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Bitcoin price retraces 30% from record high. How does crypto market look like in 2026? | Stock Market News

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Bitcoin price retraces 30% from record high. How does crypto market look like in 2026? | Stock Market News

The year 2025 has remained mixed for the crypto market as the sector presents a balanced yet optimistic outlook. Looking at the positive side, there was tangible advancement—DeFi ecosystems continued to grow, stablecoins gained wider traction, CBDC infrastructure pilots moved forward, and developer participation surged across APAC and worldwide, with millions building on-chain.

“On one hand, the industry saw real progress: growth in DeFi projects, expansion of stablecoins, new CBDC-infrastructure pilots, and rising developer activity across APAC and globally, with millions committing to code on-chain. On the other hand, after early-year optimism from retail investors, the October correction was a reminder that sentiment remains fragile and that hype without real delivery can still hurt the industry,” said Nischal Shetty, Founder, WazirX.

Bitcoin has fallen roughly 30% from record high levels and is down more than 6% so far this year, as the market continues to find it difficult to recover after the October crash. According to Bloomberg report, trading activity remains subdued, with retail speculation losing momentum.

The decline has partly been driven by technical factors, with prices dropping below the 365-day moving average, while persistent selling by long-term holders has also weighed on Bitcoin.

Key drivers of the crypto market in 2025

At the beginning of the year, the market witnessed the setup of US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, underscoring Bitcoin’s rising strategic significance.

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By mid-year, the enactment of the GENIUS Act introduced a well-defined regulatory framework for USD-backed stablecoins, strengthening confidence and paving the way for wider adoption.

The CFTC’s December 4 decision to permit listed spot crypto products on registered futures exchanges represented a key milestone, advancing the market from regulated ETFs toward more transparent cross-border compliance structures and greater institutional involvement.

Crypto market outlook in 2026

According to Shetty, global institutional appetite for regulated digital-asset products will continue to increase, driving capital inflows and contributing to market stability.

At the same time, domestic policies for countries will be key in shaping their respective investor sentiment. In India, the foundation stone of the CBDC project could be laid soon, Shetty added.

“The RBI has announced a hackathon in October to nurture tech talents in the emerging technology space, which will encourage more Indians to see emerging tech as a promising career prospect. A clearer regulatory framework for VDAs, potentially paired with supportive tax measures, support for stablecoin initiatives alongside CBDC measures, could unlock real-world blockchain use cases from Indian builders to kickstart on-chain growth for Indians,” Shetty said.

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Disclaimer: This story is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, not Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

Crypto

Man robbed of HK$6 million in crypto and silver in Hong Kong, probe under way

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Man robbed of HK million in crypto and silver in Hong Kong, probe under way

Hong Kong police are investigating an attack and robbery in which a man lost about HK$6 million (US$767,070) in cryptocurrency and silver.

The force said it received a report at 3.52am on Saturday that a 25-year-old mainland Chinese man was attacked by three men and a woman at a hotel near Man Lok Street in Hung Hom and robbed of cryptocurrency worth HK$5 million from his account.

The suspects later took the victim to another unit in an industrial building, where they seized silver items worth HK$1 million.

No arrests had been made so far and a manhunt was under way to track down the four suspects.

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Bitcoin dives again after disappointing jobs report, ending midweek rally | Fortune

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Bitcoin dives again after disappointing jobs report, ending midweek rally | Fortune

Bitcoin was barreling towards its best week in a month, but on Friday that momentum quickly dissipated. Since Wednesday, the largest cryptocurrency slumped roughly 7% to its current price of about $69,000, according to Binance. The downturn occurred following a lower than unexpected jobs report, spooking investors in the traditional stock market and in digital assets. 

“The jobs number impacted all risk-on assets,” said Boris Alergant, head of strategic initiatives at Babylon. “During sell-offs like this, correlations tend to converge and assets move down in unison.”

The pullback for Bitcoin is part of a months-long slide for the crypto industry. Many expected the industry to flourish because of President Donald Trump’s friendly stance toward the sector. Yet, since October, the original cryptocurrency is down roughly 46% from its all-time high of $126,000. 

Friday’s job report did not do the crypto industry any favors. Unemployment rose and jobs were cut more than expected. Other macroeconomic factors are weighing heavily on digital assets, namely the escalating conflict in the Middle East, which President Trump recently described as having “no time limits.” The conflict has skyrocketed gas prices, also contributing to concern among investors. 

The major stock indexes mirrored Bitcoin, rallying in the middle of the week only to sputter on Friday morning. The S&P 500, for example, dropped about 2% following the release of the most recent job numbers after a brief surge on Wednesday. 

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Other cryptocurrencies also dropped as the week drew to a close. Ethereum is down roughly 5% since Thursday to its current price of about $1,970, and Solana is down roughly 5% during that time to its current price of about $85, according to Binance.

One analyst says that things could get worse before they get better. “If the week closes roughly as the market looks now, that would not be a very positive signal,” said Alex Tsepaev, chief strategy officer at B2Prime. “In that case, the price could move lower, and by lower I mean a possible retest of the $60,000 range per Bitcoin.”

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1 Cryptocurrency Set to Rebound in 2026

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1 Cryptocurrency Set to Rebound in 2026

Like most cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has been in a slump to start 2026. Over the first two months of the year, it lost 25%, continuing a downturn that began last October.

Although this hasn’t been fun for investors, several firms predict that Bitcoin could bounce back over the rest of the year. Analysts from JPMorgan Chase, in particular, have struck an optimistic tone based on expectations of increased institutional inflows.

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Image source: Getty Images.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, leading to heavy institutional investment in the top cryptocurrency. Bitcoin ETFs hold $88 billion worth of Bitcoin, about 6% of the total supply, as of March 3, 2026.

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ETF approval significantly expanded who can invest in the leading cryptocurrency. It used to be mainly the territory of retail investors, but because ETFs are regulated investment products, they allow hedge funds, pension funds, and other institutional investors to buy Bitcoin.

Bitcoin ETFs haven’t been immune to the recent sell-off. But they logged $787 million in inflows last week, snapping a streak of five straight weeks of outflows. This reversal is a sign that institutional investors are beginning to buy the dip on Bitcoin, which could be the first stages of a sustained recovery.

In a volatile crypto market, Bitcoin is the most resilient option and often the first to bounce back from downturns. ETF approval has given it a level of institutional support that no other cryptocurrency has.

While the SEC has approved spot ETFs for other cryptocurrencies, they aren’t nearly as large as those for Bitcoin. Ethereum ETFs rank second, with $13 billion in assets under management (AUM). I expect spot ETFs to help Bitcoin maintain a higher floor than in the past and rebound from its recent losses over the rest of 2026.

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JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Lyle Daly has positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin, Ethereum, and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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