You’re at a dinner gathering. You know, the kind where arguments break out over everything from politics to sports. Then someone, usually the “finance guy” of the group, leans in and says, “If only we had bought Bitcoin 10 years ago.” You roll your eyes. Everyone has that friend. The table erupts in groans. Someone jokes, “Yeah, and if only we had bought land in Mumbai in the ’90s!” Everyone laughs, but deep down, there’s an uneasy truth hanging in the air. You know what they’re saying is right!
Now, imagine that conversation happening not at a dinner table, but inside India’s central bank or finance ministry. The regret isn’t about an individual’s lost opportunity, but about our failure to act as a nation. India, often touted as one of the fastest-growing economies and a future global powerhouse, has yet to secure its stake in the digital asset revolution. By not investing in cryptocurrencies, India risks missing out on one of the most asymmetric financial opportunities of the century.
We have a choice to make: we can either start gradually building strategic cryptocurrency reserves now, leveraging digital assets for diversification and as hedges against financial uncertainty, or wait until these assets become too difficult to accumulate at scale.
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Cryptocurrencies aren’t an experiment anymore. While Bitcoin is the most widely adopted, making it the primary example in this discussion, the broader argument applies to cryptocurrencies as a whole. The Bitcoin network has been operational for over 99.98% of the time since its inception in 2009. Cryptocurrencies have survived wars, regulatory crackdowns, and multiple financial crises. If you had bought Bitcoin at any point and held it for any period of four years, history shows you would have never lost money. Fast forward to the present, and we see major institutions like BlackRock, sovereign wealth funds, and even some national governments securing their exposure to cryptocurrencies as part of their long-term economic strategies.
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Unmatched in contemporary financial history, Bitcoin has increased in value by almost 200X within the past ten years alone. For context, this performance outpaces even the most successful stocks of the last decade. Even NVIDIA grew about 50X and Apple about 10X during the same period. If another asset class showed even close to these returns, we would be stockpiling it as if there were no tomorrow and considering it the ultimate source of value. So, why do we hold cryptocurrencies to such different and higher standards? Does the skepticism still make sense?
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There is no denying the fact that the crypto space has seen various scams, rug pulls, meme coins, and bad actors, just like any emerging financial system throughout history. That’s exactly why regulation is necessary and long overdue, to protect investors and ensure responsible adoption. But none of this takes away from the fundamental appeal of cryptocurrencies.
So, here’s the real question… If individuals, corporations, and even some governments are leveraging cryptocurrencies as a strategic asset, why shouldn’t India do the same?
India is a fast-growing economy that is deeply integrated into global trade and exerts sizable influence in the global economy. Despite this, India does not have the privilege of a global reserve currency like the US dollar. Consider this: India represents over 17% of the global population and contributes approximately 7% of global GDP, yet remains vulnerable to external economic shocks. While we have built a strong and well-functioning financial system, our reserves remain concentrated in traditional assets like gold and foreign exchange. A strategic cryptocurrency reserve could serve as a forward-looking hedge against future financial uncertainty.
As the world’s fifth-largest economy with over $600 billion in forex reserves, India’s economic decisions carry global weight. A strategic cryptocurrency allocation would not only diversify our national reserves but could potentially reduce our vulnerability to US dollar fluctuations and provide a hedge against global monetary instability.
Diversification: The Age-Old Wisdom That Still Holds True
Ask any central banker, fund manager, or financial advisor, and they will all agree that diversification is key to successful investing. You don’t put all your eggs in one basket, and you certainly don’t bet the future of an economy on a single asset class. India has always taken a diversified approach, including gold, foreign exchange reserves, and a mix of assets to weather economic storms. But in a world that’s rapidly digitizing, are we really diversified if we’re ignoring digital assets? This becomes particularly relevant as these assets tend to have little correlation with the performance of traditional assets.
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So, let’s get one thing clear: Bitcoin isn’t the new digital gold, nor is it here to replace gold. It’s an evolution of value, bringing new utility and possibilities that gold never needed to offer.
Gold and Bitcoin share fundamental traits; both are scarce, resilient, and serve as hedges against uncertainty in different ways. Gold’s value is rooted in tradition and history, while Bitcoin’s is defined by its fixed supply and its digital, decentralized nature.
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But they serve different purposes. Gold is stable, tangible, and time-tested. Bitcoin is borderless, programmable, and built for a digital economy. Bitcoin offers properties that gold cannot match: it can be transferred anywhere in the world in minutes, divided into microscopic fractions, and secured with cryptographic protocols that make theft or confiscation virtually impossible with proper security practices. One preserves value; the other expands its possibilities. If gold is the anchor that keeps wealth steady, then cryptocurrencies are the bridge to the financial future. Neither needs to replace the other; they need to work together.
The US Is Making Big Crypto Moves… Will India Catch Up or Lag Behind? While we debate whether digital assets deserve a place in sovereign reserves, the United States is already making decisive moves. President Donald Trump recently signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, signaling a significant shift in how nations perceive and utilize digital assets. He has even joked about solving America’s deficit with Bitcoin! That might be a stretch, but what’s clear is that they’re taking this seriously.
India stands at a unique geopolitical crossroads, with the opportunity to chart its own path between China’s crypto prohibition and America’s increasing embrace. With our strategic position in the Indo-Pacific region and our growing economic influence, India’s approach to cryptocurrency reserves could become a model for other emerging economies while strengthening our financial sovereignty.
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Meanwhile, we’re seeing entire publicly listed companies built around Bitcoin as a core asset. Take Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy (now Strategy), which started as a software firm and has now become a Bitcoin powerhouse, holding over $42 billion worth of BTC. This strategy has paid off handsomely. MicroStrategy’s stock has appreciated by over 1,500% since launching its Bitcoin treasury strategy in August 2020. It’s no longer just an investment for some; it’s the foundation of an entire corporate strategy. Countries like El Salvador have adopted Bitcoin as legal tender. According to Chainalysis’ 2023 Global Crypto Adoption Index, India ranks among the top 10 countries globally for cryptocurrency adoption!
If the US and large corporates are preparing for a world where digital assets play a major role in sovereign strategy, why are we still waiting on the sidelines? China tried banning Bitcoin. It didn’t work. The US is embracing it. What’s going to be our move?
The Rising Utility of Cryptocurrencies An argument that keeps resurfacing is that ‘Crypto is just speculation.’ But reality tells a different story. Digital assets aren’t just another investment class; they’re shaping industries in real-time.
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Take payments: Companies like Microsoft, Starbucks, and AT&T now accept Bitcoin and stablecoins for transactions. The financial system is shifting, whether we like it or not.
Look at investment vehicles: The US’ approval for Bitcoin ETFs has made it easier for institutions to enter the market. Within the first three months of approval, US Bitcoin ETFs attracted over $12 billion in inflows, demonstrating massive institutional demand. More liquidity, more mainstream adoption.
Think about remittances: Millions of people send money across borders every day. Crypto allows them to do it faster, cheaper, and without higher transaction costs, especially in regions with underdeveloped financial markets. The World Bank estimates that remittance fees average 6.4% globally, while cryptocurrency transfers can reduce this to under 1%, saving developing economies billions annually.
India receives over $130 billion in yearly remittances. That’s roughly 15% of all remittances worldwide! Cryptocurrency-based transfers could save Indian families billions in fees while dramatically reducing settlement times from days to minutes. This represents both an economic and social benefit for millions of Indian households.
Then there’s DeFi (Decentralized Finance). The total value locked in DeFi protocols exceeds $100 billion, demonstrating significant market confidence in these new financial systems. The future of finance isn’t being debated; it’s being built on blockchain. And as the real-world utility of digital assets continues to grow, so does their value.
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A Smarter Approach: Start Small, Scale Fast The argument is about making a strategic, forward-thinking move that positions India at the forefront of the digital economy.
The approach? Start small, think big. A 1-2% allocation in digital assets is a measured step, not a gamble. Track its performance, take cues from early movers like the US, El Salvador, and even large companies like MicroStrategy, and refine the approach as we go. Encourage Indian financial institutions to experiment with crypto-backed financial instruments in a limited way. Instead of waiting on the sidelines, we can proactively shape a regulatory framework that fosters innovation while ensuring stability.
This approach aligns perfectly with India’s broader digital transformation goals under the Digital India initiative. Just as we’ve digitized payments, government services, and identification systems, a measured approach to cryptocurrency reserves represents the next frontier in our digital leadership journey.
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Why Crypto Reserves Make Sense for India
India must think about how we want to position ourselves for the future. Holding digital assets could give India an edge by reducing reliance on external financial systems and insulating us from geopolitical and monetary shifts. It’s about economic sovereignty in a world where financial landscapes are changing fast.
We’ve seen this playbook before. India wasn’t the first mover in digital payments, but we built UPI into a system that the world now looks up to. The same can be done with sovereign crypto reserves… not by following, but by leading. The long-term appreciation of digital assets has been staggering. Cryptocurrencies have outpaced traditional assets in returns, proving that they’re more than just a gamble. A small allocation today could translate into massive financial strength in the coming decades.
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India possesses another unique advantage: the world’s largest pool of technology talent. Our engineers and developers are already contributing to blockchain projects globally. A national strategy for cryptocurrency reserves would not only benefit from this expertise but could potentially create a new sector of high-skilled jobs and innovation hubs across the country, strengthening India’s position as a global technology leader.
Crypto isn’t going away. The real question is… will India be a leader or a follower?
While the Reserve Bank of India has expressed valid concerns about cryptocurrencies in the past, a carefully regulated strategic reserve approach addresses these concerns while capturing the benefits. Many countries, including Singapore and Japan, have demonstrated that thoughtful regulation can mitigate risks while fostering innovation. India has the regulatory sophistication to thread this needle successfully.
We can either start building a strategic reserve today, or in five years, we’ll be at another dinner party, hearing someone say, “If only India had bought Bitcoin back in 2025…” The time to act is now. Let’s not wait until it’s too late.
About the Author Anurag Arjun, co-founder of Avail, is a seasoned entrepreneur who has founded several successful startups across diverse industries, including cash flow lending, regulatory tech, and blockchain infrastructure. He entered the blockchain space in 2017 with the co-founding of Matic Network, which evolved into Polygon Labs — one of the most prominent platforms for scaling Ethereum.
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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
While studies reveal institutional investors and wealth managers believe tokenized ETFs will drive mainstream market adoption for cryptocurrency, there looms the theft of bad actors that most often go untraceable.
Currency throughout history that became mainstream
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Barriers to the expansion of tokenization are starting to fall as major investment firms consider launching tokenized ETFs, according to new global research by London-based Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), Europe’s leading digital assets hedge fund manager founded by alumni of Bankers Trust, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan.
Its study with institutional investors (pension funds, insurance asset managers and family offices) and wealth managers at organisations which collectively manage over $14 trillion in assets found almost all (97%) believe the potential launch of tokenized ETFs such as BlackRock’s will be important to the expansion of the sector with nearly one in three (32%) rating the development as very important.
The study also reflected the belief that tokenization will continue to grow, with nearly 70% of respondents believing that fund managers looking to tokenize investment funds and asset classes will increase over the next three years.
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Nickel’s research with firms in the US, UK, Germany, Switzerland, Singapore, Brazil and the United Arab Emirates found growing awareness of the benefits of tokenization. Private markets are seen as offering the greatest potential for tokenization, with almost 70% seeing private equity funds as the asset class with the most opportunity, followed by fixed income (55%) and public equities (42%).
Anatoly Crachilov, CEO and Founding Partner at Nickel Digital, said: “Tokenization is quickly moving from theory to real-world adoption as institutional investors grow more comfortable with its benefits and see major players enter the space. When firms like BlackRock step in, it fundamentally shifts the conversation. This development is timely for our multi-manager vehicle as expanding liquidity depth will allow some of our pods to start trading tokenized assets in the coming months.”
To address potential criminal threat, an advanced detection system to identify and trace blockchain funds connected with criminal activity was presented earlier this week at the Annual CyberASAP Demo Day in London.
The system, called SynapTrack, enables faster and more accurate detection of fraudulent activity using blockchains and cryptocurrencies, where traditional anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing systems struggle to keep pace.
Although current fraud detection methods pick up unusual activity, they deliver an extremely high rate (40%) of false positive reports. These require manual checking by compliance professionals, resulting in backlogs in identifying and acting on suspicious activity.
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The SynapTrack system is designed to deliver a substantially lower rate of false positives. It has already been tested using real-life data from the notorious 2025 Bybit hack, where criminals stole $1.5bn of digital tokens from a cryptocurrency exchange. SynapTrack traced the hacker with 98% accuracy.
The team behind SynapTrack is keen to hear from exchanges, financial regulators or law enforcement agencies who want to test the prototype in real-world conditions.
SynapTrack uses a validated methodology to score the likelihood of transactions being part of a money laundering scheme. It has a self-improving algorithm that continuously adapts to new tactics – dynamically identifying suspicious patterns in blockchain transactions. It has a universal cross-chain capability, and is designed around how compliance teams work, presenting results in a dashboard. No infrastructure changes are needed for installation.
It is relatively easy to obscure fraudulent or criminal activity by moving funds between blockchains, or dispersing them across many blockchains, in what are known as ‘cross-chain’ transactions. It is these transactions that pose the greatest difficulty for existing anti-money laundering systems.
SynapTrack was developed by University of Birmingham computer scientists Dr Pascal Berrang and PhD student Endong Liu, in collaboration with blockchain developer Nimiq. Dr Berrang’s research is in IT security and privacy on blockchain, artificial intelligence and machine learning. The subject of Endong Liu’s PhD is transaction tracing. Nimiq is supporting with blockchain-specific insights, knowledge of real-world constraints, and implementation.
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The team is currently fundraising to ensure regulatory readiness and complete the team with a CEO and software developers.
Dr Berrang said: “The last few years have seen a near-exponential growth in blockchain transactions. While many of these are legitimate, blockchains are attractive to criminals as funds can be moved very quickly to other jurisdictions. Our work with Nimiq and the creation of SynapTrack is addressing this black spot, and will enable more effective regulation, making the whole ecosystem of blockchain safer and more trustworthy.”
With the financial market and cybersecurity industry converging, cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $65,000 before pulling back to $64,700 as the Iran conflict continued to escalate through Saturday.
Iranian state media reported at least 70 killed in its Hormozgan province, per Aljazeera, including a strike on an elementary school. Israel activated air raid alerts after detecting fresh missile launches from Iran.
Trump told the Washington Post that “all I want is freedom for the people.” NATO said it was “closely following” developments, China urged an immediate ceasefire, and Turkey offered to mediate.
Bitcoin’s inability to hold $65,000 on the bounce suggests sellers remain in control, but the relative stability given the severity of the headlines points to thin weekend order books rather than active selling pressure.
Headline risks persist for BTC traders as the U.S. day progresses.
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What happened earlier
Earlier in the day, BTC neared $63,000 in Saturday trading after the U.S. and Israel launched military strikes on Iran, pushing the largest cryptocurrency down roughly 3% in a matter of hours and extending what had already been a difficult weekend for risk assets. The move brought bitcoin to its lowest level since the Feb. 5 crash, when the token briefly dipped below $60,000.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz declared an immediate state of emergency across all areas of Israel. A U.S. official confirmed American participation in the strikes, The Wall Street Journal reported.
The sell-off follows a well-established pattern. Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, while equity and bond markets are closed on weekends.
That makes it one of the only large, liquid assets available for traders to sell when geopolitical risk spikes outside of traditional market hours.
The result is that bitcoin often acts as a pressure valve for broader risk-off sentiment during weekend events, absorbing selling that would otherwise spread across equities, commodities, and currencies if those markets were open.
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The attack risks a wider regional conflict in one of the most economically sensitive parts of the world, following a month-long U.S. military buildup and failed negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program.
Both Ethereum(ETH 6.03%) and XRP(XRP 3.76%) are tried-and-tested blockchains which have survived (and sometimes thrived) for years on end. That means they’re both sturdy enough to be candidates for a big investment, like $5,000, and for holding over the very long term, or even forever.
So which of these two leading coins is the better option for a forever hold?
Image source: Getty Images.
Ethereum has more ways to grow
Forever is a long time, especially for an investment in an emerging sector like crypto. Therefore, an asset’s optionality regarding where it can derive growth is a key factor, as today’s growth drivers might peter out and new ones are likely to emerge.
On that front, Ethereum has plenty of options. It already hosts a large decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem worth more than $53 billion today, powered by a massive stablecoin base of $159 billion. That existing base of capital is a strategic asset because it gives developers and financial institutions a reason to build new products right where liquidity already lives. It also gives investors exposure to many possible growth lanes at once, from the onboarding of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) to the development of new settlement rails for payments between AI agents.
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Today’s Change
(-6.03%) $-123.58
Current Price
$1924.97
Key Data Points
Market Cap
$232B
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Day’s Range
$1898.54 – $2048.55
52wk Range
$1398.62 – $4946.05
Volume
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20B
Another advantage is that Ethereum has a track record of consistently shipping large protocol upgrades. The Pectra upgrade, for example, landed on the mainnet in May 2025, followed by the Fusaka upgrade in December. Two similarly large feature packages are expected for 2026, and they should help to build the chain’s ability to scale up without spiking transaction costs.
If you plan to hold an asset indefinitely, this network’s culture of iterative improvement reduces the risk that its technical capabilities will become irrelevant as emerging opportunities for growth arise. Its habit of attracting and retaining substantial capital also helps prevent that outcome.
XRP has to keep winning specific fights over time
XRP is not a bad crypto asset by any means, but its long-term burden is its far narrower positioning than Ethereum.
Ripple, the coin’s issuer, built the XRP Ledger (XRPL) ecosystem as a toolkit of financial technologies to support specific workflows in institutional finance, especially cross-border payments and money transfers, and, more recently, the management of tokenized asset capital. The coin’s value is thus derived from the utility of its ledger.
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That focus could pay off if the financial companies the chain targets like what it’s offering, but it also concentrates risk. Financial institutions move cautiously, and winning them over is a slow, grinding process of catering to their needs and building strong relationships. Their technology adoption process can stall for years, even when the product works, and decision-makers broadly want to adopt the new tech.
To Ripple’s credit, the XRP Ledger includes plenty of features that match institutional requirements and seek to minimize their potential pain points. The network’s authorized trust lines, for instance, let tokenized asset issuers whitelist who can hold their issued tokens, which is a feature that supports regulatory constraints around who can legally custody an asset. Similarly, the ledger supports freezing tokens when suspicious activity appears, which is a control that traditional finance teams tend to expect in regulated asset workflows.
Today’s Change
(-3.76%) $-0.05
Current Price
$1.35
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Key Data Points
Market Cap
$83B
Day’s Range
$1.34 – $1.42
52wk Range
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$1.14 – $3.65
Volume
2.8B
But holding a coin forever is unforgiving of sustained competitive pressure, which XRP doubtlessly faces. Its competitors include fintech companies and other cryptocurrencies, not to mention the internal tech development capabilities of many of its target users in big banks. So it’ll need to continuously one up the other players in its space if it’s going to grow over the long term, and it’s hard to believe that it’ll win every round that counts.
The verdict
The decision here is about resilience and resources.
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Ethereum’s “grizzled veteran” reputation today stems from surviving numerous shifts in user demand patterns while maintaining a large on-chain capital pool and growing it all the while. Its success or failure in any given crypto market segment is not guaranteed, nor was it in the past, but its constant evolution has ensured that failures are not fatal, and also that missed opportunities aren’t very damaging overall.
XRP, on the other hand, is only just starting to scale up its on-chain capital base; it has only $418 million in stablecoins. Furthermore, while it has succeeded in attracting some financial institutions to its chain, the truth is that its growth trajectory has not yet been seriously tested, and is still finding an appropriate product-market fit. Its real competitive challenges have only just begun.
So if you want a coin to buy with $5,000 and hold forever, pick the asset that can win without needing to be perfect: Ethereum. XRP is still a decent long-term hold, assuming it’s part of a diversified crypto portfolio, but it’s riskier.