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Can a struggling Texas Rangers team still make the playoffs? Here’s what history says

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The Texas Rangers spent Thursday at the White House in Washington, D.C., where much of the discussion in and around the grounds on a daily basis is centered upon this November. The reigning World Series champions won’t think that far ahead on their visit.

But how about playoff baseball in October?

“This team has it in them,” Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said on Wednesday night. “I’m going to keep believing.”

He’ll need to believe that history is indeed made to be broken.

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Since MLB installed the wild card in 1995, no team has reached the postseason with a worse record than these Rangers (54-61) through the first 115 games of any season, according to Stathead. Only five teams with an under-.500 record through that mark — the 1995 New York Yankees, 2004 Houston Astros, 2009 Minnesota Twins, 2016 New York Mets and 2023 Arizona Diamondbacks — have.

The difference between those teams and the Rangers (who trail the first-place Houston Astros by five-and-a-half games) is the gap that existed between them and their division’s leaders through 115 games. Those Yankees were 15 games out of first place in the AL East through 115 games, the Astros were 19.5 games back in the NL Central, the Mets were 10.5 games back in the NL East and last year’s Diamondbacks were 6.5 games back in an NL West that included a 100-win Los Angeles Dodgers team.

Each of those four qualified for postseason play via a wild card berth. The Diamondbacks were beneficiaries of baseball’s first season with three wild card teams in each league and turned that rule change into a date with the Rangers in last fall’s World Series. Texas, which trails the Kansas City Royals by 8.5 games for the third-and-final AL wild card spot, cannot rely on that kind of safety net.

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It’s division title or bust. Those 2009 Twins — whose 87-76 final record was good enough to win the AL Central, but wouldn’t have been enough to clinch a wild card berth — can relate. The Twins are the only team that was below .500 through 115 games since 1995 that clinched a playoff spot by way of a division title. They, like the Rangers, faced a manageable deficit of five games in that season’s weakest division with 47 games left to play.

So what went right for them?

  • They handled their own business and played like the best team in baseball. Minnesota went 31-16 (and 14-9 against AL Central opponents) in their final 47 games of the season to finish a game up on the Detroit Tigers to win their division. Only the Yankees — who also went 31-16 in that span — had as good of a finish to their season as the Twins did. Minnesota still needed to win a Game 163 tiebreaker (which no longer exists under baseball’s current format) to clinch the division title. As it pertains to Texas: The Rangers have the seventh-easiest schedule remaining in baseball and seven games left to play against the Seattle Mariners, the second-place AL West team.
  • Their competition stumbled. The Tigers — who led the AL Central by 2.5 games with 47 games remaining — finished with just a 24-23 record and lost Game 163 to the Twins. The Chicago White Sox, who were in second place with 115 games left, went just 21-26 to close the year. As it pertains to Texas: Both Houston (14th-hardest) and Seattle (21st-hardest) have a more difficult remaining schedule than the Rangers.
  • Their best bats got hot. Catcher Joe Mauer, who was inducted into the Hall of Fame last month alongside Adrián Beltré, slashed .343/.436/.514 over the last 47 games of that season and was later named AL MVP. He was one of five qualified Twins batters — including Michael Cuddyer, Delmon Young, Denard Span and Jason Kubel — to record an on base plus slugging percentage of .838 or higher from games 116-162. As it pertains to Texas: The Rangers have one player (Corey Seager, whose OPS is .851) that’s currently performing at that level offensively.
  • Their pitching improved enough to complement the offense. The Twins had a 4.65 ERA — the 23rd-worst in baseball — through 115 games, but were slightly-above league average (4.13 ERA) in the 47 games that followed. In-season additions of Carl Pavano and Jon Rauch certainly helped. As it pertains to Texas: The Rangers’ 5.56 ERA since Aug. 1 is the fifth-worst in baseball and the lowest in the AL West by a considerable amount.

Here’s the snag: Minnesota (unlike what Texas would need to accomplish) did not have to miraculously turn around its offense in their season-ending run. The Twins ranked eighth in runs scored and seventh in OPS leaguewide through their first 115 games despite the under-par record. They scored the sixth-most runs in baseball over the course of their final 47 and improved their OPS from .770 to .780.

Yes, those Twins became a better team. They also had a better existing foundation to build off of than these Rangers do. Texas still ranks below league average in nearly every significant offensive category and external reinforcements are all but nonexistent. Their starting pitching has only worsened since August began.

A playoff berth is still mathematically possible. History suggests otherwise.

It’ll take a good deal of belief.

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    Rangers present President Biden with custom jersey, plus other White House trip highlights
    Watch: Texas Rangers full ceremony at White House celebrating 2023 World Series title

Find more Rangers coverage from The Dallas Morning News here.



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Hazardous travel expected as ice covers roads overnight in North Texas

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Hazardous travel expected as ice covers roads overnight in North Texas


Hazardous travel expected as ice covers roads overnight in North Texas – CBS Texas

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Road conditions will worsen Thursday night as rain, sleet and snow freeze over in North Texas. By Friday morning, ice will make travel hazardous, especially on untreated side roads.

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South Carolina women's basketball: Five Things to Watch – Texas A&M

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South Carolina women's basketball: Five Things to Watch – Texas A&M


South Carolina women’s basketball hosts its SEC home opener against Texas A&M on Thursday evening. Here’s how to watch and what to watch for.

1. Missing Ashlyn

South Carolina announced on Tuesday that junior forward Ashlyn Watkins will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL. Staley let Watkins tell the team about her injury, and then the coaches have tried to push forward.

“We just keep it moving, try not to harp on it too much because it’s felt,” Staley said. “The more you move on, the more they move on – and our players have to move on. It’s a part of it.”

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I broke down how South Carolina will try to replace Watkins here.

Staley said, “Only time will tell” the impact of Watkins’ absence, but it is definitely an opportunity for Maryam Dauda, Adhel Tac, and Sakima Walker to step into a new role.

“Sometimes, when you remove someone as big as Ashlyn from your equation, other people have an opportunity,” Staley said. “And what they do with that opportunity, usually, they do something pretty good with it. We’ll work with them, and we’ll be patient with them.”

2. Spurtability

South Carolina’s strengths this season have been its bench and its transition game. In the first two SEC games, South Carolina pulled away with the second unit on the court getting stops and getting out in transition. 

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Watkins, with her ability to rim run with or without the ball, was a huge part of that. Her absence isn’t going to stop the Gamecocks from running, especially at home. Even without Watkins, the Gamecocks had 15 fast break points on Sunday. 

That quick-strike ability has Texas A&M coach Jni Taylor worried.

“We have a saying around here that says, ‘before you know it,’” Taylor said. “If you keep doing the right thing, keep putting your head down, keep grinding, you look up and before you know it, you’ll be where you’re supposed to be. Likewise, if you don’t come out ready, if you are pouting, if you are feeling sorry for yourself, before you know it, you won’t be where you’re supposed to be. That’s one of those things at South Carolina. They’re a really good team. They play really well at home. We will be, flashback of last year here, we’ll be down 15 to zero before we can bat an eye if we don’t come out ready to go.”

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3. (Dress rehearsal)

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Nobody is going to say it out loud, but Thursday’s game is an important tune-up for the Sunday showdown against no. 5 Texas. 

Is Tac ready to battle Kyla Oldacre? Can Dauda’s shooting pull Oldacre away from the paint? Is there enough rim protection to keep Rori Harmon from getting easy layups, or do they need to get creative? Who should guard Madison Booker?

It’s a familiar refrain in these parts. Get the game in hand early so you have the fourth quarter to look at some different lineups.

“We let our players play through some stuff, and then you’ve got to look at the scoreboard,” Staley said. “If we’re holding serve on the scoreboard, and we’re up, more lenient to leave them out there to give them some minutes. But, if the scoreboard moves in an unfavorable way, then you got to get combinations out there that’s going to move it the opposite way.”

Texas hosts no. 18 Alabama on Thursday night, so the Longhorns can’t afford to look ahead. But we can.

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[USC-Texas WBB: Win tickets, parking]

4. Availability report

Maddy McDaniel and Sakima Walker were both listed as OUT on the Wednesday evening Availability Report.

McDaniel has not played since the holiday break after suffering a concussion. Walker has not played since the Iowa State game and hasn’t been available since the TCU game with an ankle injury. Both have started participating in practice this week but obviously are not yet full-speed.

Vanessa Saidu is listed as OUT for Texas A&M. She has yet to play this season. Amirah Abdur-Rahim is listed as questionable.

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Side note: Because Watkins has been declared out for the season, she is not included on the availability report.

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5. Scouting the Aggies

The Aggies are one of the three SEC teams that haven’t reached 10 wins yet. There are a lot of good players on the roster – anyone in the country would take Lauren Ware, Sahara Jones, and Janae Kent – plus a great scorer in Aicha Coulibaly, but the sum of the parts hasn’t been quite where it needs to be.

However, Texas A&M is coming off an upset of then-25th-ranked Ole Miss on Sunday. The win was a 60-58 rock fight in which Ole Miss shot 0-12 in the fourth quarter, but that fits Joni Taylor’s defensive mindset. 

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‘I think that we’ve been able to show really good spurts defensively of how we can impact the game,” Taylor said. “To hold Ole Miss or any team, for that matter, without a field goal in the fourth quarter is really impressive, and I think it just shows, again, what we are capable of.”

Coulibaly has been a thorn in the Gamecocks’ side before. She scored 32 points and grabbed six rebounds against the Gamecocks in the SEC tournament quarterfinals last season. Coulibaly had no problem getting to the basket and drawing fouls, going 13-15 from the line. And that was with Watkins and Kamilla Cardoso guarding the rim.

“Coulibaly is the one that we haven’t solved playing against her,” Staley said. “I do think they’re better. They’re playing more cohesive. They’ve got some bigs that do what bigs do. They have guards that are a year older, some transfers that have played in our league, so … formidable. And then, they’re coming off a big win against Ole Miss.”

Texas A&M freshman Taliyah Parker was a high school teammate of Tac’s at South Grand Prairie. Parker has appeared in all 14 games this season and averages 5.3 points and 2.4 rebounds.

The Ws
Who: #1 South Carolina (14-1, 2-0) vs Texas A&M (8-6, 1-1)
When: 5:00 EST, Thursday, January 9 
Where: Colonial Life Arena, Columbia, SC 
Watch: ESPN2

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Hoops: Sooners collapse against Texas A&M despite Goodine's 34

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Hoops: Sooners collapse against Texas A&M despite Goodine's 34


NORMAN — Porter Moser didn’t have to look at a box score. He knew why his team fell to Texas A&M, 80-78, on Wednesday.

Turnovers.

It was the primary reason why the Sooners let an 18-point second-half lead slip away.

The Sooners committed 18 turnovers in the game, including 10 in the second half. Those turned into 30 points for Texas A&M — 24 in the second half — and that proved to be a big reason why the Aggies were able to rally.

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“That was the storyline,” Moser said. “They had 30 points off turnovers.

“And (Texas A&M) did a great job. They turned all the turnovers into points. That’s the storyline, the 18 turnovers. We had 21 assists. When we did get the ball moving and popping, I thought we did some great things. But when we went too deep, they’re elite at just digging and breaking, getting their hands on it.”

Turnovers haven’t really been an issue for the Sooners this season. They came into the contest averaging under 12 per game while posting a positive turnover margin.

But the Aggies came into the game forcing over 14 turnovers per game, and it cost the Sooners. Seven different OU players committed at least one turnover. Jeremiah Fears was the primary culprit with four, while Kobe Elvis, Jalon Moore and Duke Miles all committed three.

The Sooners were able to play mostly clean basketball in the first half. They led 39-30 at halftime, and while they committed eight turnovers, that only turned into six points off turnovers for the Aggies.

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However, the Sooners finished with a few too many, and it cost them at the Lloyd Noble Center. They fall to 13-2 on the season and 0-2 in SEC play.

“They had great physicality, great big plays, relentlessness by them,” Moser said. “I thought we did, too. I thought we made a lot of relentless plays.

“Just a disappointing loss to come up short. The storyline is the turnovers. You’re right, that hasn’t been an issue all year. It came out tonight against an elite, physical defensive team.”

— It appeared the story would be about Goodine’s career day. The sixth-year veteran finished the game with 34 points off the bench and made 9-of-12 attempts from downtown. He went into halftime with 21 points and six 3-pointers, contributing more than half of OU’s scoring output.

He surpassed his previous career-high for 3-pointers while also tying Hollis Price and Mookie Blaylock for most triples in a game in OU program history.

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It was a huge performance for Goodine, who had scored just 17 points over the last four games on 2-of-12 shooting from deep. And while it looked like Goodine would be the hero in a much-needed win, his performance only added to the sting.

“It’s tough to have a performance like that and lose. That’s the honest answer,” Moser said. “I thought he was unbelievable.”

— The biggest gut punch came with 29 seconds left in the game.

With the Sooners leading by one, Fears grabbed a huge rebound and was fouled, sending him to the free throw lline for a one-and-one. He missed the front end, keeping the lead at one.

15 seconds later, Zhuric Phelps hit the game-winning 3-pointer and his sixth of the night.

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Fears finished with 13 points (4-of-8 shooting), four rebounds and four assists.

— While Goodine was hot early, the Aggies were not. They shot just 34% in the first half and 1-of-7 from deep.

That completely flipped in the second half. The Aggies shot 53% from the field and made 8-of-16 from downtown. 14 of their 17 second-half baskets came on either layups or dunks as they constantly feasted on OU’s turnovers.

— The Aggies, which came into the game leading the country in offensive rebounds, finished with 17. They scored 10 second-chance points.

— Up next: The Sooners travel to Georgia for a 5 p.m. tipoff on Saturday.

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