California

Warming to make California downpours even wetter, study says

Published

2 years ago

January 19, 2023

Warming to make California downpours even wetter, study says

A pedestrian carries an umbrella whereas strolling previous a portray of an American flag in San Francisco, Jan. 11, 2023. A brand new examine says the drenching that California has been getting since Christmas will solely get wetter and nastier with local weather change. Credit score: AP Picture/Jeff Chiu, File

As damaging because it was for greater than 32 trillion gallons of rain and snow to fall on California since Christmas, a worst-case world warming situation may juice up comparable future downpours by one-third by the center of this century, a brand new examine says.

The strongest of California’s storms from atmospheric rivers, lengthy and huge plumes of moisture that kind over an ocean and circulation by way of the sky over land, would in all probability get an total 34% enhance in whole precipitation, or one other 11 trillion gallons extra than simply fell. That is as a result of the rain and snow is more likely to be 22% extra concentrated at its peak in locations that get actually doused, and to fall over a significantly bigger space if fossil gas emissions develop uncontrolled, in keeping with a brand new examine in Thursday’s journal Nature Local weather Change.

All the western United States would doubtless see a 31% enhance in precipitation from these worst of the worst storms in a souped-up warming world due to extra intense and extensively unfold rainfall, the examine stated.

Scientists say the worst-case situation, which is about 4.4 levels Celsius (7.9 levels Fahrenheit) of warming since pre-industrial occasions, seems to be a bit extra unlikely since efforts are being undertaken to rein in emissions. If nations do as they promise, temperatures are on monitor to heat about 2.7 levels Celsius (4.9 levels Fahrenheit), in keeping with Local weather Motion Tracker.

The Nationwide Climate Service calculated that California averaged 11.47 inches of precipitation statewide from Dec. 26 to Jan. 17—together with 18.33 inches in Oakland and 47.74 inches in a single spot 235 miles north of San Francisco—due to a sequence of 9 devastating atmospheric rivers that induced energy outages, flooding, levee breaks, washouts and landslides. No less than 20 individuals died.

“It could possibly be even worse,” stated examine writer Ruby Leung, a local weather scientist on the U.S. Pacific Northwest Nationwide Lab. “We have to begin planning how would we be capable of cope with this.”

Leung used regional scale laptop simulations to foretell what the worst of the western winter storms will likely be like between 2040 and 2070 in a situation the place carbon emissions have run amok. She checked out whole precipitation, how concentrated peak raining and snowing could be and the world that will get hit. All three components develop for the West typically. California is predicted to get the very best enhance in peak precipitation, whereas the Southwest is more likely to see extra rain due to an enormous bounce in space of rainfall. The Pacific Northwest would see the least juicing of the three areas.

General precipitation is a bit lessened from including all of the components, as a result of simply as the height rainfall grows the rainfall on the sides of the storms is predicted to weaken, in keeping with the examine.

There are two kinds of storms that Leung stated she worries about: Flash floods from intense rain concentrated over a small space and slower, bigger floods that happen from rain and snow piling up over a big space. Each are unhealthy, however the flash floods trigger extra injury and damage individuals extra, she stated.

And people flash floods are more likely to worsen from what Leung’s paper calls a “sharpening” impact that occurs in an ever hotter world. Which means extra rainfall concentrated within the central areas of storms, falling at increased charges per hour, whereas on the outer edges rainfall is a bit weaker.

This occurs due to the physics of rain storms, Leung stated.

Not solely can the ambiance maintain 4% extra moisture per diploma Fahrenheit (7% per diploma Celsius), but it surely’s what occurs within the storm that adjustments and makes the precipitation come down much more, Leung stated. You’ve got bought air rising contained in the storm with extra water vapor condensing to provide rain and snow; it then releases warmth “that sort of causes the storm to turn into extra vigorous and stronger,” she stated.

When water vapor condenses it comes down as rain and snow alongside the sides of the storm, however heating kind of squeezes that falling precipitation in towards the center, Leung stated.

“The ideas and impacts of how precipitation options are more likely to change are nicely quantified and nicely defined,” stated David Gochis, an professional in how water impacts the climate on the Nationwide Heart for Atmospheric Analysis in Boulder, Colorado, who wasn’t a part of the examine.

When she used laptop simulations, Leung selected probably the most extreme worst-case situation for a way the world’s carbon emissions will develop. It is a situation that was once known as enterprise as traditional, however the world is not on that monitor. After years of local weather negotiations and the expansion of renewable fuels the globe is heading to much less warming than the worst case, in keeping with local weather scientist Zeke Hausfather of the tech firm Stripe and Berkeley Earth.

“We’re offering extra of a worst-case situation, however understanding that if we do take motion to scale back emissions sooner or later, we may find yourself higher,” Leung stated. “If we management the emissions and decrease the worldwide warming sooner or later, we will restrict the impacts of local weather change on the society, notably flooding and excessive precipitation that we’re speaking about on this examine.”

Extra info:
Xiaodong Chen, Sharpening of cold-season storms over the western United States, Nature Local weather Change (2023). DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01578-0. www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01578-0

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California

10 of 15 Southern California industries slow their hiring pace

Published

4 hours ago

November 28, 2024

Press Room

10 of 15 Southern California industries slow their hiring pace

Southern California’s bosses added 80,700 workers in the past year to a record 8.06 million jobs – but that hiring pace is roughly half of the pre-pandemic job market’s gains.

My trusty spreadsheet – filled with state job figures for Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties – compared employment changes for the region and 15 industries in the year ended in October with the average yearly hiring pace before coronavirus upended the economy.

Yes, there have never been more Southern Californians employed. However, the recent hirings that created the all-time high staffing are far below the average job creation of 159,600 a year in 2015-19.

This is one of many signals of cooler business trends. It’s a chill significantly tied to the Federal Reserve’s attempts to slow what was once an overheated economy.

But Southern California bosses have another challenge – a shortage of workers. The region’s workforce, a measure of labor supply, is basically flat comparing 2024 to 2015-19. Fewer choices of workers have added difficulty for local businesses trying to meet their staffing needs.

Think of that when you learn that among the 15 Southern California business sectors tracked – hiring in 10 industries is below pre-pandemic years compared with five industries with improvements.

The downs

First, contemplate the 10 industries where the hiring pace has weakened, ranked by the size of the decline …

Professional-business services: 1.14 million workers in October – down 4,600 in a year vs. 24,100 annual gains in 2015-19. This net downturn of 28,700 jobs is unnerving because this white-collar work typically pays above-average salaries.

Construction: 378,700 workers – down 3,100 in a year vs. 16,200 annual gains in 2015-19. A building slowdown due to lofty mortgage rates created this 19,300 reversal.

Logistics-utilities: 820,800 workers – up 6,800 in a year vs. 25,800 annual gains in 2015-19. What’s at least a temporary oversupply of warehouses in the region may be behind this 19,000 slowdown.

Manufacturing: 558,400 workers – down 15,300 in a year vs. 4,100 annual cuts in 2015-19. This 11,200 drop is continued losses of local factory work tied to high cost of doing business in the region.

Fast-food restaurants: 359,400 workers – up 3,400 in a year vs. 12,400 annual gains in 2015-19. Weaker consumer spending and a hike in the industry’s minimum wage contribute to this 9,000 drop.

Hotels/entertainment/recreation: 268,300 workers – up 3,400 in a year vs. 9,600 annual gains in 2015-19. This 6,200 cooling reflects worker shortages.

Full-service eateries/food service: 339,100 workers – up 1,600 in a year vs. 6,600 annual gains in 2015-19. Inflation making shoppers pickier is part of this 5,000 cooling.

Information: 214,200 workers – down 100 in a year vs. 3,700 annual gains in 2015-19. Weakness in tech businesses and Hollywood productions created the 3,800 net downturn.

Personal services: 266,600 workers – up 500 in a year vs. 3,200 annual gains in 2015-19. Again, it is hard to find people to do this work. Thus, a 2,700 cooling.

Government: 1.03 million workers – up 11,600 in a year vs. 12,500 annual gains in 2015-19. This 900 dip is status quo.

The ups

Ponder the five industries where the hiring pace rose in the past year, ranked by the size of the gains …

Social assistance: 512,300 workers – up 28,200 in a year vs. 18,300 annual gains in 2015-19. The 9,900 addition comes as more folks need help at home for healthcare and child care.

Healthcare: 836,700 workers – up 30,100 in a year vs. 20,900 annual gains in 2015-19. The 9,200 growth parallels the region’s aging population and its need for medical services.

Retailing: 748,300 workers – up 8,300 in a year vs. 300 annual cuts in 2015-19. This somewhat surprising 8,600 improvement may be consumers tiring of online commerce and wanting to get out to shop.

Financial: 364,100 workers – up 4,400 in a year vs. 3,900 annual gains in 2015-19. The minor 500 improvement is a return to normalcy. Super-heated hiring came in the pandemic days thanks to a brief drop in mortgage rates to historic lows.

Private education: 215,700 workers – up 5,500 in a year vs. 5,100 annual gains in 2015-19. This 400 uptick reflects the growing interest in alternatives to public schooling.

Bottom line

While it’s rare for all industries to be growing at the same time – minus, say, just after an economic downturn – this 2024 edition of the winners vs. losers list raises an important issue.

It appears much of the past year’s job creation is coming from industries that historically pay meager wages. That’s an especially worrisome trend in high-cost Southern California.

Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern California News Group. He can be reached at jlansner@scng.com

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California

California Lottery Powerball, Daily 3 Midday winning numbers for Nov. 27, 2024

Published

12 hours ago

November 28, 2024

Press Room

The California Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big. Here’s a look at Nov. 27, 2024, results for each game:

Powerball

01-06-07-13-40, Powerball: 05, Power Play: 5

Check Powerball payouts and previous drawings here.

Daily 3

Midday: 7-1-0

Evening: 4-9-6

Check Daily 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Daily Derby

1st:11 Money Bags-2nd:3 Hot Shot-3rd:8 Gorgeous George, Race Time: 1:47.44

Check Daily Derby payouts and previous drawings here.

Fantasy 5

03-10-12-29-33

Check Fantasy 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Daily 4

6-1-3-2

Check Daily 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

SuperLotto Plus

03-05-15-16-42, Mega Ball: 24

Check SuperLotto Plus payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Desert Sun producer. You can send feedback using this form.

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California

Democrat Derek Tran ousts Republican rival in key California House seat

Published

20 hours ago

November 27, 2024

Press Room

Democrat Derek Tran ousts Republican rival in key California House seat

Democrat Derek Tran ousted Republican Michelle Steel in a southern California House district Wednesday that was specifically drawn to give Asian Americans a stronger voice on Capitol Hill.

Steel said in a statement: “Like all journeys, this one is ending for a new one to begin.” When she captured the seat in 2020, Steel joined Washington state Democrat Marilyn Strickland and California Republican Young Kim as the first Korean American women elected to Congress.

Tran, a lawyer and worker rights advocate and the son of Vietnamese refugees, declared victory earlier this week. He said his win “is a testament to the spirit and resilience of our community. As the son of Vietnamese refugees, I understand firsthand the journey and sacrifices many families in our district have made for a better life.”

The contest is one of the last to be decided this year, with Republicans now holding 220 seats in the House, with Democrats at 214. The Associated Press has not declared a winner in California’s 13th district, where Democrat Adam Gray was leading Republican John Duarte by a couple of hundred votes.

Steel held an early edge after election day, but late-counted ballots pushed Tran over the top.

Steel filed a statement of candidacy on Monday with federal regulators, which would allow her to continue raising funds. It wasn’t immediately clear if she planned to seek a return to Congress.

In the campaign, Tran warned of Republican threats to abortion rights. Steel opposes abortion with exceptions for rape, incest or to save the life of the pregnant woman, while not going so far as to support a federal ban. Tran also warned that Donald Trump’s return to the White House would put democracy at risk.

On Capitol Hill, Steel has been outspoken in resisting tax increases and says she stands strongly with Israel in its war with Hamas. “As our greatest ally in the Middle East, the United States must always stand with Israel,” she said. She advocates for more police funding and has spotlighted her efforts on domestic violence and sexual abuse.

The largest demographic in the district, which is anchored in Orange county, south-east of Los Angeles, is Asian Americans, and it includes the nation’s biggest Vietnamese community. Democrats hold a four-point registration edge.

Incomplete returns showed that Steel was winning in Orange county, the bulk of the district. Tran’s winning margin came from a small slice of the district in Los Angeles county, where Democrats outnumber Republicans by nearly two to one.

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