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Final polls predict winners of New York, New Jersey, Virginia elections

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Final polls predict winners of New York, New Jersey, Virginia elections


Newsweek has rounded up what the latest polls are saying about the elections in New York, New Jersey and Virginia as Americans cast their votes.

Why It Matters

The 2025 races in the three states are drawing national attention as voters prepare to select leaders in three high-profile contests.

The results could set the tone for the 2026 midterms and provide insight into shifting political dynamics on the East Coast. The outcomes will also serve as a measure of support for the Democratic and Republican parties.

What To Know

New York City Mayor’s Race

Democrat Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is favored to win the mayoral contest against former Governor Andrew Cuomo, running as an independent, and Republican Curtis Sliwa.

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According to the latest Marist Poll (conducted October 24-28), Mamdani leads Cuomo by 16 points among likely voters, 48 percent to 32 percent, with Sliwa at 16 percent. The poll sampled 792 likely voters and has a margin of error of =/-4.2 percent.

A separate AtlasIntel poll places Mamdani’s lead at 4.5 points over Cuomo (43.9 percent to Cuomo’s 39.4 percent). Some 2,404 people were surveyed between October 31 and November 2. The poll has a margin of error of =/- 2 percentage points.

In a Fox News poll, Mamdani has a 16-point lead with 47 percent on Cuomo (31 percent). These results are based on 971 likely voters questioned between October 24 and October 28—there is a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

New Jersey Governor’s Race

The New Jersey gubernatorial race between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli is one of the closest in recent history.

The latest AtlasIntel poll (October 25-30; 1,639 likely voters, =/-2 percent margin) gives Sherrill a narrow edge, 50.2 percent to 49.3 percent.

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Meanwhile, a John Zogby Strategies poll, carried out among 1,205 people between October 31 and November 3, places Sherrill ahead (55 percent) of Ciattarelli (43.4 percent). There is a +/- 2.9 percentage point margin of error.

Research Co. also has Sherrill in the lead with 3 points more than Ciattarelli (52 percent to 48 percent) among 450 likely voters questioned between November 2 and 3—there is a =/- 4.5 percentage point margin of error.

Virginia Governor’s Race

Democratic incumbent Abigail Spanberger appears favored over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears.

Trafalgar Group has given her a 5.6 percentage point lead over Earle-Sears (49.8 percent to 43.3 percent). Meanwhile, the latest Insider Advantage survey of 800 likely voters (questioned between November 2 and 3) has Spanberger at 50 percent and Earle-Sears at 40 percent. There is a +/- 3.46 percentage point margin of error.

Research Co.’s poll (November 2 and 3 among 450 likely voters) shows Spanberger with a lead of 54 percent over Winsome Earle-Sears’s 46 percent. There is a =/- 4.6 percent margin of error.

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What People Are Saying

Statistician Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight (538), said about the race in New Jersey: “A close race could just come down to Sherrill being part of an unpopular two-time incumbent party. That’s why it’s going to be hard to infer much from this election, either about the state of New Jersey or the broader political environment.”

Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani, outside New York City Hall on Monday: “I continue to be confident about our chances heading into Election Day tomorrow. But I will not allow myself or let this movement to become complacent.”

What Happens Next

Polling places in New York, New Jersey and Virginia are open for in-person voting, with initial results expected to emerge after polls close Tuesday evening.

High mail-in and early voting rates add potential uncertainty—final outcomes may not be clear until late Tuesday or Wednesday.



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Snow totals vary across Central Virginia

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Snow totals vary across Central Virginia


CHESTERFIELD, Va. (WWBT) – Snow totals varied significantly across Central Virginia on Tuesday, with some areas receiving upwards of 6 inches while others got about an inch.

Parts of Petersburg received upwards of 6 inches of snow, while northern parts like Caroline County only got about an inch. Within a 50-mile radius of Richmond, there was about a 5-inch difference in the amount of snow people received.

In Chesterfield County, residents were cleaning snow off their cars Tuesday morning. The National Weather Service snowfall report shows some parts of the county received nearly five inches of snow.

Donnie Clinton was among many people on the roads during the snowfall Monday night.

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Sycamore Presbyterian Church covered in snow on Tuesday afternoon. Donnie Clinton serves as the assistant pastor of youth and young adult ministry at the church.(WWBT)

“I had to be out on the roads last night and it was terrible. And I have a four-by-four truck and so it’s easy to manage, but there were still patches of slush and ice. And so when I was braking, it was really hard to feel safe. So I was kind of scared for that. But waking up this morning going onto the turnpike, it was all fine,” Clinton said.

Clinton said he was surprised by the differences in snow amounts between counties in the area. He was also surprised by how quickly school was cancelled.

“Yeah, I’m actually so I work with youth groups like so middle school through high schoolers. And they told me, schools canceled already tomorrow. I grew up in rural Ohio, where it’s kind of like hell or high water. There’s going to be school tomorrow, and you’re going to go, and it’s just going to have to be okay,” Clinton said.

12 On Your Side Meteorologist Andrew Freiden said such a large range of snow totals is typical for the area.

“So, there was a sweet spot south and west of Richmond where you had a combination of the moisture and the cold air, cold dry air. But the dry air, you know, was too strong on northern counties and northern neighborhoods to support any snow,” Freiden said.

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Some places got nothing and areas to the south got a lot more.

“So, we had a battle of really cold, dry air. It is frigid over the Northeast right now. And that cold, dry air was what allowed us to turn a pretty small system, less than 1/2 an inch of liquid into a decent sized snow here in central Virginia,” Freiden explained.

He also explained how over the last five years, Central Virginia hasn’t really had the cold air necessary to create snow like what we’ve experienced this past week.



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School closings, delays in DC, Maryland, Virginia for Tuesday, December 9

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School closings, delays in DC, Maryland, Virginia for Tuesday, December 9


A winter storm that impacted areas to the south of the Washington, D.C. region on Monday has prompted some school systems to close and delay opening times on Tuesday.

Here are the latest snow closings and delays for Tuesday, December 9.

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Stay with the FOX 5 Weather Team for the latest forecast updates and check the updated list of closings and delays. The FOX LOCAL app is your source for live FOX 5 DC weather updates. Click here to download.

Full list of school closings and delays

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The Source: Information in this article comes from the FOX 5 Weather Team and the National Weather Service. 

WeatherNewsVirginia



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Virginia man dies after being thrown from vehicle in rollover crash on Dulles Greenway

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Virginia man dies after being thrown from vehicle in rollover crash on Dulles Greenway


A man was killed on Monday evening after being ejected during a rollover crash on the Dulles Greenway, according to Virginia State Police.

Troopers were called to the scene around 4:47 p.m. on Dec. 8 near Exit 6 in Loudoun County.

Investigators said the vehicle was traveling eastbound on Route 267 when it lost control, veered off the right side of the road, and flipped multiple times.

SEE ALSO | Missing Alexandria senior found dead in submerged car in Fairfax County river

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The driver, identified as James E. Beach, of Manassas, died at the scene. According to authorities, he was the only person in the vehicle.

State police said speed is being investigated as a possible factor in the crash. The fatal crash is still under investigation.



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