Arizona
Arizona’s Family/HighGround Statewide Survey: Hobbs has slight lead over Lake in governor’s race
/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/gray/IKMLVRNFWJEHZMIDR74OW3TDCI.jpg "Arizona’s Family/HighGround Statewide Survey: Hobbs has slight lead over Lake in governor’s race")
PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) — Arizona’s Household has partnered with HighGround, the oldest public affairs agency within the state, to take a better have a look at the largest races on this 12 months’s midterm election and attainable outcomes by polling voters.
Concerning the Survey
The survey was carried out amongst probably voters from October 12 by means of 13, 2022, with a random pattern of 500 folks. The ballot surveyed probably Arizona 2022 Normal Election voters with a historical past of electoral participation and was balanced to mannequin the probably turnout of voters throughout occasion, age, area, and gender. The dwell interview survey of voters was carried out by HighGround Public Affairs to landline and cellular phone customers. Primarily based on earlier midterm election developments, the partisan benefit was set at +8% GOP. The margin of error is ±4.3%.
In Arizona, midterms have traditionally favored Republicans, and over half of the citizens on this election are 50 or over.
The race for governor
A lot of the focus this 12 months has been on the governor’s race between Kari Lake and Katie Hobbs. HighGround’s survey requested members that if the election for Arizona governor had been held in the present day, who would they vote for? In keeping with survey outcomes, it’s all the way down to a one-point benefit, with 45.8% for Hobbs and 44.8% for Lake. Issue within the margin of error and this race is taken into account a statistical tie. “We knew it was going to be a good race. We’re not taking any vote with no consideration,” mentioned Hobbs.
“We’ve modeled a conservative Republican turnout but when of us don’t end up round them, if we don’t see these independents present up, if we don’t see a few of these youthful voters present up, it’s going to profit the Republicans,” defined Paul Bentz, HighGround Senior Vice President for Analysis and Technique. “What we’re seeing right here, for instance, within the Lake versus Hobbs race, Lake is dropping about 10 factors price of Republicans. And that’s noteworthy as a result of that mainly offsets a fairly decent-sized chunk of the GOP benefit.”
Turnout could be a massive query mark. Bentz expects there to be 600,000 fewer Arizonans who will vote on this 12 months’s midterms versus the 2020 basic election. “When the president is just not on the high of the ticket, turnout is down in Arizona,” Bentz mentioned.
Who’s voting primarily based on gender, age and site?
Wanting on the numbers, Hobbs has an enormous lead amongst Unbiased voters, 60% to Lake’s 35%. There’s additionally a large margin with regards to gender, with 50.8% of girls saying they’ll vote for Hobbs. That’s the identical share of males surveyed who say they’ll vote for Lake. That means that the Supreme Court docket’s resolution to overturn Roe v. Wade has had an impact on girls. Alternatively, Lake’s attraction to male voters suggests they’re centered on extra economic-related points corresponding to inflation and fuel costs.
HighGround’s survey exhibits Hobbs instructions a number of age teams, with 58.3% to twenty-eight.3% of voters beneath 29, 53.3% to 40% for 30 to 39-year-olds and 49.4% to 37% for these aged 40-49. That modifications if you hit 50 or over.
The survey additionally exhibits Lake holds an enormous benefit with older voters, primarily these aged 65 and older, 53.1% to 38.8%. One motive, in keeping with HighGround’s analysis, is the shortage of a gubernatorial debate.
“I do assume Blake Masters’ tabloid newspaper, with eight pages price of data on Masters himself in addition to criticism of Katie Hobbs for not being keen to debate,” Bentz mentioned. “I do assume that has performed a job in kind of serving to them solidify their 65 and older section.”
That wasn’t essentially the case primarily based on numbers following the first election in August, the place HighGround says it appeared like voters 65 and older may very well be up for grabs. Since then, primarily based on different points just like the economic system and a rise in advertisements and different communications, that age group appears to have trended again in direction of Republican.
One other consideration is who voters will decide primarily based on the place within the state they dwell. Not surprisingly, HighGround says Maricopa County voters will make up many of the turnout. But it surely’s in rural areas the place Lake is seemingly in management at 64%. HighGround says Lake can also be doing effectively in Mohave (53%), Yavapai (45%) and Pinal (46%) counties.
Key takeaways from the survey
So what are a few of the greatest takeaways from HighGround’s survey? On the subject of the governor and different massive races, there are a couple of key elements this 12 months corresponding to girls trending towards Democrats. Then there are voters who don’t determine with one occasion or the opposite.
“It doesn’t seem to me that Republicans are all that interested by profitable Independents, which is why these races are so tight,” Bentz mentioned. “At an eight-point Republican benefit, if Republicans had been to separate Independents, they might be strolling away with this factor.” Arizona’s Household reached out to Lake and she or he mentioned, “We’re reaching out to independents. I imagine our insurance policies are greatest suited to unravel the issues we’ve been going through for many years in Arizona and I feel they’re useful whether or not you’re democrat, impartial or republican.”
Regardless that the survey exhibits Hobbs barely forward, HighGround believes the momentum stays with Lake.
Developing this week
Search for further reviews from the Arizona’s Household/HighGround Statewide Survey all this week. On Tuesday, we’ll take a better have a look at the U.S. Senate race between Mark Kelly, Blake Masters and Marc Victor.
Different races surveyed embody Secretary of State and Superintendent of Public Instruction. We’ll additionally break down numbers and clarify different points on the election, together with Propositions 211 and 310.
Keep up-to-date with our election headlines and make sure you try our Voter’s Information, masking all the things from alternative ways to vote, to observe the standing of your poll.
Copyright 2022 KTVK/KPHO. All rights reserved.
/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/gray/X5LENNLOZZKNTDO7RKHPINUP3Y.jpg "Gov. Pillen appoints Jim Scheer to University of Nebraska Board of Regents")
Big Lots store closures: What you should know
Big Lots plans to close more than 340 stores, highlighting economic challenges facing large retailers.
After months of store closures and filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, Big Lots is preparing to close all of its locations, according to a news release issued by the company on Thursday.
More than 400 stores have already been closed by the retailer in 2024 with the remaining ones set to hold “going out of business” sales. The company said it would continue to serve customers in-store and online and did not specify how long the sales would last.
“The Company is preparing to commence going out of business sales at all remaining Big Lots store locations in the coming days to protect the value of its estate,” Big Lots said in the news release.
CEO Bruce Thorn said the closures could be reversed if a company sale is completed.
The announcement comes as the company has already announced the closures of 24 locations in Arizona since July. Here’s the remaining Big Lots that are now closing.
Which Big Lots in Arizona are closing?
- Bullhead City: 2350 Miracle Mile
- Casa Grande: 1346 E. Florence Blvd.
- Glendale: 6660 W. Cactus Road
- Kingman: 3320 N. Stockton Hills Road
- Lake Havasu City: 1799 Kiowa Ave.
- Mesa: 1110 W. Southern Ave.
- Show Low: 4421 S. White Mountain Road
- Sierra Vista: 135 S. Highway 92
- Surprise: 14537 W. Grand Ave.
- Yuma: 1625 S. Fourth Ave.
Reach the reporter at reia.li@gannett.com. Follow @Reialirui on X, formerly Twitter.
The NCAA transfer portal giveth and it taketh, but sometimes it just gives back what it took. For Arizona, that happened not once but twice on Thursday.
Safety Dalton Johnson is returning to the Wildcats for his redshirt senior season, withdrawing from the portal after going in last week. He joins fellow safety Genesis Smith, who did the same earlier Thursday.
Johnson, the only member of Arizona’s 2021 recruiting class–which signed in between Kevin Sumlin being fired and Jedd Fisch getting hired–led the Wildcats with 94 tackles this season. He started 11 games, missing one because of injury, and has 24 starts with 36 career appearances.
Arizona has had more than 30 players from the 2024 team enter the portal including the majority of the defensive starters, but getting back Johnson and Smith helps solidify a back line that has added three players from the portal and will have Duane Akina back as position coach following a season as defensive coordinator.
The return of Johnson and Smith continues the recent good news for Arizona, which on Wednesday night saw quarterback Noah Fifita announce he was coming back for 2025. Fifita has started the last 21 games.
Looking for a tough nonconference schedule? Have some Pac-12 nostalgia? Arizona softball has it covered.
The Wildcats released their full schedule on Thursday morning, adding the nonconference slate to the previously released Big 12 schedule. It has something to please everyone.
Arizona will keep rivalries with former Pac-12 opponents Washington, Stanford, and UCLA. They will bring Alabama and Texas to Tucson and play home and away against Cal State Fullerton. In total, the Wildcats will play 12 teams that made the NCAA tournament last season and appear in 32 games at Hillenbrand Stadium.
Things kick off with the Candrea Classic at Hillenbrand Stadium from Feb. 6-9, 2025. First on the slate is a doubleheader against Michigan State on Thursday, Feb. 6. The Spartans finished 21-30 overall last year and went 7-16 in the Big Ten but had a five-game winning streak to end the season.
That game heads straight into the land of the Pac-12 with the first of two games against the Washington Huskies on Friday, Feb. 7. It’s the first game of a Friday night doubleheader with the second game against Western Michigan. The Wildcats will play UW a second time on Sunday, Feb. 9.
The Huskies went 32-10 overall last season. They were 13-10 in their final Pac-12 season. They beat Arizona 2-1 in their series in Tucson. Their season ended in the Columbia Regional with a loss to Missouri. They went 1-2 in the postseason.
Saturday, Feb. 8 will feature Alabama. The Crimson Tide were 39-20 last year. They went 10-14 in the SEC. They advanced to the Women’s College World Series, going 1-2 and bowing out to Florida. They defeated Arizona twice during the regular season in Tuscaloosa.
Arizona hosts the Bear Down Fiesta the weekend of Feb. 13-16. The Wildcats will play South Alabama on Thursday, Feb. 13 and again on Friday, Feb. 14. They face Fullerton on Feb. 14 and Sunday, Feb. 16. Ohio is on the slate on Saturday, Feb. 15.
Arizona played South Alabama in Tuscaloosa last year. The game ended in a 1-1 tie after 11 innings due to the “drop dead time.” The Jaguars ended their year 34-20-1 overall and 16-8 in the Sun Belt Conference. They went 2-2 at the Gainesville Regional, losing twice to host team Florida.
Fullerton was 39-19 overall in 2024. The Titans ended Big West play 22-5. They went 3-2 at the Stanford Regional, beating the host Cardinal and ranked Mississippi State once each.
The Ohio Bobcats were 31-24 last season. They finished 18-8 in the MAC. Their season ended with a loss to Ball State in the MAC Tournament.
The Wildcats stay home for the third week in a row to host the Hillenbrand Invitational from Feb. 20-23. The featured teams this weekend are Stanford and Texas, with the Cardinal playing UA twice.
Things start on Thursday, Feb. 20 with the Cardinal. The two teams will face off again on Sunday, Feb. 23.
Stanford will be a different team this season without NiJaree Canaday, whom Arizona will face in Big 12 play against Texas Tech. However, the Cardinal have advanced to the WCWS the last two seasons. They went 57-17 in 2024, finishing 17-7 in their last Pac-12 season.
The Cardinal went 2-1 against Arizona in Tucson last season. They went 2-2 in Oklahoma City, losing 1-0 to national runner-up Texas in their final game.
In between the two games against Stanford, the Wildcats will play UC Davis twice, once on Feb. 20 and once on Feb. 21. The game against the Aggies on Friday will be followed by a game against Colorado State. Saturday, Feb. 22 will feature Texas.
The Aggies were 21-29 overall and 12-15 in the Big West. The Rams went 26-21 overall and 9-12 in the Mountain West.
Texas was ranked No. 1 for a good chunk of 2024. The Longhorns went 55-10 overall and 23-4 in their final Big 12 season. They went 3-2 in Oklahoma City, losing the championship series to Oklahoma in two straight games.
The Wildcats play their first road game in a one-off at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday, Feb. 26. LMU was 28-25 last season. The Lions finished 9-7 in the WCC.
The trip to Southern California continues on the return games at Cal State Fullerton from Feb. 28-Mar. 2. The Wildcats face the Wildcats of Weber State first on Friday, Feb. 28. They play the host Titans immediately following in a doubleheader.
Weber State finished 22-28 overall and 8-7 in the Big Sky in 2024.
Saturday, Mar. 1 features another doubleheader. First up is Notre Dame. Longtime rival UCLA follows.
The Bruins were 43-12 last year. Their last year in the Pac-12 ended with a 17-4 record. They won the series against Arizona 2-1 in Los Angeles. They then defeated Arizona by the score of 6-5 in the Pac-12 Tournament. They went 1-2 in Oklahoma City, losing back-to-back against Oklahoma and Stanford.
Things wrap up on Mar. 2 against San Diego State. The Aztecs finished 31-20 overall and 15-7 in the MWC last season. They went 0-2 in the Los Angeles Regional, losing to Virginia Tech and GCU.
Arizona returns home to start Big 12 play against UCF on Friday, Mar. 7, but they will play another one-off nonconference game against Utah State on Monday, Mar. 10. The Aggies were 22-28 last year and 5-17 in the MWC.
A Big 12 home series against Utah will be followed by a road game at GCU on Wednesday, Mar. 19. The Lopes had a 50-13 finish overall last season. They were 23-3 in the WAC. They lost 3-2 at Arizona on Apr. 30, 2024.
GCU went 2-2 at the Los Angeles Regional, a run that included defeating 17th-ranked Virginia Tech to advance to the regional final.
The next five weekends find the Wildcats facing Big 12 foes Arizona State, BYU, Oklahoma State, Kansas, and Texas Tech before another nonconference doubleheader.
The New Mexico State Aggies come to Tucson for a doubleheader on Tuesday, Apr. 22. The Aggies were 30-25 last year. They went 13-11 in Conference USA. Arizona defeated them twice in Las Cruces.
The Wildcats return to Southern California for two more games against San Diego State to complete their Big 12 bye week. The games will be held on Friday, Apr. 25 and Saturday, Apr. 26.
Arizona finishes the Big 12 regular season at Houston from May 2-4 before heading to Oklahoma City for the Big 12 Tournament May 7-10.
Lead photo courtesy of Arizona Athletics
Yankees Tabbed Best Fit in Trade for Guardians Outfielder
Clemson vs. Texas Prediction: Tigers look to upset the Longhorns in Austin
Takeaways from The Associated Press' reporting on prison labor in Alabama
:quality(70)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/adn/LJIFMJ7H75HXVCRV3TMA3QT4Y4.jpg "Environmentalist group sues to gain information about Alaska trawler toll on marine mammals")
Environmentalist group sues to gain information about Alaska trawler toll on marine mammals
Is Big Lots closing all stores? What to know about all the stores closing in Arizona
Colorado Rockies game no. 116 thread: Zac Gallen vs José Ureña
Why Marjorie Taylor Greene was ‘kicked out’ of the Freedom Caucus according to Rep. Buck
See it: Tesla crashes into Columbus convention center at 70 mph
Fox News Politics: Georgia the whole day through
Death of missing Oregon girl found in stream ruled homicide
Illegal immigrant sexually abused child in the U.S. after being removed from the country five times
At least eight migrants drown after boat collision off Greece’s coast
Saturday is the winter solstice. Make the most of the shortest day of the year
In an early legislative test for Trump, plan B spending bill tanks in House
EU countries inspect Chinese vessel after data cables damaged
-
Politics7 days agoCanadian premier threatens to cut off energy imports to US if Trump imposes tariff on country
-
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25782636/247422_ChatGPT_anniversary_CVirginia.jpg "Inside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT")
Technology1 week agoInside the launch — and future — of ChatGPT
-
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25789444/1258459915.jpg "OpenAI cofounder Ilya Sutskever says the way AI is built is about to change")
Technology6 days agoOpenAI cofounder Ilya Sutskever says the way AI is built is about to change
-
Politics6 days agoU.S. Supreme Court will decide if oil industry may sue to block California's zero-emissions goal
-
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/25546252/STK169_Mark_Zuckerburg_CVIRGINIA_D.jpg "Meta asks the US government to block OpenAI’s switch to a for-profit")
Technology7 days agoMeta asks the US government to block OpenAI’s switch to a for-profit
-
Politics1 week agoConservative group debuts major ad buy in key senators' states as 'soft appeal' for Hegseth, Gabbard, Patel
-
Business5 days agoFreddie Freeman's World Series walk-off grand slam baseball sells at auction for $1.56 million
-
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23951353/STK043_VRG_Illo_N_Barclay_3_Meta.jpg "Meta’s Instagram boss: who posted something matters more in the AI age")
Technology5 days agoMeta’s Instagram boss: who posted something matters more in the AI age