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The Trade War Has Crushed Crypto: 1 Cryptocurrency That Could Still Win | The Motley Fool

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The Trade War Has Crushed Crypto: 1 Cryptocurrency That Could Still Win | The Motley Fool

Crypto prices have collapsed as President Donald Trump’s trade war has expanded. Across the board, crypto prices are down for the year, and many show little sign of recovery anytime soon.

Against a backdrop of escalating tariffs, investors are moving from risky assets to less risky assets, and that makes any cryptocurrency an easy candidate to drop from a portfolio. But there’s one cryptocurrency that could still win, and that’s Bitcoin (BTC -0.19%).

Bitcoin as digital gold

During the past 30 days, Bitcoin is up 14%, primarily due to the revival of the digital gold investment thesis. In the eyes of many investors, Bitcoin is starting to behave just like physical gold, and that makes it extraordinarily valuable. During times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin could be a potential store of value.

While there is still skepticism about this digital gold thesis, there is also a growing body of evidence to suggest that Bitcoin holds up even better than gold during moments of peak economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Last September, BlackRock issued a 10-page report, titled as “Bitcoin As a Unique Diversifier,” that examined six different external shocks to the world economy that occurred between 2020 and 2024, including the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

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In five of six cases, Bitcoin performed better than gold over the long haul. And in half of the cases, Bitcoin performed better than gold over both the short term and long term. So that gives me a lot of confidence that Bitcoin can still be a winner, even if the trade war escalates further. As investors come to grips with the consequences of tariffs, they are likely to turn to Bitcoin as a store of value. That could explain why Bitcoin has started to rally during the past 30 days.

Institutional adoption

The second major factor is a ramp-up in institutional adoption of Bitcoin during the past 18 months, thanks primarily to the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) last year. They have now hauled in more than $100 billion from investors looking for an easy way to get exposure to Bitcoin.

Arguably, these Bitcoin ETFs, which started trading back in January 2024, were the most successful new product launch from Wall Street in decades. And they are attracting all sorts of investors. First were the hedge funds. Then came the big Wall Street investment banks. And then came the first wave of big institutional investors, such as pension funds. Next up could be big sovereign wealth funds.

At the same time, another form of institutional adoption is coming from within the U.S. government. Trump campaigned on a pro-crypto platform, and has already taken several steps to advance Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. The centerpiece move was the creation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve back in March, which officially designates Bitcoin as a national strategic asset.

Bitcoin as a new reserve currency?

The current uncertainty around tariffs has a lot of smart people on Wall Street talking about the potential demise of the U.S. dollar as the reserve currency of the world. The dollar is now trading at three-year lows, U.S. equities are down sharply, and long-term Treasury yields are on the rise. Combined, this starts to paint a picture that investors are getting out of dollar-denominated assets.

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Image source: Getty Images.

The fancy term for this is “de-dollarization,” and it refers to a world in which the U.S. dollar eventually loses its reserve currency status. With that in mind, one currency that is now being talked about as a potential replacement for the U.S. dollar is Bitcoin. It’s global, it’s non-sovereign, and it is not tied to the specific economic fortunes of any country.

Admittedly, this scenario is likely a long way off, but it hints at the long-term staying power of Bitcoin and its growing importance to the global financial system. It also suggests that, even in a worst-case meltdown of the global economy, Bitcoin might still be a winner.

Bitcoin as a portfolio diversification tool

As BlackRock pointed out last year in its report, Bitcoin has a very unique risk-reward profile. In some ways, it acts as a “risk on” asset. And in other ways, it acts as a “risk off” asset.

Right now, given all the economic uncertainty, I’m less focused on Bitcoin’s “risk on” properties, and more focused on its “risk off” properties. The trade war might have crushed crypto, but it won’t be able to crush Bitcoin.

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Washington State Targets Kalshi in Illegal Online Betting Lawsuit

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Washington State Targets Kalshi in Illegal Online Betting Lawsuit

Is Kalshi Legal in Washington State? AG Says No, Files Suit

The complaint, filed in King County Superior Court, targets Kalshi‘s binary event contracts, wagers priced between one cent and 99 cents that pay out $1 to winners and nothing to losers. Washington argues those contracts meet the state’s statutory definition of gambling under RCW 9.46.0237: “ staking or risking something of value upon the outcome of a contest of chance or a future contingent event not under the person’s control.”

Brown’s office is seeking a permanent injunction, full restitution for Washington residents’ losses, disgorgement of Kalshi’s profits, and civil penalties for each violation. Investigators also want a full accounting of every Washington user’s transactions.

The AG’s office did not limit its targets to sports betting. The complaint accuses Kalshi of offering markets on elections, Supreme Court cases, entertainment outcomes, public health data, and international conflicts. “For Kalshi, every event, every tragedy is nothing more than a potential way for Americans to risk their fortunes,” Brown said in a statement accompanying the filing.

Kalshi, founded in 2018 and publicly launched around 2021, operates as a CFTC-designated contract market for event contracts — a category of commodity derivatives. The company expanded aggressively into sports betting in 2025 and has marketed its platform as “legal betting in all 50 states.”

The company moved the case to federal court immediately after the filing, citing exclusive federal jurisdiction. A Kalshi spokesperson said Brown’s office had a scheduled meeting with Kalshi before filing suit and that going forward with the complaint was premature. Kalshi also disputed specific market claims in the complaint, saying it does not offer war markets as alleged.

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Washington has among the strictest gambling statutes in the country. Its 1889 state constitution prohibited gambling on state lands. The 1973 Gambling Act tightly limited most forms of wagering, and the 2006 legislation explicitly banned online gambling. State officials insist Kalshi operates outside all three frameworks.

Washington is not acting alone. At least 11 states have issued cease-and-desist orders against prediction market platforms. Arizona filed criminal charges against Kalshi in March 2026. Nevada obtained a temporary restraining order barring Kalshi from offering sports, politics, and entertainment markets, and a separate 60-day preliminary injunction covering Coinbase’s Kalshi-powered products. An Ohio federal judge ruled Kalshi must follow state gambling laws for sports betting.

Kalshi has also notched federal wins. Courts in New Jersey and Tennessee ruled in its favor. A case in Michigan involves rival platform Polymarket, which filed preemptively. Utah, where Kalshi sued to block a proposed ban, remains active.

The legal conflict centers on a direct clash between state police powers and federal commodities law. The CFTC has issued guidance on manipulation and is weighing additional rules. Trump administration CFTC Chair Brian Selig and prior agency amicus briefs have sided with federal preemption.

Legal experts tracking the cases say the disagreement could reach the U.S. Supreme Court. States argue prediction market platforms are sportsbooks operating without state licenses, targeting young adults through leaderboards, push notifications, and influencer promotions. Kalshi disputes that framing, saying its exchange is structurally different from state-regulated sportsbooks and casinos.

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Washington residents using Kalshi may lose access to the platform while litigation proceeds. The state’s restitution claim draws on the Recovery of Money Lost at Gambling Act, which allows consumers to reclaim gambling losses.

The case is in its earliest stages. The federal transfer ruling will determine which court hears the matter first.

FAQ 🔎

  • What is Kalshi being sued for in Washington? Washington AG Nick Brown alleges Kalshi operates an illegal online gambling service in violation of the state’s Gambling Act and Consumer Protection Act.
  • Is Kalshi legal in Washington State? Washington says no — the state is seeking a permanent injunction to block Kalshi from operating within its borders.
  • How does Kalshi respond to the Washington lawsuit? Kalshi moved the case to federal court, arguing it operates under exclusive CFTC jurisdiction that preempts state gambling laws.
  • What states have taken action against Kalshi? Washington, Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, and at least 11 other states have filed lawsuits, criminal charges, or cease-and-desist orders against Kalshi or rival prediction markets.
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Bill aims to protect victims in NH from crypto ATM scams

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Bill aims to protect victims in NH from crypto ATM scams

Victims scammed at cryptocurrency ATMs in New Hampshire could be reimbursed if they report the fraud within 14 days under a bill that cleared the Senate Thursday. The bipartisan legislation aims to stem an increase in cryptocurrency scams that cost Granite Staters $22 million in 2024.

A crypto scam plays out like most financial fraud, except the scammer persuades the victim to deposit cash into a cryptocurrency ATM. Once the ATM converts the money into cryptocurrency, it becomes very difficult to trace and reclaim.

Hampton’s police chief told lawmakers just over $2.6 million was lost to scammers in his town in 2024. The average age of the victims was 66.

Sen. Virginia Birdsell, a Hampstead Republican, urged colleagues to pass the legislation in the Senate Thursday.

“This is becoming a scourge on our elderly,” she said.

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Under the bill, cryptocurrency ATM operators would have to hold a person’s first deposit for 48 hours to give them time to cancel it if they detect a scam. Operators could not accept more than $2,000 a day from a person. And operators would have to refund a scam victim if the victim reports fraud to the operator and authorities within 14 days.

Nearly 25 other states have similar laws, though many allow a victim to be funded within 90 days of a deposit.

Massachusetts is suing a crypto ATM operator, Bitcoin Depot, for allegedly allowing criminals to scam victims with its machines. Maine reached a $1.9 million settlement with the same operator this year and is giving victims until Wednesday to file a claim.

The New Hampshire bill heads next to the House.

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Crypto ATM Count Falls to 38,928 as 597 Machines Exit the Market in Q1 2026

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Crypto ATM Count Falls to 38,928 as 597 Machines Exit the Market in Q1 2026

Crypto ATM Data 2026: 597 Net Removals

Recent figures show the global count of crypto ATMs edged close to the 40,000 mark this month, yet data recorded on March 29, 2026, reveals a net reduction of 769 machines. The year opened with a drop of 139 crypto ATMs, followed by the addition of 231 new installations in February.

An additional 80 units were installed at the beginning of March, according to Coin ATM Radar’s net growth logs, though the removal of 769 machines ultimately pushed the year’s total to a net loss of 597. As of this weekend, the global tally of crypto ATMs sits at 38,928 machines. Geographic data from Coin ATM Radar shows the U.S. holds 30,247 of those units, representing 77.7% of the total.

Image source: coinatmradar.com

Canada follows with 3,839 crypto ATMs, accounting for 9.9% of the worldwide figure. Europe maintains 1,727 machines, or roughly 4.4% of the overall count of 38,928. Taken together, the U.S., Europe, and Canada host 35,813 machines, comprising 92% of the global share. The remaining 8% is distributed across Asia, Oceania, and other regions.

The crypto ATM tracking site further indicates that the top ten global operators collectively oversee 30,450 machines, representing 78.2% of the total. The industry’s leading provider is Bitcoin Depot, which runs a commanding 9,246 machines (23.8% market share). It is followed by Coinflip with 5,493 machines (14.1%) and Athena Bitcoin with 4,045 machines (10.4%).

Rockitcoin holds a solid footprint with 2,757 machines (7.1%), while Bitstop and Margo operate 2,372 (6.1%) and 2,138 (5.5%) machines, respectively. Stats further show that bitcoin ( BTC) remains the most widely supported asset, available across nearly all machines tracked worldwide by Coin ATM Radar.

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Following bitcoin, altcoins as a collective category are supported by 38,910 machines, suggesting that nearly every ATM offering bitcoin also includes at least one alternative asset. Among individual altcoins, ethereum ( ETH) leads with support at 22,200 locations, closely followed by litecoin ( LTC) at 21,292 and tether ( USDT) at 19,894.

Roughly 91.6% of crypto ATMs are configured to facilitate cryptocurrency purchases, while the remaining machines support both buying and selling of digital assets. Logs from Coin ATM Radar offer a revealing snapshot of recent crypto ATM reductions in 2026, showing that the 40,000 threshold remains just out of reach for the industry at present.

Whether the crypto ATM count clears 40,000 this year depends largely on whether operators expand or continue pulling machines. The numbers show a market sorting itself out; large providers like Bitcoin Depot, Coinflip, and Athena hold the majority of installations, while smaller operators account for the gap. With North America controlling over three-quarters of the global count, the industry’s direction remains tied closely to conditions in a single market.

FAQ 🔎

  • How many crypto ATMs are there in the world in 2026? As of March 29, 2026, Coin ATM Radar tracks 38,928 active crypto ATMs globally.
  • Which country has the most Bitcoin ATMs? The United States leads with 30,247 machines, representing 77.7% of the worldwide total.
  • Who is the largest crypto ATM operator in 2026? Bitcoin Depot operates 9,246 machines, giving it a 23.8% share of the global market.
  • What cryptocurrencies do crypto ATMs support? Bitcoin is available at nearly all machines, with ethereum supported at 22,200 locations and litecoin at 21,292.
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