Arkansas

Murray State vs. Arkansas – Little Rock Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-18-2023

Published

12 months ago

December 17, 2023

Murray State vs. Arkansas – Little Rock Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-18-2023

The Murray State Racers will pay a visit to the Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans on Monday at Jack Stephens Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Murray State (3-7 SU, 3-6 ATS, and 6-3 O/U) lost 61-55 to SE Louisiana in its last game. The Racers have lost four straight games.

Arkansas-Little Rock (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS, and 8-3 O/U) beat UTSA 93-84 in its last game. The Trojans have won four of their last six overall.

The Trojans are 1.5-point spread favorites and the game total is 152 points.

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Murray State isn’t getting it done defensively

Murray State is led by senior guard Rob Perry, who averages 15.3 points and 4.9 rebounds per game. A few other Racers to watch are junior guard JaCobi Wood (13.1 PPG and 4.3 APG), junior guard Brian Moore Jr. (11.8 PPG), and senior guard Quincy Anderson (9.7 PPG).

The Racers average 72.4 points (245th) on 44.7 percent shooting (190th), including 33.0 percent from long range (208th). They convert 70.4 percent of their free throws (203rd) and average 30.4 rebounds per game (292nd). MSU’s opponents score 71.3 points per game (192nd) and shoot 46.0 percent (317th), including 33.3 percent from deep (216th), with 29.7 rebounds per game (94th).

KenPom rates Murray State 178th nationally. The Racers rank 80th in offensive efficiency, 316th in defensive efficiency, and 337th in tempo (schedule-adjusted).

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The Trojans are a high-tempo squad

Arkansas-Little Rock is led by senior guard Khalen Robinson, who averages 19.0 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. A few other Trojans to watch are senior guard Jamir Chaplin (16.6 PPG and 7.5 RPG), senior forward DeAntonio Gordon (13.9 PPG and 5.6 RPG), and senior guard Cougar Downing (11.2 PPG).

The Trojans score 80.5 points per game (70th) on 44.6 percent shooting (193rd), including 33.0 percent from deep (207th). They convert 73.0 percent of their free throws (109th) and average 31.4 rebounds per game (257th). Little Rock’s opponents score 80.6 points per game (345th) and shoot 45.6 percent (306th), including 34.1 percent from long range (258th), with 33.5 rebounds per game (261st).

KenPom rates Arkansas-Little Rock 244th nationally. The Trojans rank 137th in offensive efficiency, 331st in defensive efficiency, and 77th in tempo (schedule-adjusted).

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Arkansas-Little Rock is in for a challenge on Monday against Murray State. The Racers are not off to a great start this season, but they certainly have been tested. Per KenPom, they have faced an average defense ranked 77th nationally, but they’ll get a break tomorrow against the Trojans, who rank 331st in defensive efficiency. Little Rock is easy to score on at the rim, where its opponents shoot 65.1 percent. When the Trojans don’t get a block at the rim, their opponents shoot 72.1 percent. 38 percent of the Racers’ shots come at the basket, where they shoot 59 percent. Their opponents have also fared pretty well from three-point range (34.1%).

While I expect this to be a high-scoring, back-and-forth game, I’m comfortable predicting a Racers moneyline victory. In a battle between two sub-par defenses, I’m betting on the better offense!

Prediction: Racers ML

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Racers rank 80th in offensive efficiency despite facing an average defense ranked 77th. They should find it easier to score against the Trojans’ inferior interior defense and below-average perimeter defense. With five players capable of scoring double-digit points each game, it wouldn’t surprise me if the Racers exceed the 80-point mark against the Trojans (345th in opponent PPG).

Little Rock will also have success against the Racers’ defense (316th in defensive efficiency). The Trojans feature five players averaging double-digit points and another player averaging just under nine points. Second-leading scorer Jamir Chaplin is a sharpshooter, too (60.4 FG% and 48.3 3PT%). Little Rock is much higher-tempo than the Racers, averaging 6.5 more possessions per 40 minutes, which should lead to a faster pace of play.

Bet on the over!

Prediction: Over 152

Written By
Michael Briggs , “Michael Briggs”

Mike Briggs is a passionate sports fan and writer, earning his B.A. in Journalism. In 2020, he moved across the country from New Jersey to San Diego to satisfy his lifelong obsession of living near an MLB stadium. As a proud MSU basketball supporter, Mike believes he’s learned a lot watching coach Tom Izzo lead the Spartans to Big Ten titles and Final Fours regularly. He’s also well-read on the NBA, having a subscription to SLAM magazine, the famed “basketball bible,” since he was a teenager. Mike spends his free time strategizing futures bets and researching opportunities to make a few bucks on tonight’s game. You can follow Mike on Twitter @BriggsWrites for sports betting, DFS, and stock trading tips.

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Arkansas

Homicide suspect causes barricade situation in east Arkansas jail

Published

6 hours ago

November 27, 2024

Press Room

Homicide suspect causes barricade situation in east Arkansas jail

PHILLIPS COUNTY, Ark. — A suspect in a Helena-West Helena homicide caused a barricade situation Tuesday as he was being processed in the Phillips County Detention Center.

Authorities said a prisoner who was being processed at the jail was able to get hold of some type of instrument and cause harm to himself.

He barricaded himself in the processing area and pepper spray was used to subdue him.

The prisoner was taken to the local emergency room for treatment. No one else was injured.

Helena-West Helena Police Chief Vincent Bell said he doesn’t know much more about what happened at the jail, but said the inmate is connected to a fatal shooting Tuesday afternoon.

The suspect was being held in connection to an incident where a man was shot dead in the doorway of O’Reilly Auto Parts in West Helena.

The shooting was the result of a disagreement that started in front of a motel, and the victim ran to the front of O’Reilly’s where he was fatally shot.

Chief Bell offered no details on a motive or the name of the victim.

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Arkansas

VIDEO: Arkansas players press conference – Missouri week

Published

14 hours ago

November 26, 2024

Press Room

VIDEO: Arkansas players press conference – Missouri week

Arkansas QB Taylen Green, OL Addison Nichols, DT Cam Ball and DB Doneiko Slaughter, preview press conference ahead of Saturday’s matchup against the No. 24 Missouri Tigers at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri.

Kickoff is set for 2:30 p.m. CT and the game will air on SEC Network. Check out our homepage for more coverage of the Hogs.

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Arkansas

Hoop Hogs analytics update – 11/26

Published

22 hours ago

November 26, 2024

Press Room

The No. 19 Arkansas Razorbacks are currently 5-1 on the young season after a 109-35 win over Marland-Eastern Shore on Monday night.

According to KenPom, Arkansas jumped from 40th to 38th following the victory over the Hawks. The Razorbacks efficient defensive night pushed them to sixth in defensive efficiency, up four spots from 10th.

“Defensively, we’re one of the best teams in the country and we want to continue to hand our hats on how we are defensively,” Arkansas associate head coach Chin Coleman said postgame. “And a lot of stuff that we do defensively, it doesn’t matter who we play, because it’s our scheme. It’s our schematics and it works. As long as we’re in the right spots and we’re doing what we teach, it’ll work against anyone.”

The Razorbacks eclipsed the 100-point mark, shot 55.6% from the field and hit three-pointers at a 44.1% clip. As a result, Arkansas’ offensive metrics received a major boost.

Freshman guard Boogie Fland was awarded team MVP from KenPom after the game. He had an offensive rating of 194.0 and scored 16 points on 3-of-5 shooting which included two makes from deep.

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