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What If… Tony Romo had stayed healthy in 2016?

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What If… Tony Romo had stayed healthy in 2016?


It’s possible that 2024 will be Dak Prescott’s last season as quarterback of the Dallas Cowboys. If so, he’ll have had a nine-year run that only a few in franchise history have bettered or even matched. Given that, it’s amazing to think about how improbable Prescott’s career has been. What if his predecessor, Tony Romo, hadn’t been injured during that 2016 preseason?

Prescott was famously taken with a fourth-round pick in that year’s NFL Draft. He didn’t arrive with fanfare; more focus was put on Dallas getting leapfrogged for Paxton Lynch in the first round or their reported interest in Connor Cook before the Raiders snatched him ahead of Dallas in the fourth round. Coming out of the draft, Prescott felt more like a runner-up and a career backup at best; another Stephen McGee to help fill the QB depth chart for a while.

Indeed, Prescott wasn’t even the primary backup upon arrival. Dallas had added Kellen Moore, a favorite of then-offensive coordinator Scott Linehan, the year before and he was the presumptive QB2. On top of that, Prescott did not have a great summer in practice and there was talk of undrafted rookie Jameill Showers outshining him. Even after Moore broke his leg early in training camp, the Cowboys tried to swing a trade for veteran Josh McCown rather than entrust backup duty to one of their rookies.

But then, once preseason action started, Prescott got the hype train rolling. In three games he went 39/50 for 454 yards, five touchdowns, and no interceptions with a 137.8 passer rating. Prescott also showed off his running ability with 53 yards and two more scores on just seven carries.

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Prescott didn’t play in the final preseason game because, the week before, Tony Romo was injured against the Seahawks and ruled out for at least two months. Thanks to his hot August, Prescott was named the starter and helped lead the team to a remarkable 13-3 season. Even when Romo was medically cleared to return, the team stuck with their rookie sensation and embraced a new era for the franchise.

So again, what if Romo doesn’t suffer that back injury? What if he waltzes into 2016 still the starting quarterback? How might Cowboys history have changed?

The biggest question of all is if Romo would’ve made the 2016 Cowboys a better team, and that’s a tough one given what they accomplished without him. 13 regular season wins, a division title, and a competitive showing in their playoff loss to the Packers; there were all about the peak of what Romo did in his best seasons with Dallas.

Even in the playoffs, the rookie Prescott had a strong game going head-to-head with Aaron Rodgers and helped Dallas take it down the final ticks. The Cowboys rallied from a 28-13 deficit going into the fourth quarter to tie it up late, and only a final drive and a 51-yard field goal from Mason Crosby lifted Green Bay to the win that day. Prescott looked the part of a championship-level quarterback that day.

Still, there’s no denying Romo’s experience would have served the team well in moments. He was also a more fearless type of QB, and perhaps some of that moxie would have led to big plays when the more conservative Prescott played it safe. But on the other hand, with only four total picks thrown that year, Prescott’s style might have helped the Cowboys avoid some of the pitfalls that Romo’s risk-taking occasionally led to. Their differences probably balanced out over the season as a whole.

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Now this is where it really gets interesting. If Romo had remained the starter, how long would that have continued beyond 2016? And would that have affected Prescott’s career?

One reason that Dallas chose Prescott over Romo was that the veteran was already 36 and decidedly injury-prone. If he’d had a healthy and productive 2016 season, would Romo have moved into broadcasting the following year or given it another go? That’s hard to say without seeing how he would’ve performed the season before, nor can we assume that avoiding that preseason injury means he wouldn’t have been hurt at some other point in 2016. One thing that we do know about Romo, even before that final injury, was that his body was breaking down.

Still, let’s pretend that Romo stays healthy in 2016 and decides to give it one more go in 2017. Maybe he makes it through that year, maybe he doesn’t. Maybe the scenario we saw play out the year before then comes to fruition; Prescott gets his shot and shows he’s a gamer. But if Romo hangs on another two years and then retires, Dallas would’ve gone into the 2018 offseason with a big question mark at quarterback.

True, Prescott would’ve had his big preseason performances to entice the team. But that 2018 QB class of Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Josh Rosen, and Lamar Jackson would’ve been tough for the Cowboys to ignore. Depending on how Dallas performed the year before and where their first-round pick might have fallen, could they have chosen their next starting QB here and left Prescott resigned to backup duty?

Or what if Romo makes it through 2016 but then either retires or gets hurt early? Remember, the 2017 season wasn’t a fun one for Dallas. That was the year of Elliott’s suspension, Dez Bryant’s declining play as WR1, the infamous Chaz Green debacle in Atlanta, and a suspect defense incapable of causing turnovers. If this had been Prescott’s entry to the NFL, without that year of experience under his belt, how badly might it have hurt his stock going forward?

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One thing is clear; 2016 was the best point possible for Prescott to get his opportunity to start. Elliott was the freshest and most dynamic version of himself, the offensive line was humming behind Tyron Smith, Zack Martin, and Travis Frederick, and other veteran pieces like Bryant and Jason Witten were still viable for a contending team. Even with a relatively poor defense that year, Prescott was able to help lead the other side of the ball to overcome that and post one of the team’s most impressive seasons of the modern era.

If that shot hadn’t come when it did, Prescott may have never been given the reins. He could have stayed on the bench behind Romo for a few years, then been leapfrogged by a high pick in the 2018 draft. Or if he’d had to play in 2017 in less ideal circumstances, it could’ve prompted the team to start looking elsewhere. After all, he was only a former fourth-rounder anyway. It’s not like they saw him as their QB of the future when they took him.

So if 2024 does prove to be Dak Prescott’s finale with the Dallas Cowboys, it will cap nearly a decade of quarterback play that could’ve easily never happened. Prescott wasn’t brought in as the heir apparent to Tony Romo, but circumstances opened the door and his performance forced that transition to occur. It’s amazing how a franchise’s fate can alter on such a narrow margin, but that’s what makes Prescott’s run one of the great “What Ifs” in Cowboys history.



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Dallas, TX

GOP candidates for Texas House face off in Collin County, Park Cities, North Dallas

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GOP candidates for Texas House face off in Collin County, Park Cities, North Dallas


The fiercest legislative primary fights Tuesday in North Texas were inside the GOP.

In Dallas County, two moderate GOP incumbent representatives faced challengers after being censured by their own county party.

In Collin County, several Republican state House members were fending off rivals running to their right.

The Dallas Morning News will provide live election results this evening when the polls close at 7 p.m. Results will be updated throughout the evening for statewide races and Dallas, Collin, Denton, Ellis, Kaufman, Rockwall and Tarrant counties.

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Dallas County, House District 108

Republican Morgan Meyer, first elected in 2014, was challenged by attorney Sanjay Narayan in a district that includes the Park Cities, Oak Lawn and Preston Hollow.

Narayan criticized Meyer for backing renewable energy expansion and for being censured by the Dallas GOP last year.

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Meyer was among House Republicans targeted after disputes over the House speaker vote and chamber rules. He and other lawmakers called the censure effort unconstitutional.

In the campaign, Meyer focused on property tax relief and emergency preparedness after the Camp Mystic tragedy.

Small business owner Allison Mitchell is unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Dallas County, House District 112

Republican Angie Chen Button, who has represented the district covering parts of Dallas, Richardson and Garland since 2009, drew three primary opponents.

Button has highlighted her support for small businesses and public schools and her bipartisan record. A senior member of the Ways and Means Committee, she would play a key role in the state’s property tax debate if reelected.

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Dallas-area delegation in the Texas House of Representatives on Sunday, May 30, 2021, showing State Rep. Angie Chen Button, R-Garland, in the chamber.

Bob Daemmrich / Bob Daemmrich/CapitolPressPhoto

Opponents Chad Carnahan and Tina Price attacked Button for being censured by the Dallas GOP last year, a move she and other lawmakers have criticized as an internal party power struggle.

Carnahan, a businessman, said he wants to lower property taxes and prevent Shariah in Texas.

Price said she would improve public schools and spur the re-use of old buildings. Also in the GOP race: Perry E. Barker Sr.

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Democrat Zach Herbert was unopposed.

Collin County, House District 61

Two Republicans are seeking to represent the district that covers most of McKinney and parts of Frisco and Celina.

Incumbent Keresa Richardson, who was elected in 2024, and former state Rep. Frederick Frazier both support eliminating property taxes.

Richardson, an entrepreneur, said she would expand the Texas voucher-like program for education.

Frazier, a former police officer and McKinney City Council member, was more cautious about expanding the program.

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Frederick Frazier speaks as Rep. Keresa Richardson looks on during a candidate forum for...

Frederick Frazier speaks as Rep. Keresa Richardson looks on during a candidate forum for Republicans in Collin County ahead of the March primary election at Prestonwood Baptist Church in Plano, Texas, Tuesday, February 10, 2026.

Anja Schlein / Special Contributor

Two political newcomers, Jackie Bescherer and Brittany Black, are running in the Democratic primary. Both oppose Texas’ voucher program and vow to increase public education funding.

Collin County, House District 67

Republican Rep. Jeff Leach, first elected in 2012, faces Matt Thorsen in a district that includes parts of Plano, Allen, McKinney and Melissa.

Leach has highlighted his conservative record, including legislation barring Shariah in Texas courts. He also served as a House impeachment manager during Attorney General Ken Paxton’s 2023 trial, a role he has defended amid backlash from activists.

Thorsen, a small business owner and former youth pastor, helped lead the effort to censure Leach last year. He has criticized Leach’s impeachment role and accused him of siding with Democrats on House rules.

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Both support eliminating property taxes, expanding education savings accounts and oppose the development formerly known as EPIC City. Two Democrats are also running, though the district has leaned Republican.

Collin County, House District 70

Three Republicans are competing for the nomination to run against incumbent Democrat Mihaela Plesa, who is running unopposed in her party’s primary.

Democrat Mihaela Plesa responds to questions during a District 70 Candidate Forum hosted by...

Democrat Mihaela Plesa responds to questions during a District 70 Candidate Forum hosted by Raise Your Hand Texas at Plano ISD Academy High School in Plano on Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2022.

Liesbeth Powers / Staff Photographer

George Flint, a former district judge and Collin County Republican Party Chair, emphasized eliminating property taxes and securing the border in his campaign.

Jack Ryan Gallagher, an attorney, said he would attract companies to North Texas, improve public schools and partner with local law enforcement if elected.

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Michael Hewitt, an attorney, said he would gradually lower property taxes and work to keep Texas a business-friendly state.

The district includes parts of Plano, Richardson and Far North Dallas.



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Dallas Fed says ‘older, experienced workers’ likely have less cause for concern about AI job displacement

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Dallas Fed says ‘older, experienced workers’ likely have less cause for concern about AI job displacement


Artificial intelligence hasn’t yet triggered the broad job losses many feared — at least not for experienced workers.

That’s the takeaway from a new analysis by J. Scott Davis, an assistant vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, who examined employment and wage trends in industries most exposed to artificial intelligence.

Davis argues the data tell a more nuanced story — one that’s challenging the traditional career ladder, and helping older employees earn a bit more.

Since ChatGPT’s debut in late 2022, overall US employment has risen about 2.5%, according to Davis’ analysis, which uses an AI exposure index developed by researchers and published in the Strategic Management Journal. At the same time, employment in the sectors most exposed to AI has slipped by roughly 1%.

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Wages tell a different story. The average weekly pay nationwide has climbed 7.5% since fall 2022. And across the most AI-exposed industries, wages have grown faster, up 8.5%.

If AI were simply replacing workers, both employment and wages would likely be falling, Davis wrote.

Instead, Davis points to a divide between “codified” knowledge — the kind learned from textbooks and in university courses — and “tacit” knowledge gained from hands-on work experience.

“Returns on job experience are increasing in AI-exposed occupations,” Davis wrote. “Young workers with primarily codifiable knowledge and limited experience will likely face challenging job markets.”

Using Bureau of Labor Statistics data, his analysis found that the occupations most exposed to AI tend to offer larger pay premiums for experienced workers.

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In roles with less hands-on experience, AI exposure is associated with weaker wage growth, he wrote.

Workers under 25 in AI-exposed industries have also experienced employment declines, according to Davis’ analysis.

“There appears to be less cause for concern about widespread job displacement for older, experienced workers,” he wrote.

A less dire picture… so far

The findings offer a counterpoint to the more apocalyptic predictions about AI’s impact on the labor market.

Last week, Citrini Research published a memo, written from the hypothetical perspective in 2028, that theorized how AI could crush the US jobs market and trigger a broad-based market collapse.

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“What if our AI bullishness continues to be right…and what if that’s actually bearish?” the memo asked.

Top executives inside the AI companies are worried about jobs, too.

Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, the company that runs Claude, warned that AI could eliminate 50% of entry-level office jobs. OpenAI’s head of product, Olivier Godement, said the life sciences, customer service, and computer engineering industries were all about to get automated. And Boris Cherny, the creator of Claude Code, said that he doesn’t believe the job title “software engineer” will exist next year.

For now, at least, the Dallas Fed paints a different picture of today’s jobs market. It points to less mass displacement and market ruptures — and more power for employees who already have their foot in the door.

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Daisy’s Memorial Dog Strick Library| The Post

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Daisy’s Memorial Dog Strick Library| The Post


A tribute to a family dog is now helping other animals. Daisy’s Memorial Dog Stick Library encourages dogs to take and leave sticks on their walks near White Rock Lake. Kimberly Haley-Coleman stopped by The Post to talk about the tribute.

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