Connect with us

Business

The Banking Industry’s Go-to Crisis Adviser

Published

on

The Banking Industry’s Go-to Crisis Adviser

There are many variations between the fallout from the collapse of Silicon Valley Financial institution and the 2008 monetary disaster, however one similarity is the person making an attempt to wash it up: H. Rodgin Cohen, referred to as Rodge, the senior chair on the legislation agency Sullivan & Cromwell.

The soft-spoken Mr. Cohen was on the middle of efforts to save lots of Silicon Valley Financial institution and First Republic, the latter of which concerned a name between the Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and the JPMorgan Chase boss Jamie Dimon. Right here’s what to learn about one of the influential gamers within the banking disaster who isn’t making headlines.

Mr. Cohen is a sought-after adviser in banking crises, and he has labored on nearly each one within the final a number of many years. “Rodge is the banking lawyer’s go-to — there’s no person who comes near his degree of reliability in all the realm of substantive banking legislation,” stated Sarah Raskin, a former deputy secretary of the Treasury. She added that she nonetheless finds herself in rooms of attorneys asking, “What would Rodge say?”

Mr. Cohen additionally as soon as performed a job in a world disaster: Through the Iran-contra affair, he suggested the American banks that launched Iranian funds as a situation to free the American hostages.

He’s been at Sullivan & Cromwell for greater than 50 years. After a run on Continental Illinois Financial institution compelled a authorities seizure in 1984, Mr. Cohen led its negotiations with the F.D.I.C. He represented the Financial institution of New York in its $1.48 billion bid for Irving Financial institution, one of many first hostile takeovers of a financial institution, in 1988.

Advertisement

Through the 2008 monetary disaster, he represented both the customer or the vendor in practically each main financial institution deal, together with the government-backed sale of Washington Mutual to JPMorgan Chase. He was in such robust demand that he went from advising Lehman Brothers earlier than it collapsed to counseling Barclays, which purchased up a considerable a part of the agency, after it fell. “Each time I appeared up, it appeared like Rodge was within the room,” Henry Paulson, the previous Treasury secretary, advised The Instances in 2009.

This disaster could require new maneuvers. Mr. Cohen suggested Silicon Valley Financial institution because it scrambled for a purchaser and has been counseling First Republic because it clamors for a lifeline. (The financial institution’s transfer to inject some $30 billion in capital from 11 banks was a web page from a well-tested playbook of joint intervention, together with for Continental Illinois.)

However as First Republic continues to teeter — and questions swirl in regards to the extent of presidency intervention — the query now for First Republic and others is what the 2023 playbook will appear like. If previous patterns proceed, Mr. Cohen may have a job in writing it. — Lauren Hirsch

A dangerous emptiness. Silicon Valley Financial institution operated with out a chief danger officer for a lot of the final 12 months, experiences The Wall Road Journal. The job is among the many business’s most thankless, however SVB’s collapse underscores how a lot it issues.

Revenue motive. Elon Musk reduce off funding to OpenAI in 2018, leaving it with out a option to pay for the costly job of coaching its A.I. fashions on supercomputers, experiences Semafor. Quickly after, the corporate introduced that it might create a for-profit entity.

Advertisement

Palm fee. JPMorgan Chase plans to check new know-how that might enable customers to pay with their palms or faces at some U.S. retailers. The financial institution, one of many world’s largest fee processors, expects the know-how to account for $5.8 trillion in transactions by 2026.

A.I. on A.I. Reid Hoffman, the LinkedIn co-founder, wrote a book about artificial intelligence with the assistance of GPT-4, the newly launched language mannequin from Open AI, which Hoffman has funded.

“Minsky second” final entered the zeitgeist throughout the 2008 monetary disaster, and a few pundits at the moment are placing it to make use of to touch upon the present banking disaster. It describes the purpose after a protracted bull run when it turns into clear that asset values are unsustainable and an epic crash looms.

The again story: The time period was coined by the economist Paul McCulley in 1998 as asset bubbles burst and relies on the “monetary instability speculation” of the economist Hyman Minsky. His speculation holds that over a chronic interval of prosperity, buyers tackle rising danger till lending exceeds what debtors can repay they usually begin promoting secure property, resulting in plunging markets and making a money crunch.

Does the phrase apply to what’s occurring proper now? Most likely not. SVB didn’t fall as a result of it was overleveraged — somewhat, fleeing depositors compelled it to promote property at deflated values, so technically SVB was not a Minsky second, writes Zongyuan Zoe Liu, an financial coverage fellow on the Council on Overseas Relations. However analysts at JPMorgan see a possible Minsky second forward as rates of interest rise and financial engines sputter, citing issues about world banking woes amongst different indicators.

Advertisement

— The decline in Chinese language billionaires final 12 months because the ultrarich paid for China’s zero-Covid coverage, a regulatory crackdown on non-public enterprise and a property collapse.


When the Swiss authorities compelled the wedding of UBS and Credit score Suisse, it wrote down about $17 billion of the latter’s bonds and prioritized shareholders over bondholders, writes The Instances’s Joe Rennison, upending the standard order of who takes losses first in a chapter. Within the phrases of the Customary Chartered C.E.O. Invoice Winters, that would have “profound” implications for a way banks are run and for world regulation.

The deal focused an obscure a part of the debt market. Extra tier one, or AT1, bonds, are issued by many European banks. They rely towards their capital necessities as a result of in confused conditions, they are often written off and transformed into fairness to assist preserve the financial institution from failing.

The Swiss regulator Finma defended the choice to write down down Credit score Suisse’s AT1 bonds, saying it was essential to “shield shoppers, the monetary middle and markets.” Finma added that AT1 bonds embrace contractual language that they are often “written down in a viability occasion,” if the federal government offers it the authority to take action.

However after the write-down, the AT1 bonds at different European lenders, together with Barclays, Customary Chartered and BNP Paribas, all fell sharply though E.U. regulators stated they might adhere to the standard hierarchy of who advantages first within the case of a chapter and fairness holders would take the primary hit. As worries swirled round Deutsche Financial institution, sending its share down as a lot as 15 p.c yesterday, its bonds additionally fell. One greenback bond dropped from 96 cents on the euro in the beginning of the month to lower than 70 cents yesterday.

Advertisement

Winters says the Swiss transfer might change how banks are assessed, as a result of Credit score Suisse’s bonds had been worn out though the financial institution was solvent.The difficulty isn’t do the regulators believe in our solvency. It’s does the market believe in our liquidity?” he advised a convention in Hong Kong.

Bondholders could take authorized motion. The legislation corporations Quinn Emmanuel and Parras Companions are vying to symbolize specialist buyers like Centerbridge and Davidson Kempner, in addition to conventional fund managers like Pimco and Invesco. However they don’t have lengthy to argue their level: Motion must be taken inside 30 days of the deal, in accordance with individuals conversant in the method.


The fourth and final season of “Succession” begins tomorrow. With all of the latest drama among the many real-life Murdochs — the 92-year-old Rupert asserting his plans for a fifth wedding ceremony, a $1.6 billion defamation lawsuit, and a failed try to merge two elements of a large media empire — you will have not missed the fictional media dynasty that bears greater than a slight resemblance to the household. However early evaluations recommend “Succession” is price watching — particularly given the promise of an precise conclusion. The Guardian referred to as it “TV’s most agonising, pulverising drama” (which appears to be a praise). Vogue says it’s “a lightning strike,” and Rolling Stone wrote, “It’s full steam forward to the top.”


Thanks for studying!

We’d like your suggestions. Please e-mail ideas and recommendations to dealbook@nytimes.com.

Advertisement

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Business

Eight arrested in multimillion-dollar retail theft operation, Los Angeles County sheriff officials say

Published

on

Eight arrested in multimillion-dollar retail theft operation, Los Angeles County sheriff officials say

Eight people were arrested on suspicion of organized retail theft after authorities discovered several million dollars’ worth of stolen medicines, cosmetics and other merchandise at multiple Los Angeles locations, sheriff officials said.

The retail goods were stolen by crews of organized shoplifters at stores in California, Arizona and Nevada, according to detectives. The stolen items were then taken to various locations in L.A. County where they were sold to various “fence” operations, officials said.

Authorities investigating retail theft refer to people who buy stolen goods and then resell them for a profit as “fences.”

The Sheriff’s Department said they had also recovered a stolen firearm and a large sum of cash, according to a release sent late Friday.

Advertisement

The suspects, who were not named, are being held on $60,000 bail each.

Early Thursday morning, sheriff‘s detectives performed raids at a dozen locations in Los Angeles thought to be involved in the crime ring, according to KCAL CBS.

At a small South L.A. market, they found boxes of stolen Motrin, Theraflu and other goods stacked floor to ceiling, the report said. Store tags were still affixed to much of the merchandise. The location appeared to be where the goods were relabeled for sale, officials said.

Detectives said they worked with the help of stores, including CVS and Walmart, to track the illegal operation.

The stolen merchandise is often sold online, officials said, including on Amazon.

Advertisement

The investigation is ongoing. Anyone with information should contact the Organized Retail Crimes Task Force at (562) 946-7270.

Continue Reading

Business

Bob Bakish is ousted as CEO of Paramount Global as internal struggles explode into public view

Published

on

Bob Bakish is ousted as CEO of Paramount Global as internal struggles explode into public view

Paramount Global’s months-long internal struggles spilled into full view Monday as Chief Executive Bob Bakish was ousted and pressure mounted for the company’s directors to accept — or reject — a takeover bid by David Ellison’s Skydance Media.

Moments before the company announced its first-quarter earnings, Paramount issued a statement announcing Bakish’s departure. The company said three of its top entertainment executives would run the firm: Paramount Pictures CEO Brian Robbins; CBS CEO George Cheeks; and Showtime/MTV Entertainment Studios chief Chris McCarthy.

Bakish’s firing comes during a tumultuous period for the company as its traditional TV and movie studio businesses decline amid head winds for the media industry. Bakish also was at odds with controlling shareholder Shari Redstone, who is seeking an exit.

Redstone, who has presided over the steep decline of her family’s media heirloom, is in a bind. She doesn’t want the company built by her father, the late, ferocious mogul Sumner Redstone, carved up and sold for parts at auctions. Paramount includes the CBS television network, MTV, Nickelodeon, BET and the Paramount Pictures movie studio on Melrose Avenue.

But Paramount’s common shareholders are wary of the two-phased deal with Skydance because Redstone will get a premium for her family’s shares.

Advertisement

Paramount is in the midst of a 30-day exclusive negotiating period with Ellison, a tech scion whose Skydance Media has teamed up with investment firms RedBird Capital and KKR to acquire Redstone’s National Amusements holding company. On Sunday, Skydance sweetened its offer by $1 billion, with money earmarked for Paramount’s B-class, or nonvoting, shareholders, according to three people familiar with the deal but not authorized to comment. National Amusements holds 77% of Paramount’s voting shares.

The exclusive negotiating period ends Friday. It is unclear whether Skydance and RedBird have given Paramount’s board a deadline to accept its revised offer. Skydance and its partners have been wrangling with Paramount’s independent board members over how much money will go to common shareholders, two knowledgeable people said. Skydance and its partners have pressed for more of the proceeds to pay down Paramount’s debt.

The company’s credit last month was downgraded to “junk” status by ratings agency S&P Global.

Bakish was opposed to the Skydance transaction, a stance that infuriated Redstone, who in 2016 handpicked Bakish to run the company, then known as Viacom. In recent weeks, senior company executives also raised questions about Bakish’s leadership and the strength of his long-range plan in their conversations with board members — a development that expedited Bakish’s departure from the company, the sources said.

Bakish was more open to another proposed deal, favored by smaller shareholders, with private equity firm Apollo Global Management, which has offered $26 billion, including the assumption of Paramount’s debt. Sony Pictures Entertainment has been negotiating with Apollo to join that effort. Most insiders expect that Apollo and Sony would break the company apart, a scenario that Redstone does not want to allow.

Advertisement

Redstone, according to one person familiar with the matter, has also been frustrated with some of Bakish’s decisions, including not selling Showtime, the premium cable network that the company folded into its television networks and streaming effort. Bakish had dismissed a recent offer of $3 billion for the channel from investors, including former Showtime head David Nevins.

Paramount, meanwhile, has lost more than $2 billion on its streaming service, Paramount+.

“Paramount Global includes exceptional assets and we believe strongly in the future value creation potential of the Company,” Redstone said in a statement. “I have tremendous confidence in George, Chris and Brian. They have both the ability to develop and execute on a new strategic plan and to work together as true partners. I am extremely excited for what their combined leadership means for Paramount Global and for the opportunities that lie ahead.”

In addition, the company faces a crucial Wednesday deadline to strike a new deal with cable distribution giant Charter Communications, which runs the Spectrum TV service.

Paramount entered the Charter negotiations with a weak hand — its cable television channels have suffered from falling ratings amid consumers’ shift to streaming. Paramount relies heavily on the revenue it receives from Charter, Comcast, DirecTV and other distributors.

Advertisement

“Paramount still has a popular network, an esteemed studio, and solid streaming services, but its business prospects look tenuous as it looks to sell,” EMarketer senior analyst Ross Benes wrote Monday in an emailed statement. “Arranging a new quixotic leadership structure may appease those looking for new blood. But the dramatic removal evokes a feeling of rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.”

Less than two minutes after Paramount announced Bakish’s departure, the company reported its earnings results.

At the beginning of a call with analysts, company executives said they would not take questions after reporting their financial results. The call lasted slightly less than 10 minutes.

After Cheeks thanked Bakish for “his many years of leadership and steadfast support for all Paramount Global businesses, brands and people,” McCarthy tried to calm concerns about the new triumvirate leadership structure, saying that he, Cheeks and Robbins have worked together for years.

“It’s a true partnership,” McCarthy said. “We have a deep respect for one another, we’re going to lead and manage this company together.”

Advertisement

He said the company’s long-term strategic plan would be focused around three pillars — making the most of the company’s popular content, strengthening its balance sheet and optimizing its streaming strategy.

Paramount reported $7.68 billion in revenue for the three-month period that ended March 31, up almost 6% compared with the same period a year earlier. Paramount reported a net loss of $554 million, but that was less than its loss of more than $1 billion from a year earlier.

The company’s streaming division saw increased revenue of nearly $1.88 billion, up 24% compared with a year earlier. The segment’s quarterly loss was $287 million.

The company’s TV media revenue was aided by CBS’ February broadcast of the Super Bowl, which drew a massive audience. Revenue for the television networks division totaled $5.23 billion, up 1% compared with a year earlier. Paramount’s film division revenue totaled $605 million, up almost 3% compared with a year earlier.

The media empire now known as Paramount Global was formed in 2019 from the merger of Viacom Inc. and CBS Corp. But the combination never convinced Wall Street of its promise. In the last year alone, Paramount Global’s stock has lost nearly half of its value.

Advertisement

“While the mighty Viacom empire declined tremendously under Bakish, who profited handsomely personally, it isn’t clear that another appointed leader would have changed Paramount’s fortune,” Benes of EMarketer wrote in a note to investors. “With a mountain of debt and its primary assets, namely TV, continually losing value, the deep problems facing the company extend beyond any single executive.”

Bakish, who joined Viacom in 1997, was named CEO of Viacom in 2016, after the company’s stock had fallen 45% in two years due to falling ratings at some of its key networks, including Comedy Central and MTV, as well as struggles at its Paramount Pictures film studio.

After Redstone orchestrated the merger of Viacom with CBS, Bakish became CEO of the combined enterprise.

“The Board and I thank Bob for his many contributions over his long career, including in the formation of the combined company as well as his successful efforts to rebuild the great culture Paramount has long been known for,” Redstone said in her statement.

Paramount’s B-class stock rose 3% to $12.25 a share Monday before Bakish’s departure was officially announced. The shares continued to gain slightly in after-hours trading.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Business

Granderson: Here's one way to bring college costs back in line with reality

Published

on

Granderson: Here's one way to bring college costs back in line with reality

It took me by surprise when my son initially floated the idea of not going to college. His mother and I attended undergrad together. He was an infant on campus when I was in grad school. She went on to earn a PhD.

“What do you mean by ‘not go to college’?” I pretended to ask.

My tone said: “You’re going.” (He did.)

Opinion Columnist

LZ Granderson

Advertisement

LZ Granderson writes about culture, politics, sports and navigating life in America.

The children of first-generation college graduates are not supposed to go backpacking across (insert destination here). They’re supposed to continue the climb — especially given that higher education was unattainable for so many for so long. The thought of not sending my son to college felt like regression for our family. In retrospect, our conversation said more about the future.

A 2023 study of nearly 6,000 human resources professionals and leaders in corporate America found only 22% required applicants to have a college degree.

Advertisement

The labor shortage is one aspect of the conversation. The shift in academia’s place in society is more significant.

I’m sure that sounds like a good thing for young people joining the workforce. As an educator, my concern is what happens to a society if only the wealthy pursued higher education. Oh, that’s right: We did that already, back before there was a middle class … and paid vacations.

Though it must be said the lowering of hiring requirements isn’t the only threat to the college experience.

Academia has publicly mishandled the campus tensions and student protests that began after the Hamas attack against Israel on Oct. 7, and that certainly hasn’t been good for academia either. Neither has canceling commencement speakers … or commencement itself. Add in the rising costs — up nearly 400% in 30 years compared with 1990 rates — and, well, the college bubble hasn’t quite burst, but it’s hemorrhaging.

Forgiving student loan debt — whether you agree with the idea or not — addresses the past.

Advertisement

The future of colleges depends on the future of labor. If employers are making it easier to enter corporate America without a degree, then universities must adjust how much cash they try to extract from students and their families, because the return on investment will be falling.

College enrollment has already been declining for a decade, and it’s not because Americans have become less ambitious or less willing to invest in their children’s futures. It’s because of eroding confidence that a degree guarantees a higher quality of life.

Imagine that your high school senior is interested in going to college and wants to major in education or communication or the arts. The sticker price for tuition, even at a state school, is going to look pretty steep. If your child were headed toward a degree in engineering or business, that same tuition might feel like a better bet.

There’s no reason tuition rates couldn’t vary to reflect this reality. Colleges and universities should set tuition rates for classes based on the earning potential of the discipline studied.

If our groceries stores can figure out a way to charge us more for organic produce, then surely this great nation can devise a system to set college costs that accounts for future earnings.

Advertisement

For example, according to the National Education Assn., the starting salary for a teacher in California is about $55,000, the fourth highest in the nation. For California residents, the cost to attend UCLA comes to almost $35,000 a year, without financial aid. That math just doesn’t work.

It’s easy to see why 20% of the nation’s teachers work a second job during the school year to make ends meet. Between 2020 and 2022, the nation lost about 300,000 educators, and we’re facing a teacher shortage. To address the issue, a number of states have loosened the teacher certification rules to make it easier to get more bodies in the classroom, which sounds … less than ideal.

Instead, why not lower the cost of credit hours for college students pursuing a degree in education? Wouldn’t parents feel more comfortable knowing the people in the classroom set out to teach and earned the credentials?

If colleges don’t find ways like this to lower costs for at least some students, higher education will become a relic. Just as cable cutting reshaped the economics of the TV industry, the trend of corporate America moving away from degree requirements is going to put pressure on universities to make some big changes.

There have already been tectonic shifts in a short period of time. Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, colleges lost international students, who once propped up many institutions by paying higher rates than Americans.

Advertisement

Attendance by Americans is forecast to plummet starting next year. Because of low birth rates and low rates of immigration, the U.S. has fewer young people in the classes graduating from high school after 2025.

And perhaps most importantly, our confidence in college is slipping. In 2015, when my son graduated from high school, Gallup found nearly 60% of Americans had a “great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in our higher education system. It was under 50% in 2018. It was under 40% last year.

No telling what that number is today.

Which is sad because there is still so much to value — beyond career choices — to a liberal arts education. Given how we live, college is one of the few places we have left in America where young people from different walks of life can meet. That’s important to the health of a nation as diverse — and segregated — as we are.

Colleges will naturally shrink because of demographics, and they can use this time to adjust their business models as well and charge fairer prices. We need young people to be able to replenish all career fields, and that includes art and music and education. It’s time to rethink the economic approach so they aren’t saddled with debt that those careers can’t repay.

Advertisement

@LZGranderson

Continue Reading

Trending