California
How Trump has an edge in California GOP primary after state rule change
The California GOP altered its rules for allocating delegates in the state’s presidential primary, a move that could give former President Donald Trump a significant edge over his opponents in the 2024 election.
Trump is the front-runner for the GOP presidential nomination. RealClearPolitics puts the former president at an average of 52.4%, an almost 40-point margin ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL). Trump is close to 50% ahead of candidates like former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, and Gov. Doug Burgum (R-ND), among others.
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES TEST HOW FAR THEY CAN GO IN CRITICIZING TRUMP
In California, a predominately Democratic state, the Republican Party has looked to secure a tighter red stronghold, aiming to flip Congressional seats and elect a viable GOP candidate for the presidency.
Now, with the GOP changing its delegate rules, California Republicans could be opening the door for Trump and potentially discouraging other GOP primary candidates from campaigning in the state.
What is the new GOP delegate rule?
On Saturday, the California Republican Party’s 100-member executive committee changed the way delegates are allocated in a 52-16 vote.
Now, if a Republican candidate wins over 50% of the vote in the primary on March 5, they will receive all 169 delegates from the state — more delegates than any state in the nation.
If no one reaches this threshold, then the delegates will be split up among candidates proportional to the statewide vote.
State GOP leaders argue this will attract candidates to compete in California.
“Today’s vote … was a massive victory for California Republicans who are eager to have a say in deciding who our Party’s 2024 presidential nominee will be,” state party Chair Jessica Millan Patterson said in a statement via Los Angeles Times. “Republican presidential candidates will not only be encouraged to spend real time campaigning in our state and making their case to voters, but Republican voters will equally be encouraged to turn out to support their chosen candidate to help them win delegates.”
If the GOP did not change the rules, the party would have lost half of its delegates to the Republican National Convention for not meeting delegate criteria.
Many state Republican parties had made similar changes to their primary rules ahead of the 2020 election, adding more winner-take-all contests and requiring a higher percentage of the vote to win delegates.
Why are some Republicans against this rule change?
The original system, which has been in place for two decades, allocated three delegates for each congressional district won. The system allowed a candidate to strategically campaign in a handful of areas in California instead of targeting the entire state.
Former state GOP executive director Jon Fleischman, who served in 2000 when the original system was adopted, said in an interview with the LA Times that the new rule would prevent this type of competition among candidates.
Fleischman said no GOP presidential candidate would be incentivized to come to California and campaign.
“The cost to advertise statewide is too great, and the impact of trying to motivate volunteers is too small,” Fleischman said. “So they will go to other states and ignore California in the primary, as they ignore California in the general election.”
Some Republican protesters have argued the decision should have been discussed with the over 1,400 party members at the fall convention, not just the executive committee. State GOP officials said that they were on a deadline to submit their new rules to the RNC to maintain the allotment of delegates.
Where do the top candidates stand on this rule change?
Trump’s team is in full support of the California GOP’s rule change while DeSantis’s team has blasted the state’s Republicans for ignoring voters who want a different GOP candidate in the 2024 general election.
An executive committee member told the Los Angeles Times that they spoke to Trump’s campaign and they supported the rule change, saying polling shows he can win more than 50% of primary voters in California.
Ken Cuccinelli, founder of the pro-DeSantis Never Back Down super PAC, blasted the state GOP’s decision to ignore a different proposal that could have favored the Florida governor.
Under that proposal, three delegates would have been awarded by congressional district, with two going to the winner in each district and the third going to the second-place finisher. With DeSantis maintaining a steady runner-up status in most polls, this method would have likely benefited him come primary time in March.
CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER
“Smoke-filled back rooms do not reflect the will of or benefit voters in any state. Yet across the country, games are afoot to enhance the potential outcome of primary elections for one former president who half of the Republican electorate no longer wants as the party leader,” Cuccinelli said in a statement.
But “even with these asinine primary rules changes,” Cuccinelli added, “we remain confident Governor DeSantis will become the Republican nominee and 47th president of the United States.”
California
California Democrats Plan To Take Measured Approach During Trump's Second Term | KQED
Here are the morning’s top stories on Monday, December 16, 2024…
- The first time Donald Trump was elected president, blue state Democrats — particularly those from California — asserted themselves as the frontline of the resistance. Eight years later, they say they’re making an intentional decision to stay calm, at least for now.
- It’s official. California regulators are enforcing an agreement with the state’s largest insurance companies that they hope will stem the insurance crisis.
- Crews have been working around the clock in the community of Scotts Valley in the Santa Cruz Mountains after a rare tornado touched down in the city on Saturday. At least five people were injured.
The first time Donald Trump was elected president, blue state Democrats — particularly those from California — asserted themselves as the frontline of the resistance. Eight years later, they say their best strategy for confronting a second Trump presidency is to stay calm.
Take California’s newly sworn-in U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff: The former House member garnered national attention during Trump’s first term. Schiff led the first impeachment of the president-elect, served on the House committee investigating the Jan. 6 assault on the Capitol, and regularly appeared on TV news as a spokesperson for a defiant Democratic party. However, as he begins his first term as senator, Schiff said his primary focus is on what he can get done for his home state. “We have a lot of serious challenges that people talk to me up and down the state as I traveled to California during the campaign,” he said, going on to cite the state’s high cost of living, water and air quality, and wildfires. “My first priority is solving those problems, meeting the needs of Californians.”
Schiff isn’t alone. As blue state Democrats brace for the president-elect to be sworn in again, even those he’s named as political enemies, like Schiff and others on the Jan. 6 committee, say they won’t be the ones picking a fight.
California Issues New Rules For Home Insurers
The state’s insurance department is requiring companies to write more policies in risky wildfire areas. In exchange it will let them use forward-looking risk models to set rates.
California
Housing tracker: A slowdown in the Southern California market for homes and rentals
The Southern California housing market is downshifting.
The average home price in the six-county region fell 0.3% from October to $869,288 in November, according to Zillow, marking the fourth consecutive month of declines.
“There is really no urgency from buyers,” said Mark Schlosser, a Compass agent in the Los Angeles area. “They are waiting.”
Prices are now 1.3% off their all-time high in July, but some economists say prospective home buyers and sellers shouldn’t expect home values to plunge — one reason behind the shift is the market typically slows in the fall and prices are still above where they were a year ago.
Still, more homes are hitting the market and mortgage interest rates remain high, creating a situation of slightly more supply and slightly less demand.
As a result, annual price growth has slowed. Last month, Southern California home prices were 4.3% higher than a year earlier, compared to a recent peak of 9.5% in April.
Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist with Zillow, said he expects annual price growth in Southern California to slow further next year, but not turn negative.
Though more home owners are choosing to sell their home, many others still don’t want to give up their ultra-low mortgage rates they took out during the pandemic.
Divounguy said there’s also California’s long-running problem of building too few homes for all the people who want to live here. In some places that build more, prices are already falling compared to last year.
In the Austin metro area, prices were down 3.4% in November, according to Zillow.
“Until we see inventory catch up, like we have in some of these big metros that built a ton of housing, I don’t think we are going to see negative prices,” he said.
Locally, Zillow forecasts home prices in November 2025 to be 1.5% higher than they are today across Orange and Los Angeles counties. In the Inland Empire, values should climb 2.7%
Though prices may keep rising, if incomes climb as well and mortgage rates fall, the housing market could become more affordable to people looking to break in.
Depending on the time frame one looks at, that’s already happening to some extent.
Inflation and economic growth play a major role in the direction of mortgage rates. In May, mortgage rates were above 7%, but then steadily declined to 6.08% in September, amid signs inflation was easing and the economy was weakening.
Rates started climbing again, following stronger than expected job growth and fear among investors that an incoming Trump administration would institute policies such as sweeping tariffs and tax cuts that would reignite inflation.
In late November, mortgages rates hit 6.84%, but have declined somewhat since, clocking in at 6.6% as of Dec. 12, according to Freddie Mac.
In a statement announcing the latest mortgage rate figures, Freddie Mac chief economist Sam Khater noted that “while the outlook for the housing market is improving, the improvement is limited given that homebuyers continue to face stiff affordability headwinds.”
Housing prices by city and neighborhood
Note to readers
Welcome to the Los Angeles Times’ Real Estate Tracker. Every month we will publish a report with data on housing prices, mortgage rates and rental prices. Our reporters will explain what the new data mean for Los Angeles and surrounding areas and help you understand what you can expect to pay for an apartment or house. You can read last month’s real estate breakdown here.
Explore home prices and rents for November
Use the tables below to search for home sale prices and apartment rental prices by city, neighborhood and county.
Rental prices in Southern California
In the last year, asking rents for apartments in many parts of Southern California have ticked down.
Experts say the trend is driven by a rising number of vacancies, which have forced some landlords to accept less in rent. Vacancies have risen because apartment supply is expanding and demand has fallen as consumers worry about the economy and inflation.
Additionally, the large millennial generation is increasingly aging into homeownership, as the smaller Generation Z enters the apartment market.
Prospective renters shouldn’t get too excited, however. Rent is still extremely high.
In November, the median rent for vacant units of all sizes across Los Angeles County was $2,057, down 1.2% from a year earlier but 7.2% more than in November 2019, according to data from Apartment List.
California
Watch: Moment tornado strikes California parking lot
Footage captures the moment a tornado tore through Scotts Valley in northern California. At least four people were injured after it struck a parking lot, with cars flipped and trees downed, local authorities said. California averages around 11 tornadoes per year, according to the National Weather Service.
-
Technology1 week ago
Struggling to hear TV dialogue? Try these simple fixes
-
Business1 week ago
OpenAI's controversial Sora is finally launching today. Will it truly disrupt Hollywood?
-
Politics3 days ago
Canadian premier threatens to cut off energy imports to US if Trump imposes tariff on country
-
Technology4 days ago
Inside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT
-
Technology3 days ago
OpenAI cofounder Ilya Sutskever says the way AI is built is about to change
-
Politics3 days ago
U.S. Supreme Court will decide if oil industry may sue to block California's zero-emissions goal
-
Technology3 days ago
Meta asks the US government to block OpenAI’s switch to a for-profit
-
Politics4 days ago
Conservative group debuts major ad buy in key senators' states as 'soft appeal' for Hegseth, Gabbard, Patel