World
Are spheres of influence returning to the international stage?

While the concept lost some of its relevance at the end of the Cold War, it is back in the spotlight with the return of Donald Trump and the war in Ukraine.
Are spheres of influence making a comeback on the international stage?
The concept lost relevance at the end of the Cold War but seems to be regaining interest with the return of Donald Trump to the White House and the war in Ukraine.
“The prolonged crisis in Ukraine has really brought the concept back into global conversations about geopolitics and security. And more recently, the return of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States has accentuated this concept,“ Iain Ferguson, assistant professor at the Higher School of Economics (HSE) in Moscow, told Euronews.
A sphere of influence refers to a geographical area that a power has unilaterally declared to be its exclusive space and over which it exercises political, economic and military control.
The concept was defined at the Berlin Conference of 1884-1885, at which the European colonial powers shared out Africa – without of course consulting any Africans on what they thought about being colonised.
However, it had already been shaping international relations long before, when the United States adopted the Monroe Doctrine in 1823, which condemned all European colonial intervention in Latin and North America.
Catalyst for conflict
It is in Europe’s interest to prevent the formation of exclusive spheres of influence, says Sven Biscop, director of the Europe in the World programme at the Egmont Institute.
“The immediate threat of a sphere of influence is that you cut others off from resources and trade. For Europe, this is a problem because we are an export economy and we have to import most of our resources”, the researcher explained.
In his view, a global race by the major powers to establish spheres of influence would increase geopolitical tensions and risk triggering conflict.
Russia, China and the United States are looking to gain ground. The US President has threatened to annex Greenland and Canada, but this is about territorial expansion, not spheres of influence, Biscop said.
For its part, “Russia is trying to establish an exclusive sphere of influence by military means and abroad”, he added.
“China is intelligently gaining a lot of influence in the world, but mainly through an economic and political strategy. But this could only become an exclusive sphere of influence if other players, including the European Union, abandoned these countries to China. But this is not the case,“ he stated.
According to Biscop, the reappearance of spheres of influence is therefore not being observed on a global scale.
“Many countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America are trying to maintain good relations with various major powers, including China, the United States and the EU. So, in a way, it’s exactly the opposite of exclusive spheres of influence.”
For the EU, enlargement is a way of promoting its values. But, in his view, it is not a sphere of influence.
“Of course, enlargement increases the European Union’s power and influence. But enlargement does not create a sphere of influence. If another state joins the Union, it is part of us. There should be a sphere around us. It would not be part of us,” he stated.
Spheres of influence “are back in the geopolitical conversation in the 21st century. But it is very difficult to see how this translates into concrete political reality on the ground,” Iain Ferguson concluded.

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Rubio breaks silence on leaked Signal chat: 'Someone made a big mistake'

Secretary of State Marco Rubio, for the first time, on Wednesday addressed the Signal-chat controversy and conceded that “someone made a big mistake” when a journalist from the Atlantic was added to Signal text chain that included Washington’s top national security heads.
“This thing was set up for purposes of coordinating,” Rubio told reporters from Jamaica, noting the point of the text exchange carried out on the encrypted messaging application was purely so officials knew how to communicate with their various counterparts.
But the revelation that potentially classified information was exchanged on a site that has been the target of Russian hackers, and that the chain included an editor from the Atlantic, sent shockwaves globally – though the Pentagon maintains that no classified intelligence was exchanged in the messages.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks a joint press conference with Prime Minister Andrew Holness in Kingston, Jamaica, March 26, 2025. (Nathan Howard/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)
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“Obviously, someone made a mistake. Someone made a big mistake and added a journalist,” Rubio said. “Nothing against journalists. But you ain’t supposed to be on that thing.”
“I contributed to it twice. I identified my point of contact, which is my chief of staff, and then later on, I think three hours after the White House’s official announcements had been made, I congratulated the members of the team,” he continued.
Rubio said that though the information was not technically classified nor did it at “any point threaten the operation of the lives of our servicemen,” the information was “not intended to be divulged” and the White House was investigating the matter.
President Donald Trump has downplayed the severity of the lapse, noting it was “the only glitch in two months” his administration has faced and told NBC News the debacle “turned out not to be a serious one.”
National security advisor Mike Waltz, who reportedly set up the text chain and accidentally added the Atlantic editor, told Fox News’ Laura Ingraham that he took “full responsibility” for the “embarrassing” mishap.
Similarly, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard on Wednesday told the House Intelligence Committee it was a “mistake” to include a reporter in a text group that included “candid and sensitive” information.
She also maintained that the texts did not include any classified information while testifying in front of senators on Tuesday.

National security advisor Mike Waltz and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at the White House on Feb. 24. (Reuters/Brian Snyder)
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Debate between the Atlantic’s reporting and the White House erupted after the Trump administration and Pentagon said that no “war planning” information was shared.
Waltz in a Wednesday tweet said, “No locations. No sources & methods. NO WAR PLANS. Foreign partners had already been notified that strikes were imminent.”
The Atlantic maintains the texts did include “attack plans.”
“TEAM UPDATE: TIME NOW (1144et): Weather is FAVORABLE. Just CONFIRMED w/CENTCOM we are a GO for mission launch. 1215et: F-18s LAUNCH (1st strike package). 1345: ‘Trigger Based’ F-18 1st Strike Window Starts (Target Terrorist is @ his Known Location so SHOULD BE ON TIME – also, Strike Drones Launch (MQ-9s),” Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reportedly wrote in the text exchange released Wednesday by The Atlantic.
“1410: More F-18s LAUNCH (2nd strike package). 1415: Strike Drones on Target (THIS IS WHEN THE FIRST BOMBS WILL DEFINITELY DROP, pending earlier ‘Trigger Based’ targets). 1536 F-18 2nd Strike Starts – also, first sea-based Tomahawks launched,” he later added.
But Rubio, in alignment with other administration officials, pointed to the Pentagon’s assessment on whether its leader released classified information and said, “They made very clear that [the texts] didn’t put in danger anyone’s life or the mission at the time.
“There was no intelligence information,” Rubio added.
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US Army says vehicle of four missing soldiers found in Lithuania

Lithuania’s military said four US soldiers and a tracked vehicle had gone missing on Tuesday afternoon.
The United States Army has said a vehicle used by four of its soldiers that went missing in Lithuania has been found submerged in water as search efforts for the missing troops continue.
In a statement on Wednesday, the army said” “The M88 Hercules armoured recovery vehicle the four missing US Soldiers were operating during a training exercise has been located in Lithuania”.
The army’s comments come after NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte told a press conference in Warsaw, Poland, that the four soldiers had died in an “incident”.
“This is still early news, so we do not know the details. This is really terrible news and our thoughts are with the families and loved ones,” Rutte said.
Lithuania’s military had said earlier that a search was underway for the four US soldiers and a tracked vehicle which had gone missing on Tuesday afternoon.
The military wrote on X later that it was continuing an “intensive” rescue operation without confirming the deaths of the US personnel.
According to a statement by the US Army, the soldiers had been training near Pabrade in eastern Lithuania near the border with Belarus.
“The soldiers, all from 1st Brigade, 3rd Infantry Division, were conducting scheduled tactical training at the time of the incident,” the statement read.
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