Bird flu is increasing the cost of what’s on people’s table this Thanksgiving, as deaths of millions of poultry in recent weeks have driven up egg prices and dropped turkey populations to the lowest level in nearly 40 years.
More than 90 million poultry – mostly chickens and turkeys – have been euthanized or infected with avian influenza in the United States. The deaths sharply drove up prices of poultry meat in 2022, which have only slightly abated this year.
Much of California, including some of the country’s largest egg layers, has seen increased infections from the migration of wild birds.Egg prices in California have nearly doubled in a month, as flocks get smaller and can’t keep up with demand.
New Mexico health and veterinary officials said avian influenza has not been detected in state dairy herds or poultry farms since August. Nor has anyone in the state tested positive, even as cases and concerns rise amid the ongoing outbreak elsewhere.
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New Mexico was among the first of 15 states currently experiencing the avian flu crossover infections in dairy cows. Infections have spread to nearly 500 dairy herds this year, including top milk producers in California, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
But national experts said the U.S. is failing to keep track of the spread of the disease, because it has a less robust effort to track public health compared to other developed countries.
Instead, the U.S. relies on a patchwork of local health systems that don’t always have the funding for tracking emerging diseases, said Amira Roess, a professor of global health at George Mason University.
“It is hard to comment on whether or not (Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza) infections are truly rare, given that we do not have active surveillance programs,” Roess said.
What is avian influenza?
Avian influenza is a family of viruses that usually impacts wild and domestic birds. Previously, people and other animals would only be sickened by coming into direct contact with sickened birds or carcasses.
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In recent years, the H5N1 variant has “spilled” over into other species and has been devastating for marine mammal populations. Infectious disease researchers said the virus’ ability to adapt to different hosts and change its genetic code increases its pandemic potential.
Currently, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said that person-to-person transmission of avian flu is not occurring, and that the risk to the general population is low but much higher for people in contact with poultry or other animals.
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Dr. Samantha Holeck, the state veterinarian, said there have been no presumptive cases in New Mexico cows since August, keeping the number of infected New Mexico herds to 9.
Avian flu infections have been limited to Curry and Roosevelt counties, and include a poultry facility in addition to the dairies. There’s no further information about the number of animals impacted, state officials said.
In an emailed statement, Holeck said no deaths in New Mexico dairy herds have been “directly attributed to H5N1.”
It’s a different story for dairy herds in California. Instead of about a 2% mortality rate seen in other states from avian influenza, infected California herds had death rates of 15-20% preventing farmers’ ability to remove the carcasses and fueling further infection concerns.
Infections in humans are increasing
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 55 people have been infected, including 28 cases in California. People experiencing avian flu reported eye infections – officially called conjunctivitis – and others had flu-like symptoms including chills, coughing, fever, sore throat and runny nose.
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Here’s what to watch for avian flu symptoms in backyard flocks and other domestic animals
In New Mexico, only seven people have been tested for avian flu though November. All were negative, said David Morgan, a spokesperson for the New Mexico Department of Health.
New Mexico health officials have only tested symptomatic people, following the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines released in April when the outbreak started. Only in early November did the CDC update its policies to test all farmworkers who come into contact with animals with bird flu, regardless if they’re showing symptoms or not.
Roess said one of the concerns of testing only symptomatic workers is that it can give health experts an inaccurate picture of infection rates. That testing strategy can miss people who carry the disease and quietly transmit it.
Without tests of symptomatic and asymptomatic people, it’s hard to assess how big the risk of an outbreak is or if enough preventative measures are in place.
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She also said testing workers in dairies and poultry farms has specific challenges.
“A lot of food production workers are low-wage workers who do not have meaningful healthcare access,” Roess said. “It is extremely difficult to convince someone to take time away from work to go get tested when they are sick if that means they will lose income.”
Federal health officials are publishing data from wastewater monitoring, but independent public health experts have asked states and cities to do more testing for avian flu.
State officials not planning to test wastewater in New Mexico for avian flu
New Mexico officials are submitting results from H5 influenza tests in Santa Fe and Albuquerque to the national dashboard, but are not testing in Curry and Roosevelt counties – where the outbreaks in dairies and a poultry facility have been located.
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Morgan didn’t say what would trigger increased surveillance, only saying the department “would pursue wastewater testing if the results would inform public health actions.”
State health officials previously gave sets of masks and gloves to two dairies for their employees and distributed 3,000 sets of personal protective equipment to community groups.
Morgan urged dairy workers and their families to get the seasonal flu vaccine, saying that, while it will not protect against the avian flu H5N1 strain, it will reduce infection from a common flu strain at the same time.
“Being vaccinated against flu also gives the H5N1 virus fewer chances to combine with seasonal influenza strains, which could enable it to transmit person-to-person,” Morgan said.
There is no vaccine widely available for H5N1. TheU.S. has only 5 million of the vaccines against the strain spreading right now.
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Migration season sees a spike in cases in other states
As billions of birds are migrating, health officials in other states are raising the alarm about increased cases of bird flu in wild populations.
Contact with infected wild birds caused recent backyard farm animal infections in Washington including pigs.
Pigs plus avian influenza has been a deadly combination before. In 2009, the H1N1 variant (nicknamed the “swine flu”) was a new combination of genes from influenza viruses that infected pigs, people and birds. It infected 20% of the global population.
New Mexico has recorded only 41 cases of avian influenza in wild birds, which pales in comparison to the several hundred cases detected in surrounding states such as Colorado and Utah, according to the USDA’s tracker.
The last date of a wild bird with H5N1 was recorded May 24 in Roosevelt county, according to the USDA data.
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Darren Vaughn, a spokesperson for the New Mexico Department of Game and Fish, said he could not provide answers by deadline to questions about the agency’s efforts to catalog avian influenza cases, or make anyone available for comment.
Descending the sloping grasslands toward his livestock, Ronald Mascareñas reflected on the bygone days when nearly all the pastures in this lush community were thronged with cattle or sheep and neighbors banded together for a yearly ditch cleaning.
But as the cost of land in these villages in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains rises and more transplants move in — and a younger generation of locals moves out — he sees fewer people practicing a hard-toiling, rural lifestyle along the High Road to Taos.
“Now, there’s only a handful of us with cattle,” said Mascareñas, a Taos County commissioner who lives in Llano, a small community near Peñasco, as he walked the property that has been in his family for generations. “Like I said, things have changed.”
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The mountain village of Truchas is one Northern New Mexico community concerned about gentrification and the ongoing housing trends pricing locals out.
Nathan Burton/The New Mexican
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Concerns about gentrification in Northern New Mexico are hardly new, but some longtime residents say they feel particularly priced out these days. On the other hand, the real estate market is good for landowners who wish to sell in a region that has long struggled with high rates of unemployment, poverty and population loss.
Real estate signs can be spotted in three prominent communities perched along the scenic N.M. 76, a popular route to Taos for sightseers but a familiar route home for locals. Chimayó, Truchas and Peñasco have seen modest, two-bedroom homes sell for around $400,000 and luxury properties sell for over $1 million.
Up here, land is regularly listed at $20,000 to $30,000 an acre — a sharp rise from previous decades, before locals became “land rich, money poor,” as Mascareñas put it, noting property he purchased at $3,000 an acre in the mid-1990s would likely be priced around $30,000 an acre or more today.
Some longtime residents say prices like this, bringing newcomers with bigger pocketbooks, continue to change the feel of these distinctive villages, long synonymous with big heaps of firewood, hard labor, adobe churches, art studios at high elevations and free-flowing acequias.
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“I’m concerned,” Mascareñas said. “My parents were concerned for us, and our generation did halfway decent. We were able to make a living. But it’s the next generation, our grandkids: Unless we are able to give them property to start something up, they’re probably not going to be able to stay in the area.”
The New Mexican
Renting is seldom an option in rural Northern New Mexico.
Residents in Rio Arriba and Taos counties overwhelmingly own their homes, with just 22.2% of Rio Arriba County residents renting and 20.1% of Taos County residents renting, according to a 2023 study from the New Mexico Mortgage Finance Authority.
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The study found about 25% of Santa Fe County residents are renters.
‘Affordability for people’
This month, the most expensive house on the market in Peñasco — about 50 miles northeast of Santa Fe on N.M. 75, just south of the highway’s intersection with N.M. 76 — is listed at $3.5 million, according to the website Realtor.com, a digital real estate marketplace that aggregates listings. That property is an outlier in the community, home to some 500 souls not far from the stunning Jicarita and Trampas peaks.
Still, a modest, three-bedroom, two-bathroom home on 1.97 acres, built in 1998, is listed at $339,000 and a four-bedroom house on 0.46 acres is listed at $480,000.
That compares with an average home price in Santa Fe of $625,000 in the first quarter of 2026, according to data from the Santa Fe Association of Realtors. And statewide, the New Mexico Association of Realtors recently reported, the average home was priced at $350,000 in April.
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Mascareñas said a majority of the people who are able to buy properties in isolated villages like Peñasco are coming from out of state, paying prices many locals could not conceive of affording. Traditionally, land in these communities — many of which were founded as Spanish land grants — is passed down through generations of families, but some heirs may elect to sell if they are unable to keep it or uninterested in moving back.
Not everyone agrees the current market is pricing locals out.
David Cordova
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Courtesy of Sotheby’s International Realty
David Cordova, a real estate agent with Sotheby’s International Realty who has deep family ties to Truchas and was born and raised in Northern New Mexico, said rural communities remain much cheaper than places like Santa Fe and Taos. He noted “there’s a lot of affordable properties out there.”
Citing data collected by the Santa Fe Association of Realtors, Cordova said 12 properties have been listed and closed in Truchas in roughly the last five years ranging from $200,000 up to $673,000.
“I still think there’s an affordability for people,” Cordova said. “I’m all about having our families being able to live there, and you can routinely find properties between $200,000 and $300,000 and $400,000.”
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He added, “I think people find themselves deeply rooted in coming back and feeling the soil, feeling the air and having a property in Northern New Mexico. Sales have been really good. The High Road to Taos is where it’s just absolutely stunning, you know.”
‘Hard to maintain’
The old Chimayó post office along N.M. 76 is now about half an acre of concrete wiped clean of any structure; its status as the community’s post office ended in a 2023 Valentine’s Day inferno.
The property has a blue Sotheby’s International Realty sign out front, and an online listing shows it is up for sale for $200,000.
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A sign from luxury real estate broker Sotheby’s advertises a home for sale in the village of Truchas on Thursday.
Nathan Burton/The New Mexican
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Pat Oviedo-Trujillo, 76, a lifelong resident of Chimayó who can trace her family roots back 12 generations in this region, likened the trends of rising prices in the local real estate market to the plight of characters in the 1974 novel The Milagro Beanfield War.
The Northern New Mexico classic, written by the late Taos County resident John Nichols, is about Hispanic farmers fighting the prospect of cultural and lifestyle loss against the backdrop of a water rights dispute.
“When John Nichols wrote that book, he was very prophetic, because that’s exactly what’s happening right now in these little towns,” Oviedo-Trujillo said.
“I’ll die here,” she said. “But all of a sudden, my property taxes have gone through the roof, and it’s hard to maintain even what you have.”
The five homes listed for sale last week on Realtor.com in the Chimayó area were priced at $1.1 million, $639,000, $439,000, $350,000 and, certainly the most affordable, $60,000.
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A housing market analysis from Zillow, a prominent online real estate marketplace, shows a substantial increase in home values in Chimayó since 2018, with values rising from an average of about $222,000 in 2018 to about $335,000 now. Home values in an area generally correspond to home prices.
A 2015 Santa Fe County plan for Chimayó addresses how the residential makeup of the village — known for being home to one of the largest Catholic pilgrimage sites in North America, El Santuario de Chimayó, but also for a decadeslong struggle with addiction — has changed in recent decades, becoming more of a Santa Fe bedroom community.
Until the mid-1900s, land development patterns were largely small, clustered residential settlements on hills above the acequias to preserve large areas of “contiguous irrigated farmland on the gentle slopes and valley floor,” the county plan says.
“As the economy changed and the community became less dependent on farming to support their families,” the plan continues, “land development patterns evolved to accommodate scattered individual home-sites on parcels spread out across the valley.”
‘Way over market’
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The only three homes listed for sale in Truchas last week on Realtor.com were priced at $800,000, $1.2 million and $599,000. A bare 1-acre lot in the scenic mountain village is listed at $39,500; 10-acre lots are listed at $339,000 and $225,000.
Truchas is approached by way of winding mountain roads — an idyllic village unfurling near cliff edges about 10 miles from the valley that cradles Chimayó and much higher in altitude — about 8,000 feet in elevation.
Sahd’s hardware store owner and Peñasco fire chief Randy Sahd inside the family-owned and operated business on Thursday in Peñasco. “We’ve become a bedroom community for Los Alamos and Santa Fe,” Sahd said, remarking on the increasing cost of land and properties in the community.
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Nathan Burton/The New Mexican
Dio Dominguez, an acequia mayordomo in Truchas, said he has seen properties, such as a 3-acre parcel with an old home on it, sell at prices that shock him. “They’re paying way, way over market, so it’s kind of messing everyone up,” Dominguez said, noting the tax burden this phenomenon can create is the hardest on locals.
These communities, particularly Truchas, have seen a migration of newcomers for some time.
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“Not Another Taos — Yet,” read a 2002 headline in The New Mexican about Truchas and the influx of artists moving there as galleries opened along its main street.
“In a town legendary for its hostility toward outsiders, Truchas is a thriving little art town these days,” The New Mexican reported, underscoring changes in Truchas, which means trout in Spanish.
Randy Sahd, a lifelong resident of Peñasco, owns the local hardware store, where locals trickled in Thursday morning to banter a bit and decide which newspapers to purchase. He attributed the cost of land in this region to the “outside influence” and “people who have money” from out of state.
“Who in New Mexico has that kind of money?” said Sahd, the local volunteer fire chief, alluding to some high-priced local properties that have sold.
He suggested many people who own land in the area no longer live there.
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The family-owned and operated Sahd’s hardware store in Peñasco has served the mountain village of roughly 500 for over 50 years.
Nathan Burton/The New Mexican
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“Everybody up here has ancestral properties, and they live in Utah or Colorado, and they have no interest in keeping their property anymore,” Sahd said. “So, when somebody offers them $20,000 an acre that a couple of years ago was only $4,000 an acre …”
Such an offer can be hard to resist.
“We’ve gone from being a rural community to a bedroom community,” Sahd said.
Embracing outsiders?
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These communities, apart from the current real estate situation, have struggled for some time with population loss, particularly as young people migrate to more urban areas. Poverty and limited professional opportunities help drive the outmigration.
Some homes in the villages sit vacant in various states of disuse.
Truchas, at least historically, had a reputation as a community suspicious of outsiders moving in as locals move out.
But Cordova pointed out the parades of hippies in rainbow buses who arrived in places like Dixon and Truchas in the 1960s and ’70s.
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The mountain village of Truchas is one Northern New Mexico community concerned about gentrification and the ongoing housing trends pricing locals out.
Nathan Burton/The New Mexican
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“People thought at the time, ‘Were they going to clash with the Hispanic culture that was there?’ ” Cordova said. “To be honest with you, a lot of friendships and bonds were made, and people are still there from back in the ’70s.”
He added, “A lot of us here are people who embrace people coming from the outside. We’ve embraced the people who are working at Los Alamos National Labs. We’ve embraced the fact that many of us work our tractors and we work our livestock — and it’s a community that knows how to work hard and appreciates anybody that works hard.”
Can’t keep kids local
Still, life in these communities — with scarce jobs and rising home prices — is increasingly unattainable for young locals, and traditions are disappearing.
“We’re having a hard time keeping our kids local,” Mascareñas said. “If they leave to go get educated, they come back and it’s challenging for them because they can’t afford to buy something.”
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He added, “We’re trying to keep these traditions and cultures alive. But if you don’t have the people to do it, you can’t keep them alive, and if you start chopping away at the properties” — subdividing for family members — “they get smaller and smaller. You can’t have cattle, you can’t have horses.”
This week, Mascareñas said the community of Llano no longer has an annual acequia cleaning because there were not enough participants.
Now, the spring cleaning is individualized, and parcientes are responsible for cleaning their own sections of ditch.
“That’s how we’ve had to change, right?” he said. “We no longer gather for ditch cleanings. Everybody does their own property because we can’t gather the amount of people it takes to do it. I remember, as a kid, there used to be 60 to 80 of us cleaning, and I’m talking from my grandpa to my dad to me.”
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Rancher and Taos County Commissioner Ronald Mascareñas returns home after feeding his cattle Thursday in Llano.
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – A quiet, sunny and warm weekend will bring highs in the 80s to Albuquerque, with hotter weather in parts of southeast New Mexico.
Temps in the high 80s are expected Saturday in the Albuquerque area, with temperatures climbing into the upper 80s to near 90 on Sunday and Monday.
Southeast New Mexico will run hotter, with temperatures close to 100 degrees Sunday and Monday in Carlsbad and Roswell.
Rain chances will increase next week by Tuesday and Wednesday, with some afternoon and evening showers and storms possible. Some spots could see heavy rainfall on those days, including areas near Albuquerque.