West
Top 10 states where Trump outperformed in 2024
President-elect Trump flipped six highly competitive states in his election victory last week. But as a Fox News analysis showed last week, his gains with voters were not limited to the battlegrounds.
This list covers the 10 states where Trump most outperformed his 2020 margins.
Notably, conservative strongholds aren’t the only states that made the list. The top 10 also includes deeply Democrat areas. Trump didn’t win these states, but they swung to the right.
Vote counting continues in some highly populated states on this list, including California and New York.
IN ELECTION VICTORY, TRUMP’S GAINS WENT BEYOND THE BATTLEGROUNDS
Donald Trump’s gains in 2024 were not limited to battleground states. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci/File)
1. New York
Note: As of this writing, approximately 3% of ballots have not yet been counted in New York.
- 2020 Winner: Biden +23.1 points
- 2024 Winner: Harris +11.8 points
- Swing toward Trump: 11 points
So far, New York has swung 11 points toward Trump.
New York swung 11 points toward Trump, with the president-elect’s greatest gains being made on Long Island and within New York City. (Gary Hershorn/Getty Images)
The president-elect posted a 6.3-point improvement on his 2020 vote share, while his Democrat opponent, Vice President Harris, slipped by five points.
He gained across the state, with his largest swings in New York City and Long Island.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Harris would win the state. With 97% of the vote counted, she is winning by 12 points.
TRUMP TRAIN CHUGS PAST 2020 MARGINS, PARTICULARLY AMONG HISPANICS, URBAN NORTHEASTERNERS
2. New Jersey
Note: As of this writing, approximately 1% of ballots have not yet been counted in New Jersey.
- 2020 Winner: Biden +15.9 points
- 2024 Winner: Harris +5.9 points
- Swing toward Trump: 10 points
So far, New Jersey has swung 10 points toward Trump.
The president-elect posted a 4.7-point improvement on his 2020 vote share, while Harris slipped by 5.3 points.
New Jersey saw a 10-point swing toward the president-elect, with Passaic and Union counties, both rife with urban hot spots on New York City’s outskirts, seeing the biggest trends toward him. (iStock)
He gained across New Jersey, with his largest swings in the northeast corner of the state. Hudson and Passaic counties lead the pack.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Harris would win the state. With 99% of the vote counted, she is winning by six points.
3. Florida
- 2020 Winner: Trump +3.3 points
- 2024 Winner: Trump +13.1 points
- Swing toward Trump: 9.8 points
Florida swung 10 points toward Trump.
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The president-elect posted a 4.9-point improvement on his 2020 vote share; Harris slipped by the same amount.
He gained across the state. The most notable swing was in Miami-Dade County, which flipped to the GOP for the first time since 1988.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Trump would win the state. With the results certified, he won by 13 points.
President-elect Trump won Florida by 13.1% of the vote, flipping Miami-Dade County red among numerous others. (iStock)
4. Massachusetts
- 2020 Winner: Biden +33.6 points
- 2024 Winner: Harris +24.8 points
- Swing toward Trump: 8.8 points
Massachusetts swung nine points toward Trump.
The president-elect posted a 4.2-point improvement on his 2020 vote share and Harris slipped by 4.6 points.
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He gained across the state, with double-digit swings in Suffolk County, which includes Boston, and Bristol County.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Harris would win the state. With 99% of the vote counted, she is winning by 25 points.
5. California
Note: As of this writing, approximately 5% of ballots have not yet been counted in California.
- 2020 Winner: Biden +29.2 points
- 2024 Winner: Harris +20.6 points
- Swing toward Trump: 8.6 points
So far, California has swung nine points toward Trump.
Vice President Harris didn’t see a home-field advantage in her native California, which swung some 8.6% toward her opponent. (REUTERS/Carlos Barria)
The president-elect posted a 3.8-point improvement on his 2020 vote share as Harris slipped by 4.8 points.
He gained in many areas across the state, including the two most populated cities, Los Angeles and San Francisco.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Harris would win the state. With 95% of the vote counted, she is winning by 21 points.
DEMOCRAT WINS HOUSE RACE TO RETAIN SEAT IN CALIFORNIA’S 21ST DISTRICT
6. Texas
- 2020 Winner: Trump +5.6 points
- 2024 Winner: Trump +13.9 points
- Swing toward Trump: 8.3 points
Texas swung eight points toward Trump.
The president-elect posted a 4.2-point improvement on his 2020 vote share; Harris slipped by roughly the same amount.
Texans, particularly those in the Rio Grande Valley, decisively swung right in their voting habits this year, disappointing Democrats hoping for big gains in the Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and Austin suburbs. (Callaghan OHare/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
He gained across Texas, with the largest swings concentrated in the southern parts of the state. Webb County, for example, home to Laredo, moved 25 points toward Trump. That gave Republicans their first win there in over a century.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Trump would win the state. With 99% of the vote counted, he is winning by 14 points.
7. Mississippi
Note: As of this writing, approximately 2% of ballots have not yet been counted in Mississippi.
- 2020 Winner: Trump +16.5 points
- 2024 Winner: Trump +24.3 points
- Swing toward Trump: 7.8 points
So far, Mississippi has swung eight points toward Trump.
The president-elect posted a four-point improvement on his 2020 vote share; Harris slipped by roughly the same amount.
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He gained across the state, including in Yazoo County, a majority-Black county that last voted for the GOP in 2004.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Trump would win the state. With 98% of the vote counted, he is winning by 24 points.
8. Rhode Island
- 2020 Winner: Biden +20.9 points
- 2024 Winner: Harris +13.6 points
- Swing toward Trump: 7.3 points
Rhode Island swung seven points toward Trump.
Rhode Island saw a 7.3% swing in Trump’s favor, with gains being observed across the state, including in its capital, Providence. (Visions of America/Joseph Sohm/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)
The president-elect posted a 3.3-point improvement on his 2020 vote share, while Harris slipped by four points.
He gained across the state, led by Providence, the city’s highest-populated area.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Harris would win the state. With 98% of the vote counted, she is winning by 14 points.
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9. Tennessee
- 2020 Winner: Trump +23.2 points
- 2024 Winner: Trump +29.7 points
- Swing toward Trump: 6.5 points
Tennessee swung 6.5 points toward Trump.
The president-elect posted a 3.5-point improvement on his 2020 vote share, while Harris slipped by three points.
Tennessee swung decisively in Trump’s favor despite worrying trends for Republicans in suburban Nashville in recent years. Trousdale County, situated just outside the metro area, swung toward the president-elect by double digits. (iStock)
He gained across the state, including a double-digit swing in Trousdale County, a rural area outside the Nashville metropolitan area.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Trump would win the state. With 99% of the vote counted, he is winning by 30 points.
10. Illinois
Note: As of this writing, approximately 1% of ballots have not yet been counted in Illinois.
- 2020 Winner: Biden +16.9 points
- 2024 Winner: Harris +10.6 points
- Swing toward Trump: 6.3 points
So far, Illinois has swung six points toward Trump.
The president-elect posted a 3.4-point improvement on his 2020 vote share; Harris slipped by 2.9 points.
He gained across Illinois, with a notable eight-point swing in Cook County, home to Chicago.
On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk projected that Harris would win the state. With 99% of the vote counted, she is winning by 11 points.
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Alaska
Lt. Gov. Dahlstrom sends Alaska voters’ information to Trump administration after legal review
The Alaska Division of Elections has shared information about the state’s registered voters with the administration of President Donald Trump after a monthslong legal review, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom said Tuesday.
The decision to share Alaskans’ data comes as the Trump administration has sought to compile a nationwide voter roll, raising concern among some election observers over how the administration would use the information.
The U.S. Department of Justice first requested the voter information from the Alaska Division of Elections in July, according to documents shared by the lieutenant governor’s office. Dahlstrom — who as lieutenant governor is charged with overseeing Alaska’s elections — released the records to Trump administration officials this week, only after what her office called a “thorough” legal review of the request.
The Justice Department in July requested a copy of the state’s voter registration list, including a list of people registered to vote in Alaska who were “determined to be non-citizens.”
Voting by non-citizens is extremely rare in Alaska, the Division of Elections has said based on recent voting records.
Trump for years has falsely claimed that millions of noncitizens are voting illegally, stoking efforts by the GOP to put the threat of noncitizen voting at the center of its political strategy.
Responding to the July Trump administration request, Division of Elections Director Carol Beecher in August shared with the Justice Department the publicly available statewide voter registration list, which includes the names of voters and their party affiliation, but does not include identifying figures such as Social Security numbers or driver’s license numbers.
Later in August, U.S. Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon responded to the state insisting that the state provide a list of registered voters “including the registrant’s full name, date of birth, residential address, his or her state driver’s license number or the last four digits of the registrant’s social security number.”
Dhillon wrote the information was needed to assess Alaska’s compliance with voter registration maintenance provisions of the National Voter Registration Act.
Before joining the Trump administration, Dhillon was contracted by the Alaska Republican Party last year to oversee a recount of votes cast on an Alaska ballot measure seeking to repeal the state’s ranked choice voting and open primary system. The ballot measure, which was supported by the Alaska GOP, narrowly failed.
In her August letter, Dhillon demanded the state respond to her request within a week. The state’s response came four months later, on Dec. 19, after the Division of Elections signed a memorandum of understanding with the Justice Department seeking to protect the information it was sharing.
“The timeline was driven by our commitment to ensuring that any data shared complied fully with Alaska law and protected voter privacy,” said Kelly Howell, a spokesperson for Dahlstrom, in an email.
“When the DOJ made its request in August, we immediately began a thorough review in consultation with the Department of Law and had further discussions with the DOJ,” Howell wrote. “This was necessary to confirm that we had the legal authority to release the requested information and to identify any safeguards needed to protect sensitive voter data. That process takes time, and we wanted to be absolutely certain before moving forward.”
Howell said that the memorandum of understanding signed between the state and DOJ is “common practice for data transfers between government entities.”
The Trump administration has sued numerous states for refusing to share voter registration information with the Justice Department. Several Democratic attorneys general raised concerns last month over the possibility that the Justice Department was sharing voter information with the Department of Homeland Security.
Dahlstrom is one of a dozen Republicans running to be Alaska’s next governor. Gov. Mike Dunleavy is termed out from seeking reelection.
Arizona
Final photo of Arizona man killed during routine dental procedure resurfaces as family settles wrongful death suit
A haunting selfie taken by an Arizona man hours before he suffered a fatal brain injury during a routine dental implant procedure has resurfaced as his distraught parents settled his wrongful death lawsuit.
Derek Swanson, 40, took a picture of himself beaming in a dentist’s chair on March 3, 2023. He captioned the photo: “Yesterday, new car. Today, implant! Fun never stops.”
Swanson, an avid gym-goer, was eager to receive a long-awaited dental implant. He booked the procedure at Scottsdale Facial and Oral Surgery, but never woke up following complications with the administered anesthesia.
He was placed on life support after suffering a brain injury and died on March 10, 2023, according to the Maricopa County Medical Examiner.
“He was so excited. He had fixed a lot of teeth, and they were looking really nice,” his mother, Brenda Swanson, told ABC15.
Brenda told the outlet that she was with her son the day of the surgery and was left waiting in the lobby for hours.
“They called Derek back, and that I won’t forget. He turned around and he gave me a wink and said, ‘love you,’ and he walked back,” she said.
“I just kept waiting and waiting, and Derek wasn’t coming out,” she added.
Brenda and Bill Swanson filed a wrongful death lawsuit against the dentist, Dr. Derek Lamb, and the Scottsdale surgery clinic.

The lawsuit was finally settled this week for an undisclosed amount.
The Swansons’ lawsuit alleged that the Lamb and the clinic made an error during the anesthesia process, which deprived Derek of oxygen and triggered a fatal brain injury.
The grieving parents are also looking to amend Arizona law to require a dentist and an anesthetist to be present during dental surgery.
The current laws state that a dentist can perform surgery and administer anesthesia without an anesthetist present so long as they have the proper state permit.
“We would like to not have another family go through what we had to go through and are going through and will be for the rest of our life,” Swanson told the outlet.
California
San Diego man killed by falling tree in third storm-related death
A San Diego man was killed Wednesday morning after a tree fell on him, the third death linked to the storm pummeling Southern California over the holiday, the San Diego Police Department confirmed.
The man, who was 64, was in the City Heights neighborhood of San Diego when he was hit by the tree around 10:55 a.m.
Local television news outlets showed the massive 75-foot tree collapsed on the sidewalk at 3805 Marlborough Ave. Family told NBC 7 San Diego that the man was named Roberto Ruiz, and that he had just stepped out of their home to move his car when part of the tree toppled and crushed him.
Ruiz’s death was the third fatality linked to the Pineapple Express storm that has brought debris flows, downpours and evacuations to the Southland.
On Sunday, a person died in rising waters as flooding overwhelmed parts of Redding, according to city officials. Police officers tried to save the person, who was inside a vehicle as the waters rose around them, but they did not make it out in time.
On Monday, a woman in her 70s was knocked off a rock and killed by a large wave during a fierce storm at a beach at MacKerricher State Park, according to the Mendocino County Sheriff’s Office.
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