent. Maybe more, maybe less, but around 50 percent.

“Ours is way lower than that.”


Since 1968, the first year in which the four majors offered prize money as part of the Open Era’s embrace of professional tennis players, the purses have only grown. The 1968 French Open was the first to offer prize money, with Ken Rosewall earning just over $3,000 for beating Rod Laver in the final. The women’s singles champion, Nancy Richey, was still an amateur player, so could not claim her $1,000 prize. By 1973, lobbying from Billie Jean King helped convince the U.S. Open to make prize money equal for men and women through the draws; it took another 28 years for the Australian Open to do so year in, year out. Venus Williams’ intervention helped force the French Open and Wimbledon to follow suit in 2007.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

‘I think we deserve better’: How and why tennis lets women down

Advertisement

Fifty years after Rosewall’s triumph in Paris, the 2018 men’s champion Rafael Nadal took home $2.35million, an increase of over 73,000 percent. The year-on-year increases at each major are more modest, usually between 10 and 12 percent, but that percentage of tournament revenue remains steadfast, if not entirely immovable.

The Grand Slams argue that there are plenty of hungry mouths at their table, many more than just the 128 players that enter each singles draw each year.

Tennis Australia is a not-for-profit and a business model built on significant investment into delivering the event and promoting the sport to drive momentum on revenue and deliver consistently increasing prize money,” Darren Pearce, the organization’s chief spokesperson, said in a statement this week.

Money from the Australian Open also helps fund tournaments in Brisbane, Adelaide and Hobart, as well as the United Cup, the combined men’s and women’s event in Perth and Sydney. Pearce said the prize money increases outpace the revenue growth.

The Grand Slams also point to the millions of dollars they spend on player travel, housing, transportation and meals during tournaments, though team sport athletes receive those as well. Eloise Tyson, a spokesperson for the All England Lawn Tennis Club, which stages Wimbledon, noted that overall Grand Slam prize money had risen from $209million in 2022 to $254m last year, a 22 percent increase.

Advertisement

“Alongside increasing our player compensation year-on-year, we continue to make significant investment into the facilities and services available for players and their teams at The Championships,” Tyson wrote in an email.

Officials with France’s tennis federation, the FFT, which owns the French Open, did not respond to a request for comment.

Brendan McIntyre, a spokesman for the United States Tennis Association, which owns the U.S. Open, released a statement this week touting the USTA’s pride in its leadership on player compensation, including offering equal prize money and the largest combined purse in tennis history at the 2024 US Open. A first-round exit earned $100,000, up 72 percent from 2019. Just making the qualifying draw was good for $25,000.

“As the national governing body for tennis in the U.S, we have a broader financial obligation to the sport as a whole,” the organization said.

“The USTA’s mission is to grow tennis at all levels, both in the U.S. and globally, and to make the sport accessible to all individuals in order to inspire healthier people and communities.”

Advertisement

The infrastructure required to stage a Grand Slam tournament is vast — on and off the court. (Glen Davis / Getty Images)

None of the organizations outlined a specific formula for determining the amount of prize money they offered each year, which is roughly the same as a percentage of their parent organizations overall revenues. That may be a coincidence, though the Grand Slams also have the benefit of not facing any threat to their primacy.

The USTA’s statement gestures at how the structure of tennis contributes to this financial irony. In soccer, countries and cities bid to host the Champions League and World Cup finals; the Olympics changes every four years and even the Super Bowl in the NFL moves around the United States, with cities and franchises trying to one-up one another.

The four Grand Slams, though, are the four Grand Slams. There are good reasons for this beyond prestige: the infrastructure, both physical and learned, required to host a two- or three-week event at the scale of a major year in, year out is available to a vanishingly small number of tennis facilities around the world. There is no opportunity for another organization or event to bid to replace one of the Grand Slams by offering a richer purse or other amenities.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

A year ago, tennis was broken. It’s more broken now


This dynamic has been in place for years and has become more important in recent months. The PTPA has hired a group of antitrust lawyers to evaluate the structure of tennis. The lawyers are compiling a report on whether the the sport includes elements that are anti-competitive, preparing for a possible litigation with the potential to remake the sport.

Advertisement

The ATP and WTA Tours, which sanction 250-, 500- and 1000-level events as well as the end-of-season Tour Finals, give players a larger share of revenue. There is some disagreement between players and officials over how much it is and the methods of accounting; some player estimates hover around 25 percent, while tour estimates can be in the range of 40 percent. Both remain short of the team equivalents in the United States.

On the ATP Tour, the nine 1000-level tournaments have a profit-sharing agreement that, in addition to prize money, gives players 50 percent of the profits under an agreed-upon accounting formula that sets aside certain revenues and subtracts certain costs, including investments the tournaments make in their facilities. The WTA does not have such an agreement. It outlines a complex prize money formula in its rule book with pages of exceptions, not based on a guaranteed share of overall tour revenues.

The tours have argued that because media rights payments constitute a lower percentage of revenues than at the Grand Slams, and because the costs of putting on tournaments are so high, a 50-50 revenue share would simply turn some tournaments into loss-making entities and make tennis unsustainable as a sport.

James Quinn, one of the antitrust lawyers hired by the PTPA, said he saw serious problems with the model, describing a structure that prevents competition from rival tournaments.

Some events outside the 52-week program of tournaments — which see players earn ranking points as well as money — have official status (the Laver Cup is sanctioned by the ATP). But the remainder, such as the Six Kings Slam in Riyadh, which debuted this year and offered record prize money of over $6million to the winner, are not sanctioned, for now providing only a peripheral form of competition to ruling bodies’ control of the sport.

Advertisement

Jannik Sinner took home the money at the inaugural Six Kings Slam in Riyadh. (Richard Pelham / Getty Images)

The Grand Slams, ATP and WTA insist this is for the best. They see themselves as caretakers of global sport trying to bring some order where chaos might otherwise reign.

Djokovic doesn’t totally disagree. He understands tennis is different from the NBA. He’s led the Player Council at the ATP, which represents male professionals, and he has seen how the sausage gets made and how complicated it is with so many tournaments of all shapes and sizes in so many countries. At the end of the day, he still thinks players deserve more than a 20-percent cut, especially since the Grand Slams don’t make the kinds of contributions to player pension plans or end-of-the-year bonus pools that the ATP does, nor do they provide the year-round support of the WTA.

“It’s not easy to get everybody in the same room and say, ‘OK, let’s agree on a certain percentage,’” he said of the leaders of tournaments.

“We want more money, (but) they maybe don’t want to give us as much money when we talk about the prize money. There are so many different layers of the prize money that you have to look into. It’s not that simple.”

(Photos: Kelly Delfina / Getty Images, Steven / PA via Getty Images; design: Dan Goldfarb)

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Culture

6 New Books We Recommend This Week

Published

on

6 New Books We Recommend This Week

Our recommended books this week tilt heavily toward European culture and history, with a new history of the Vikings, a group biography of the Tudor queens’ ladies-in-waiting, a collection of letters from the Romanian-born French poet Paul Celan and a biography of the great German writer Johann Wolfgang von Goethe. We also recommend a fascinating true-crime memoir (written by the criminal in question) and, in fiction, Rebecca Kauffman’s warmhearted new novel about a complicated family. Happy reading. — Gregory Cowles

One of Europe’s most important postwar poets, Celan remains as intriguing as he is perplexing more than 50 years after his death. The autobiographical underpinnings of his work were beyond the reach of general readers until the 1990s, when the thousands of pages of Celan’s letters began to appear. The scholar Bertrand Badiou compiled the poet’s correspondence with his wife, the French graphic artist Gisèle Lestrange-Celan, and that collection is now available for the first time in English, translated by Jason Kavett.

NYRB Poets | Paperback, $28


Wilson’s biography of the German polymath Johann Wolfgang von Goethe (1749-1832) approaches its subject through his masterpiece and life’s work, the verse drama “Faust” — widely considered perhaps the single greatest work of German literature, stuffed to its limits with philosophical and earthy meditations on human existence.

Bloomsbury Continuum | $35

Advertisement

Through a series of vignettes, Kauffman’s fifth novel centers on a woman determined to spend Christmas with her extended family, including her future grandchild and ex-husband, and swivels to take in the perspectives of each family member in turn.


People love the blood-soaked sagas that chronicle the deeds of Viking raiders. But Barraclough, a British historian and broadcaster, looks beyond those soap-opera stories to uncover lesser-known details of Old Norse civilization beginning in A.D. 750 or so.

Norton | $29


Fifteen years ago, Ferrell gained a dubious fame after The New York Observer identified her as the “hipster grifter” who had prowled the Brooklyn bar scene scamming unsuspecting men even as she was wanted in Utah on felony fraud charges. Now older, wiser and released from jail, Ferrell emerges in this captivating, sharp and very funny memoir to detail her path from internet notoriety to self-knowledge.

St. Martin’s | $29

Advertisement

In her lively and vivid group biography of the women who served Henry VIII’s queens, Clarke, a British author and historian, finds a compelling side entrance into the Tudor industrial complex, showing that behind all the grandeur the royal court was human-size and small.

Continue Reading

Culture

Is Mikel Arteta right – do footballs really make a difference to performance?

Published

on

Is Mikel Arteta right – do footballs really make a difference to performance?

This article was updated on January 9 to reflect the ball being used in Sunday’s FA Cup third round game between Arsenal and Manchester United.


Mikel Arteta was in no doubt.

Arsenal’s manager was dissecting a painful 2-0 home defeat against Newcastle United in Tuesday’s Carabao Cup semi-final first leg when — unprompted by any journalist in the room — he raised an unlikely issue that, he felt, helps explain his team’s inability to convert any of their 23 shots on the night into goals.

“We also kicked a lot of balls over the bar, and it’s tricky that these balls fly a lot, so there are details that we can do better,” Arteta said in the post-match press conference.

When asked to expand on his comments later, he added: “(The Carabao Cup ball) very different to a Premier League ball, and you have to adapt to that because it flies differently. When you touch it, the grip is also very different, so you adapt to that.”

Advertisement

Arsenal were certainly profligate, with Gabriel Martinelli, Kai Havertz and Jurrien Timber all spurning fine opportunities. But was the ball being used — the Orbita 1, made by German manufacturer Puma  — really to blame?

Newcastle forwards Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon seemed to have no issues with it as they converted their own side’s chances, and the ball hadn’t held Arsenal back in previous rounds in the competition, where they scored 11 goals in three games against Preston North End, Bolton Wanderers and Crystal Palace.

Arteta’s complaints were met with a sceptical response in many quarters, not least from the English Football League (EFL), which organises the Carabao Cup, English football’s No 2 cup competition after the FA Cup.

“In addition to the Carabao Cup, the same ball has been successfully used in other major European leagues, including both Serie A and La Liga and our three divisions in the EFL,” it said in a statement. “All clubs play with the same ball (in the competition), and we have received no further comments of this nature following any of the previous 88 fixtures which have taken place in this season’s Carabao Cup.”

Puma is yet to respond to The Athletic’s request for comment.

Advertisement

But was Arteta’s outburst so outlandish? There are, after all, two external factors (aside from the players) which materially affect the outcome of a football match — the pitch and the ball. It stands to reason, therefore, that any unexpected variation in either of those could potentially influence the outcome.

As Premier League clubs, Arsenal and Newcastle are used to training and playing with the Nike Flight ball. U.S. company Nike has supplied the footballs used in England’s top flight since the 2000-01 season, when it replaced British firm Mitre as ball manufacturer, and players have prepared for and played with its balls in league matches ever since. Occasionally, however, they are obliged to change.

Arsenal also feature in the Carabao Cup, FA Cup and Champions League this season, with a different ball (made by other manufacturers) used in each instance. In addition to Puma’s Orbita 1, Adidas supplies the balls for the Champions League and Mitre for the FA Cup.

On Thursday, it was confirmed that the ball being used in Sunday’s third-round tie with Manchester United at the Emirates Stadium would be a special gold edition of the Ultimax Pro model — a nod to United having won the competition last season.

Though they all have similar dimensions and are made from similar materials, slight alterations in design can make a marked difference.“The more ‘perfect’ a ball is, the more likely it is to be erratic,” says Justin Lea, founder of ball manufacturer Hayworth Athletic. “They all have their own personalities. If you look at the FIFA ball rules, there are ranges for everything. A ball can only retain a certain amount of water if a field is wet. There’s a range to the sphericity of the ball and the bounce of the ball.”

The game’s laws state a regulation size-5 ball must be 68-70cm (26.8-27.6in) in circumference and weigh between 410 and 450 grams (14-16 oz) at the start of the match. It must also be inflated to a pressure of 0.6-1.1 bars at sea level.


The Premier League is using the Nike Flight 2024 ball (Matt McNulty/Getty Images)

“There’s a certain amount of intuition with a ball,” says Lea. “The Brilliant Super from Select, for example, kind of goes where you want it to go. But the more ‘perfect’ a ball is, the more likely it is to be erratic. Some with thermal bonding technology and higher-end materials can get so spherical that the dynamics and the trajectory change. They can go in a lot of different directions.”

Advertisement

At the 2010 men’s World Cup in South Africa, it wasn’t just the honking sound of fans blowing vuvuzelas, a trumpet-like musical instrument, in the crowd that dominated discussion. Adidas’ now infamous Jabulani was also a hot topic, becoming arguably the most recognised and disputed ball in the sport’s modern history.

The Jabulani consisted of eight thermally bonded panels with a textured surface (named Grip ‘n’ Groove by Adidas), which were said to improve aerodynamics. For the players in that World Cup, however, it proved to be a nightmare, with goalkeepers and outfield players alike complaining about the balls swerving uncontrollably after being kicked.

“It’s sad that such an important competition has such an important element like this ball of appalling condition,” said Iker Casillas, whose Spain side would go on to win the final, in comments reported by the BBC. According to Brazilian news outlet O Globo, meanwhile, Brazil player Julio Cesar described it as “horrible” and like “the ones sold in supermarkets”.


Casillas did not like the 2010 World Cup’s Jabulani ball (Lluis Gene/AFP via Getty Images)

One of the most vehement opposers was former Liverpool midfielder Craig Johnston, who became an expert in the appliance of science to football equipment after his playing career ended and helped design the original Adidas Predator boot. In a 12-page letter of complaint to world football governing body FIFA’s then president Sepp Blatter that was acquired by UK newspaper The Daily Telegraph, Johnston wrote, “Whoever is responsible for this should be taken out and shot for crimes against football.”

The general contemporary opinion surrounding the Jabulani was that it was not fit for purpose, but it was not universally disliked.

Advertisement

Clint Dempsey, who sneaked a shot under goalkeeper Rob Green’s body to equalise in the USMNT’s 1-1 group-stage draw with England, said in a pre-tournament press conference reported by FOX Sports: “If you just hit it solid, you can get a good knuckle on the ball… you’ve just got to pay a little bit more attention when you pass the ball sometimes.”

It also provided former Uruguay and Manchester United striker Diego Forlan with his defining tournament.

His former national-team colleague Diego Abreu told Uruguayan outlet El Futbolero in 2020 that Forlan got Adidas to send him a Jabulani three months before the World Cup started, and that he would practise shooting and taking free kicks with it. As it transpired, Forlan finished as the tournament’s joint-top scorer, with his five goals helping Uruguay reach the semi-finals. Such was his mastery of the Jabulani, he also left South Africa with the Goal of the Tournament award and the Golden Ball, presented to whoever gets voted the competition’s best player.


Forlan practised extensively with a Jabulani before the 2010 World Cup (Rodrigo Arangua/AFP via Getty Images)

The Jabulani remains possibly the most extreme modern example of a football’s effect on the quality and trajectory of a shot, and it’s unlikely we will see an outlier like that again. Still, many players feel noticeable differences when switching between different makes of balls even 15 years later.

“When I went to the Premier League, and I started playing with the Nike ones compared to the Mitre balls in the Championship, I found they felt so much lighter,” says former Reading and Cardiff City striker Adam Le Fondre. “I felt like I was going to get a bit more movement with it.

Advertisement

“Mitre balls were more like cannonballs. They wouldn’t move or deviate off plan — they’d act in a straight manner. As a striker, you might want to get a bit more of a wobble on it, or even if you don’t connect with it well, the Nike ball in the Premier League might still have gone in. They gave me a little bit more help.”

It’s not just in football this happens, either.

In October, Los Angeles Lakers head coach JJ Redick complained about using new basketballs instead of already broken-in ones in the NBA.

“I’m gonna send in a request for the league tomorrow that we play with worn-in basketballs,” Redick, who previously spent 15 seasons in the NBA as a player, told various outlets in a post-match press conference. “I’m not sure why we can play in real games with brand-new basketballs. Anybody who has ever touched an NBA ball brand new — it has a different feel and touch than a worn-in basketball.”


Lakers head coach Redick was unhappy at using new basketballs rather than worn-in ones (Sam Hodde/Getty Images)

At the beginning of the 2021-22 season, the NBA switched its ball manufacturer from Spalding to Wilson, which was cited as one of the reasons for a slump in shooting percentages across the league. “It’s just a different basketball. It doesn’t have the same touch and softness the Spalding ball had,” said Philadelphia 76ers forward Paul George in a post-match press conference. “You’ll see a lot of bad misses this year. You’ve seen a lot of airballs (shots that miss the hoop, net and even backboard entirely). Again, not to make an excuse or put any blame on the basketball, but it is different.”

Advertisement

It wasn’t long before players became accustomed to the different feel of the Wilson balls, and shooting percentages rose again. Still, it highlights how minor differences can affect elite athletes who are familiar with a particular piece of equipment.

Arsenal used the Puma Orbita 1 in training on Monday during the short turnaround between their 1-1 Premier League draw with Brighton on Saturday and the meeting with Newcastle (who have had extra time to get used to the Puma ball, as they entered this season’s Carabao Cup one round earlier than Arsenal, due to the latter getting a bye having qualified for Europe). But, judging by his comments, Arteta must surely be wondering if he should roll them out sooner in preparation for the decisive second leg at St James’ Park on February 5.

Besides, any extra time his players get with those balls could serve as Forlan-like preparation for next season — Puma has a deal to be the official football supplier to the Premier League from 2025-26 onwards.

(Top photos: Arteta and the controversial Orbita 1; Getty Images)

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending