Politics
Russia-Ukraine war exposes fissures between Obama, Biden officials with oil-rich country leaders
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The Center East has taken heart stage this week as oil costs proceed to skyrocket and western nations look to boycott Moscow over its lethal invasion into Ukraine.
However the Biden administration’s makes an attempt to garner help from oil-rich nations to help Ukraine and counter costs on the pump has been met with resistance, the results of what some argue is long-standing distrust of the U.S. from nations like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
In keeping with current studies, President Biden was rebuffed by the 2 nations’ leaders when he tried to rearrange calls with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the UAE’s Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
The White Home Nationwide Safety Council (NSC) pushed again laborious on the studies, with spokesperson Emily Horne telling Fox Information, “It is a mischaracterization and doesn’t replicate actuality. There aren’t any rebuffed calls, interval.”
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As well as, Secretary of State Antony Blinken final week downplayed the suggestion that the Biden administration was snubbed by oil-leading nations within the Center East saying, “We’re all speaking commonly.”
Nonetheless, the advanced relationship between the U.S. and the oil-rich Gulf nations dates again a long time and has been influenced by geopolitical insurance policies regarding every thing from oil embargoes within the Nineteen Seventies to the suspension of arms amid the continuing disaster in Yemen.
“Within the Center East, and particularly in Arab society, relationships matter. The very last thing you need to be is a fair-weather pal,” Michael Rubin, a former Pentagon official who suggested the navy on issues regarding Iran and Iraq beneath the George W. Bush administration, informed Fox Information Digital.
“And from the very begin, [Team] Biden outlined themselves as a fair-weather pal.”
Upon getting into workplace, President Biden vowed to not solely finish the struggle in Yemen, which has resulted in one of many largest humanitarian crises on the planet with a whole bunch of 1000’s killed and hundreds of thousands displaced, however mentioned he would cease supplying arms to Saudi Arabia.
The struggle in Yemen kicked off in 2014 when Shia Houthi rebels backed by Iran tried to overthrow the federal government.
By 2015, beneath Barack Obama, the U.S. started arming Sunni Arab states like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which have backed the Yemeni authorities. However mass causalities and the humanitarian disaster prompted the U.S. to restrict its navy help to the Saudi marketing campaign in 2016.
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This resolution was reversed in 2017 beneath the Trump administration, and U.S. arms gross sales to Saudi Arabia elevated by greater than 40%, in keeping with the Stockholm Worldwide Peace Analysis Institute arms switch database.
Biden’s administration largely displays that of the Obama White Home to incorporate Home Coverage Council Director Susan Rice, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Director of Nationwide Intelligence Avril Haines and NSC Adviser Jake Sullivan. The president has additionally mentioned he would revert to insurance policies held by the earlier Democratic administration.
The White Home didn’t reply to Fox Information Digital’s request for touch upon the character of the previous Obama administration and present Biden administration officers’ relationships with the oil-rich Center Jap nation leaders.
“This struggle has to finish,” Biden mentioned in a February 2021 tackle. “And to underscore our dedication, we’re ending all American help for offensive operations within the struggle on Yemen, together with related arms gross sales.”
Biden later pissed off members of his personal get together with a November resolution to promote $650 million in defensive assist to the Saudi authorities because it continues to get pummeled by Houthi forces.
The administration justified its transfer by saying it can proceed to prioritize human rights whereas working with essential companions within the area.
However some overseas coverage specialists have argued that the tumultuous U.S. relationship with the Gulf states is rooted in choices made in the course of the Obama administration when then-Nationwide Safety Advisor Susan Rice prioritized human rights over geopolitical ties.
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“There’s a component of the place there’s smoke there’s fireplace,” Rubin informed Fox Information Digital. “The Saudis would not be the primary to complain about Susan Rice.”
Rubin argued that whereas a number of of Rice’s choices within the Center East put a foul style within the mouth of Gulf nations, “I do not suppose it may be nailed to only one particular person.”
“You’ve got received a state of affairs the place progressives could need to apply strain to Abu Dhabi and Riyadh due to human rights violations, however they actually need to take a step again and think about whether or not we might be throwing out the child with the bathwater,” Rubin added. “As a result of if we drive the Saudis and the Emirates into the arms of Beijing, it’ll be quite a bit tougher advocating for human rights than it’s now.”
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China’s grip within the Center East has elevated in recent times as relations with the West have strained.
Although some relations have been improved beneath the Trump administration’s Abraham Accords, which normalized ties between Israel and Muslim nations like Bahrain, the UAE, Morocco and Sudan, Beijing’s affect within the area remained.
“It is a systematic downside in Washington. We are likely to conceive of our relationships as at all times bilateral,” mentioned Rubin, who can be a senior fellow with the American Enterprise Institute. “However we’re not the one gamers within the sandbox.”
“This is not only a Democrat or Republican factor.”
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Saudi Arabia backed the U.S. struggle in Afghanistan after 9/11 and later in the course of the Iraq struggle, however Rubin argued that there was a degree of disregard towards Saudi issues in the course of the George W. Bush administration.
“The Saudis have been afraid for sectarian causes that we have been going [to] … mainly open Pandora’s field and, to some extent, they have been proper,” Rubin mentioned. “On the similar time, beneath Obama, the Saudis consider that we weren’t taking significantly their issues vis-a-vis Iran. And keep in mind in the present day that they are getting hit by Iranian drones which are being flown from Iraq, are being flown from Yemen.”
U.S. relations with Iran have additionally drastically affected U.S. ties with different high gamers within the area.
Saudi Arabia and the UAE strongly opposed the nuclear deal established by then-Secretary of State John Kerry with Iran in 2015.
Donald Trump on the marketing campaign path vowed to desert the Joint Complete Plan of Motion (JCPOA) and finally pulled the U.S. out of the settlement in 2018.
Following Iran’s advancing nuclear program, the UAE and Saudi governments have mentioned they again the Biden administration’s makes an attempt to finish Iran’s nuclear program however have demanded to be concerned on this spherical of negotiations and have known as for stronger parameters from Tehran.
“Saudi Arabia will not be fascinated with hindering or blocking the present negotiations … It’s fascinated with guaranteeing their success in attaining successfully the specified outcomes,” Saudi Ambassador to the U.S. Rayd Krimly mentioned in April 2021 because the Biden White Home regarded to restart negotiations with Iran.
The U.S. has regarded to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to spice up oil manufacturing because the U.S. and its Western allies have taken steps to boycott Moscow oil amid Russian President Vladimir Putin’s struggle in Ukraine.
The UAE mentioned final week that it helps rising oil manufacturing to alleviate strains on the worldwide market, but it surely stays unclear if will probably be in a position to persuade the Saudi-led Group of the Petroleum Exporting International locations (OPEC) to stick to U.S. pleas.
“These international locations have lengthy recollections,” Rubin mentioned. “So to mistreat the Saudis and never anticipate that there could be a response is wishful foolishness.”
Politics
What is Evacuation Day? The forgotten holiday that predates Thanksgiving
When President Abraham Lincoln first proclaimed Thanksgiving a national holiday, little did he know he was spelling the beginning of the end to the prominence of the original patriotic celebration held during the last week of November: Evacuation Day.
In November 1863, Lincoln issued an order thanking God for harvest blessings, and by the 1940s, Congress had declared the 11th month of the calendar year’s fourth Thursday to be Thanksgiving Day.
That commemoration, though, combined with the gradual move toward détente with what is now the U.S.’ strongest ally – Great Britain – displaced the day Americans celebrated the last of the Redcoats fleeing their land.
Following the Declaration of Independence in Philadelphia in 1776, New York City, just 99 miles to the northeast, remained a British stronghold until the end of the Revolutionary War.
Captured Continentals were held aboard prison ships in New York Harbor and British political activity in the West was anchored in the Big Apple, according to the Department of Veterans Affairs.
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However, that all came crashing down on the crown after the Treaty of Paris was signed, and new “Americans” eagerly saw the British out of their hard-won home on Nov. 25, 1783.
In their haste to flee the U.S., the British took time to grease flagpoles that still flew the Union Jack. One prominent post was at Bennett Park – on present-day West 183 Street near the northern tip of Manhattan.
Undeterred, Sgt. John van Arsdale, a Revolution veteran, cobbled together cleats that allowed him to climb the slick pole and tear down the then-enemy flag. Van Arsdale replaced it with the Stars and Stripes – and without today’s skyscrapers in the way, the change of colors at the island’s highest point could be seen farther downtown.
In the harbor, a final blast from a British warship aimed for Staten Island, but missed a crowd that had assembled to watch the 6,000-man military begin its journey back across the Atlantic to King George III.
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Later that day, future President George Washington and New York Gov. George Clinton – who had negotiated “evacuation” with England’s Canadian Gov. Sir Guy Carleton – led a military march down Broadway through throngs of revelers to what would today be the Wall Street financial district at the other end of Manhattan.
Clinton hosted Washington for dinner and a “Farewell Toast” at nearby Fraunces’ Tavern, which houses a museum dedicated to the original U.S. holiday. Samuel Fraunces, who owned the watering hole, provided food and reportedly intelligence to the Continental Army.
Washington convened at Fraunces’ just over a week later to announce his leave from the Army, surrounded by Clinton and other top Revolutionary figures like German-born Gen. Friedrich von Steuben – whom New York’s Oktoberfest-styled parade officially honors.
“With a heart full of love and gratitude, I now take leave of you. I most devoutly wish that your latter days may be as prosperous and happy, as your former ones have been glorious and honorable,” Washington said.
Before Lincoln – and later Congress – normalized Thanksgiving as the mass family affair it has become, Evacuation Day was more prominent than both its successor and Independence Day, according to several sources, including Untapped New York.
Nov. 25 was a school holiday in the 19th century and people re-created van Arsdale’s climb up the Bennett Park flagpole. Formal dinners were held at the Plaza Hotel and other upscale institutions for many years, according to the outlet.
An official parade reminiscent of today’s Macy’s Thanksgiving Parade was held every year in New York until the 1910s.
As diplomatic relations with the United Kingdom warmed heading into the 20th century and the U.S. alliance with London during the World Wars proved crucial, celebrating Evacuation Day became less and less prominent.
Into the 2010s, however, commemorative flag-raisings have been sporadically held at Bowling Green, the southern endpoint of Broadway. On the original Evacuation Day, Washington’s dinner at Fraunces Tavern was preceded by the new U.S. Army marching down the iconic avenue to formally take back New York.
Thirteen toasts – marking the number of United States – were raised at Fraunces, each one spelling out the new government’s hope for the new nation or giving thanks to those who helped it come to be.
An aide to Washington wrote them down for posterity, and the Sons of the American Revolution recite them at an annual dinner, according to the tavern’s museum site.
“To the United States of America,” the first toast went. The second honored King Louis XVI, whose French Army was crucial in America’s victory.
“To the vindicators of the rights of mankind in every quarter of the globe,” read another. “May a close union of the states guard the temple they have erected to liberty.”
The 13th offered a warning to any other country that might ever seek to invade the new U.S.:
“May the remembrance of this day be a lesson to princes.”
Politics
Why Donald Trump still could not conquer Orange County
Donald Trump posted notable gains in Orange County during the November election, but it was not enough to win the increasingly purple county that has become a suburban battleground between Republicans and Democrats — and a reflection of the demographic political realignment unfolding across the nation.
Kamala Harris won Orange County, but by a much tighter margin than either Hillary Clinton in 2016 or Joe Biden in 2020. When it comes to presidential politics, Orange County has backed Democrats since 2016, with increasingly blue areas such as Santa Ana, Anaheim and Irvine besting more red areas such as Huntington Beach and south Orange County.
But experts say the 2024 results offer some warning signs for Democrats.
“What the early numbers indicate is that Donald Trump made inroads with minority voters including probably substantial gains with Latino and Asian voters,” said Jeff Corless, a former strategist for Orange County Dist. Atty. Todd Spitzer. “What we’re hearing is that he made those same kinds of gains in other communities similar to Orange County across the country. He also made gains with traditional suburban voters, which he struggled with in 2020.”
Paul Mitchell, a Democratic data specialist, said Trump probably did better in the county because of lower Democratic turnout this year compared with 2020, as well as voters being familiar — and potentially comfortable — with Trump because of their experience during his prior tenure.
“It may also be Trump has been normalized, in an odd way,” Mitchell said. “He’s been in our political eyesight for the last decade now. Maybe voters like the economy better under Trump.”
In 2016, Clinton received roughly 100,000 more votes in Orange County than Trump, making her the first Democrat county voters selected for the presidency in 80 years. In 2020, Biden fared even better, besting Trump by more than 137,500 votes. Now, Harris has edged out Trump, but the margin of victory is on trend to be much tighter than seen in past elections.
Votes in Orange County are still being counted and final numbers aren’t required to be certified by the county until Dec. 5 and by the state until Dec. 13. But it’s clear, experts say, that Trump harnessed the disillusionment felt by voters who are unhappy with the direction of the country and the economic pains that have beset many living in the suburbs.
“People in the press and people like me still so often take Trump literally, whereas voters lived through this once and the apocalypse didn’t happen and they liked the economy better,” said Rob Stutzman, a veteran GOP strategist and Trump critic who previously advised former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.
He noted that Trump’s improved performance in Orange County was not an outlier.
“He did better — look at how he did in New York, on the Eastern Seaboard, in Massachusetts,” Stutzman said. “There are red dots that never existed the last few decades.”
Still, there were some bright spots for Democrats, notably being able to hold on to a congressional seat that became open because Rep. Katie Porter of Irvine pursued an unsuccessful Senate bid, and flipping the 45th Congressional District. In that race, first-time candidate Derek Tran defeated Republican Rep. Michelle Steel of Seal Beach in a hotly contested race that became one of the most expensive in the country.
A UC Irvine poll released last year conveyed discord among Orange County voters, particularly Republicans and those who choose not to identify with a political party, who said despite their optimism about Orange County and somewhat about California, they did not have a good feeling about the future of America.
“The [election] results are much more a statement about people’s dissatisfaction with the current national administration than some grand statement about Trump or Republicans,” said Jon Gould, dean of the university’s School of Social Ecology.
Orange County has been turning bluer since 2012, but that trend faded in 2024
Harris won in Anaheim, Buena Park, La Habra and Santa Ana — but her advantage over Trump was 10 to 15 percentage points lower than Biden’s was in 2020.
Preliminary data as of Nov. 25
Orange County Registrar of Voters
Gabrielle LaMarr LeMee and Sandhya Kambhampati LOS ANGELES TIMES
“This is not a sign that Orange County is suddenly a red county,” Gould said. “This is exactly what it means to be a purple county.”
Michele Monda, a Republican who lives in the deep-blue city of Laguna Beach, voted for Trump in 2016, 2020 and 2024 with her son and grandchildren in mind. The high housing costs and general lack of affordability have made it a challenge for middle-class couples, like her son and daughter-in-law, to build a life in many parts of California, including Orange County.
“Who is looking out for them?” Monda said. “They’re barely getting by, and quite honestly, the Democrats don’t seem to care. While I know Trump is a billionaire, I think he understands the needs of a middle-class person.”
Economics and Trump’s stance on immigration were the two main drivers that motivated her to vote for him. While she’s not always a fan of Trump’s behavior, she loves his policies. It’s not surprising, she said, that others in Orange County were swayed to his side as well.
“I think people have had enough of the Democrat party line, enough of the economy, enough of the whole platform. The things they espouse they just don’t work,” Monda said. “I think people in California are waking up.”
Trump’s improvement in the county has generated excitement among California Republicans who for years have tried to strengthen its hold on Orange County as Democratic voter registration grew and elections became more competitive.
For decades, Orange County was a conservative stronghold — the birthplace of former President Nixon, the cradle of Ronald Reagan’s ascent to the governor’s mansion and then the White House, and, for decades, a virtual synonym for the Republican Party of California.
The county’s shift over the last decade from deeply red to a more politically and demographically diverse region has fascinated the public for years.
“Orange County is a battleground,” said Jon Fleischman, a Republican campaign strategist and former executive director of the California GOP.
Trump’s popularity boost among Latinos and Asian Americans seen nationally could very well also be at play in swing counties such as Orange County. Republicans in the county for years have sought to attract Latinos and Asian Americans to their party with mixed success, and Trump’s performance could signal gains among these voter blocs, as well as Black Americans. He also won back some suburban women who turned against the Republican Party during his 2016 campaign and in the aftermath of the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn federal protection for abortion access in 2022.
Democrats leaned heavily into messaging about the loss of reproductive rights during this year’s campaign, in television ads and during their convention when they nominated Harris. However, Stutzman contended that the argument failed to resonate with suburban women in affluent areas such as Orange County as much as Democrats expected it to.
Orange County saw a bigger drop in Democratic votes than Republican votes from 2020 to 2024
Turnout in every city in the county was lower this year than in 2020.
Percent decline in votes from 2020 to 2024
Percent decline in votes from 2020 to 2024
Preliminary data as of Nov. 25
Orange County Registrar of Voters
Gabrielle LaMarr LeMee and Sandhya Kambhampati LOS ANGELES TIMES
“Most women in America still have access — an overwhelming majority have access to abortion,” he said. “I just don’t know if there’s a connection, any real existential threat that their rights are being further eroded than they have been.”
Though Harris won the majority of votes across deep-blue California, Trump was on track to win Butte, Stanislaus, Fresno, Inyo, San Bernardino and Riverside counties, all areas that Biden carried in 2020. Trump also gained ground in Silicon Valley and Los Angeles County compared with 2016 and 2020.
“In order for Trump to win Orange County, he had to make inroads with minority voters, and he did that through issues that mattered to them and the struggles they’re facing,” Corless said.
Democrats’ ability to register voters in Orange County has also slowed.
Between October 2022 and October 2024, the Democratic Party in Orange County grew by just over 3,100 voters. At the same time, the Republican Party’s numbers swelled by 31,000 people, according to data from the California secretary of state.
In the years that the GOP voter registration waned, the number of nonparty-preference voters grew. Many longtime Republicans in Orange County, irritated by Trump’s outlandish speaking style and policy positions, branded themselves as “Never Trumpers.” But Republicans in Orange County have made a concerted effort this cycle to reregister former GOP voters and push early voting and mail ballots, a recognition of how much Trump’s opposition to such efforts harmed the party in 2020.
“When Trump was first elected, he was not everybody’s favorite flavor of ice cream, and I think you saw a lot of Republicans who decided to become independent,” Fleischman said. “I think as people have decided that they’re OK with Trump, they’ve been coming back to the party.”
The Republican Party of Orange County went as far as hosting a ballot collection day on Oct. 11 in which Republican Party offices served as designated ballot-drop locations. The move, it said at the time, makes voting more accessible while “maintaining the highest level election integrity.”
Politics
Appeals court rules Texas has right to build razor wire border wall to deter illegal immigration: 'Huge win'
A federal appeals court on Wednesday ruled that Texas has the right to build a razor wire border wall to deter illegal immigration into the Lone Star State.
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott announced the ruling on X, saying President Biden was “wrong to cut our razor wire.”
“We continue adding more razor wire border barrier,” the Republican leader wrote.
Wednesday’s 2-1 decision by the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals clears the way for Texas to pursue a lawsuit accusing the Biden administration of trespassing without having to remove the fencing.
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It also reversed a federal judge’s November 2023 refusal to grant a preliminary injunction to Texas as the state resisted federal efforts to remove fencing along the Rio Grande in the vicinity of Eagle Pass, Texas.
Circuit Judge Kyle Duncan, a Trump appointee during the president-elect’s first term, wrote for Wednesday’s majority that Texas was trying only to safeguard its own property, not “regulate” U.S. Border Patrol, and was likely to succeed in its trespass claims.
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Duncan said the federal government waived its sovereign immunity and rejected its concerns that a ruling by Texas would impede the enforcement of immigration law and undermine the government’s relationship with Mexico.
He said the public interest “supports clear protections for property rights from government intrusion and control” and ensuring that federal immigration law enforcement does not “unnecessarily intrude into the rights of countless property owners.”
Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton called the ruling a “huge win for Texas.”
“The Biden Administration has been enjoined from damaging, destroying, or otherwise interfering with Texas’s border fencing,” Paxton wrote in a post on X. “We sued immediately when the federal government was observed destroying fences to let illegal aliens enter, and we’ve fought every step of the way for Texas sovereignty and security.”
The White House has been locked in legal battles with Texas and other states that have tried to deter illegal immigration.
In May, the full 5th Circuit heard arguments in a separate case between Texas and the White House over whether the state can keep a 1,000-foot floating barrier on the Rio Grande.
The appeals court is also reviewing a judge’s order blocking a Texas law that would allow state officials to arrest, prosecute and order the removal of people in the country illegally.
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