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LSU vs. Arkansas football picks: What the oddsmakers say

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LSU vs. Arkansas football picks: What the oddsmakers say


SEC football returns under the lights this weekend as No. 8 LSU goes on the road against Arkansas in a battle between teams coming off big conference victories. Let’s check in with the early predictions for the game from the nation’s oddsmakers.

LSU moved up in the rankings after a statement overtime victory against Ole Miss, capping off a five-game win streak, and moving to 2-0 in SEC play.

Arkansas is 12 combined points away from being undefeated and coming off the win of its season after knocking off then-No. 4 Tennessee at home, moving to 2-1 in SEC games.

What do the wiseguys expect from this SEC matchup?

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Let’s take a look at the early predictions for LSU vs. Arkansas, according to the oddsmakers.

So far, the books are siding with the road team, but by a slim margin.

LSU is a 3 point favorite against Arkansas, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 54.5 points for the game.

And it set the moneyline odds for LSU at -150 and for Arkansas at +130 to win outright.

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LSU: -3 (-110)
Arkansas: +3 (-110)

Over 54.5 points: -110
Under 54.5 points: -110

LSU is 2-4 against the spread (33.3%) overall this season …

Arkansas is 5-1 (83.3%) ATS in ‘24 …

The total went over in 15 of LSU’s last 20 games …

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LSU is 4-12-1 against the spread in its last 17 games against Arkansas …

The total went under in 6 of the Hogs’ last 7 games at home against LSU …

LSU is 1-4 against the spread as a 3-point or greater favorite in 2024 …

Arkansas is 3-0 against the spread as 3-point or greater underdogs this season …

LSU’s offense is highly productive when throwing the football, ranking 6th in FBS with 337 yards per game on average, but 100th in rushing production with 123 yards per game.

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Garrett Nussmeier is completing 64.3 percent of his pass attempts with 1,989 yards, averaging 8 yards per attempt, while scoring 18 touchdowns with 6 interceptions. He’s been sacked just twice.

Kyren Lacy leads LSU with 6 of the team’s 18 receiving touchdowns, and is first with 463 yards off 30 grabs for a 15.4 yard per catch average.

Aaron Anderson has 3 touchdown catches off 30 receptions with 452 yards.

Zavion Thomas and Trey’Dez Green each have 2 touchdown catches, while tight end Mason Taylor and wideout Kyle Parker each have one.

LSU averaged 4.7 yards per carry with Caden Durham leading the backfield, rushing for 281 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Josh Williams is right behind with 200 yards and another 3 scores.

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Nussmeier has added 3 rushing touchdowns on 8 carries.

Arkansas is 24th in FBS with 285.3 passing yards per game on average and ranks 34th nationally with 199 rushing yards per game, while scoring 33 points per game, good for 40th in the nation.

Taylen Green is completing 56.6 percent of his pass attempts, throwing 5 touchdowns against 5 interceptions and has been sacked 13 times while covering 1,502 yards in the air.

Green is second on the team with 326 rushing yards and 4 of the Razorbacks’ 20 rushing touchdowns.

Ja’Quinden Jackson has 10 of those scores on the ground, averaging 5.7 yards per carry while running for 586 yards off 99 carries.

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Braylen Russel has scored twice off 24 carries and reserve quarterback Malachi Singleton has 2 rushing touchdowns on 8 carries while hitting 71 percent of his throws in backup work.

Five Arkansas players have caught touchdown passes, and while Andrew Armstrong isn’t one of them, he leads the team with 552 yards off 38 receptions.

Bettors are almost evenly split on how to project this game, according to the spread consensus picks.

But it’s LSU that’s getting majority support, as 51 percent of bets predict it will win the game and cover the spread.

The other 49 percent of wagers suggest that Arkansas will either win in an upset or stay within the line.

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The game’s implied score suggests a narrow win for the Tigers over the Razorbacks.

When taking the point spread and total into consideration, it’s implied that LSU will defeat Arkansas by a projected score of 29 to 26.

Our early pick: LSU -3 … Nussmeier and the LSU receivers should find angles against a vulnerable Arkansas secondary, but not without the Tigers’ susceptible front seven letting the Hogs break through and gain some momentum on the ground first.

When: Sat., Oct. 19
Time: 6 p.m. Central
TV: ESPN network

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks

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No. 20 Lady Vols Basketball vs. Arkansas: How to Watch, Prediction, More | Rocky Top Insider

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No. 20 Lady Vols Basketball vs. Arkansas: How to Watch, Prediction, More | Rocky Top Insider


KNOXVILLE, TN – January 16, 2025 – “We Back Pat” on jersey during the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Tennessee Lady Volunteers at Food City Center in Knoxville, TN. Photo By Kate Luffman/Tennessee Athletics

Lady Vols basketball is back in Knoxville for a matchup with Arkansas after a two-game road stand. Tennessee is not only looking to stay perfect in SEC play, but is hosting its annual ‘We Back Pat’ game.

Here’s everything to know about the matchup, from broadcast details to a prediction.

More From RTI: Everything Lady Vols HC Kim Caldwell, PG Mia Pauldo Said After Road Win At Mississippi State

How to Watch — No. 20 Lady Vols (11-3, 3-0 SEC) vs. Arkansas (11-7, 0-3 SEC)

  • Start Time: 2 p.m. ET/1 p.m. CT
  • Location: Food City Center (Knoxville, Tenn.)
  • Watch: SECN+ | PxP: Andy Brock, Analyst: Kamera Harris
  • Online Streaming: Watch ESPN
  • Radio (Knoxville): The Vol Network/The Vol Network App
  • Vol Network radio crew: PxP: Brian Rice, Studio Host: Jay Lifford

 

Betting Odds

None listed yet

 

ESPN Matchup Predictor

Lady Vols – 98.3%

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Arkansas – 1.7%

 

What Kim Caldwell Said After Mississippi State

“Good to get a win on the road. We know it’s a tough environment and we know that we got to win on the road in the SEC. It was good to do that. I wasn’t really proud of the rebounding, but I thought we looked a lot better in a couple different categories so that was good.”

 

Last Five Games

Lady Vols: 

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  • at Mississippi State, 90-90 W
  • at Auburn, 73-56 W
  • vs. Florida, 76-65 W
  • vs. Southern Indiana, 89-44 W
  • vs. Louisville (Brooklyn), 89-65 L

 

Arkansas:

  • vs. South Carolina, 93-58 L
  • at Alabama, 77-48 L
  • vs. Vanderbilt, 88-71 L
  • vs. Arkansas State, 81-72 L
  • vs. Stephen F. Austin, 82-73 W

 

Where They Land In Rankings

Lady Vols: 

AP Poll – No. 20

Coaches Poll – No. 22

Bart Torvik – No. 13

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Arkansas:

AP Poll – Unranked

Coaches Poll – Unranked

Bart Torvik – No. 107

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Stat Leaders

Lady Vols:

  • Points: Talaysia Cooper – 14.9
  • Rebounds: Zee Spearman – 7.3
  • Assists: Talaysia Cooper – 4.3

 

Arkansas: 

  • Points: Taleyah Jones – 16.9
  • Rebounds: Bonnie Deas – 9.7
  • Assists: Bonnie Deas – 2.6

 

Prediction

It’s been a rough start for Arkansas’ new coach, Kelsi Musick. The team is 0-3 in SEC games, and though it’s been against three good teams, the Razorbacks haven’t been competitive in any.

While neither side has been strong, Arkansas’ defense has been the weakest point. Not only is it coming off a game in which it gave up 93 points to South Carolina, but Arkansas State hung 81 in its win over the Razorbacks on the road.

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If the Lady Vols don’t get in their own way, then they should be fine. It hasn’t been perfect, and against three teams not necessarily in the mix to win the league, but Tennessee has looked much improved in the SEC slate compared to the lumps it took in the out-of-conference schedule.

I’d think UT jumps on Arkansas in the first quarter and takes a comfortable lead into the second quarter. From there, the lead should continue to grow behind forced turnovers in the press and easy baskets on the other end.

Lady Vols 85, Arkansas 61



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Arkansas State defeats Texas State 83-82

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Arkansas State defeats Texas State 83-82





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One more list of wishes for Arkansas in 2026 | Arkansas Democrat Gazette

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One more list of wishes for Arkansas in 2026 | Arkansas Democrat Gazette


Rex Nelson

rnelson@adgnewsroom.com

Rex Nelson has been senior editor and columnist at the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette since 2017, and he has a biweekly podcast called “Southern Fried.”

After graduating from Ouachita Baptist University in 1981, he was a sportswriter for the Arkansas Democrat for a year before becoming editor of Arkadelphia’s Daily Siftings Herald. He was the youngest editor of a daily in Arkansas at age 23. Rex was then news and sports director at KVRC-KDEL from 1983-1985.

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He returned to the Democrat as assistant sports editor in 1985. From 1986-1989, he was its Washington correspondent. He left to be Jackson T. Stephens’ consultant.

Rex became the Democrat-Gazette’s first political editor in 1992, but left in 1996 to join then-Gov. Mike Huckabee’s office. He also served from 2005-09 in the administration of President George W. Bush.

From 2009-2018, he worked stints at the Communications Group, Arkansas’ Independent Colleges and Universities, and Simmons First National Corp.



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