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Baby boom after summer fairy tale: Can football boost birth rates?

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Baby boom after summer fairy tale: Can football boost birth rates?

It sounded like the perfect sequel to the summer fairy tale: on 13 July 2014, Germany were crowned world champions in Rio de Janeiro, Mario Götze scored in the 113th minute to make it 1–0 against Argentina, millions celebrated in the streets, on balconies and at fan zones. More than 30 million viewers in Germany watched the final on television. Soon the question arose: shouldn’t such an exceptional state of euphoria also have consequences for the birth statistics?

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Even before the final, Saxon family policy expert Alexander Krauß (CDU) had predicted a baby boom in the Bild newspaper, as WirtschaftsWoche later reported: “When the ball is rolling, the mood is high not only in front of the television but also in bed. Goals for Germany mean babies for Saxony!” The claim could be put to the test in spring 2015, roughly nine months after the triumph in Brazil.

The tale of the World Cup babies

The expectation was nothing new. As early as the 2006 World Cup in Germany, the original “summer fairy tale”, the story of the football babies, began to circulate. The country was in a buoyant mood, and the fan zones were packed. Journalist and presenter Lena Cassel looks back on that time on NDR and describes it as an “emotional loosening-up”.

In February 2007, the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung reported on a “winter fairy tale after the summer fairy tale”: antenatal classes were full, maternity wards were working at full stretch. The magazine Stern picked up the story as well. Hamburg’s Asklepios clinic reported around ten per cent more births in March 2007.

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In Berlin, the number of births in March 2007 rose from around 2,400 to 2,800, according to the state statistics office. The Vivantes hospitals reported 11% more births than in the same period a year earlier. Cologne recorded 116 more births in April than in the same month of the previous year. In 2015, the pattern repeated itself: the Bild newspaper showcased individual “World Cup babies”, and several cities reported rising birth figures.

Isolated figures do not yet make a trend

If the 2014 World Cup win had in fact led to more pregnancies, this could have been seen even before the babies were born: in health insurance data, in pregnancy tests and in the baby-goods trade. But it was precisely there that WirtschaftsWoche found hardly any solid evidence in 2015.

At the time, Barmer GEK told the paper: “We have no data that provides information on expected birth numbers in the coming months.” Techniker Krankenkasse also said it could “not derive anything robust from the data available”.

Manufacturers of pregnancy tests also saw no boom. Dolorgiet, who makes the Hilary test, said July 2014 had been below average and August had been average. Baby and toddler retailer BabyOne did report rising pram sales, but said the increase had already been underway since autumn 2014.

Birth figures contradicted the myth

By spring 2015, the catchy story had turned into a statistical problem. A spot survey by the German Press Agency of registry offices and hospitals found no unusually high birth numbers. None of those questioned was willing to talk of a baby boom.

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In the obstetrics department at Berlin’s Charité hospital, even fewer children were born than usual, roughly 40 weeks after the World Cup final. From 4 to 6 April, 14 babies were delivered there; normally it would be nine to ten per day.

In retrospect, the World Cup hypothesis of 2006 also failed to stand up. In November 2007, the Federal Statistical Office announced that the number of births in the first half of 2007 had actually fallen slightly: 313,100 children compared with 313,900 in the same period a year earlier, a drop of 0.3%, as Der Tagesspiegel reported. The official responsible, Martin Conrad, said there had “by no means” been a baby boom nine months after the 2006 World Cup.

Many different factors can trigger a baby boom

The persistence of the story also has to do with the way numbers are handled. Individual spikes in cities or hospitals look spectacular, but say little about a nationwide trend. Cologne did record more births in April 2007 than in the same month the year before, but there had been even more in 2005 – with no World Cup connection at all. Stuttgart’s baby fever had already been rising in previous years.

There are also other factors. In Berlin, the increase in March 2007 was also linked to the new parental allowance. It replaced part of the income lost after the birth of a child and was intended to make it easier for parents to combine work and family life and to share childcare more equally.

What the research shows

A study by the IZA research institute even turns the popular thesis on its head. The authors analysed monthly birth rates from 50 European countries over 56 years and compared them with the performances of national teams at 27 major football tournaments.

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The result: greater sporting success was not associated with more births, but with a decline. After an average tournament performance, birth numbers fell by 2.13% nine months later. Applied to Germany, that would mean around 1,000 fewer births. One possible explanation: anyone celebrating in the stadium, in front of the television or at a public viewing event is not spending that time in the bedroom.

Demographer J. Richard Udry examined a similar phenomenon back in 1970 in connection with the great power outage in New York in November 1965. At the time, media reports created the impression that unusually many children had been born nine months later. Udry disproved this link in a study published in the journal Demography: the city-wide birth rate was no higher than usual. In his conclusion, he suggests that many people apparently tend to believe that exceptional events that disrupt everyday life prompt people to conceive children.

What remains of the hoped-for baby boom

The case of the World Cup babies shows how quickly anecdotes can turn into an enduring myth. A few hospitals, fully booked classes, happy parents, or striking monthly figures do not yet amount to a robust demographic trend.

Looking at the full year is only of limited help as well: in 2015, about 738,000 children were born in Germany, around 3.2% more than in 2014. But no World Cup effect can be inferred from that. Birth numbers depend on many factors: the age and number of potential mothers, family policy, the economic situation, regional hospital structures and long-term trends. In 2026, the population here is still shrinking – birth rates in Germany and Europe are falling.

And yet the story of the World Cup babies lives on. It blends football euphoria, a sense of togetherness and family happiness into a simple, catchy image. Perhaps that is precisely why it keeps resurfacing after major tournaments: in 2006, 2014, and possibly again this time.

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Video: Russian Attack on Kyiv Damages Historic Orthodox Cathedral

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Video: Russian Attack on Kyiv Damages Historic Orthodox Cathedral

new video loaded: Russian Attack on Kyiv Damages Historic Orthodox Cathedral

A historic cathedral at one of Ukraine’s holiest sites burned on Monday after a large-scale Russian missile and drone attack on Kyiv.
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Iran’s regime spins nuclear and Strait of Hormuz deal with Trump as victory over US, Israel

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Iran’s regime spins nuclear and Strait of Hormuz deal with Trump as victory over US, Israel

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The Islamic Republic of Iran’s state-controlled media is promoting the memorandum of understanding with the U.S. to re-open the Strait of Hormuz and address Tehran’s illicit nuclear weapons program as its triumph over the U.S. and Israel.

The major diplomatic breakthrough, known as by its initials MOU, is slated to be sealed at a signing ceremony on June 19 in Switzerland. Iranian state-controlled TV boasted that the “U.S. is forced to sign agreement to end the war.”

The State Department has classified Iran as the world’s worst state-sponsor of terrorism and its state-controlled media apparatus is notorious, according to Iran experts, for spreading anti-U.S. propoganda.

TRUMP ANNOUNCES PEACE DEAL WITH IRAN, DECLARES STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL REOPEN: ‘LET THE OIL FLOW!’

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A woman walks past a billboard showing a military hand holding the Strait of Hormuz with Farsi text which reads, “In Iran’s hands forever,” “Trump couldn’t do a damn thing,” “The control of Strait of Hormuz will be Iran’s forever,” in Vanak Square, in northern Tehran, Iran, on April 16, 2026. (Vahid Salemi/AP)

Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said, according to the country’s Tasnim News Agency, “This memorandum does not mean trusting the enemy; it has been written with active distrust. We will monitor the implementation of U.S. commitments.” 

Iran’s Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported that the nation’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi, “emphasized that national cohesion and the active presence of the people serve as important capital and a primary pillar of Iran’s diplomatic authority.”

Araghchi said, according to IRNA,” that the true image of Iran’s power on the global stage stems not only from its military capabilities but also from national cohesion, resilience, and the active involvement of its people.”

Members of security forces watch over the crowd during a funeral procession held for IRGC Navy Chief Alireza Tangsiri, alongside other senior naval commanders and their families who were killed in US-Israeli strikes in late March, on April 1, 2026 in Tehran, Iran. Majid Saeedi/Getty Images (Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

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Tehran’s top diplomat stated that the,”Iranian nation achieved not only tactical victories during the 12-day imposed war in June last year and the recent war, but also important strategic accomplishments whose impact can be observed in both regional and global equations.”

President Trump announced some of the elements of the MOU on Sunday. He wrote on social media. “The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete.” He noted that “I hereby fully authorize the toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and, simultaneously herewith, authorize the immediate removal of the United States Naval blockade. Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!”

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There are additional components of the MOU that have not been confirmed, including the timetable for sanctions relief and the end of Iran’s enrichment of uranium for the construction of nuclear weapons.

Iran’s Supreme National Security Council said in a Sunday statement that all military operations across multiple fronts, including those in Lebanon, will cease “immediately and permanently” starting Sunday night.

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A woman is seen holding an Iranian flag during a religious ceremony during Eid al-Adha on May 26, 2026 in Qom, Iran. (Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

Lisa Daftari, the founder and editor-in-chief of The Foreign Desk told Fox News Digital that, “Inside Iran, state media is selling this as a victory, not a compromise. The message on Iranian television is that a ‘strong and proud’ Islamic Republic has forced Washington to recognize its control over the Strait of Hormuz and to ease military pressure, while Tehran supposedly gives up very little in return.”

Daftari, a leading expert on the Islamic Republic, added “The Islamic Republic’s very DNA is built on delay, deceit and deniability. Every agreement it has signed has been treated as a tactical pause on the way to more missiles, more proxies and more leverage, not a real change in behavior. So while it’s important to read the fine print of this new deal, it’s even more important to remember who is signing it. A system that survives by holding deadly weapons over its neighbors and by lying to its own people is not suddenly going to become a trustworthy partner.”

She concluded, “The Trump administration should assume from day one that Tehran will test every loophole, hide every capability it can, and resume its nuclear program, amass its drones and missiles, fund its deadly proxies while continuing to torture the Iranian people at home.”

A billboard showing a portrait of the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei looms over an empty square in Tehran, Iran, on March 5, 2026. (Vahid Salemi/AP Photo)

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Vice President JD Vance told Fox News’ “The Big Weekend Show” Sunday that “I think it’s a big moment for the United States of America. Thanks, of course, to the President’s leadership and the hard work of the entire team. Three things that I think are important for the American people just to appreciate about what this deal does for all of us as Americans.”

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He stressed that” Number one, this is the immediate opening of the straits of Hormuz and, of course, the lifting of the naval blockade that we’ve had on Iran along with it. The number two thing that it means is that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon and not just pursue a nuclear weapon for procure or try to buy a nuclear weapon as well.”

Cameron Khansarinia, the chief of staff for Reza Pahlavi, the leader of the Iranian democratic opposition and exiled former crown prince of Iran, wrote on x: “Deal or no deal, the people of Iran will not stop the fight for freedom. Iran’s future has always been for Iranians for determine. And they will. With or without help, Iranians will topple the Islamic Republic. The fight continues. Prince Reza Pahlavi will lead Iran to freedom.” 

An Iranian flag is placed amid rubble next to a destroyed residential building near Ferdowsi Square in Tehran on March 3, 2026. (ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images)

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Another leading Iranian opposition group’s leader, Maryam Rajavi, President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), said in a statement that, “The Iranian Resistance, which for nearly five decades has sought freedom and peace, welcomes any understanding to end the war and the suffering of the Iranian people. In Iran, no one except the remnants of the mullahs and the Shah has wanted or wants war.”

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She added that “The effort to produce nuclear weapons, warmongering, and meddling in the countries of the region are part of the survival strategy of the religious fascism ruling Iran, and it will not abandon them as long as it can. War is this regime’s shield against popular uprisings, while peace and a ceasefire are, as Khomeini put it, like “poison” for it. The overthrow of the regime is the responsibility of the Iranian people and their organized Resistance. I reiterate once again that any international agreement to end the war must include an end to the execution of political prisoners and the killing of protesters.”

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Jessie Mei Li, Karina Lam, Chris Pang and Toby Stephens on the Rich and Restless in Hong Kong Glamour Drama ‘The Season’: ‘They’re All Human Beings Who Are Terrified’

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Jessie Mei Li, Karina Lam, Chris Pang and Toby Stephens on the Rich and Restless in Hong Kong Glamour Drama ‘The Season’: ‘They’re All Human Beings Who Are Terrified’

There are no trailers on a boat. This is the logistical reality that Toby Stephens found himself confronting somewhere in the middle of shooting “The Season,” Hulu‘s new drama about the bad behavior of Hong Kong’s sailing elite – a show that, almost by design, offered its cast nowhere to hide.

“Normally when you’re filming, you can go back there, and at lunchtime you can have a little snoozy,” Stephens says, with the weary affection of a man who has made his peace with it. Instead, he meditated on deck. His castmates photographed him doing it. There was, apparently, a sitar soundtrack.

Six episodes. Fifty days. Humid, floating, relentless. And by all accounts, a genuinely wonderful time.

“Because we had such a fun cast,” says Karina Lam, who plays Fiona Hext, “all that just became so much easier.” Jessie Mei Li, who plays the American Cola despite being resolutely English, agrees. “You just have each other to get through it. And we had so many belly laughs with the crew.”

The warmth is real, but so is the craft that went into making “The Season” – a show that arrives on Hulu on June 17 with all six episodes at once, produced by PCCW Media and SK Global, shot almost entirely on real Hong Kong locations, and built around a cast that spent most of production at sea.

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For Lam, the challenge was language. She has spent 25 years acting in Cantonese and Mandarin – launched her career in Hong Kong, built a parallel life as a singer in Taiwan, was born and raised in Canada – and describes herself as a hybrid in the most literal sense. “I dream in Chinese,” she says. English fluency and English acting, it turns out, are different muscles entirely. “There are certain things you can only express in Cantonese,” she says. The ambiguity of Chinese, the way meaning pools in the spaces between words, resists translation.

Mei Li had the opposite problem. Playing an American in a production staffed by Australians, Brits, a Chilean director and a Hispanic DP, her brain kept mutinying. “Because I like to assimilate when I’m talking to someone, I can’t help but copy them,” she says. The accent kept slipping. “There were just some times where my accent was coming up. I’ll be talking to Chris, and I then suddenly say something in a scene that just sounded Australian.”

Chris Pang, for his part, was wrestling with something thornier than phonetics. His character, Andrew Fung, is written to be obnoxious – cartoonishly, gleefully, exhaustingly so. The question was whether audiences would stick with him. “Andrew is unabashedly and unapologetically an asshole,” Pang says. “He just says the most outlandish, most horrible things. And it’s going to be a mission to find that balance, where you say these things but you still like this guy.” The goal, as he frames it: “an asshole, but one that you can’t help but love.” Director Marialy Rivas, he says, encouraged him to push further than he thought wise. He pushed too far, regularly. “Marialy would give me a take and just be like, just go all out, and I’d go way too far. Like, okay, we’re not using that.”

Stephens, playing Christopher Hext – patriarch, power broker, the kind of man who wears his wealth like armor – was after something quieter. The danger with characters like this, he says, is that they flatten into archetype. “Characters can come across as sort of one-dimensional, kind of evil rich people who are just sort of sociopathic.” What interested him was the gap between the performance of power and whatever lives underneath it. “They’re all masking. They’re all throwing up these things about, I’m rich, I’m powerful, I’ve got this status, but underneath it, they’re all human beings who are all terrified. They feel all of these other things.”

It is, perhaps, also a description of Hong Kong itself – a city that presents one face and contains multitudes. All four cast members return, unprompted, to the idea of the city as something more than backdrop. “Hong Kong seems like a character on its own,” Lam says. She has shot dozens of films here and found herself, through this production’s use of real locations and an outsider’s lens, seeing it differently. “I’ve shot so many Hong Kong produced films here, and it’s never been this way, in this kind of lens.”

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Mei Li goes further. The show moves between worlds – the gleaming marina set of the ultra-wealthy and the more grounded lives of characters outside that orbit – and the city absorbs both. “It’s not just we filmed it in Hong Kong. It’s like, this show is about Hong Kong in so many ways.” Stephens, characteristically, cuts to it: “This show could only take place in Hong Kong.”

The series is created and showrun by Yalun Tu, with Marialy Rivas serving as lead director and executive producer. It is produced by PCCW Media in partnership with SK Global, the company behind “Crazy Rich Asians,” “Thai Cave Rescue” and “Delhi Crime.” International sales are handled by Fremantle with support from De Maio Entertainment. Beyond Hulu, the series will stream on Viu across Asia, the Middle East and South Africa, and on Now TV in Hong Kong.

As for what comes next: Stephens is returning to the U.K. for a period film about two nuns on the run during the dissolution of the monasteries under Henry VIII – “Thelma and Louise in Tudor times,” he calls it – titled “The Reformation of Mother Agnes.” Pang has written a crime thriller, currently titled “Brother Gangster” (“I think it needs to change,” he says), with director Jane Woo attached to helm. Mei Li heads to the Soho Theatre in London this summer for “Tender,” a four-person comedy by Dave Harris – only her second time on stage. “It’s something a bit different,” she says. Lam is due to begin filming in September on a project with a Malaysian director, details undisclosed.

All four have moved on to other projects, other cities, other worlds. But Hong Kong has a way of pulling people back.

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