New Mexico
San Diego State vs. North Texas prediction: New Mexico Bowl odds, picks, best bet
The most important college football games of the season are still to come, but there is a fair case to be made that Saturday’s New Mexico Bowl, which pits San Diego State against North Texas, is the most interesting contest of the entire campaign.
There may be no bigger stylistic contrast in college football than between the Mean Green and the Aztecs. It’s a classic battle between an unstoppable force and an immovable object.
What’s more is that both of these teams were among the most impressive in the Group of 5 this season, and narrowly missed out on being in the mix for the playoff bids that eventually went to Tulane and James Madison.
North Texas saw its dream come crashing down in the AAC Championship against the Green Wave, while San Diego State had its season derailed by an overtime loss to New Mexico in the final week of the campaign.
The odds make this game even more compelling, as the bookies are having a tough time separating these two teams. North Texas (11-2) is a 3.5-point favorite over San Diego State (9-3).
The tale of the tape for the New Mexico Bowl is an absolute beauty.
San Diego State vs. North Texas odds, prediction
Only four teams in college football allowed fewer points per game than San Diego State, which also ranked fifth overall in yards per play and first in FBS in yards allowed per pass attempt.
The Aztecs held seven different opponents (including Boise State and California) to single digits in 2025.
San Diego State’s offensive numbers are vanilla at best, but the Aztecs rarely needed to light up the scoreboard to get results. When your defense is allowing 12.6 points per game, you can afford to plod your way down the field.
And now for something completely different.
No team scored more points than North Texas this season. In fact, only one team (Texas Tech) came within 30 points of the Mean Green by season’s end.
North Texas averaged six touchdowns per game, scored 45-plus points in nine of its 13 contests and hit the 30-point mark in every game except for the AAC Championship against Tulane.
On paper, this sets up for a classic. Styles make fights, as they say.
But this is 2025, so there will be some homework to do before this tilt.
Betting on College Football?
Earlier this month, it was announced that North Texas head coach Eric Morris was hired to replace Mike Gundy at Oklahoma State. The rest of the Mean Green’s staff would be in place for the bowl game, so you’d think Morris’ departure wouldn’t be a huge deal, save for one thing: There’s a lot of noise that his quarterback, Drew Mestemaker, would be hitting the portal after the bowl game.
Mestemaker, a freshman who walked onto the team in 2024, led the nation with 4,129 passing yards and finished third with 31 touchdown passes. The AAC Offensive Player of the Year has been adamant that he won’t decide on transferring until after the bowl game.
We’ll take Mestemaker at his word, but it did seem peculiar that he and his teammates put forth their worst effort in their most recent game, which was when rumors about the quarterback’s intentions really started to percolate. It was already announced that his head coach was headed to Oklahoma State, and many pundits were beginning to connect the dots.
Against other defenses, North Texas could win despite a distracted performance from Mestemaker and the rest of the offense, but the Mean Green will not be able to get away with it against San Diego State.
I expect this game to be played on the Aztecs’ terms, and that should spell doom for North Texas and any punter looking to back the Mean Green on Saturday.
The Play: San Diego State moneyline (+145, BetMGM)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
After years of failure to land a “big fish” business for New Mexico’s economy (or effectively use the oil and gas revenues to grow the economy) Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham with the help of her Economic Development Secretary Rob Black have lured no fewer than three large data centers to New Mexico. These data centers are being built to serve the booming world of Artificial Intelligence (AI), and they will have profound impacts on New Mexico.
It is our view that having these data centers locate in New Mexico is better than having them locate elsewhere. While we have many differences of opinion with this governor, we are pleased to see her get serious about growing and diversifying New Mexico’s oil-dependent economy albeit quite late in her second term.
Sadly, the governor and legislature have chosen not to use broad based economic reforms like deregulation or tax cuts to improve New Mexico’s competitiveness. But, with the failure of her “preferred” economic development “wins” like Maxeon and Ebon solar both of which the governor announced a few years ago, but haven’t panned out, the focus on a more realistic strategy is welcome and long overdue.
Currently, three new data centers are slated to be built in New Mexico:
- Oracle’s Project Jupiter in Santa Teresa with an investment of $165 billion.
- Project Zenith slated to be built in Roswell amounts to a $11.7 billion investment.
- New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. While the overall investment is unclear, the energy requirement is the largest of the three at 7 gigawatts (that’s seven times the power used by the City of San Francisco).
What is a data center? Basically, they are the real-world computing infrastructure that makes up the Internet. The rise of AI requires vast new computing power. It is critical that these facilities have uninterrupted electricity.
That electricity is going to be largely generated by traditional sources like natural gas and possibly nuclear. That contravenes New Mexico’s Energy Transition Act of 2019 which was adopted by this Gov. and many of the legislators still in office. Under the Act electrical power emissions are supposed to be eliminated in a few years.
With the amount of money being invested in these facilities and the simple fact that wind and solar and other “renewable” energy sources aren’t going to get the job done. In 2025 the Legislature passed and MLG signed HB 93 which allows for the creation of “microgrids” that won’t tax the grid and make our electricity more expensive, but the ETA will have to be amended or ignored to provide enough electricity for these data centers. There’s no other option.
New Mexicans have every right to wonder why powerful friends of the governor can set up their own natural gas microgrids while the rest of us face rising costs and decreased reliability from so-called “renewables.” Don’t get me wrong, having these data centers come to New Mexico is an economic boon.
But it comes tempered with massive subsidies including a 30-year property tax exemption and up to $165 billion in industrial revenue bonds. New Mexico is ideally suited as a destination for these data centers with its favorable climate and lack of natural disasters like hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods. We shouldn’t be giving away such massive subsidies.
Welcoming the data center boom to New Mexico better than rejecting them and pushing them to locate in other states. There is no way to avoid CO2 emissions whether they happen here or somewhere else. But, there are questions about both the electricity demand and subsidies that must be addressed as New Mexico’s data center boom begins.
What will the Legislature, radical environmental groups, and future governors of our state do to hinder (or help) bring these data centers to our State? That is an open question that depends heavily on upcoming statewide elections. It is important that New Mexicans understand and appreciate these complicated issues.
Paul Gessing is president of New Mexico’s Rio Grande Foundation. The Rio Grande Foundation is an independent, nonpartisan, tax-exempt research and educational organization dedicated to promoting prosperity for New Mexico based on principles of limited government, economic freedom and individual responsibility
SANTA FE, N.M. (KFOX14/CBS4) – The New Mexico Department of Health says it will continue to recommend the full schedule of childhood vaccines.
State officials announced the move Tuesday, directly defying a new federal policy that scaled back routine immunization guidance.
The announcement comes after U.S. Health and Human Services (HHS), under Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., reduced the number of vaccines it recommends for all children.
The New Mexico Department of Health stated the federal changes were “not based on new scientific evidence or safety data.”
“New Mexico will not follow the federal government in walking away from decades of proven public health practice,” said Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. “Our recommendations remain unchanged.”
State health officials sought to reassure parents, emphasizing that vaccines remain widely available and covered by insurance.
“We know this is confusing for parents, but the science is clear: vaccines are safe, effective, and save children’s lives,” said Dr. Miranda Durham, chief medical officer for NMDOH.
All childhood vaccinations will continue to be covered under programs like Medicaid and the federal Vaccines for Children Program.
The state encourages parents to consult their healthcare providers using the American Academy of Pediatrics’ immunization schedule.
RECOMMENDED: CDC cuts childhood vaccine list, sparking healthcare professionals’ concerns
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