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Texas Population Set To Soar as Residents Flock to the Lone Star State From These Surprising Places

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Texas Population Set To Soar as Residents Flock to the Lone Star State From These Surprising Places


Texas continues to draw large numbers of new residents, and they aren’t coming just from California.

Newly released one-way trip data from U-Haul shows that, in the first half of 2024, the largest Texas cities drew new residents from throughout the region.

In Houston, for example, Louisiana was the top origin state for U-Haul movers, with New Orleans also ranking as the No. 1 out-of-state origin metro for the period.

In the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area, Oklahoma, Florida, and Louisiana were the top three origin states for movers. Oklahoma City was the top out-of-state origin metro, followed by Denver.

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In both San Antonio and Austin, the most common origin state was California, a testament that the “Texafornia” trend continues, with thousands of Californians relocating to the Lone Star State.

But in San Antonio, Phoenix was the top out-of-state origin metro. Los Angeles took the top spot in Austin, which remains a popular moving destination for Californians.

There are limitations to the U-Haul list, which shows only rankings, not raw numbers of movers. As well, the rankings don’t include all movers—just those who rented a U-Haul. Still, the list shows how Texas continues to draw new residents from a variety of cities.

Movers are fueling Texas population growth

Texas, which is the second-largest U.S. state with a population of about 30 million, has been growing rapidly for decades.

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From 2000 to 2020, the state’s population increased by 40%, or about 8.3 million, the largest absolute population increase of any state over that period, according to census data. Only Nevada, Utah, and Idaho grew faster on a percentage basis during the same period.

Over those two decades, about half of Texas’ population gain resulted from natural increase, or births outpacing deaths. Roughly a third came from net domestic migration, or more people moving in from another state than out. The remainder was from net international migration.

Starting in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic appears to have turbocharged domestic migration to Texas, which has outpaced natural increase as the state’s top driver of population growth, according to the Texas Demographic Center.

Census data shows that from July 2020 to July 2023, nine of the 10 fastest-growing cities in the country were in Texas. The Texas cities in the top 10 were all suburban communities on the outskirts of major metro areas, their growth fueled by outward sprawl.

Typical was Celina, on the far northern edge of the Dallas metro area. From 2020 to 2023, Celina’s population increased by 143%, to 43,317, up from 17,808 three years prior.

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Why are people moving to Texas?

Economic growth, lower tax burdens, and a lower cost of living in Texas are typically cited as the main factors driving the state’s population growth.

Relative home prices often provide some clues about why people are moving, and from where.

In San Antonio, for instance, the median July list price of $350,000, or $185 per square foot, is far below the $528,000, or $275 per square foot, seen in Phoenix, the top out-of-state origin city for San Antonio in the first half of this year.

Meanwhile, Houston’s median list price of $375,000 is somewhat higher than the $329,000 seen in top origin city New Orleans.

But Houston’s price per square foot of $177 comes in below the $179 in New Orleans, suggesting that a mover could sell in the Big Easy and get more house for their buck in Houston.

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That trend doesn’t always hold—Oklahoma City, the top U-Haul origin city for Dallas-Fort Worth, has significantly lower home prices than its Texas counterpart.

However, it does help explain the enduring popularity of Austin, the most expensive major city in Texas, as a destination for people fleeing California.

Austin’s median July list price of $540,000 is eye-watering compared with prices in the other major metros of Texas.

But for someone moving from Los Angeles, Austin home prices would seem a bargain compared with that city’s $1.2 million median list price.





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Austin, TX

University of Texas at Austin President Jay Hartzell leaving to lead Southern Methodist University | Houston Public Media

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University of Texas at Austin President Jay Hartzell leaving to lead Southern Methodist University | Houston Public Media


Manoo Sirivelu/KUT News

University of Texas at Austin President Jay Hartzell talks with reporters at a press conference in August 2024. He announced Tuesday he is leaving for Southern Methodist University.

University of Texas at Austin President Jay Hartzell announced Tuesday he has accepted an offer to lead Southern Methodist University, a private university in Dallas. His last day at UT will be May 31, according to the University of Texas System.

“I am very grateful to Chairman Kevin Eltife and the UT System Board of Regents for the incredible opportunity they provided me to serve UT Austin in this role,” Hartzell wrote in an email announcing his resignation to the UT community.

Eltife and UT System Chancellor J.B. Milliken congratulated Hartzell on the new role.

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“We have worked closely with UT Austin during Jay Hartzell’s five years as president, and we will continue to do so in the months ahead to ensure a smooth transition,” they said in a statement.

Hartzell has served as the president of UT Austin since 2020, when the UT System’s Board of Regents voted unanimously to name him to the job. He replaced Greg Fenves, who served as president for five years before leaving for Emory University in Atlanta.

The SMU Board of Trustees voted unanimously to offer Hartzell the position following a national search. Chair David B. Miller praised Hartzell as a respected leader in higher education.

“His leadership at UT Austin and commitment to advancing programs across diverse disciplines, including humanities, social sciences, arts, education, business, law, student life, and intercollegiate athletics, make him an excellent choice as SMU’s eleventh president,” Miller said in a statement. “He also understands the vital role Texas and its universities play in the nation’s vibrant economy.”

In his email, Hartzell said by accepting the job he was following the advice he gives students: “Follow your passions, take some chances, stretch outside your comfort zone, and think of how you would like to make an impact.”

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Hartzell noted that under his leadership UT Austin achieved new highs when it comes to applications, enrollment and graduation rates. Just last year, he announced UT Austin would tighten requirements for automatic admission for Texas high school students in response to the growing number of applicants. The number of applications for freshman admission for the fall 2025 term increased by more than 24% over the previous year.

During Hartzell’s tenure, UT Austin also launched new academic programs, more resources for student housing, began the renovation of the Tower and joined the Southeastern Conference.

His time as president was also marked by challenges and controversy as he led the university through a state-mandated ban on diversity, equity and inclusion programs as well as pro-Palestinian protests last spring.

UT Austin laid off dozens of employees who used to work on DEI programs after Senate Bill 17 took effect last January. Some students and faculty raised concerns the flagship institution was going beyond the scope of SB 17 and eliminating offices and programs that didn’t violate the law. Republican lawmakers indicated during a hearing in November that they plan to expand DEI restrictions at public colleges and universities during the legislative session that begins next week.

Hartzell received both praise and criticism for his response to pro-Palestinian protests on campus last year, which resulted in more than 130 arrests. His decision to call in state police was hailed by Republican leaders, but blasted by some faculty and students.

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Hartzell, who previously served as dean of the McCombs School of Business, said he is grateful for his nearly three decades at UT Austin.

“I will be eternally grateful for my 29 years at UT as a student, faculty member, and administrator,” he said. “My wife, Kara, and I will always be Longhorns — as alumni, parents, passionate supporters, and fans — even when we are no longer on the faculty or staff.”

Hartzell announced the decision to leave UT Austin a day after the university promoted Rachel Davis Mersey to executive vice president and provost. She has held the key position on an interim basis since Aug. 27.



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UT-Austin President Jay Hartzell leaves to lead SMU

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UT-Austin President Jay Hartzell leaves to lead SMU



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Dallas tops U-Haul list as No. 1 U.S. destination for movers in 2024

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Dallas tops U-Haul list as No. 1 U.S. destination for movers in 2024


Editor’s note: As the year comes to a close, we look back at the 10 most-read real estate stories in Dallas for 2024 — including new honors for several local suburbs, market trends, and a sports star who razed his mansion. These are the 10 hottest real estate headlines of 2024 in Dallas:

1. 3 Dallas suburbs shine on new list of best small cities in America. Living in the big city isn’t for everyone, which is why many are flocking to the suburbs and less-populated cities around Dallas. To demonstrate the popularity of suburban and rural communities, a new study by WalletHub has singled out three of Dallas’ top suburbs on their 2024 list of the “Best Small Cities in America,” released October 1. Leading the pack as the best small city in Texas was Rockwall, followed by Allen and Flower Mound.

2. Texas tree group issues dire warning to Dallas owners of oak trees. In January, a nonprofit dedicated to trees issued a warning to Dallas citizens who own oak trees: Put down the pruning shears. Homeowners and landscaping types may have been tempted to do some spring pruning, but when it came to oak trees, then was not the time. The reason: oak wilt, a devastating, incurable fungus that had been slowly spreading over a large part of the U.S.

3. Laid-back Dallas suburb named 5th best in U.S. by Travel + Leisure. The Dallas-Fort Worth city of Coppell had new bragging rights in July: It was declared the No. 5 best American suburb to live in by a recent Travel + Leisure report. The report analyzed feedback from Realtors and data from “recent livability rankings” to determine the 10 best U.S. suburbs with the most “affordable housing, top-rated schools, and excellent job opportunities.”

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Coppell is the No. 2 best suburb to live in Texas, and No. 5 nationwide.
City of Coppell, TX Municipal Government / Facebook

4. Dallas landlord must pay $48 million for charging bogus fees to tenants. A Dallas-based company that rents out single-family homes was ordered to pay $48 million to settle claims by the Federal Trade Commission that it reaped millions of dollars via deceptive business practices — including forcing tenants to pay undisclosed fees on top of their monthly rent. Invitation Homes, based in Dallas, is the nation’s largest owner of single-family homes for rent.

5. 2 Dallas-area ZIP codes make list of hottest U.S. housing markets in 2023. Despite higher mortgage rates, Dallas’ housing market continued to attract more people in 2023, according to a report by Opendoor released in January 2024. Two Dallas-area ZIP codes in particular – in Forney and Aubrey – earned top 10 status on the list of “hottest ZIP codes in the U.S.”

6. Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott razes his mansion in Prosper. In 2019, Dak Prescott acquired a 9,000 square-foot mansion built on seven acres of land for the sum of $3.3 million. In October 2024, he razed it to the ground. According to TMZ Sports, the Dallas Cowboys quarterback mowed down his Prosper mansion “to nothing more than a pile of rubble” while watching its destruction from feet away.

Dak Prescott ProsperDak Prescott’s home was razed in Prosper.
Redfin

7. 2 Dallas-area ZIP codes rank as hottest U.S. housing markets in 2024. The Dallas-Fort Worth housing market is growing hotter by the day, and two ZIP codes in particular were listed in Realtor.com’s new survey of the hottest housing markets in America, released in August: 76021 in Bedford, and 75028 in Flower Mound.

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8. Custom ’50s house with rare metal kitchen cabinets is for sale in Dallas. In February, a ’50s home in original condition was for sale in Dallas with a rare feature: a set of original metal kitchen cabinets rendered in a breathtaking pastel pink. The home was in Lakewood, just a few blocks west of White Rock Lake at 6946 Delrose Dr, where it was listed for $1,100,000 by Simone Jeanes with Allie Beth Allman.

6946 delrose 50s house6946 Delrose Dr. facade.
Courtesy

9. Dallas makes new list of easiest U.S. cities to pay off a mortgage. Whether a homeowner’s mortgage is for 15 or 30 years, paying off such a large debt can be an arduous process. But luckily for homeowners living in Dallas-Fort Worth, paying off a mortgage is much easier than in most other metropolitan areas in the country, according to a new report by SmartAsset. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington earned a ranking of No. 13 in SmartAsset’s September study analyzing the top 40 large U.S. metros where it’s easiest to pay off a mortgage.

10. 2 Dallas neighbors top the list of best real estate markets in America. For those looking to rent an apartment or buy their first home, Dallas-Fort Worth is the place to be: According to an August report by WalletHub, DFW towns McKinney and Frisco were crowned the No. 1 and No. 2 best real estate markets in America, and two more in the area — Denton and Allen — also ranked among the top 10.



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