Oklahoma
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma score prediction by expert college football model
A new-look SEC football matchup kicks off this weekend as No. 18 Ole Miss looks to rebound against struggling Oklahoma in college football’s Week 9 action on Saturday. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert model that projects scores and picks winners.
Ole Miss slid to 1-2 in SEC play this season with losses to Kentucky and LSU, but still commands the No. 8 scoring offense and 3rd ranked passing attack in college football with its College Football Playoff hopes in serious limbo heading into November.
Oklahoma is playing some of the country’s worst offense and undergoing a second quarterback change, but its solid defense is a bright spot for the team otherwise.
What do the analytical models suggest for when the Rebels and Sooners meet in this SEC clash?
For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Oklahoma and Ole Miss compare in this Week 9 college football game.
As expected, the models are siding strongly with the Rebels over the Sooners in this matchup.
SP+ predicts that Ole Miss will defeat Oklahoma by a projected score of 34 to 14 and to win the game by an expected margin of 19.6 points in the process.
The model gives the Rebels a strong 89 percent chance of outright victory in the game.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 211-194-4 against the spread with a 52.1 win percentage after going 31-27-1 (53.4%) last weekend.
Ole Miss is a 20.5 point favorite against Oklahoma, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel lists the total at 49.5 points for the game (Over -105, Under -115).
And it set the moneyline odds for Ole Miss at -1600 and for Oklahoma at +860 to win outright.
If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …
Most bettors take a different view of the Rebels against the Sooners, according to the latest spread consensus picks for the game.
Ole Miss is getting 58 percent of bets to win the game and cover the generous spread in the process.
The other 42 percent of wagers project Oklahoma will either win in an upset, or keep the game under 3 touchdowns in a loss.
Ole Miss has been 28.3 points better than opponents when playing at home on average so far this season.
But over the last three games, the Rebels have been 6 points better on average, as that number took a hit following two close losses.
Oklahoma is 17 points worse than its opponents over the last three games on average.
But the Sooners are 12.5 points worse than the opposition when playing on the road.
Most other analytical models are siding with the Rebels over the Sooners in this matchup.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.
Ole Miss is projected to win the game outright in the majority 87.8 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the matchup.
That leaves Oklahoma as the expected winner in the remaining 12.2 percent of sims.
Ole Miss is projected to be 17.8 points better than Oklahoma on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.
Ole Miss is seventh among SEC teams with a 21.6 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.
That model gives the Rebels a win total prediction of 8.9 games this season.
Oklahoma will make a bowl game with 61.7 percent likelihood, according to the index’s calculations.
And the computers give the Sooners a win total projection of 5.9 games in 2024.
When: Sat., Oct. 26
Time: 11 a.m. Central
TV: ESPN network
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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YUKON, Okla. (KOKH) — Oklahoma City Police are investigating after a man was shot near Yukon Monday night.
The shooting happened near Northwest 10th Street and South Yukon Parkway near the border of Yukon and Oklahoma City.
Police are on the scene, and officials said the victim was transported to the hospital in critical condition with a gunshot wound to the hip.
OKCPD said they have at least one person in custody.
This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.
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Oklahoma
Oklahoma lawmakers consider bill to require annual fee for transmission lines on private property
As consumer electricity needs grow, lawmakers are discussing strategies to ease the burden on landowners who don’t want the towers and wires carrying that energy on their property.
As it’s written now, the bill would require transmission owners to pay landowners $2 per foot of line annually. During the committee meeting, Murdock said he introduced the legislation to “start a conversation.”
“ This is an idea of, maybe moving forward, if the landowners are getting a royalty off of the power being pushed across their property, it may make it a little more palatable for someone to have a transmission line go across their property,” he said.
Landowners can enter into easement agreements with companies to set aside portions of their land for the builds. But in some cases, eminent domain is used to obtain a right-of-way.
“ I’m not saying that this is going to do away with eminent domain,” Murdock said. “What I’m hoping is this just makes it a little more palatable.”
Murdock said he spoke with utility companies about the legislation, though he didn’t name them. The bill’s language could change after creating an alternative rate based on conversations with the companies, he said.
Sen. Dave Rader, R-Tulsa, said the bill could raise utility rates for consumers living in Oklahoma’s most populous counties if companies charge more to make up for the annual fee.
Murdock pushed back, noting the lines are necessary to deliver electricity to other counties.
“You understand that you flip that light on because — and have that ability to have electricity because — the people in my district have a transmission line that goes across them, getting you that power,” he said.
StateImpact Oklahoma is a partnership of Oklahoma’s public radio stations which relies on contributions from readers and listeners to fulfill its mission of public service to Oklahoma and beyond. Donate online.
Steve McGehee reports live from Paycom Center with the latest on SGA’s return after missing nine games, the Thunder’s push to hold the top spot in the Western Conference, and what getting healthy means for OKC’s title hopes.
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