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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump Leads Harris In North Carolina And Arizona, Tie In Georgia (Updated)

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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump Leads Harris In North Carolina And Arizona, Tie In Georgia (Updated)


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The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is virtually tied, with new polls out Thursday that show the contest in Georgia is a even, while Trump’s leads in North Carolina and Arizona are within the margin of error.

Key Facts

Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied at 49% in a Marist poll released Thursday, and Trump leads 49.9%-48.4% in a Bloomberg poll out Wednesday and 47%-43% in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters out Tuesday, while a Washington Post-Schar poll released Monday found Harris ahead 51%-47%. Trump leads by 1.6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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North Carolina: Trump is up 50%-48% in the Marist poll—within the 3.6-point margin of error—and he’s up by 49.6%-48.5% in Bloomberg’s polling and 50%-47% in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while Harris had a two-point lead in an Oct. 16 Quinnipiac poll. FiveThirtyEight’s average shows Trump with a 0.9-point advantage.

Arizona: Trump leads 50%-49% in the Marist poll (margin of error 3.7), and Trump is ahead by three points—49%-46%—in the Washington Post-Schar School poll, but Bloomberg reports an effectively tied 49.1%-48.8% Harris lead. Trump is up 1.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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Michigan: Harris’ 49.6%-46.5% edge marks the largest lead of any state polled by Bloomberg, but it’s still within the four-point margin of error—and it’s similar to Harris’ 49%-46% lead in Quinnipiac’s polling after trailing Trump 50%-47% earlier this month. Harris is up by just 0.7 points in Michigan in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Pennsylvania: Harris leads 50%-48.2% according to Bloomberg, and she had a 49%-47% advantage in the Washington Post-Schar poll. Still, Trump leads Harris by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Nevada: Harris is up 48.8%-48.3% according to Bloomberg, but Trump is ahead 47%-46% in an AARP poll released Tuesday, and they’re tied at 48% in the Washington Post-Schar poll, while a Wall Street Journal poll released Oct. 11 found Trump up by 5 points. Harris leads by 0.2 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

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Wisconsin: The state is almost as close as it can get, as Trump is up 48.3%-48% in Bloomberg’s poll and the two candidates are tied at 48% according to Quinnipiac, while Harris holds a 50%-47% edge in the Washington Post-Schar poll. Harris is up 0.4 points in FiveThirtyEight’s average.

Big Number

0.2. That’s how many points Harris leads Trump by in RealClearPolitics’ national polling average, while FiveThirtyEight’s average shows her up by 1.8 points.

Key Background

Harris became the Democratic nominee after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race on July 21, amid an intraparty revolt in the wake of his debate performance—shifting Democrats’ fortunes dramatically. Prior to the shift, polls consistently found Trump would beat Biden in most battleground states, despite Biden winning six of the seven (with the exception of North Carolina) in the 2020 election.

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Further Reading

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris Holds Onto Lead In 4 New Polls (Forbes)

Michigan 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads Narrowly In One Of Her Most Important State (Forbes)

Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has Less Than 1-Point Lead In Polling Averages (Forbes)

North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Near Tie In The New 7th Swing State (Forbes)

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Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Most Surveys Show Trump Ahead In Crucial Swing State (Forbes)

Nevada 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Has A Narrow Lead—But Struggles With Latino Voters (Forbes)

Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump With Slight Edge (Forbes)

Arizona 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Trump Holds Advantage In Latest Swing State Poll (Forbes)



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Carrie Everett, crowned Miss North Carolina in 2024, dies of stomach cancer, family says

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Carrie Everett, crowned Miss North Carolina in 2024, dies of stomach cancer, family says


Carrie Everett, who was crowned Miss North Carolina in 2024, has died of stomach cancer, family members tell WRAL News.

Everett’s parents told WRAL News their daughter died late Sunday night, asking for privacy. They shared the following statement:

“Carrie Everett transitioned on Easter Sunday with her family and friends surrounding her with love. The family is spending time together as they celebrate her memory. They ask that you continue to pray for them [and] celebrate her memory.”

Everett attended North Carolina Central University, where she majored in vocal performance. She was diagnosed with stomach cancer in July 2025, when she was 21, after scans found masses in her abdomen.

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In March, family members posted on a GoFundMe page that Everett’s chemotherapy treatments weren’t working and shared plans to move her out of state for treatment. 

Everett spoke to WRAL News last year after the diagnosis, sharing her plans to go back to college and her dreams of becoming a gospel singer.

A year earlier, after claiming her Miss North Carolina title, she told WRAL News her parents immigrated to the United States from West Africa. Growing up, she said her family struggled with finances, and the journey to the crown was a challenging one, and many of the gowns she wore during the pageant were borrowed or from thrift stores. 

Everett was the fourth Black woman to win the title since the pageant began in 1937. She dreamed of working in girl’s education and creating accessibility for future generations.

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UNC basketball coach candidates: 10 names to consider as search hits roadblocks

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UNC basketball coach candidates: 10 names to consider as search hits roadblocks


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Tommy Lloyd signed a new deal.

So did Nate Oats.

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Dusty May is a “no” as well.

So where does North Carolina turn now for its open men’s basketball coach position? Here are 10 names to consider:

Billy Donovan, Chicago Bulls

Donovan is the big fish still swimming in the pond. Can UNC hook him? Donovan has been linked since the Tar Heels fired Hubert Davis on March 24. The Bulls’ season ends April 12, and they won’t be in the playoffs. Is UNC willing to wait and miss out on the first week of the transfer portal? For the right fit, why not? Plus, the Bulls are reportedly set for a front office shakeup, so it may be time to jump ship.

After 11 years away from college basketball, is Donovan ready for a return to campus? College ball is basically pro ball, anyway now. He’d be the candidate most UNC fans are pinning their hopes on after other high-profile rejections.

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Mark Byington, Vanderbilt

Byington, 49, played at UNC Wilmington and was an assistant at Virginia and Virginia Tech, so he’s got some familiarity with the state and ACC. He may not have the name recognition as some of the other coaches linked to the job, but he’s averaged 25 wins across his past four seasons as a head coach, including 27 victories this season in his second year at Vanderbilt

He’s never made a Sweet 16, but he’s never been at a program like North Carolina, either.

Todd Golden and Nate Oats had never been to a Sweet 16 before coaching at Florida and Alabama, respectively. Now, they’re two of the best coaches in the sport.

Sean Miller, Texas

Miller is a winner. He’s coached in 14 NCAA tournaments, reached the Sweet 16 nine times and the Elite Eight four times.

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Miller spent five seasons on Herb Sendek’s NC State staff, so knows the state. His firing at Arizona will raise some red flags with his involvement in 2017 Adidas FBI probe, but if Rick Pitino, Will Wade and Bill Self (among others involved) can still coach at the top level, why shouldn’t Miller?

He just finished his first season at Texas, going 21-15, taking the Longhorns from the First Four to the Sweet 16, and a last-second tip-in away from the Elite Eight.

Ben McCollum, Iowa

McCollum is a proven winner at multiple levels and a program builder. The 44-year-old coach won four Division II national championships before jumping to the Division I level. He’s won more than 80% of his games, leading Drake to 31 wins before making the move to Iowa and taking the Hawkeyes to the NCAA Tournament this season. Imagine what he could do with a blue-blood program?

Scott Drew, Baylor

Two years ago, Drew claimed a spot near the top of Kentucky’s wish list. He turned down the Wildcats, a humbling blow to UK. Two years later, you must wonder whether Drew would benefit from a restart. His Baylor team went 16-16 and got trampled within the Big 12. Drew last reached a Sweet 16 in 2021, when he produced a national title.

Take the macro view, and Drew’s Baylor accomplishments are phenomenal. He rescued from the trash bin a program that had been rocked by a deadly scandal. He took the Bears up, up, up, until they reached the top of the sport.

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Zoom in, and you realize Drew’s best days at Baylor are behind him. He’s still widely respected, and if Drew, 55, is ever going to leave Baylor, right now is likely his last best chance.

Josh Schertz, Saint Louis

Schertz was in the mix for the NC State job before saying he was staying with SLU. Would UNC make him reconsider?

Like McCollum, Schertz cut his teeth coaching in Division II, reaching four Final Fours at Lincoln Memorial. His 2024 Indiana State team was electric — and an NCAA Tournament snub before reaching the NIT final. He’s rebuilt Saint Louis in just two seasons and plays a brand of basketball that’s easy on the eye.

Grant McCasland, Texas Tech

All but one of his 12 seasons as a head coach have been in Texas. It’ll likely be hard to pry him East, especially with the deep pockets in Lubbock.

But he’d be an interesting option. Another former Division II and JUCO head coach, McCasland’s teams win. He won the NIT at North Texas in 2023 and led Texas Tech to the Elite Eight in 2025. Had JT Toppin not gotten hurt this year, who knows how far the Red Raiders could have advanced.

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Jerry Stackhouse, Golden State assistant

Stackhouse is a candidate if the Tar Heels stay in the family, His Vanderbilt tenure was up and down, and before the Commodores really dipped into the NIL space. He had two winning seasons in his five years in Nashville, but that 28-60 SEC record will be hard for UNC fans to swallow.

Mike Malone, former NBA coach

An underrated possibility, the 54-year-old Malone is a championship-caliber coach and has a daughter who plays volleyball at UNC. He’s been around the Tar Heels’ basketball program at times and has history as a college and NBA coach. Malone led the Denver Nuggets to an NBA title in 2023.

T.J. Otzelberger, Iowa State

If UNC wants to build its identity around defense, Otzelberger is the guy to do it. The 48-year-old coach has produced top-10 defensive units in four of his five seasons at Iowa State. The Cyclones are elite at creating turnovers. The Heels would have a clear identity and structured program under Otzelberger. Considering what he’s built in Ames, this could be UNC’s safest, most reliable option.

USA TODAY Sports reporters Blake Toppmeyer and John Brice contributed to this report.



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Pair charged at NC coast after little girl’s face held under water beneath Sunset Beach pier, police say

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Pair charged at NC coast after little girl’s face held under water beneath Sunset Beach pier, police say


RALEIGH, N.C. (WNCN) — A woman and a man are facing child abuse charges after a Friday afternoon report that a little girl was held upside down with her face under the surf beneath a Sunset Beach pier along the North Carolina coast, police said.

The incident was reported just after 6:30 p.m. Friday along the beach under the Sunset Beach Pier, according to a Saturday evening news release from the Sunset Beach Police Department.

Police on the Brunswick County island, located at the South Carolina line, said there were “social media posts and videos” of the incident.

“The safety and well-being of every child in our community remains our highest priority,” police said.

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Police said they were asking for witnesses in the case or anyone who has additional information.

“The charges stem from a 911 call reporting that a male was intentionally holding a child upside down by her legs, with her face submerged in the water against her will while she was screaming and crying,” the news release said.

Sunset Beach and the fishing pier. Photo courtesy: Sunset Beach Police Department

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Christopher Maurice Lee, 38, of Arcadia at Grande Dunes near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, and Lesley Suzanne McClam, 26, of nearby Calabash, each charged with a count of misdemeanor child abuse, according to arrest warrants and the news release.

Police and a warrant said Lee was the “primary suspect” and that he is dating the girl’s mother.

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The arrest warrant for Lee said he was “repeatedly placing (the) child’s head under water/attempting to while (the) child screamed and stated ‘stop.’ Did so again once child was out of water.”

Police said the charge is “the most serious level of misdemeanor offenses.”

Lee was released on a $1,000 secured bond.

The North Carolina Department of Social Services has been notified and is conducting an investigation in coordination with the Sunset Beach Police Department, officers said.

Police added that anyone with information should contact Sunset Beach Police Detective Sergeant Miloszar at (910) 880-8512.

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