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Covid in the Northeast

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Covid in the Northeast

Covid outbreaks in elite circles in Washington, D.C., and on Broadway have acquired numerous media consideration in latest days, however they look like just one a part of a broader regional rise in infections: States within the Northeast are actually reporting an uptick in circumstances.

Final week, this article lined what appeared like a thriller on the time: Covid circumstances weren’t broadly rising throughout the U.S. regardless of the emergence of the BA.2 subvariant of Omicron. However the Northeast’s continued improve has pushed a brand new spherical of considerations, with nationwide circumstances up 10 % over the previous two weeks.

What’s much less clear is whether or not the regional rise will quantity to a a lot bigger Covid surge. “There’s positively one thing coming,” William Hanage, an epidemiologist at Harvard, informed me. “However relying on all of the shifting elements it is likely to be a ripple relative to earlier waves.”

Up to now, recorded circumstances are up barely, standing at about 6 % of the place they had been through the peak of the Omicron wave within the Northeast. (Extra circumstances are in all probability going undetected, as extra individuals use at-home checks with out reporting them to public well being officers.)

Hospitalizations are additionally comparatively low in most Northeastern states, and deaths are literally down. Each lag behind circumstances, usually by weeks. “So it may very well be too early to see an increase,” Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist at Brown College, informed me.

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However some specialists imagine a rise in hospitalizations ought to have began displaying up in at least some places, based mostly on how earlier waves performed out. “That is one thing of a head scratcher,” stated Robert Wachter, chair of the drugs division on the College of California, San Francisco. “It makes me assume that the prior relationship between circumstances and hospitalizations might not be holding, which might be superb information.”

Any wave must cope with lately built-up immunity, each from the vaccines and the Omicron surge that contaminated doubtlessly 45 % of Individuals this winter.

Not all regional outbreaks develop into nationwide ones. Round this time final 12 months, the Alpha variant struck laborious in Michigan and Minnesota however in the end fizzled out. Specialists nonetheless do not likely know why — one other instance of how a lot we nonetheless don’t perceive about Covid (a problem we now have lined on this e-newsletter).

Nonetheless, we do know that BA.2 is spreading quickly, now making up the overwhelming majority of U.S. Covid circumstances. Specialists fear that might result in a spike, because it has in different elements of the world.

Britain and different European international locations, which have usually been forward of the U.S. in Covid waves, noticed a latest surge in Covid circumstances, fueled by BA.2. However that improve is receding and didn’t result in a pointy rise in deaths in Europe.

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We have no idea what meaning for the U.S., which has generally seen larger waves than elements of Europe — however not at all times. As has been true for the reason that begin of the pandemic, numerous uncertainty surrounds Covid.

For all of Covid’s unpredictability, we do know some issues may also help forestall or mitigate one other huge surge.

The primary is vaccination. To the extent that built-up immunity is protecting one other wave at bay, extra vaccine-induced immunity may also help. “Probably the most severe penalties will, as ever, be largely decided by how many individuals are vaccinated/boosted,” Hanage stated in an e-mail.

New remedies may also help, too. Some are already obtainable: The drug Evusheld may also help forestall a Covid an infection, notably for immunocompromised individuals. And the antiviral treatment Paxlovid helps deal with infections. (Right here’s a information for the place to get it.) Extra remedies are within the works, comparable to a drug known as sabizabulin aimed toward treating critically in poor health individuals.

Public coverage and particular person measures, like masking and social distancing, may also help, too. Yesterday, Philadelphia introduced it was reinstating its indoor masks mandate. Some universities have carried out so, as nicely, together with American and Georgetown in Washington, D.C., and Columbia in New York Metropolis.

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However in a lot of the U.S., policymakers and most of the people appear much less prepared than earlier than to take such steps. As Katherine Wu wrote in The Atlantic, America could also be taking a look at its first “so what?” wave — “a surge it cares to neither measure nor reply to.”

“I’m guessing we’ll be performing a pure experiment — seeing what occurs when a major uptick in circumstances doesn’t result in a major change in conduct or insurance policies,” Wachter informed me.

We have no idea whether or not the Northeast’s uptick in circumstances will translate to a significant Covid wave. However there are steps we will all take to assist forestall a rise from turning into one thing larger.

Associated: The Occasions desires to listen to about your expertise with antiviral Covid capsules.

  • Russia is shifting 1000’s of troops, and tons of of army automobiles, into place for an assault on the Donbas area of japanese Ukraine.

  • The following part of the battle will look completely different, and that might assist Russia, specialists say.

  • After assembly with Vladimir Putin, Austria’s chancellor stated he feared Russia would intensify the brutality of its assaults.

  • Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, stated “tens of 1000’s are useless” within the besieged southern metropolis of Mariupol.

Tonight, ABC will air the season finale of the sitcom “Abbott Elementary,” one of many breakout hits of the TV season, which follows a bunch of scrappy lecturers in an underfunded Philadelphia public faculty.

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“Abbott” is a mockumentary-style office comedy that “would have slot in on any NBC must-see-TV lineup of the ’00s,” James Poniewozik writes in a evaluate. Like “Ted Lasso,” one other latest sitcom hit, a part of the present’s attraction is its healthful sensibility.

Past the levity, the present additionally confronts the realities of the American schooling system. In a single episode, a well-connected trainer smuggles in Philadelphia Eagles-branded rugs from the crew’s stadium after the college refuses to switch the school rooms’ ruined ones. In one other, the lecturers make TikTok movies of their run-down amenities in hopes that the net lots will donate faculty provides.

The present manages to be a well timed comedy, a homage to lecturers and a love letter to Philadelphia, . “I feel lots of people are having fun with having one thing that’s mild and nuanced,” the present’s creator and star Quinta Brunson informed The Occasions. “‘Abbott’ got here on the proper time.”— Ashley Wu, a Morning graphics editor

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India kicks off a massive Hindu festival touted as the world's largest religious gathering

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India kicks off a massive Hindu festival touted as the world's largest religious gathering

PRAYAGRAJ, India (AP) — Millions of Hindu devotees, mystics and holy men and women from all across India flocked to the northern city of Prayagraj on Monday to kickstart the Maha Kumbh festival, which is being touted as the world’s largest religious gathering.

Over about the next six weeks, Hindu pilgrims with gather at the confluence of three sacred rivers — the Ganges, the Yamuna and the mythical Saraswati — where they will take part in elaborate rituals, hoping to begin a journey to achieve Hindu philosophy’s ultimate goal: the release from the cycle of rebirth.

Here’s what to know about the festival:

A religious gathering at the confluence of three sacred rivers

Hindus venerate rivers, and none more so than the Ganges and the Yamuna. The faithful believe that a dip in their waters will cleanse them of their past sins and end their process of reincarnation, particularly on auspicious days. The most propitious of these days occur in cycles of 12 years during a festival called the Maha Kumbh Mela, or pitcher festival.

The festival is a series of ritual baths by Hindu sadhus, or holy men, and other pilgrims at the confluence of three sacred rivers that dates to at least medieval times. Hindus believe that the mythical Saraswati river once flowed from the Himalayas through Prayagraj, meeting there with the Ganges and the Yamuna.

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Bathing takes place every day, but on the most auspicious dates, naked, ash-smeared monks charge toward the holy rivers at dawn. Many pilgrims stay for the entire festival, observing austerity, giving alms and bathing at sunrise every day.

“We feel peaceful here and attain salvation from the cycles of life and death,” said Bhagwat Prasad Tiwari, a pilgrim.

The festival has its roots in a Hindu tradition that says the god Vishnu wrested a golden pitcher containing the nectar of immortality from demons. Hindus believe that a few drops fell in the cities of Prayagraj, Nasik, Ujjain and Haridwar — the four places where the Kumbh festival has been held for centuries.

The Kumbh rotates among these four pilgrimage sites about every three years on a date prescribed by astrology. This year’s festival is the biggest and grandest of them all. A smaller version of the festival, called Ardh Kumbh, or Half Kumbh, was organized in 2019, when 240 million visitors were recorded, with about 50 million taking a ritual bath on the busiest day.

Maha Kumb is the world’s largest such gathering

At least 400 million people — more than the population of the United States — are expected in Prayagraj over the next 45 days, according to officials. That is around 200 times the 2 million pilgrims that arrived in the Muslim holy cities of Mecca and Medina in Saudi Arabia for the annual Hajj pilgrimage last year.

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The festival is a big test for Indian authorities to showcase the Hindu religion, tourism and crowd management.

A vast ground along the banks of the rivers has been converted into a sprawling tent city equipped with more 3,000 kitchens and 150,000 restrooms. Divided into 25 sections and spreading over 40 square kilometers (15 square miles), the tent city also has housing, roads, electricity and water, communication towers and 11 hospitals. Murals depicting stories from Hindu scriptures are painted on the city walls.

Indian Railways has also introduced more than 90 special trains that will make nearly 3,300 trips during the festival to transport devotees, beside regular trains.

About 50,000 security personnel — a 50% increase from 2019 — are also stationed in the city to maintain law and order and crowd management. More than 2,500 cameras, some powered by AI, will send crowd movement and density information to four central control rooms, where officials can quickly deploy personnel to avoid stampedes.

The festival will boost Modi’s support base

India’s past leaders have capitalized on the festival to strengthen their relationship with the country’s Hindus, who make up nearly 80% of India’s more than 1.4 billion people. But under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the festival has become an integral part of its advocacy of Hindu nationalism. For Modi and his party, Indian civilization is inseparable from Hinduism, although critics say the party’s philosophy is rooted in Hindu supremacy.

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The Uttar Pradesh state, headed by Adityanath — a powerful Hindu monk and a popular hard-line Hindu politician in Modi’s party — has allocated more than $765 million for this year’s event. It has also used the festival to boost his and the prime minister’s image, with giant billboards and posters all over the city showing them both, alongside slogans touting their government welfare policies.

The festival is expected to boost the ruling Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party’s past record of promoting Hindu cultural symbols for its support base. But recent Kumbh gatherings have also been caught in controversies.

Modi’s government changed the city’s Mughal-era name from Allahabad to Prayagraj as part of its Muslim-to-Hindu name-changing effort nationwide ahead of the 2019 festival and the national election that his party won. In 2021, his government refused to call off the festival in Haridwar despite a surge in coronavirus cases, fearing a backlash from religious leaders in the Hindu-majority country.

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Associated Press religion coverage receives support through the AP’s collaboration with The Conversation US, with funding from Lilly Endowment Inc. The AP is solely responsible for this content.

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Ukraine has captured 2 North Korean soldiers, South Korea's intelligence service says

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Ukraine has captured 2 North Korean soldiers, South Korea's intelligence service says

Ukraine captured two wounded North Korean soldiers who were fighting on behalf of Russia in a Russian border region, South Korea’s intelligence service said, confirming an account from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Saturday.

Seoul’s National Intelligence Service (NIS) told AFP it has “confirmed that the Ukrainian military captured two North Korean soldiers on January 9 in the Kursk battlefield in Russia.”

The confirmation comes after Zelenskyy said in a post on the Telegram messaging app that the two captured North Korean soldiers were wounded and taken to Kyiv, where they are communicating with Ukrainian security services SBU.

SBU released video that appears to show the two prisoners on beds inside jail cells. The authenticity of the video could not be independently verified.

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In this unverified photo shared by the Ukrainian military, an apparent captured North Korean soldier with injuries is sitting in a bed inside a cell. (Ukraine Military handout)

A doctor interviewed in the SBU video said one soldier suffered a facial wound while the other soldier had an open wound and a lower leg fracture. Both men were receiving medical treatment.

North Korean soldier lying in bed

In this unverified photo shared by the Ukrainian military, an apparent captured North Korean soldier with injuries is lying in a bed inside a cell. (Ukraine Military handout)

SBU also said one of the soldiers had no documents at all, while the other had been carrying a Russian military ID card in the name of a man from Tuva, a Russian region bordering Mongolia.

Ukraine’s military says North Korean soldiers are outfitted in Russian military uniforms and carry fake military IDs in their pockets, a scheme that Andrii Yusov, spokesperson for Ukraine’s military intelligence agency, says could mean Moscow and “its representatives at the U.N. can deny the facts.”

Despite Ukrainian, U.S. and South Korean assertions that Pyongyang has sent 10,000 – 12,000 troops to fight alongside Russia in the Kursk border region, Moscow has never publicly acknowledged the North Korean forces.

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While reports of their presence first emerged in October, Ukrainian troops only confirmed engagement on the ground in December.

On Thursday, Zelenskyy put the number of killed or wounded North Koreans at 4,000, though U.S. estimates are lower, at around 1,200.

North Korean soldiers

Soldiers are seen at Kim Il Sung Square in Pyongyang, North Korea, on Oct. 12, 2020.  (AP Photo/Jon Chol Jin, File)

Despite North Korea’s suffering losses and initial inexperience on the battlefield, Ukrainian soldiers, military intelligence and experts suggest first-hand experience will only help them develop further as a fighting force.

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“For the first time in decades, the North Korean army is gaining real military experience,” Yusov said. “This is a global challenge — not just for Ukraine and Europe, but for the entire world.”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Three people killed in an avalanche in Italy's Leopontine Alps

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Three people killed in an avalanche in Italy's Leopontine Alps

A group of five skiers was hit by the avalanche above the village of Trasquera in the Piedmont region. Two survived and were helicoptered to hospital.

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The avalanche broke away around 12.30pm on the eastern face of Punta Valgrande, a summit in the Leopontine Alps, on the border between Italy and Switzerland.

The skiers who died were dragged down the snowy mountain for several hundred metres from where they had been skiing at over 2,800 metres. The bodies have not yet been recovered because they are awaiting authorisation from the local magistrate.

An alert had been issued in the area above 2,100 metres, which warned of “considerable danger of avalanches.” The alert was at level 3, with 5 being the most dangerous.

It is not yet clear whether the rescuers were alerted by a skier who saw the avalanche sweeping away three people, or by the other two people who managed to save themselves. According to reports, the group was going uphill with crampons and then descending with skis.

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