Georgia

NotedDC — Georgia record early voting: Who stands to benefit?

Published

2 years ago

November 1, 2022

NotedDC — Georgia record early voting: Who stands to benefit?

With one of many tightest Senate races within the nation and a high-profile gubernatorial rematch, Georgia’s midterm early vote is rivaling turnout on the similar level in 2020, a presidential election yr.

As of Monday, the Georgia secretary of State’s workplace reported in-person turnout of greater than 1.5 million in comparison with 1.8 million on the identical day in 2020. Over the past midterm in 2018, simply over 1 million had voted at this level.

Counting absentee ballots, turnout to this point this yr totals 1.66 million.

It’s clear Georgia voters are energized for the midterms, however which get together stands to learn is up for debate.

John Couvillon, founding father of JMC Analytics and Polling, advised NotedDC the excessive turnout numbers coupled with what he sees as easing enthusiasm amongst early Black voters “is prima facie proof” that Republicans are “stirred up and able to vote.”

“Inflation particularly and extra typically … only a insecurity within the get together in energy” are driving turnout, he mentioned.

Couvillon mentioned Black early voter turnout dropped from round 39 p.c of the entire on the primary day of early voting to a cumulative 30 p.c extra lately. He mentioned Democrats “completely want a powerful Black early vote in the event that they wish to be aggressive,” noting that about 30 p.c of Georgia’s citizens is Black.

Georgia’s Senate race options two Black major-party candidates for the primary time. Incumbent Raphael Warnock (D) faces former soccer star Herschel Walker (R) in a race the Cook dinner Political Report calls a “toss-up.” Libertarian Chase Oliver can be on the poll.

Early voting in Georgia started Oct. 17 and ends Friday. Whereas the Peach State doesn’t report voters’ partisan affiliations, Couvillon famous that a couple of states over in Louisiana, extra Republicans than Democrats have voted early for the primary time.

Georgia Public Broadcasting’s Stephen Fowler wrote on Saturday, “Thus far, early voting in Georgia has been marked by a better share of older voters and Black voters than related occasions in earlier elections.”

Black early voter turnout completed at 28 p.c of the entire within the 2020 basic election, the U.S. Elections Undertaking reported. Black early voter turnout for the Jan. 5, 2021 Senate runoff election was 31 p.c.

Charles Bullock, political science professor on the College of Georgia’s College of Public & Worldwide Affairs, advised NotedDC, “Democrats must make up some floor in the event that they’re going to have the ability to win.”

Bullock talked about Black voter turnout along with older voter turnout: “[A]lmost three-fourths of the voters are over 50 years of age. In Georgia, the older you’re, the extra probably you’re going to vote for Republicans.”

“It’s fairly affordable to give you turnout eventualities the place both candidate is barely forward,” Monmouth College Polling Institute director Patrick Murray mentioned following a ballot carried out Oct. 20-24. “The unknown query is to what extent Republican enthusiasm on Election Day is ready to overcome the Democratic benefit in early voting.”

The ballot, which included 615 registered voters, mentioned those that’d already voted on the time backed Warnock over Walker 61 p.c to 34 p.c. The ballot abstract mentioned, “Amongst different voters who intend to vote throughout Georgia’s early voting interval, extra are aligned with Warnock (37% particular and 15% possible) than Walker (28% particular and 14% possible). The Republican, nonetheless, has a big benefit amongst those that plan to vote on Election Day – 39% particular and 15% possible for Walker in contrast with simply 24% particular and 10% possible for Warnock.”

The ballot’s margin of error was +/- 5 share factors.

Together with the Senate race, the rematch between incumbent GOP Gov. Brian Kemp and Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams has garnered widespread consideration. Cook dinner charges the gubernatorial race Lean Republican, whereas Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the race from Lean to Possible Republican.

If no candidate will get a majority of the vote on Nov. 8 in both Georgia race, it’ll go to a December runoff. A number of Senate polls have proven each candidates below 50 p.c, however one or each inside the margin of error of that threshold. Gubernatorial polls have proven Kemp proper across the threshold.

That is NotedDC, trying on the politics, coverage and other people behind the tales in Washington. We’re Amee LaTour and Elizabeth Crisp.

📨 Have a tip or some suggestions you wish to ship us?Electronic mail ecrisp@thehill.com and alatour@thehill.com.

🎤 Dems flip to not-so-secret weapon in remaining stretch

Former President Obama, thought of one of many Democrats’ greatest marketing campaign surrogates, is rounding out the midterm cycle with an aggressive push in key battleground races.

Obama is in Nevada on Tuesday and plans to go to Arizona and Pennsylvania — together with rallies in each Pittsburgh and Philadelphia — to spherical out the week. This comes after stops in Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin in current days.

The Obama crew notes that each one this groundwork is “along with the greater than 25 adverts and robocalls he’s taped for candidates throughout the nation, rolling out from campaigns virtually day by day.”

However as The Hill lately reported, some Democrats have grumbled that the previous president’s presence could also be too little, too late.

“He shouldn’t simply be the nearer. He’s nonetheless seen because the get together’s rock star,” one Democratic strategist advised The Hill.

President Biden has been popping up in key battleground states within the remaining stretch, however his underwhelming approval scores have saved him at bay in a few of the tighter contests.

💲 Twitter plans threaten to make authorities pay

Elon Musk‘s Twitter takeover has precipitated a number of fretting, with some celebrities leaving the platform, quite a few staffers getting fired and issues rising about how the corporate below new management will deal with misinformation and poisonous content material.

However one other giant query mark looms over the brand new proprietor’s proposed system to cost for blue verification badges: How a lot will it price authorities businesses?

“I don’t suppose anybody has any concept what it means for presidency,” Annelise Russell, a public coverage professor on the College of Kentucky who has studied using social media in politics, advised NotedDC. “You may’t perceive Congress at present with out understanding it by means of a digital lens — Twitter is a big a part of that.”

Twitter itself tracks practically 800 verified accounts tied to members of the Home, and most senators have no less than two verified accounts: one private and one official.
The Congressional Analysis Service discovered a decade in the past 54 accounts have been linked to Home and Senate committees — a quantity that has definitely grown since then.
There are greater than 50 employees governmental accounts linked to the White Home.
And in every federal company, from the Division of Protection to the Nationwide Parks Service, there are a number of accounts — from basic curiosity to these utilized by prime officers.

“Twitter’s present lords & peasants system for who has or doesn’t have a blue checkmark is bullshit,” Musk tweeted Tuesday, participating in a back-and-forth with a number of customers on his plans for the way forward for Twitter.

Particulars on the pay construction stay murky, and it’s potential the corporate may embody sure exceptions, equivalent to for presidency accounts. As of Tuesday afternoon, Musk was nonetheless spitballing the proposal, with the newest iteration coming in at $8 a month. Previous solutions have ranged from $5 to $20 a month.

At $20 a month, accounts tied to Home members alone would rack up no less than $190,000 a yr. On the decrease $8 tier, the entire can be round $76,000. The worth tag would balloon when factoring in all authorities places of work presently verified.

Russell acknowledged that lawmakers are unlikely to desert the platform en masse, although the adjustments may increase different issues, together with about whether or not places of work are snug immediately sending cash to one among Musk’s firms.

A Twitter spokesperson didn’t instantly reply to NotedDC’s request for remark.

⚾️ Teams spend large on adverts throughout World Sequence

Republicans and Democrats are betting large on adverts in the course of the World Sequence, spending hundreds of {dollars} to achieve voters as the competition between the Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros stretches towards the weekend.

It’s all concerning the essential Pennsylvania race that would decide who controls the Senate subsequent yr, with Democratic Lt. Gov. John Fetterman and GOP movie star physician Mehmet Oz in a heated, neck-and-neck race heading into the ultimate stretch.

The Philadelphia Inquirer reported Democrats took out a one-time spot in Philadelphia for the opening recreation that price about $100,000 — in comparison with $700 the group spent for a weekday hit in the course of the night newscast on the identical channel.
In the meantime, Axios reported the Mitch McConnell-aligned Senate Management Fund purchased a seven-game bundle for about $700,000.

Pouring a lot cash into a giant recreation is usually a gamble, however strategists say it may be a wise transfer when it’s the best groups. On this case, the Phillies draw Pennsylvania eyeballs when each vote is required.

“Whereas the World Sequence is nowhere close to the scores powerhouse it was, it does carry out extremely effectively within the markets for the groups concerned, and for week-night programing it’s like including a handful of NFL viewing-audience-size dwell sports activities occasions the ultimate week earlier than the election,” GOP media advisor Nick Everhart advised NotedDC.

“This yr with the sport involving the Phillies it supplies a tailored alternative for marketing campaign, direct and out of doors teams concerned within the U.S. Senate race to achieve less-frequent TV viewers in the important thing Philadelphia TV DMA, which covers a cluster of essential collar counties like Delaware, Chester, Bucks, Montgomery…and the Lehigh Valley… the place the race will probably be gained or misplaced by Oz or Fetterman,” he added.

KORNACKI TALKS PENNSYLVANIA SENATE STAKES

Our colleague Dominick Mastrangelo interviewed NBC and MSNBC nationwide political correspondent Steve Kornacki concerning the Pennsylvania Senate election stakes and Kornacki’s new podcast, “The Revolution with Steve Kornacki,” delving into former Home Speaker Newt Gingrich’s (R-Ga.) position within the 1994 midterms.

Some excerpts:

About voters’ response to John Fetterman’s debate efficiency: “If the Democrats lose any of the seats they presently maintain, and so they’re at risk in a few them, they’ve acquired to have the ability to steadiness it. … The most important query right here is in these remaining two weeks with that debate now having occurred, very distinctive set of circumstances, how does the general public in Pennsylvania reply to it?”
Concerning the matter of his podcast: “There’s all kinds of debate and every kind of dialogue available concerning the long-term that means, significance, implications of the Republican revolution of 1994, however to me there’s simply no query that it modified our politics.”

Learn the complete interview right here.

– – — BRIEFLY 🤼‍♂️ 🙅🏻‍♀️ 🏛 — – –

Former President Trump thinks Republicans will take management of the Home and probably the Senate in subsequent week’s midterm elections.

Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) says it’s “disgraceful” for some Republicans to mock Paul Pelosi, the husband of Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), after he was violently attacked on the couple’s San Francisco dwelling.

The Supreme Courtroom has briefly halted a Home panel from accessing Trump’s tax returns forward of their anticipated launch.

🏫 President-elect

The College of Florida Board of Trustees has unanimously backed Sen. Ben Sasse‘s (R-Neb.) nomination to be the following president of the college system.

Sasse’s nomination will go earlier than the Florida Board of Governors, which oversees the college system, on Nov. 10, The Hill’s Al Weaver stories.
The nomination has drawn protests from college students since Sasse introduced early final month that he would resign from his Senate seat by the tip of the yr to pursue the educational place.

The transfer units up Nebraska Gov. Pete Ricketts (R) to pick out his fast successor.

NUMBER TO KNOW

8 billion

International inhabitants is anticipated to hit the milestone this month, in accordance to United Nations estimates.

🎃 Yet one more factor

President Biden and first girl Jill Biden welcomed lots of of kids of first responders to the White Home on Halloween. The Bidens handed out small containers of Hersey’s Kisses and took images with costumed children. The primary girl dressed as a butterfly with a lavender-colored wig.

Stick with TheHill.com for the newest and advocate NotedDC to others: thehill.com/famous. See you tomorrow!

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Georgia

Way-Too-Early College Football Week Seven Preview: Georgia Tech vs North Carolina

Published

6 hours ago

June 23, 2024

Press Room

Way-Too-Early College Football Week Seven Preview: Georgia Tech vs North Carolina

After starting the month of October with a home game vs Duke, Georgia Tech heads back on the road for another ACC clash with North Carolina. The Yellow Jackets and the Tar Heels are plenty familiar with each other, but there is a new twist on this year’s matchup. Former Georgia Tech head coach Geoff Collins is now the defensive coordinator for Mack Brown’s team and he is hoping to turn around what has been one of the ACC’s worst defenses over the past few seasons. North Carolina is also losing quarterback Drake Maye, who was the No. 3 pick in this year’s NFL Draft.

Even during the down years under Collins, Georgia Tech has had no problem beating North Carolina. The Yellow Jackets have won three straight vs UNC, five of the last six, and they have only lost four times to the Tar Heels since 2009. After not being able to take advantage of having a top-three pick at quarterback, North Carolina seems to have lost a little bit of momentum as a program, but they still have talent and can make noise in the ACC this year.

So how do these two teams matchup? Let’s take a really early look at how these two teams matchup.

Georgia Tech Offense vs North Carolina Defense

Georgia Tech is going to return the majority of what was one of the ACC’s best offenses last season and they had perhaps their best game of the year when they faced North Carolina in Atlanta. The Yellow Jackets offense racked up over 600 yards of total offense, including 348 on the ground. The offense was starting to really hit its stride towards the end of the season, but this might have been the peak for them last year.

Yellow Jackets quarterback Haynes King was one of only two players in the nation with at least 2,700 passing yards, 600 rushing yards, 25 touchdown passes, and five touchdown runs this season (joining LSU’s Jayden Daniels), and one of only six ACC players to achieve those numbers in a regular season since 2000. He led the ACC in touchdown passes and was fourth in passing yards. He is back for another season on The Flats and might be the best quarterback in the conference this year. One reason to buy into the Yellow Jackets is that they might have the best quarterback on the field against many of their opponents. As good as King was though, he had a problem with turnovers and that won’t cut it against some of the teams on Georgia Tech’s schedule, including Duke.

Jamal Haynes was such a great story last season. He made the change from wide receiver to running back during fall camp and that move paid dividends. Haynes earned all-ACC honors as a running back (third team) and was an honorable mention all-purpose performer. He led Georgia Tech with 1,059 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns, and six yards per carry ranked second on the team. Those numbers ranked fifth in the ACC in rushing yards and he was tied for sixth in the conference with seven rushing touchdowns and his 6.0 yards per carry ranked third in the league. Haynes had a strong bowl performance against UCF rushing for a game-high 128 yards on 18 carries. He also had a good outing against the Georgia Bulldogs rushing for 81 yards. Haynes was the second highest-rated player on the Yellow Jackets per Pro Football Focus with a 76.9 score and looks primed for another big season in 2024. I think he is in for a huge season and is not getting the recognition he has earned.

This is going to be one of the deepest wide receiver rooms in the ACC and there are some newcomers who could bolster the group.

Eric Singleton Jr was the highest-rated player in the Yellow Jackets 2023 recruiting class according to 247Sports and he looked like he might be a potential superstar last season.

Singleton Jr. ranked fourth among all freshmen nationally (true or redshirt) in 2023 with 59.5 receiving yards per game and was tied for fourth among true freshmen nationally with six touchdown receptions. His 714 receiving yards and six touchdown catches both ranked among the top 10 overall in the Atlantic Coast Conference, while his six TD receptions were the second-most by a freshman in Georgia Tech history. Could he have an even better season in 2024? I think it is certainly possible and the chemistry between him and King was noticeable last year.

Singleton is not the only dangerous receiver for the Yellow Jackets.

Malik Rutherford was the second-leading receiver on Georgia Tech. He caught 46 passes for 502 yards and three touchdowns while averaging 10. 5 yards per catch. His biggest performance came in Georgia Tech’s big win over North Carolina. Rutherford caught six passes for 83 yards and two touchdowns. He was a reliable player and can stretch the field with his speed and is also a player who can get the ball in a variety of ways.

Christian Leary was the fourth-leading receiver for Georgia Tech this season, catching 25 passes for 309 yards and two touchdowns, while also returning kickoffs.

Chase Lane had a good start to the year, but injuries cost him some time. I think he could have a really good 2024 season if he stays healthy. Duquesne transfer Abdul Janneh had six catches for 122 yards and two touchdowns. He will once again provide depth for Georgia Tech next year.

Leo Blackburn is one of the most physically impressive players on the Georgia Tech roster at 6’5 220 LBS and if he is able to stay healthy this season, he could add a whole new element to the Yellow Jackets offense.

The offensive line is going to be one of the best in the ACC as well.

In just one season, head coach Brent Key and first-year offensive line coach Geep Wade turned Georgia Tech’s offensive line from its biggest weakness to perhaps the best unit on the entire team. Georgia Tech went from one of the worst rushing teams in the ACC to leading the league in rushing. It was a pretty stunning turnaround if you had watched the line in 2022 and the good news for the Yellow Jackets is that the offensive line returns four of the five starters and added an All-Conference transfer this offseason.

North Carolina had a dreadful defense last season and they are losing linebacker Cedric Gray to the NFL as well. They still have some experienced players though, but they’ll have to prove they’re an improved unit.

On the defensive line, Desmond Evans, Kevin Hester, and Jahvaree Ritzie are all back. Evans had 33 tackles and three sacks last season, while Hester and Ritzie combined for 55 tackles. The Tar Heels also added Ole Miss transfer Joshua Harris through the transfer portal

The strength of the Tar Heels defense might be in the linebacker group, even with the loss of Gray. Kaimon Rucker was one of the best pass rushers in the ACC, finishing the year with 8. 5 sacks. Power Echols was second on the team last season with 102 tackles and he is back to be one of the leaders on this side of the ball. Amare Campbell might be one of the favorites to be the other starter at linebacker.

In the secondary, Alijah Huzzie and Marcus Allen are the favorites to start at cornerback, with the duo combining for four interceptions last season. Antavious Lane and De’Andre Boykins could be impact players and NC State transfer Jakeen Harris could grab a starting spot as well. This defense has a lot of work to do if they want to be a better unit, but they actually might have more questions on the offensive side of the ball. Georgia Tech’s offense should hold the advantage in this matchup.

Georgia Tech’s Defense vs North Carolina’s Offense

UNC has been one of the best offensive teams in the country over the past few seasons, but for the first time under Mack Brown, they have some questions at quarterback. After having Sam Howell and Drake Maye, UNC might be turning to Texas A&M/LSU transfer Max Johnson to lead the offense. Johnson has been a steady quarterback over the past four seasons, but lost his job at various times throughout his career at Texas A&M. He has plenty of experience though and that is what Brown might lean on.

Former Tar Heels quarterback Jacoby Criswell transferred to Arkansas, but is now back to compete for the job or at least provide experience and depth. Conner Harrell is the other name to know in the quarterback room.

The good thing for whoever starts at quarterback is that they get to hand the ball to Omarion Hampton, who ran for 1,504 yards last season and is one of the top running backs in the country. Hampton is likely going to be leaned on for much of this season and he should be up to the task. The depth is the question. USC transfer Darwin Barlowe and Caleb Hood should be the top backups.

At wide receiver, UNC is losing Tez Walker, but everyone else is back. J.J Jones led the team with 711 yards last season, former Georgia Tech receiver Nate McCollum returns after having 469 yards last season, and other names to know are Kobe Paysour and Gavin Blackwell. Tight end Bryson Nesbit had 585 yards last season.

The offensive line was the point of emphasis for UNC in the transfer portal. They brought in four transfers, former Yellow Jacket Jakiah Leftwich, Zach Greenberg, North Texas transfer Howard Sampson, and Georgia transfer Austin Blaske are all in to compete and provide depth up front. Jonathan Adorno, Willie Lampkin, and Trevyon Green are other names to know along the North Carolina offensive line.

The offensive line is going to be one of the best in the ACC as well.

At linebacker, Kyle Efford is looking to lead a group that includes veteran starter Trenilyas Tatum, Georgia transfer E.J. Lightsey, Louisville transfer Jackson Hamilton, and freshman Tah’j Butler.

Georgia Tech is returning a strong duo at safety with LaMiles Brooks and Clayton Powell-Lee, while Ahmari Harvey could be ready for a breakout season in 2024. The biggest question in the secondary will be who starts at corner opposite of Harvey. Tennessee transfer Warren Burrell might be the favorite on the outside while Rhode Island transfer Syeed Gibbs and Rodney Shelley might be the guys at nickel.

Overview

I expect North Carolina to be a team that takes a step back this season. They had one of the best quarterbacks in the country for the past five seasons, but they no longer have that luxury. Hampton is a great player, but there are questions along the offensive line and there is no guarantee that the defense is going to be any better. Still, if they get better production from the quarterback than expected and the defense takes a leap, they could be a factor in the ACC race again. Those are big ifs though.

Georgia Tech is the better team in my opinion, but getting a road win against UNC and not looking ahead to next week’s game vs Notre Dame is going to be tough. Georgia Tech has had the Tar Heels number and they enter the 2024 season as the better team in my opinion.

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Georgia

Georgia employment sets more records despite rise in jobless rate

Published

12 hours ago

June 23, 2024

Press Room

Georgia employment sets more records despite rise in jobless rate

by Dave Williams | Capitol Beat News Service

ATLANTA – Georgia’s unemployment rate rose slightly last month but remained well above the national rate, the state Department of Labor reported Thursday.

The Peach State’s jobless rate of 3.2% for May was eight-tenths lower than the national rate of 4.0%.

Several other employment indicators were up last month. The number of jobs in Georgia rose by 0.2% to an all-time high of almost 5 million, the state’s labor force was up to nearly 5.4 million – also a record – and the number of employed Georgians increased to more than 5.2 million, yet another all-time high.

“Despite national economic challenges and inflation, Georgia’s businesses are stepping up and creating more opportunities for hardworking Georgians to secure high-quality jobs,” state Commissioner of Labor Bruce Thompson said Thursday.

The job sectors posting the largest over-the-month gains in May were local government, which added 3,200 jobs; accommodation and food services, which gained 2,700 jobs; and health care and social assistance, which added 2,300 jobs.

On the downside, the state government sector lost 1,600 jobs last month, with durable goods down 1,500 and arts, entertainment and recreation losing 1,300 jobs.

Initial unemployment claims were down by 7% to 20,034 in May compared to the previous month, while jobless claims declined by 16% last month compared to May of last year.

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Georgia Baseball’s Charlie Condon Wins Golden Spike Award

Published

20 hours ago

June 22, 2024

Press Room

Georgia Baseball’s Charlie Condon Wins Golden Spike Award

Georgia’s baseball star Charlie Condon has been awarded the Golden Spikes Award, given to the nation’s best baseabll player in college.

ESPN released a 2024 MLB mock draft and they had Condon going second overall to the Cincinnati Reds, but in the paragraph about Condon, they said he will be one of the first two picks off of the board. Here is what ESPN wrote:

“The buzz has also been that if Cleveland passes on Condon, he’ll go second, so it all adds up. Burns and Caglianone are the other most mentioned players here with some mixed sentiment on if Bazzana is a real option. The other industry speculation is that Cincinnati is looking to roll savings and possibly its overage into a prep pitcher, the deepest player demographic after the first round, at their next pick: No. 51 overall. I don’t think the top five or so prep arms can get that far down the board, but that’s something we’ll find out on draft day. Late-rising Idaho prep righty Dax Whitney is a target who could make it to that pick.”

Condon was awarded the 2024 Dick Howser Trophy, which is given to the nation’s top player for that season. This season, Condon broke the NCAA BBCOR home run record with 37 total on the season. He led the nation in both home runs and batting average. In Georgia’s last game of the season, Condon went yard in his final at-bat as a Bulldog to add to the tally one last time.

Condon is expected to be one of the favorites to go first overall in this year’s MLB draft. He played two seasons at Georgia after redshirting his freshman season in which he was listed as a walk-on. After earning a scholarship for his redshirt freshman season, Condon quickly shot up the ranks and pieced together an immaculate career. He finished his last two seasons with 62 home runs, 145 RBI and a .410 batting average.

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