Crypto
Tether: Too Many Risks (Cryptocurrency:USDT-USD)
One of the most polarizing cryptocurrencies in the entire industry is the stablecoin Tether (USDT-USD). With a market capitalization of over $83 billion, USDT is the third-largest crypto coin after Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and Ethereum (ETH-USD). The coin is designed to maintain a 1 for 1 peg with the US Dollar and is used for DEX trading and on-chain lending protocols. One of the big reasons why Tether has been polarizing is due to questions regarding what and where the coin’s issuer holds collateral for the token’s backing.
Types of Stablecoins
There are essentially three different types of stablecoins that have had market success to this point:
- Algorithmic
- Crypto-collateralized
- Fiat-collateralized
Algorithmic coins are unique because the backing of those coins could be considered the code rather than actual assets. That code is designed to adjust the supply of the tokens outstanding depending on demand thresholds for the coin. Developers of coins like this aim for a mechanism that maintains a stable peg. This doesn’t always work well, and the most relevant example of an algorithmic stablecoin is probably UST, which notoriously collapsed in May 2022 when Terra Luna (LUNC-USD) melted down.
Crypto-collateralized coins generally have overcollateralized backing from one or several cryptocurrencies. Maker’s DAI (DAI-USD) is the most notable example of a crypto-collateralized coin and has a 190% collateralization ratio backed by Ethereum and a handful of other tokens. A recently launched algorithmic stablecoin on Cardano (ADA-USD) aims for a 400% collateralization rate.
The fiat-collateralized coins are theoretically the safest because they’re minted by a central issuer when a user deposits real dollars with that issuer. Circle’s USD Coin (USDC-USD) and Paxos Trust (BUSD-USD) are good examples of fiat-backed stablecoins. Tether is the biggest fiat-backed stable coin.
The Stablecoin Market
The fiat-backed coins are by far the preference from major market participants, judging by the size of the circulating supply. According to data from DeFi Llama, just under 94% of the $129.3 billion in total stablecoin market capitalization is from fiat-backed coins. Tether is a fiat-backed stablecoin, but it has generally carried a bit more skepticism than some of the other large fiat-stablecoin peers like USDC due to what many believe to be poor transparency regarding what is backing the USDT in circulation.
Despite that skepticism, Tether has bucked the recent redemption trend in the USD-denominated stablecoin market and has actually seen a roughly 25% increase in supply (green line) while USDC (blue line) and BUSD (yellow line) have seen heavy redemptions since the FTX (FTT-USD) collapse. This dynamic intensified in March when USDC and DAI briefly lost their pegs following the banking problems in the traditional finance industry while Tether actually traded slightly above $1:
Tether notably did not see a de-pegging in Mid-March, when USDC and DAI briefly fell by more than 10%. DAI’s peg went lower because USDC is one of the assets that DAI uses as collateral. USDC lost its peg because it had exposure to Silicon Valley Bank (OTC:SIVBQ). A small portion of the collateral that was used as backing for the USDC supply in circulation was held with SVB, and there were questions about how Circle would be able to manage a run on USDC.
Tether Collateral
Even though it didn’t lose its peg in March, there have been several red flags pointed out about Tether through the years from independent analysts and financial journalists. Those red flags have led to claims that Tether is either an offshore hedge fund with more exposure to risk than competing stable issuers at best or an alleged fraud at worst.
Earlier this year, Forbes reported Tether’s collateral was held with Cantor Fitzgerald, Capital Union, and Ansbacher. The latter two are Bahamas-based banks. In Tether’s most recent quarterly attestation, the company claimed $81.8 billion in total assets backing $79.4 billion in liabilities as of May 9th:
Roughly 65% of those assets are held in US Treasuries and just under 2% is held in Bitcoin. Tether claims to have an asset surplus of a little over $2.4 billion.
Where is the USDT?
Beyond the questions about what exactly Tether the company is holding as collateral and where that collateral is being held, a clear risk that I personally see regarding Tether the coin is that more than half of the USDT in circulation is on the Tron (TRX-USD) blockchain:
Like Tether, Tron is a somewhat controversial topic within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Tron was started by crypto whale Justin Sun back in 2017. More recently, the SEC sued both Justin Sun and the Tron Foundation for a variety of alleged infractions; including selling unregistered securities and participating in manipulative trading. In the past, reports from third-party data analysts have speculated that as much as 84% of the activity on Tron has been from wash trading.
TVL Rank
Network
Protocols
Total Stables
Top Stable
1
Ethereum
805
$69.23b
USDT:48.22%
2
Tron
22
$45.15b
USDT:94.82%
3
Binance
605
$5.68b
USDT:59.56%
4
Arbitrum
341
$1.86b
USDC:62.95%
5
Polygon
424
$1.52b
USDT:44.62%
Source: DeFi Llama
From a DeFi standpoint, Tron is among the most concentrated blockchains in the entire cryptocurrency industry with just 22 protocols, reliance on the top protocol for 65% of total chain TVL, and a stablecoin footprint that is 95% dominated by USDT. In my opinion, Tether and Tron are highly reliant on each other. If there is ever a serious failure or stoppage of the Tron blockchain, redemption of the $43 billion USDT on that network could become challenging.
Bitcoin Backing
Like other stablecoins in the crypto market, Tether does have some collateral backing to Bitcoin. In mid-May, Tether announced it would be adding to that Bitcoin position by using up to 15% of operating profit to buy additional BTC for collateral backing. Tether’s CTO Paolo Ardoino said the following:
Our investment in Bitcoin is not only a way to enhance the performance of our portfolio, but it is also a method of aligning ourselves with a transformative technology.
This alignment with Bitcoin apparently isn’t just limited to holding more BTC in reserve. In late May, Tether announced it would begin putting resources to work in the Bitcoin mining sector in Uruguay. The company chose this location due to its 94% reliance on renewable energy.
Summary
Tether remains one of the great mysteries in the crypto market. Many have wondered very openly if the company actually has enough liquid collateral to meet redemptions if the token were to experience a run on assets. Even if you take the view that Tether’s balance sheet is structured as the company says it is, I believe there are still several valid reasons to avoid USDT anyway. First, Tether’s issuance and redemption are through a centralized, offshore entity. Like Circle, Tether has the power to freeze assets or ban usage at the wallet address level and has done so to a larger degree than USDC:
Furthermore, fiat-backed cryptocurrencies introduce traditional finance industry risk to an ecosystem that is built to disrupt traditional finance. When exposed to USDT, the holder has exposure to the blockchain network and its validators, the centralized entity that mints and redeems the tokens, the custodian of the collateral for that centralized entity, and then the collateral itself. There are other stablecoin projects that are instead overcollateralized by blue-chip cryptocurrencies and the backing is verifiable on-chain. I think those are much better options for on-chain swaps and DeFi lending.
Editor’s Note: This article covers one or more microcap stocks. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.
Crypto
'Wild west of finance': Why are there cryptocurrency ATMs?
The Canberra region has about 39 cryptocurrency ATMS, but for locals who haven’t engaged with digital currency before their presence can be confusing.
Cryptocurrencies, or cryptos, are digital tokens that allow people to make payments directly to each other through an online system.
The ATMS were created as an alternative payment method to remove the middleman of banks through a de-centralised system.
When transferring crypto, thousands of computers worldwide verify the transfer, instead of one bank.
Bought and sold on digital marketplaces called exchanges, cryptocurrencies don’t have any intrinsic monetary value — they are worth whatever people are willing to pay for them at the market on a given day.
Currently, Bitcoin is both the most popular crypto and the crypto with the highest monetary value, at about $150,000 per coin.
So if the main purpose of crypto is to be digital, why do crypto ATMs exist, and are they useful?
How do they work?
There is no tangible data on how many Australians are accessing the ATMs, however as of last July, according to YouGov, about 1.3 million NSW residents, 801,000 Victorians, 850,000 Queenslanders, 294,000 South Australians, and 462,000 WA residents said they currently owned crypto.
Award-wining technology journalist and founder of technology publication Pickr, Leigh Stark, told ABC Radio Canberra the primary function of a crypto ATM is to turn real money into digital money, or vice versa.
In order to use a crypto ATM a person must already have a crypto wallet that can generate a QR code.
At a crypto ATM the digital currency can be bought, sold, or both, but Mr Stark said most only offer access to between five and 10 of the major cryptocurrencies — almost always including Bitcoin.
Selling cryptocurrency through a crypto ATM means swapping it for its current market value in cash or with a debit card.
You can also buy cryptocurrency with cash or a debit card at a crypto ATM.
Mr Stark said he didn’t know “if there’s necessarily a need” for cryptocurrency ATMs.
“I can understand why some people might want to take some of their money out of it, so effectively turning a digital coin that only exists on the internet into hard money, that kind of makes some sense to me,” he said.
“But buying crypto through it, I’m not entirely sure I understand that — largely because of the amount of exchanges that exist online.
“I feel like they would be a better approach for actually buying crypto, not even just because of the money transfer, but also because there are a lot more options for what you invest in on an online exchange.”
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Mr Stark warned taking money out from some crypto ATMs was taxable, and it was up to a user to remember and file.
“So the ATMs, effectively, they still have to abide by Australian government regulation regarding how they work,” he said
“But the whole thing about crypto and managing to take your money out of it, it qualifies as part of the capital gains tax.
“Not all crypto ATMs work that way, but if you take your money out, you have to remember what you did as a form of event, and file that information later on.”
Are Canberrans using Bitcoin ATMs?
Mr Stark said because a Bitcoin ATM usually only offered access to a selection of major cryptocurrencies, their usefulness depends on what exchanges a person invests in.
And they don’t all support selling, which is how a person can get money from them.
“Not every Bitcoin ATM works as a form of exchange, that’s for selling currency and they don’t all do that.
“In fact, far fewer support selling than they do buying.”
Mr Stark said crypto ATMs in the Canberra region typically accepted a maximum of $25,000 in cash, but he suspected the majority of users wouldn’t be carrying that much cash with them.
But he said much smaller amounts were not uncommon.
“I mean the reality is, if you put in 20 bucks, that’s 0.000013 of a single Bitcoin,” he said.
“[But] you absolutely could buy that small amount of crypto, and that’s quite normal.”
Mr Stark said often people begin buying crypto in these very small amounts and then decide whether to buy more depending on whether its value increases.
“Crypto is kind of the wild wild west of finance, depending on what type of coin you get, whether it’s one of the big ones like Bitcoin or one of the small ones like Shiba Inu or Ethereum, or anything like that, you might end up with a small amount that spirals into a big one,” he said.
“You might be one of those success stories, it seems highly unlikely, but you could be just waiting for it to get higher and higher.”
Are they used for scams or crime?
In order to use the financial proceeds of crime, or ‘dirty money’, it first needs to be laundered to hide its illegal origins.
Cryptocurrency offers a sophisticated way to do this by turning it into digital currency.
However, every crypto transaction is recorded on a blockchain — essentially a publicly available, online ledger — so to make the dirty money truly clean, the crypto is then put through a mixer service.
These services mix cryptocurrency together from a number of different users, which obscures the transaction trails and makes it very difficult to trace the original source.
Mr Stark said it wouldn’t shock him if Bitcoin ATMs were being used for criminal enterprises like money laundering or money mule activities.
“I’ve not seen it, but likewise, I’ve also never seen anyone actively use a Bitcoin ATM before,” he said.
“I’ve never had a reason to, and that’s kind of the point.
“But maybe I’m coming at the wrong times, maybe there are people coming through with $25,000 at 1am and I just have no idea.”
As for using them in scams, Mr Stark said that was less about the ATMs and more about cryptocurrency as a whole.
He said if someone is asking you to get Bitcoin for them “it’s probably a scam”.
“There are a lot of different scams out there, and Australians lose billions every year, but yes, if somebody has asked you to buy them crypto or said that you need to give them crypto in order to get something in return, it’s very likely a scam,” Mr Stark said.
“Some of the Bitcoin ATMs have been used for things like that, and so now the Australian government is effectively trying to track and work out how those actually work in relation.”
Crypto
Trump to designate cryptocurrency as a national priority
As President-elect Donald Trump begins a second term on Monday, he plans to issue an executive order making cryptocurrency a national priority, Bloomberg reports.
The order is meant to guide government agencies to work with the industry and possibly pause crypto-related litigation, according to Bloomberg, which cited unnamed people familiar with the matter. Trump also plans to create a crypto advisory council to advocate for the industry’s policies, per Bloomberg, and has suggested creating a national bitcoin stockpile.
This would mark a new era for crypto, an industry that collapsed two years ago after prices crashed. The period was marked by the fall of FTX, a leading exchange that went bankrupt that year. Its founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, was convicted of defrauding customers and sentenced to 25 years in prison.
The industry resurged in 2024, boosted by Trump, a former skeptic who pledged to turn the U.S. into the crypto capital of the world. Eager for a clear governing framework and a friendlier watchdog, donors poured tens of millions of dollars into pro-crypto candidates’ campaigns.
Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency with a dog mascot and billionaire Elon Musk as a fan, surged in value after Trump won and announced a non-governmental cost-cutting group nicknamed DOGE.
Trump then nominated crypto ally Paul Atkins to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission, the federal agency that led a crackdown under the Biden administration. Bitcoin surged to $100,000 for the first time following the announcement. “CONGRATULATIONS BITCOINERS!!! $100,000!!!” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “YOU’RE WELCOME!!!”
Crypto companies and investing platforms like Coinbase, Robinhood, Kraken and Ondo Finance Inc. have made $1 million donations to his inauguration. Ripple plans to donate $5 million in the form of its own digital token, and the industry is holding an “Inaugural Crypto Ball” to support Trump, Bloomberg reports.
Trump’s business interests include World Liberty Financial, a crypto platform he and his sons launched last year with Steve Witkoff, a friend and inaugural committee co-chair who has been named special Middle East envoy. The Trumps are not employees of the business but promote it, and an entity affiliated with Trump, DT Marks DEFI LLC, is entitled to receive 75% of the revenues.
In mid-November, the Financial Times reported that Trump Media — the parent company of Trump’s social media platform, Truth Social — was in talks to buy Bakkt, a crypto trading firm previously led by Kelly Loeffler, another co-chair of his inaugural committee.
Trump’s 2024 financial disclosures show he owned as much as $5 million worth of the crypto token ethereum, a crypto token that has surged in value since the election, according to The New York Times.
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Crypto
Donald Trump plans to make cryptocurrency a national priority: Report
Donald Trump, who is going to take office as the 47th US President on January 20, is planning to issue an executive order that will elevate cryptocurrency to a national priority in the United States, reported Bloomberg.
The move is expected to signal a policy shift and provide the crypto industry with a more prominent role in shaping government decisions.
According to sources mentioned in the report, the order will designate cryptocurrency as a national imperative, encouraging government agencies to collaborate with the industry. Additionally, it is likely to establish a cryptocurrency advisory council to advocate for the sector’s policy needs.
Bitcoin was trading at $101,021.39, with a market cap of $2 trillion at the time the article was being written.
CRYPTO INDUSTRY’S INFLUENCE
Donald Trump has received considerable support from the cryptocurrency industry, including donations from prominent companies such as Coinbase and Ripple to his inaugural committee. On Friday, just days before the beginning of his second term at the White House, the industry is set to host an “Inaugural Crypto Ball” in Washington, celebrating its ties with the incoming administration.
This initiative would represent a huge shift for the crypto sector, which has faced numerous regulatory challenges under President Joe Biden’s administration. Federal agencies, including the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), have launched more than 100 enforcement actions against crypto companies in recent years.
The proposed executive order may include a directive requiring all government agencies to review their policies on digital assets. There is also discussion about pausing ongoing litigation involving cryptocurrency firms, sources told Bloomberg. This could potentially halt legal actions against major players such as Binance Holdings Ltd. and Ripple Labs Inc., a move seen as a top priority by the industry.
CREATION OF NATIONAL BITCOIN STOCKPILE
Another key aspect under consideration is the creation of a national Bitcoin stockpile, the report mentioned.
The US government currently holds nearly $20 billion worth of Bitcoin, confiscated during various investigations, according to analytics firm Arkham. Bitcoin’s price has surged by nearly 50% since the November election, reaching over $100,000, partly due to speculation about the potential stockpile.
The proposed stockpile would formalise the government’s holdings of Bitcoin and reflect a strategic shift in how the US approaches cryptocurrency. Bitcoin has seen remarkable growth in 2024, with its value more than doubling over the year.
Kara Calvert, Vice President for US Policy at Coinbase Global Inc., commented on the importance of Trump’s potential move.
“What I think Donald Trump is going to do is signal that the United States is back and we are ready to lead in this industry. What it’s signaling to other countries is be careful, or you won’t keep up,” she told Bloomberg.
Trump has also made bold promises during his campaign, vowing to transform the US into the global capital of cryptocurrency. His administration is expected to issue several executive orders covering various industries within his first few days in office.
Despite facing regulatory hurdles during the Biden administration, the cryptocurrency industry in the US has continued to grow. Prominent financial firms, including BlackRock Inc., have launched spot Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
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