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How to tell the difference between real wins and fake wins

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How to tell the difference between real wins and fake wins


This article was first published as the Jazz Insiders newsletter. Sign up to receive the newsletter in your inbox each Friday.

There are some wins for NBA teams that are real, and some that are fake.

Of course, they all count the same in the official standings. But, when it comes to games that can tell you something about a team, that can show you what they’re truly capable of, not all wins are equal.

What makes a win real or fake can vary depending on the team. For the Utah Jazz, let’s take a look at their win over the Philadelphia 76ers on their most recent road trip.

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The Jazz were in Philly on the second night of a back-to-back against the second-best Eastern Conference team and they won. At face value, that might seem like a good win, but it was fake because it wasn’t even against the real Sixers. With reigning MVP Joel Embiid sidelined, along with two other Philadelphia starters (Tobias Harris and De’Anthony Melton), the Jazz really only beat Tyrese Maxey and Co.

On the other hand, the two Jazz wins that followed that game were very real.

The Jazz next visited Milwaukee, where they beat the Bucks. You might be thinking that since the Bucks didn’t have Damian Lillard in the lineup that it might lean toward a fake win. Au contraire. The Bucks still have one of the best players in the NBA in Giannis Antetokounmpo and his championship-tested right-hand man Khris Middleton.

The Bucks, even without Lillard, are not an easy out. Real win.

Then the Jazz returned home to face the fully healthy Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray-led reigning champion Denver Nuggets in the Delta Center, and the Jazz seemingly made easy work of beating them.

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That is a very, very good, well-coached, highly skilled basketball team, and the Jazz outplayed them.

So what do these two, very real wins say about the Jazz? It punctuates that the Jazz are finding some things that really work. They are learning how to play together in a way that can actually work against the best teams in the league. It means that the Jazz might not be who we thought they were through the first 20 games of the season. In fact, they might be a lot better.

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Quote of the week

“Trying to figure out rotations, lineups, plays, chemistry, how to play off of each other — that takes time. You can’t just throw guys into the pot and make soup. You’ve got to add different stuff and change the recipe a little bit until it tastes right.” — Kelly Olynyk

From the archives

Extra points

  • Will Hardy’s lineup and rotation experimentation is paying off for the Jazz (Deseret News)
  • Bryon Russell and Greg Ostertag, back in Utah, reminisce about Finals trips (Deseret News)
  • How Jazz fans can catch up with Carlos Boozer this month (Deseret News)
  • Gordon Hayward remembers Jerry Sloan’s final game (KSL.com)

Around the league

Up next: 2023-24 regular season

  • Jan. 12 | 7:30 p.m. | Utah Jazz vs. Toronto Raptors | KJZZ
  • Jan. 13 | 7:30 p.m. | Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers | KJZZ
  • Jan. 15 | 7 p.m. | Utah Jazz vs. Indiana Pacers | KJZZ
  • Jan. 17 | 7 p.m. | Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors | KJZZ
  • Jan. 18 | 7 p.m. | Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder | KJZZ

All times MST.





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Winter weather advisories issued for Utah valleys ahead of arriving snowstorm

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Winter weather advisories issued for Utah valleys ahead of arriving snowstorm


Utah has significantly benefited from this week’s series of storms.

Alta, Brighton, Snowbird and Solitude resorts in the Cottonwood canyons all received over 2 feet of snow between Sunday and Tuesday, while several other resorts across the state’s northern half gained close to or even over a foot to 1½ feet of fresh powder.

What turned into the biggest storm of the season so far was great for winter recreation and for the state’s water supply. Alta gained nearly 4 inches of water through the storm, which helped Little Cottonwood Canyon’s snowpack jump from 58% of its median average on New Year’s Day to 110% of its median average for this point in the year.

The state’s average snowpack jumped from 57% of its median to 74% in just one week.

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“(It) was some wet, water-logged snow,” said KSL meteorologist Matt Johnson, adding that many communities north of Salt Lake City were big winners, as Kaysville, the Ogden bench and Logan all ended up with over 0.75 inches of precipitation.

There’s at least one more storm before things begin to settle down, which this time includes more valley snow.

The National Weather Service issued winter weather advisories across the state’s mountains, which could receive another foot of snow or more by the end of Thursday. It also issued its first advisory of the season for the Wasatch Front and other valley communities, which could end up with a few inches of snow.

Storm timing

A pair of low-pressure systems — one off the California coast and another off the Alaska coast on Tuesday — are projected to collide over the Four Corners in the coming days, which factors into the forecast.

Some scattered snow showers ahead of the low are possible in northern Utah on Wednesday afternoon, before a mix of rain and snow arrives in more parts of the state later in the day, Johnson said. The rain is expected to transition into snow from Logan to central Utah by Thursday morning, possibly causing a slick commute.

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Additional showers could linger into the afternoon, with the Great Salt Lake playing a “wild card” role in potentially aiding snow totals on Thursday and potentially again on Friday morning, before drier conditions return by the weekend.

Potential accumulations

Another 6 to 12 inches of snow is generally expected across the mountains in Utah’s northern half, while 4 to 8 inches are possible in the central and southern mountains by the end of Thursday, according to the weather service’s advisories. “Locally higher” totals are possible in the upper Cottonwood canyons and Bear River range.

Lower elevations, including the Wasatch Back and valleys scattered across Utah’s northern half, could receive 1 to 4 inches of snow by late Thursday, with lake-effect snow potentially enhancing totals southeast of the Great Salt Lake.

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Salt Lake City has collected only 0.1 inches of snow so far this season, but one weather service model lists Utah’s capital city as having over a 70% chance of collecting 2 inches of snow.

“Slow down and use caution while traveling,” the agency wrote in its alert.

Rain is more likely closer to St. George, but Johnson said there’s a chance of some flurries. The weather service projects that the city could wind up with about a tenth of an inch of precipitation.

A cool and dry weekend

Cooler and drier conditions are expected this weekend, as the system clears out. High temperatures may only top out in the mid-to-upper 30s across the Wasatch Front and northern Utah this weekend, with overnight lows in the teens closer to Logan and in the low 20s elsewhere.

Hazy conditions may also return across the Wasatch Front by the end of the weekend, as another lull in storm activity moves into the forecast, Johnson said.

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High temperatures will dip into the 40s across southern Utah, but are forecast to return to the 50s by the end of the weekend. Full seven-day forecasts for areas across Utah can be found online at the KSL Weather Center.





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Traffic deaths decline overall on Utah roads, teen fatalities nearly double

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Traffic deaths decline overall on Utah roads, teen fatalities nearly double


Road fatalities went down year-over-year after Utah officials reported the lowest number of traffic deaths in the state since 2019.

The Utah Department of Transportation and the Department of Public Safety released preliminary data on Tuesday, revealing 264 traffic fatalities statewide in 2025. That number is down from the 277 fatalities reported in 2024 and the lowest since the 248 deaths reported in 2019.

“While fewer lives were lost this year, even one death is one too many,” said Shaunna Burbidge, the program manager for Zero Fatalities. “These numbers help us understand where risks remain and remind us that the choices we make on the road can save lives.”

MORE | Traffic Fatalities

Among those concerns are teen drivers and motorcyclists.

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According to the 2025 data, motorcyclist fatalities increased by 32% compared to 2024, and teen fatalities “sharply rose.” The Department of Public Safety said 31 teens died on Utah roads in 2025, nearly double the 18 reported in 2024.

DPS said these deaths highlight the vulnerability of riders and the importance of visibility, protective gear, and safe speeds. Meanwhile, crashes involving young drivers are often tied to distractions, risky behaviors, and inexperience.

“Every time we travel, we make choices that carry lifelong consequences for ourselves and everyone else on the road,” said Sgt. Mike Alexnader with Utah Highway Patrol. “The reality is that these tragedies are preventable. When we commit to driving focused, alert, sober, calm, and when we ensure every person in the vehicle is buckled up, we aren’t just following the law; we are actively saving lives. It’s time we all take that responsibility to heart.”

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The Utah Jazz will eventually have to face their their lack of defense

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The Utah Jazz will eventually have to face their their lack of defense


PORTLAND — The Utah Jazz currently have the worst defensive rating in the NBA (122). If they finish the season that way, it would be the third straight year with the dishonor of having the worst defense in the league.

Of course, there are some caveats that are necessary to point out. Like the fact that this team has been bad by design and built, in large part, to lose games. And, there has been an emphasis on getting offensively gifted players and fostering their development.

It’s also important to point out the lack of Walker Kessler this season and the amount that the Jazz have to try to cover up for what he provides on defense. But even with Kessler, a good defensive player, the last couple of years the Jazz’s overall defense has been very bad.

On offense, the team is generally trending in the right direction — the Jazz had the 7th best offensive rating for games played in December. The emergence of Keyonte George as a massive scoring threat helps that.

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“It’s crazy, for how good our offense has been, how little we actually talk about it as a group,” Jazz head coach Will Hardy said. “Defense is what we’re attacking every day, and it’s what we’ll continue to attack until we get it right.”

Personnel

It’s not like the Jazz players haven’t been continuously told that they need to be better on that side of the ball. They know where they’ve ranked and they know where they are now compared to the other 29 teams.

But, do the Jazz actually have the personnel to play good defense in the NBA?

“I think any group of people can perform to a certain level,” Hardy said when asked that question. “I don’t want to put a limitation on our group at all on that side of the ball. If I didn’t believe in the ability for a group of people to outperform the sum of their parts, or if I didn’t believe in the ability for individuals to grow and get better, then this would be a horrible profession for me. I go to bed with that belief. I wake up with that belief.”

You’ll notice that wasn’t a “yes.”

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The Jazz’s point-of-attack defense has been abysmal throughout the rebuild. George has improved this season, but not to the point that he has been a good defender. Statistically he’s still been a negative defender, along with Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams and Kyle Filipowski.

The Jazz are hopeful that Ace Bailey can become a positive defender, but he’s still so young and is still trying to adjust to being in the NBA. His growth on defense is something to worry about in the years to come. There’s some grace that Filipowski deserves considering how much he’s been playing the five this season, where he is known to have deficiencies as a defender.

There’s a lot of hope riding on Hendricks, who was drafted in large part because of his defense, but lost last year to injury and has yet to recover the reaction time or quickness required to be the kind of defender the Jazz need at his position.

Some of the Jazz’s best defenders this season (and that’s not saying much) have been Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Anderson and Jusuf Nurkić, and those are not the players that the Jazz desperately need to see defensive improvement from.

The future

At some point in the near future, the Utah Jazz are going to have to face the fact that they have a major problem on defense.

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“Defense is tiring. Defense is not fun,” Hardy said. “But defense is what gives you the opportunity to win. We can’t show up to the games thinking that we’re just going to outscore everybody. That’s an unsustainable approach. And right now, where we are as a team and as a program, we’re trying to build sustainable habits, a sustainable approach for long term success. Our focus on the defensive side of the ball, individually, has to go up.”

It’s not like the Jazz’s defense needs to be better to win games this season. We all know that’s not the ultimate goal of the front office. But if they were to try to win games next season with this exact roster, the defense would be a problem.

And there’s blame to go around. The Jazz front office has not drafted defensively sound players, Hardy has not been head coach of a good defensive team, and the players on the team have not shown that they care enough on that side of the ball or that they can improve to a reasonable level.

It’s possible that with winning being the goal, the players would care more, that Hardy would coach differently, that players would buy in, etc. But that’s not concrete evidence for us to work with right now.

On Monday night they gave up 137 points to the Portland Trail Blazers, a bottom-10 offensive team. It was just the latest, in a multi-year string of poor defensive outings. The Jazz’s defensive issues are not going away anytime soon. So something has to change if the Jazz want to be a good team in the future.

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