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How Do California’s Storms Weigh In Compared With History’s Big Ones?

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How Do California’s Storms Weigh In Compared With History’s Big Ones?


The storms which have walloped California in fierce waves since final month have left many communities cleansing up and digging out from flooding and landslides. By one metric, although, the state has seen a lot worse.

Thus far this winter, cumulative precipitation throughout California is effectively above common for the previous 70 or so years, in accordance with information from the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. But it surely isn’t as excessive at this level within the season because it was in some years, together with 2017, when drenching storms practically triggered a catastrophic collapse on the Oroville Dam in Northern California.

The information is a reminder that nature can dish out much more to the state than what it has this season, although there’s nonetheless loads of time for extra storms to push by means of earlier than the drier months. (These precipitation ranges embody each rain and snow. The latter is recorded as its liquid equal quantity.)

A statewide, averaged measure like this one doesn’t seize the vastly totally different results that storms in California, fueled by atmospheric rivers, can have in several elements of the state. A system that brings distress and destruction to Southern California can appear tame in Northern California, and vice versa. The identical climate can torment one place however spare the one subsequent to it, which is a part of what makes storms difficult for meteorologists to forecast.

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“You want solely a really small change within the angle or the place of the atmospheric river, and a very totally different river basin will probably be flooded,” stated David A. Lavers, an knowledgeable on atmospheric rivers on the European Heart for Medium-Vary Climate Forecasts in Studying, England.

Timing issues, too. A really intense burst of back-to-back storms, like those of the previous month, can do monumental injury in a water 12 months that in any other case winds up being on the dry aspect. The steepness of the strains on this chart can matter simply as a lot as how excessive they find yourself.

In line with NOAA’s information, the water 12 months that ended up wettest because the Nineteen Fifties was the one between 1982 and 1983. Ferocious storms clobbered properties and buildings alongside the Southern California coast in January 1983. Extra distress got here that March, together with when a twister minimize by means of Los Angeles.

One other water 12 months that stands out within the information is 1996-97. Round New Yr’s Day, rain from a robust atmospheric river breached levees and inundated cities and highways, notably within the Sacramento and Central Valleys. The damages from that occasion topped $3 billion, in accordance with a research led by Thomas W. Corringham, a researcher with the Scripps Establishment of Oceanography on the College of California, San Diego, who specializes within the financial and social results of utmost climate.

The NOAA information additionally highlights how exceptionally dry some latest intervals have been, specifically the 2 water years from 2019 to 2021. Water and floor circumstances earlier than every moist season, and even earlier than every storm, play a giant position in shaping how extreme the results will probably be.

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“Going into the 12 months, we had a deficit of an entire 12 months’s rainfall,” stated Jan Null, a meteorologist beforehand with the Nationwide Climate Service in California. Had main reservoirs not been so empty earlier than rain began falling final month, the flooding round San Francisco and different areas might have been worse, he stated.

That dryness additionally means the latest rain and snow might go additional towards replenishing California’s water provides. Following this month’s atmospheric rivers, an index of rainfall within the Northern Sierra Nevada has been on tempo to rival a number of the wettest years on document. This index is watched intently as a result of it displays precipitation ranges in watersheds that feed a number of of the state’s most vital reservoirs.

How a lot of a distinction this makes on the state’s water woes relies upon partly on how the remainder of the season performs out. Earlier California winters have gotten a moist begin however then abruptly went dry, as if a faucet within the sky had been shut off. “If we cease now, most locations will probably be round regular,” Mr. Null stated.



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California

10 of 15 Southern California industries slow their hiring pace

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10 of 15 Southern California industries slow their hiring pace


Southern California’s bosses added 80,700 workers in the past year to a record 8.06 million jobs – but that hiring pace is roughly half of the pre-pandemic job market’s gains.

My trusty spreadsheet – filled with state job figures for Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties – compared employment changes for the region and 15 industries in the year ended in October with the average yearly hiring pace before coronavirus upended the economy.

Yes, there have never been more Southern Californians employed. However, the recent hirings that created the all-time high staffing are far below the average job creation of 159,600 a year in 2015-19.

This is one of many signals of cooler business trends. It’s a chill significantly tied to the Federal Reserve’s attempts to slow what was once an overheated economy.

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But Southern California bosses have another challenge – a shortage of workers. The region’s workforce, a measure of labor supply, is basically flat comparing 2024 to 2015-19. Fewer choices of workers have added difficulty for local businesses trying to meet their staffing needs.

Think of that when you learn that among the 15 Southern California business sectors tracked – hiring in 10 industries is below pre-pandemic years compared with five industries with improvements.

The downs

First, contemplate the 10 industries where the hiring pace has weakened, ranked by the size of the decline …

Professional-business services: 1.14 million workers in October – down 4,600 in a year vs. 24,100 annual gains in 2015-19. This net downturn of 28,700 jobs is unnerving because this white-collar work typically pays above-average salaries.

Construction: 378,700 workers – down 3,100 in a year vs. 16,200 annual gains in 2015-19. A building slowdown due to lofty mortgage rates created this 19,300 reversal.

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Logistics-utilities: 820,800 workers – up 6,800 in a year vs. 25,800 annual gains in 2015-19. What’s at least a temporary oversupply of warehouses in the region may be behind this 19,000 slowdown.

Manufacturing: 558,400 workers – down 15,300 in a year vs. 4,100 annual cuts in 2015-19. This 11,200 drop is continued losses of local factory work tied to high cost of doing business in the region.

Fast-food restaurants: 359,400 workers – up 3,400 in a year vs. 12,400 annual gains in 2015-19. Weaker consumer spending and a hike in the industry’s minimum wage contribute to this 9,000 drop.

Hotels/entertainment/recreation: 268,300 workers – up 3,400 in a year vs. 9,600 annual gains in 2015-19. This 6,200 cooling reflects worker shortages.

Full-service eateries/food service: 339,100 workers – up 1,600 in a year vs. 6,600 annual gains in 2015-19. Inflation making shoppers  pickier is part of this 5,000 cooling.

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Information: 214,200 workers – down 100 in a year vs. 3,700 annual gains in 2015-19. Weakness in tech businesses and Hollywood productions created the 3,800 net downturn.

Personal services: 266,600 workers – up 500 in a year vs. 3,200 annual gains in 2015-19. Again, it is hard to find people to do this work. Thus, a 2,700 cooling.

Government: 1.03 million workers – up 11,600 in a year vs. 12,500 annual gains in 2015-19. This 900 dip is status quo.

The ups

Ponder the five industries where the hiring pace rose in the past year, ranked by the size of the gains …

Social assistance: 512,300 workers – up 28,200 in a year vs. 18,300 annual gains in 2015-19. The 9,900 addition comes as more folks need help at home for healthcare and child care.

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Healthcare: 836,700 workers – up 30,100 in a year vs. 20,900 annual gains in 2015-19. The 9,200 growth parallels the region’s aging population and its need for medical services.

Retailing: 748,300 workers – up 8,300 in a year vs. 300 annual cuts in 2015-19. This somewhat surprising 8,600 improvement may be consumers tiring of online commerce and wanting to get out to shop.

Financial: 364,100 workers – up 4,400 in a year vs. 3,900 annual gains in 2015-19. The minor 500 improvement is a return to normalcy. Super-heated hiring came in the pandemic days thanks to a brief drop in mortgage rates to historic lows.

Private education: 215,700 workers – up 5,500 in a year vs. 5,100 annual gains in 2015-19. This 400 uptick reflects the growing interest in alternatives to public schooling.

Bottom line

While it’s rare for all industries to be growing at the same time – minus, say, just after an economic downturn – this 2024 edition of the winners vs. losers list raises an important issue.

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It appears much of the past year’s job creation is coming from industries that historically pay meager wages. That’s an especially worrisome trend in high-cost Southern California.

Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern California News Group. He can be reached at jlansner@scng.com



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California Lottery Powerball, Daily 3 Midday winning numbers for Nov. 27, 2024

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The California Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big. Here’s a look at Nov. 27, 2024, results for each game:

Powerball

01-06-07-13-40, Powerball: 05, Power Play: 5

Check Powerball payouts and previous drawings here.

Daily 3

Midday: 7-1-0

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Evening: 4-9-6

Check Daily 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Daily Derby

1st:11 Money Bags-2nd:3 Hot Shot-3rd:8 Gorgeous George, Race Time: 1:47.44

Check Daily Derby payouts and previous drawings here.

Fantasy 5

03-10-12-29-33

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Check Fantasy 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Daily 4

6-1-3-2

Check Daily 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

SuperLotto Plus

03-05-15-16-42, Mega Ball: 24

Check SuperLotto Plus payouts and previous drawings here.

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Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Desert Sun producer. You can send feedback using this form.



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Democrat Derek Tran ousts Republican rival in key California House seat

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Democrat Derek Tran ousts Republican rival in key California House seat


Democrat Derek Tran ousted Republican Michelle Steel in a southern California House district Wednesday that was specifically drawn to give Asian Americans a stronger voice on Capitol Hill.

Steel said in a statement: “Like all journeys, this one is ending for a new one to begin.” When she captured the seat in 2020, Steel joined Washington state Democrat Marilyn Strickland and California Republican Young Kim as the first Korean American women elected to Congress.

Tran, a lawyer and worker rights advocate and the son of Vietnamese refugees, declared victory earlier this week. He said his win “is a testament to the spirit and resilience of our community. As the son of Vietnamese refugees, I understand firsthand the journey and sacrifices many families in our district have made for a better life.”

The contest is one of the last to be decided this year, with Republicans now holding 220 seats in the House, with Democrats at 214. The Associated Press has not declared a winner in California’s 13th district, where Democrat Adam Gray was leading Republican John Duarte by a couple of hundred votes.

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Steel held an early edge after election day, but late-counted ballots pushed Tran over the top.

Steel filed a statement of candidacy on Monday with federal regulators, which would allow her to continue raising funds. It wasn’t immediately clear if she planned to seek a return to Congress.

In the campaign, Tran warned of Republican threats to abortion rights. Steel opposes abortion with exceptions for rape, incest or to save the life of the pregnant woman, while not going so far as to support a federal ban. Tran also warned that Donald Trump’s return to the White House would put democracy at risk.

On Capitol Hill, Steel has been outspoken in resisting tax increases and says she stands strongly with Israel in its war with Hamas. “As our greatest ally in the Middle East, the United States must always stand with Israel,” she said. She advocates for more police funding and has spotlighted her efforts on domestic violence and sexual abuse.

The largest demographic in the district, which is anchored in Orange county, south-east of Los Angeles, is Asian Americans, and it includes the nation’s biggest Vietnamese community. Democrats hold a four-point registration edge.

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Incomplete returns showed that Steel was winning in Orange county, the bulk of the district. Tran’s winning margin came from a small slice of the district in Los Angeles county, where Democrats outnumber Republicans by nearly two to one.



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