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How China Could Wield Its Control of Rare Earths Against Trump

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How China Could Wield Its Control of Rare Earths Against Trump

As President Trump prepares to meet China’s top leader at a summit in Beijing this week, one of the most pressing issues facing the United States, the European Union and Japan lies in China’s restrictions on exports of rare-earth metals and magnets essential to advanced manufacturing.

Manufacturers of commercial aircraft, electronics, cars, semiconductor manufacturing equipment and military hardware are facing acute shortages of rare earths, many of which are refined almost exclusively in China. Prices for some of these metals have soared as much as a hundredfold since Beijing halted most exports in early April last year.

China announced on Oct. 9 that it planned to impose sweeping new restrictions on exports of rare earths and products containing even trace amounts of Chinese rare earths. Three weeks later, Xi Jinping, China’s top leader, agreed at a meeting with Mr. Trump to postpone those measures for a year, though the restrictions issued in April remained in place.

A senior administration official said Sunday that the United States was in frequent contact with China about rare earths, and that it remained unclear whether this week’s summit would produce an agreement to extend the one-year reprieve. But the official, speaking on the condition of anonymity before the diplomatically sensitive meeting, said he was confident the two sides would reach an extension before the postponement expired.

Beijing has offered few hints about its intentions. Asked about rare earths at a news briefing last month, Mao Ning, a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, said that “the two sides need to jointly deliver on the important common understandings between the two presidents, and provide greater stability to China-U.S. economic and trade cooperation.”

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Business groups are pressing for immediate clarity, warning that Beijing’s restrictions are already disrupting manufacturing outside China and that companies need time to get ready for any tougher measures.

“How do you prepare? We simply don’t know what’s going to happen,” said Jens Eskelund, president of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China, at a news briefing in Beijing last month.

The American Chamber of Commerce warned in a report released Monday that the rare-earth restrictions were part of a broader effort by China to tighten its grip on global supply chains.

“As China’s control over critical inputs and technologies expands, so, too, does its ability to weaponize this leverage,” the report said.

China’s Ministry of Commerce has said the export-license requirements it imposed last spring on seven categories of rare earths and related magnets are not intended as a tool for leverage in trade or geopolitical disputes, but are necessary because the materials have both military and civilian applications.

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But Beijing announced the licensing rules just two days after Mr. Trump imposed steep “Liberation Day” tariffs on China and other countries. China has also linked its control over rare earths to demands that the European Union ease its tariffs on imported Chinese electric vehicles. And after a dispute with Japan over Taiwan in November, Beijing tightened limits on rare-earth shipments to Japan.

Even without the postponed additional restrictions, China has severely reduced exports of rare earths such as samarium, yttrium and dysprosium, which are already in critically tight supply outside China. Samarium, used in commercial aircraft, fighter jets and missiles, sells for about $2 a kilogram inside China but $50 to $500 a kilogram abroad, depending on the level of processing.

China has all but stopped exporting it.

“The aerospace industry is in critical need of samarium,” said Ilya Epikhin, a senior rare-earths specialist at the consulting firm Arthur D. Little. ”It can significantly impact the commercial aircraft production.”

In a statement, Airbus said it “does not buy rare earths or magnets directly, but they are used in our supply chain and we are closely engaging with our suppliers to ensure resilience.” Boeing said that it was working with its suppliers and that it did not see “a near-term impact.”

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Yttrium is also scarce outside China, although industry specialists said Beijing had allowed a few shipments to the United States in recent weeks. The Chinese authorities have not explained the decision, which has been interpreted either as a good-will gesture before the summit or a delayed result of China’s pledge in October to permit some exports.

Yttrium is prized as a heat insulator. It is used in semiconductor manufacturing equipment to prevent excess heat from leaking between the tightly packed lasers that cut computer chips, and in jet engines and missiles to shield electronics and other systems from extreme heat.

Dysprosium is widely used in magnets for automotive systems, including brakes, steering and electric motors, as well as drones, including military models. China has restricted exports of dysprosium, which sells for about $200 a kilogram domestically but commands far higher prices overseas, according to Argus Media, a London-based commodity market data firm.

MP Materials, which owns the only rare-earths mine in the United States at Mountain Pass, Calif., said on its earnings call last week that it had begun work on the initial stages of refining the types of rare earths that China had restricted. The company currently produces easier-to-process rare earths at its Mountain Pass mine and refinery.

James Litinsky, MP’s chairman and chief executive, said in an interview that the company would not make the substantial investments needed for the later stages of purifying rare earths, such as yttrium, without long-term purchase commitments from customers. Western manufacturers, however, have been reluctant to sign contracts for fear that China could resume exports of far cheaper material.

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Chinese refineries retain a major cost advantage because they process enormous volumes of rare earths each year, much of them used for electric car production. This gives them economies of scale.

Beijing also has some reasons to continue postponing expanded restrictions, which are slated to take effect in November and December. Two weeks after the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 3, the presidents, prime ministers and other leaders of 21 Asian and Pacific economies are set to gather in Shenzhen, a Chinese metropolis next to Hong Kong, for their annual summit. Chinese officials may not want that meeting overshadowed by global economic difficulties tied to China’s export controls.

If Mr. Trump and Mr. Xi fail to reach an agreement this week, they may have another chance in the coming months. Officials have discussed a possible visit by Mr. Xi to the United States this year to reciprocate Mr. Trump’s trip to China.

Ruoxin Zhang contributed research.

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Musicians shortchanged by AI deals with labels, lawsuit alleges

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Musicians shortchanged by AI deals with labels, lawsuit alleges

Musicians have been left out of settlements between major record labels and AI companies, a new lawsuit alleges.

The American Federation of Musicians of the United States and Canada (AFM), which has 70,000 members, said Universal Music Group and Warner Music Group “received significant compensation” from the AI companies for past copyright violations and licensed “substantial” portions of their music catalogs to them, but haven’t shared that with the musicians.

UMG and WMG sued AI companies Udio and Suno in 2024, accusing them of copyright infringement. Both companies settled with Udio last year. In November, WMG announced a partnership with Suno, but Universal Music Group’s lawsuit against Suno is pending.

“While the Defendants protected their own interests and created a significant source of new revenue with the retrospective settlements and prospective licenses, they have refused to compensate the musicians whose work — created with their own instruments and through their talent, creativity, and hard work — is fed into AI machines for profit,” AFM said in its lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court in New York on Friday.

AFM said it believes the AI settlements fall under the “new use” provision of its collective bargaining agreements, which requires music companies to notify the union of new licenses for purposes not covered by the contract and to compensate musicians, whose work was used to train AI models.

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UMG and WMG said in statements that they are in negotiations on a collective bargaining agreement with AFM.

“Warner Music Group is growing the value of music by establishing guardrails and architecting a healthy AI ecosystem on behalf of artists everywhere,” the company said in a statement.

Universal Music Group said it will continue to work to resolve issues during the negotiations.

“Universal Music Group has been at the forefront of protecting the rights and advancing the interests of artists and songwriters in the age of AI — striking responsible AI licensing agreements to ensure they are compensated, leading the charge for legislation to further protect them and taking legal action against bad actors,” the company said in a statement.
“We expect to continue our strong working relationship with the AFM built on mutual respect for the talented musicians in our industry.”

AI has become more popular among consumers, dramatically changing the landscape in the entertainment industry. Many startups have popped up allowing users to type text prompts into AI systems to generate original songs, video clips and stories.

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Some creatives say the AI tools help them brainstorm or illustrate bold ideas on a budget. But critics have raised concerns about whether AI systems are trained on copyrighted works without permission or payment to artists. Others are worried AI could eliminate their livelihoods.

Udio said it would create a new platform that would train on licensed and authorized music with artists having the ability to opt-in. Suno agreed to change its platform, launching new licensed models, and place download restrictions.

Bradford Auerbach, a partner at law firm OGC, said he expects to see more of these types of lawsuits filed by unions.

“You’ve got the unions always protecting the status quo, so you’ve got this invariable conflict of new technology coming in, and moving the cheese for a lot of people that were accustomed to having their business set up the way it was,” Auerbach said.

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Trump signs an executive order to vet top AI models for national security risks

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Trump signs an executive order to vet top AI models for national security risks

President Trump signed an executive order Tuesday directing the federal government to establish a voluntary early review process for the country’s most advanced artificial intelligence models, following a months-long internal battle over how aggressively Washington should move to regulate the fast-growing technology.

Under the order, companies are asked to allow government agencies, including the National Security Agency and representatives of the Defense Department, to evaluate cutting-edge models up to 30 days before they are released to the public. The order stops short of mandating participation and explicitly bars the creation of any new licensing or permitting for AI models.

“The main question is whether this is the start of a continued government clamp down and response to continued AI capabilities, or whether this is a one-off, limited, and truly voluntary act,” said James Sanders, research associate at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington, D.C., think tank.

“It’s unclear how voluntary this will stay and how voluntary it will be in practice as the AI labs try to maintain good relationships with the U.S. government,” he said.

The order represents a reversal for Trump, less than two weeks after he scuttled a version of the policy that gave the government a 90-day review period — and, more broadly, for an administration that came to power promising to strip away AI guardrails, a posture that slowly created fractures within the GOP.

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In the executive order, Trump appeared to frame a need to foster AI technologies while taking into account national security. “As these capabilities evolve, my Administration will continue to work closely with industry to ensure that the best and most secure technology is deployed rapidly to confront any and all threats to our country,” he said in the order.

The step set off immediate debate about whether Trump’s plan would be an effective approach. It formalizes an existing practice in which top AI companies share models with external evaluators and government players before deploying them publicly, but raises questions about how voluntary it will be and how the government will choose which labs to target.

David Sacks, who previously served as Trump’s AI advisor, called the 30-day window a “game changer,” arguing that the shorter timeline would allow companies to engage with the government without slowing down new model releases.

“In the AI race, every day counts,” Sacks wrote in a post on X.

Mark Carroll, director of Engineering at Amazon Web Services Annapurna Labs, places his hand on a compute sled of the new Trainium3 system at Annapurna Labs in Austin, Texas, on February 3. Tech titan Amazon is working to step out of Nvidia’s shadow with custom “Trainium” chips designed specially for machine learning as billions of dollars are poured into artificial intelligence.

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(Mark Felix / AFP via Getty Images)

Dean W. Ball, Trump’s former AI advisor, characterized the order as a victory for the AI “safety contingent” and a loss for Sacks and others who promote a more accelerated approach. He called the order a mistake, saying it could be a first step toward a federal licensing requirement for AI models.

“All for a benefit that is barely articulable; what, exactly, is the intelligence community going to do in 30 days to make the models safer?” Ball wrote on X.

The signing of the executive order occurred amid growing tensions among Republicans over AI, job loss and data center construction, including fear among a significant portion of Trump’s supporters that artificial intelligence could eliminate jobs or become a security threat. Polling in May had shown strong support among Republicans for a framework like the one outlined in Trump’s executive order.

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The growing split among Republicans over AI was clearly visible in Florida on Monday, where James Uthmeier, the state’s Republican attorney general, sued OpenAI over the alleged risks of ChatGPT, citing the use of the bot by a gunman in a shooting at Florida State University last year.

Meanwhile, Rep. Byron Donalds — the Trump-endorsed candidate to succeed Gov. Ron DeSantis — said Monday that he did not agree with Trump on AI policy, indicating he supported state-led regulation, a shift for a candidate who had been backed by the AI industry earlier in the year.

A poll released by Americans for Responsible Innovation, a nonprofit advocating for a federal framework for AI policy, found that the majority of Republican voters polled supported the type of plan laid out in Trump’s executive order. Seventy-one percent also said independent security testing should be required by law for advanced AI systems.

When Trump took office, his administration pivoted away from Biden-era policies requiring AI companies to test their AI models and share safety results with the government before public release, reversing the U.S. posture on regulation.

That changed after Anthropic — acting on its own initiative — brought its Claude Mythos Preview model to senior White House officials, a move that exposed vulnerabilities in its software and raised concerns about the potential need for safety-testing of AI models before broad public release.

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The White House attempted to downplay the executive order as a regulatory move, emphasizing in a post Tuesday that the federal government would not conduct sweeping oversight and the process outlined in the executive order would be voluntary.

“We are NOT conducting oversight of all new models, as that level of government overreach would have chilling effects on free speech and innovation,” the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy posted on X.

Trump’s signing of the order prompted calls from those who support stricter AI regulation for Congress to take steps beyond Trump’s plan. Thus far, Congress has not passed any major legislation to regulate artificial intelligence.

“Congress should take the structure this order creates, make participation mandatory, and extend it beyond cyber threats to the full range of risks the most capable models present,” Riki Parikh, policy director of the Alliance for Secure AI, a nonprofit that promotes safeguards for AI, said on X, saying the order’s voluntary framework “isn’t enough.”

Progressives, including Gov. Gavin Newsom and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, said the executive order was too weak and slammed Trump for flip-flopping on regulation.

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Some experts suggested the distinction between voluntary and mandatory sharing of their cutting-edge technology may be crucial.

“No company is formally required to participate, but if a developer wants to sell frontier AI systems to the federal government, participation may soon become the price of entry,” Jessica Tillipman, a professor who studies contracting law at George Washington University, wrote in a post on X.

The administration’s approach was welcomed by industry leaders, including Microsoft President Brad Smith, who said the order was “an important step toward advancing innovation while protecting the security of the American public.”

Anthropic endorsed the order and called it “an important step in strengthening America’s leadership in AI.” The company said it was looking forward to supporting the implementation of the program.

Ceballos and McDaniel reported from Washington, Christopher from Los Angeles. Times staff writer Michael Wilner contributed to this report.

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Ex-girlfriend of former Google CEO Eric Schmidt ordered to pay him $10 million after rape accusations

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Ex-girlfriend of former Google CEO Eric Schmidt ordered to pay him  million after rape accusations

An arbitrator has sided with former Google Chief Executive Eric Schmidt, saying in a preliminary ruling that he was not guilty of sexual assault against his former girlfriend and business partner Michelle Ritter.

The arbitrator, retired Washington State Judge Beth Andrus, recently ordered Ritter to pay $10.7 million in damages to Schmidt.

Ritter sued Schmidt in Los Angeles County Superior Court last September, accusing the billionaire tech mogul of “forcibly” raping her on a yacht off the coast of Mexico in 2021. She also alleged Schmidt forced her to have nonconsensual sex at the Burning Man festival in 2023.

“I clearly told him ‘no’ and tried to get him to stop, but I had learned that attempting to resist physically would be futile and make things worse,” Ritter said in a legal filing.

Schmidt has denied the accusations under oath. The arbitrator said that Ritter did “everything she could possibly do” to avoid discussing the rape accusations under oath.

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Ritter had a romantic relationship with the 71-year-old Schmidt after they met in 2020 while she was pursuing graduate degrees in law and business at Columbia University. He invested about $100 million in a joint venture with her that later fell apart.

The pair’s dispute stretches back to 2024 after their personal relationship unraveled and as they were negotiating a settlement of their Steel Perlot venture, a business accelerator that invested in artificial intelligence, crypto and other startups.

Ritter also accused Schmidt of stealing the joint venture from her, which he denied.

“One can also conclude that Ritter engaged in self-centered efforts to obtain revenge against Schmidt in a way that was more damaging than helpful to her cause,” Andrus wrote in her decision, which was recently made public. “I find that Ritter’s statement that she was raped by Schmidt to be false.”

Ritter, 32, alleged that a 2022 federal law inspired by the #MeToo movement intended to end forced arbitration of sexual assault and harassment claims allowed her to have her case heard in open court.

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Superior Court Judge Michael Small disagreed, ruling that the law did not apply because a financial settlement and arbitration agreement Ritter and Schmidt signed in December 2024 was entered into after the alleged sexual wrongdoing — not before as legally required.

The judge sent the case to arbitration in March. Ritter filed a federal lawsuit in California in April challenging the arbitration. That litigation is pending.

Schmidt served as Google chief executive from 2001 to 2011 and later as the chairman of the Silicon Valley company and its parent, Alphabet Inc., until 2017.

Schmidt is worth about $52 billion, largely through his stock holding in Google’s parent company, Alphabet, according to Bloomberg.

Last year, Schmidt took a controlling interest in Relativity Space, a Long Beach rocket startup founded in 2015.

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