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Ted’s Talk: Predicting AJ Barner’s rookie season

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Ted’s Talk: Predicting AJ Barner’s rookie season


The Seattle Seahawks were expected to utilize their new coaching staff’s college connections at some point during the NFL Draft. They made good on those expectations at pick No. 118 in the fourth round, selecting tight end AJ Barner from the University of Michigan. Barner – who played for new special teams coach Jay Harbaugh for the Wolverines – was primarily used as a blocking TE but could bring untapped potential in the passing game.

Athletic Profile/Comps

Relative Athletic Score (RAS)

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Mockdraftable

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Finally, a Seahawks draft pick that isn’t undersized! Well, except for starting the run on small hands…

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Barner’s RAS is a little strange because outside of his height and 3-cone, nothing else is in the green. He also isn’t particularly fast with a 4.84 second 40. Yet, every composite category is “good” which results in a very good overall RAS.

Tyler Eifert is the best name on the RAS comp list but his score is quite a bit higher, so I don’t think that’s the best one to look at.

Mockdraftable only uses combine values and Barner did the testing at his pro day…making the Mockdraftable somewhat less instructive since they’re based off of less values.

However, the Mockdraftable comp with Drew Sample isn’t a bad one if we look at RAS.

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Sample is stronger and faster, but Barner has a better 3-cone, vertical/broad jumps, and is taller. Sample is also similar to Barner in that he’s really only elite in one area (bench) yet is essentially “good” at everything to give him a high overall RAS.

Just for fun, let’s look at some of the more recent Seahawks tight ends and see how Barner stacks up.

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As you can see, Barner is actually more athletic than their past draft picks at around the same size. He was also taken in basically the same range as both Dissly and Parkinson were fellow fourth-round picks while Vannett was a third-rounder.

I still wasn’t really satisfied with these comps so I spent way more time than I’d like to admit flipping through my mental Rolodex of tight ends to try and find one that was closer, at least athletically. Finally, I found one with Anthony Fasano.

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Again, it’s not perfect but at least gives us the level of athlete we’re looking at with Barner. Fasano played 12 years in the NFL and had 36 career TDs. He only eclipsed 350 receiving yards in a season 3 times, maxing out at 528 yards. Fasano was a reliable safety blanket, though, and I’d definitely take that for Barner’s career.

Gut reaction to the pick

As soon as I saw the pick, I thought “makes sense.”

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Like Seattle’s other fourth-round pick, Tyrice Knight, some thought this was a round too early for Barner. There was a little run on TEs in the fourth round with Ja’Tavion Sanders (No. 101), Theo Johnson (No. 107), and Erick All (No. 115) getting drafted prior to Seattle making a pick – remember that they originally had pick No. 102 but traded down.

Maybe the Seahawks liked those other TEs as well and felt that they had to pick Barner to avoid a shelf at the position. As was the case with Knight, however, it may be that this was a player Seattle was targeting with other TEs available at the time that were higher on consensus boards such as Cade Stover and Jared Wiley who both went later in the fourth round. That’s a cluster of six total TEs drafted in the fourth round, if you’re counting…so maybe Seattle didn’t reach after all?

The Seahawks had an opening at the TE position after losing Will Dissly (Los Angeles Chargers) and Colby Parkinson (Los Angeles Rams) to free agency in the offseason and adding Pharaoh Brown on a one-year deal. Barner provides depth and will probably assume the blocking TE role that Dissly held by the 2025 season at the latest.

Barner’s calling card will be his ability to block, but that can also make him a sneaky addition to the pass game.

Plays like these could make him a QB’s best friend if the primary reads are covered. All in all, he’s likely the Dissly replacement on a rookie contract. That’s a fine use of a fourth-round pick.

Rookie season prediction

I’m not expecting Barner to have a significant role in the offense as a rookie unless Noah Fant or Pharaoh Brown are injured. Fant is the best pass-catching TE and Brown the best (for now) run-blocking option. Even UDFA Jack Westover – if he makes the team – is potentially a better option to catch passes.

Since Brown is only on a one-year contract, however, it will be important to get Barner meaningful snaps in run-heavy sets to groom him to take over that role next season. Barner was never a big producer in college with 610 yards and 5 TDs total in his 4-year college career. He’ll have few opportunities in his rookie season and will reel in 12 catches for 125 yards and 1 sneaky TD. More importantly, Barner will be a mainstay on special teams units and become a trusted part of Jay Harbaugh’s units.





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Seattle, WA

One Seattle Seahawks hire was a risk that's now apparent

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One Seattle Seahawks hire was a risk that's now apparent


Mike Macdonald is attempting to do something unprecedented in his first year as Seattle Seahawks head coach. No first-time NFL head coach hired since 2017 – who is still active as a head coach today – has ever gone into their first season with either an offensive or defensive coordinator who had no prior NFL experience.

The league has taken notice of Seahawks’ lack of home-field advantage

Why 2017? Sure, that seems like an arbitrary data point, and it very well could be – feel free to go back as far as you want to satisfy any lingering curiosity. But it’s important for two reasons. First of all, to be hired as a first-time head coach back then and still be coaching is impressive. Eight years is an eternity in the fickle world of head coaching. Secondly, that hiring cycle produced three of the most successful coaches in the entire league since then: the Los Angeles Rams’ Sean McVay, San Francisco’s Kyle Shanahan, and Buffalo’s Sean McDermott.

The Seahawks are all too familiar with what McVay and Shanahan have done since then, including the Rams’ immediate and meteoric rise under McVay. Shanahan’s tenure began a little slower, but the Seahawks’ roster is in better shape than the 49ers’ was in 2017 and more closely parallels the situation McVay walked into at the start of his career. Because of that Rams success and the comparisons that Mike Macdonald has evoked as a defensive equivalent to the offensively-minded McVay, the path is laid out for what the Seahawks could achieve in the next few seasons.

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However, the deviation has occurred in the coordinator decisions, especially on the side of the ball counter to the specialized area of the head coach. For McVay, that was on defense, and he opted to hire then-69-year-old Wade Phillips, who had been coaching in the NFL in some capacity since the Seahawks had existed as a franchise.

The year before Phillips was hired, the Rams’ defense ranked 23rd in points allowed per game. In 2017, that mark improved to 12th in the NFL. The next season, the Rams’ defense held Tom Brady and the Patriots to the fewest points they had ever scored in a Super Bowl. The Los Angeles defense was never a top unit in the league, but it also was never detrimental to the team.

There is a deluge of information and new responsibilities for a first-time head coach to process, in addition to the week-to-week task of actually coaching either the offense or defense. Even that description feels like it minimizes just how much a coach who also functions as a play-caller has to do each week, but it should serve to illustrate the point that the other coordinator has an outsized importance, even to the point of autonomy, on the impact of that entire side of the ball.

It is both a testament to Macdonald’s accolades as a defensive mind while simultaneously an indictment that the Seattle offense, which returned more star power and had fewer holes to fill, has become the biggest liability for the Seahawks. The offensive line has been subpar, but there have been confounding decisions all season that speak to the inexperience of an offensive coordinator (Ryan Grubb) and O-line coach (Scott Huff) who are still acclimating to the myriad of differences between the NFL and college football after jumping to the Seahawks from the UW Huskies.

We’re not going to sit here and litigate every single decision, but what strikes me are the observations from analysts and former NFL players Ray Roberts and Mark Schlereth – who can analyze and explain offensive line play as well as anyone in the NFL – about the general inconsistencies that have plagued the Seahawks’ offense all season, especially on that line.

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They have put most of the scrutiny on the play-calling and coaching, and it was particularly insightful on Tuesday when Roberts guest hosted Seattle Sports’ Wyman and Bob. Roberts opened our show by explaining how the Seahawks essentially out-thought themselves with their offensive game plan against the Packers instead of emphasizing their own strengths.

Big Ray Roberts: How Seahawks overthought the plan on offense

Mark Schlereth is a weekly Wyman and Bob guest on Tuesdays, and he has consistently hammered home the message that the coaching on the offensive line and the play-calling has not put the offense in a position to succeed. I highly recommend listening back through his appearances on the show this season for both comedic and football value.

There is an extra layer to this that expedites the urgency for the Seahawks to figure it out on offense. Next season, the following players are entering the final year of their contracts: Geno Smith, DK Metcalf, Kenneth Walker III, Abraham Lucas, Noah Fant and Tyler Lockett. Throw in the rest of the 2022 draft class (outside of Charles Cross) who will need new deals, and it’s going to be prohibitively expensive for the Seahawks to keep all of their key players around. With those pieces currently in place, this team can’t risk another season of questions surrounding the offense.

Oh yeah, so back to those other coordinator hires for the first-time coaches in 2017 besides McVay.

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Kyle Shanahan hired a defensive coordinator named Robert Saleh, who had spent the prior 11 seasons coaching in a variety of roles in the NFL. It worked out pretty well for San Francisco.

Sean McDermott opted to go with Rick Dennison, a former offensive coordinator for the Broncos and Texans, as his OC choice. That didn’t work out, with the Bills firing Dennison after that first season. There’ s a lesson to be learned from that as well, because McDermott proceeded to hire Brian Daboll, and the Bills emerged as one of the most prolific offenses and best teams in the NFL in the four seasons Daboll was in Buffalo.

For Mike Macdonald, a wrong coordinator choice isn’t the death knell for a coaching career, but it does require a critical eye and tough conversation this offseason. I have no doubt that Ryan Grubb would be much improved in Year 2. It’s the natural growth and progression that comes in any vocation after doing something for the first time. For the Seahawks, though, time is quickly running out on offense with this current collection of talent. They must ask themselves whether “improved” is good enough to reach the standard for success.

More on the Seattle Seahawks

• Injury Report: Seattle Seahawks may have a problem at RB
• Seahawks Uniforms: For second straight game, it’s all one color
• Seahawks CB Riq Woolen’s inconsistent play ‘hard to explain’
• Breaking down Seahawks’ NFC West title and playoff odds
• Bump: How Seattle Seahawks can get DK Metcalf going again

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Seattle, WA

Dave and Colleen to host final 'Seattle's Morning News' show

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Dave and Colleen to host final 'Seattle's Morning News' show


“Seattle’s Morning News” on KIRO Newsradio will soon have a new sound. On Thursday, Dave Ross and Colleen O’Brien will host their last show together after a decade of co-hosting.

Dave is retiring after an esteemed 47 years at the station, while Colleen is departing to move on to other ventures.

More details: Dave Ross, Colleen O’Brien retiring after co-hosting ‘Seattle’s Morning News’ for a decade

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Dave will leave behind a legacy that has profoundly impacted both KIRO Newsradio and the Seattle community.

“Dave has not only been a trusted voice in Seattle but a powerful example of journalistic excellence,” Tanya Vea, President and Chief Operating Officer of Bonneville International, said. “For nearly five decades, his dedication to truth and commitment to the Seattle community have left a lasting impact on KIRO Newsradio and beyond. We are deeply grateful for his service and the legacy he leaves behind.”

Dave first joined KIRO Newsradio in 1978 as a news anchor, quickly earning the trust of listeners across the Pacific Northwest. Known for his thoughtful commentaries and balanced perspective, he began hosting “The Dave Ross Show” in 1987, where his engaging storytelling and sense of humor made complex topics accessible and relatable. In 2013, Dave began anchoring “Seattle’s Morning News,” kicking off Seattleites’ day with news analysis that boasted both clarity and insight.

“Dave Ross is more than just a broadcaster; he’s the heart and soul of KIRO Newsradio,” Cathy Cangiano, market manager for Bonneville Seattle, said. “His ability to present a balanced perspective and his distinctive voice has made him an irreplaceable part of our team. Dave prefers not to make a big fuss, but we can’t let this moment pass without honoring his incredible service to our station and our community.”

Rantz: A farewell poem to the retiring Dave Ross of ‘Seattle’s Morning News’

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Colleen has been an integral part of the morning show, offering sharp insights and a compassionate presence to Seattle listeners.

She joined Dave one year after “Seattle’s Morning News” officially kicked off. The University of Washington graduate worked a plethora of journalism gigs before becoming co-host of Seattle’s Morning News, including news anchor, reporter, photographer, video editor, producer and web editor.

“Colleen cares deeply about the community and she wants you to be informed and aware by sharing stories that affect you,” KIRO Newsradio’s outgoing News Director Charlie Harger said in a Tuesday commentary. “There’s no pretense the person you hear on the air is the person you meet in real life.”

Harger, a veteran Seattle journalist, will be taking over for Dave and Colleen as the new host of “Seattle’s Morning News.” He met Colleen while she was in college and interning at KOMO radio.

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“We knew from day one, this kid was special,” Harger said. “Knows her news, curious about the world around her, willing to put in the hard work and what a voice.”

Learn more: Charlie Harger to replace Dave Ross as host of ‘Seattle’s Morning News’ on KIRO Newsradio

Harger’s work has been recognized with numerous awards, including being named Major Market “Radio Reporter of the Year” for the Western U.S. by the Associated Press Television Radio Association (APTRA) in 2015. He has received multiple APTRA and RTDNA Murrow Awards for investigative reporting, enterprise coverage and documentaries, among others, and was nominated for an Emmy.

“I’ve known Charlie for 20 years, my whole career, and he is such an inspiring storyteller and a good steward of journalism,” Colleen said. “When I heard that he was going to be taking over the show, I went, ‘OK. This show is going to be OK.’ Our listeners are going to be OK because you’re going to do a bang-up job, and you’re going to bring true journalism and great storytelling.”

Therefore, while “Seattle’s Morning News” is losing two legends, the show will be left in trustworthy hands. Tune in to KIRO Newsradio Thursday from 5 a.m. to 9 a.m. to hear the last show with Dave Ross and Colleen O’Brien.

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More on MyNorthwest from Colleen O’Brien:

Colleen O’Brien: Who’s afraid of little old TikTok?

Colleen O’Brien: Mount McKinley became Denali; will Mount Rainier’s name also change?

Colleen O’Brien: Sen. Karen Keiser explains why this is the time to retire

More on MyNorthwest from Dave Ross: 

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‘Don’t cut a cent:’ Dave Ross on why the national debt never gets under control

Dave Ross: ‘The Love Fest’ that was also known as ‘The Insurrection’

Ross: Blue Angels, and their noise, a good reminder of America’s war machine

Contributing: KIRO Newsradio staff; Julia Dallas, Steve Coogan and Frank Sumrall, MyNorthwest

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2024 in pictures: Memorable moments of the year in Seattle

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2024 in pictures: Memorable moments of the year in Seattle


Ludmela, left, and Jo, right, place candles at a vigil for Aysenur Ezgi Eygi, a 26-year-old Turkish American activist who was killed by Israeli soldiers while participating in an anti-settlement protest in the occupied West Bank, on Wednesday, September 11, 2024, at Alki Beach Park in Seattle.

KUOW Photo/Megan Farmer



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