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Op-Ed: What can we do about the Latino undercount in the 2020 census?

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Op-Ed: What can we do about the Latino undercount in the 2020 census?

On Thursday, the U.S. Census Bureau launched a long-awaited report estimating the 2020 census undercount. Given the challenges of conducting a census in a pandemic, undercounts had been anticipated by many specialists and the report bore them out: The general whole inhabitants was deemed correct, however white folks and Asian Individuals had been overcounted, and different teams had been undercounted, particularly Latinos. In truth, the undercount fee of Latinos — at 5% — represents a staggering 300% improve in contrast with the 2010 census.

This isn’t a brand new downside. Latinos have been a “onerous to depend” inhabitants for many years. Analysts on the Census Bureau know their counts might miss those that have decrease incomes, expertise housing instability, converse languages apart from English and mistrust or concern the federal government — all qualities current in Latino communities, which embody excessive percentages of immigrants and whose members face discrimination that may result in financial drawback.

However whereas an undercount might have been anticipated, a 300% improve is just not enterprise as regular. Somewhat, it’s an injustice and the fruits of a calculated assault on the census throughout Donald Trump’s presidency.

When President Trump was elected, the Census Bureau was within the course of of fixing the way in which it tabulates race and ethnicity. Drawing on greater than a decade of analysis and with enter from a whole lot of civil rights and different organizations, the bureau had determined to permit respondents to establish their race and ethnicity in a “examine all that apply” format, and to incorporate among the many choices Hispanic/Latino and Center Jap/North African. The revised format was proven in exams to enhance response charges for all teams, and particularly for Latinos.

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In 2018, Trump and his secretary of Commerce, Wilbur Ross, halted the revision and demanded their very own change within the 2020 census kinds — a query to find out the citizenship of respondents. A prolonged authorized battle ensued, ending in a 2019 ruling siding with Latino advocacy teams who had proven {that a} citizenship query would disparately have an effect on Latino communities, dramatically miserable their participation and undermining the Structure’s mandate to depend “the entire variety of individuals in every state.”

The harm was accomplished nevertheless. Throughout 2019-2020, we performed interviews with Latinos in two main metropolitan areas and located widespread mistrust of the Trump administration that usually led our interviewees to concern finishing and submitting their census kinds.

And now the consequence: A big undercount of Latinos within the statistical base that governs political illustration and plenty of different capabilities of presidency. The 5% underrepresentation for a Latino inhabitants of greater than 60 million may translate into a minimum of $3 billion in misplaced funding for some cities and cities. The impression on political energy is as profound. The undercount will possible imply fewer elected advocates for the type of immigration and financial reforms which are central for Latino communities’ well-being.

In the long run, the Trump administration bought what it needed. It undermined a burgeoning minority in america, falsifying the dimensions and scale of the inhabitants and actually discounting them.

So the place will we go from right here? First, Robert L. Santos, the brand new director of the Census Bureau, can instantly undertake the revised race and ethnicity census query format so that each one future analysis — together with the interim surveys that complement the decennial depend — will enable Latinos to raised establish themselves.

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Subsequent, Congress should set up a job drive to look at the difficulty of Census Bureau integrity, with the purpose of protecting the decennial depend from overt political manipulation. The Trump administration’s conduct proves that we want a set of legislative insurance policies that defend and reinforce the bureau’s independence and scientific targets. The decennial depend mustn’t ever once more be held hostage to presidential whims.

Lastly, Latino advocacy and neighborhood teams should manage with others to petition and stress state legislators to make use of the Census Bureau’s adjusted estimates as they set coverage within the coming years.

State and congressional redistricting based mostly on the incorrect depend has already occurred and may’t be undone, however the adjusted figures will help to fight among the results of undercounting on the way in which funds are allotted.

The nonpartisan work of the Census Bureau can and should be protected. Finally, the undercounts in 2020 affected folks of coloration — together with those that establish as Latino, Black and American Indian. The errors symbolize a important difficulty for our democracy. They make communities invisible and set off losses that can be felt for generations to return.

G. Cristina Mora is an affiliate professor of sociology and the co-director of the Institute of Governmental Research at UC Berkeley. She is the writer of “Making Hispanics: How Activists, Bureaucrats and Media Constructed a New American.” Julie A. Dowling is affiliate professor of sociology and Latin American and Latino Research on the College of Illinois, Chicago. She is the writer of “Mexican Individuals and the Query of Race.” She served on the U.S. Census Bureau’s advisory committee on race and ethnicity from 2014 to 2020.

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Video: How Trump Could Justify His Immigration Crackdown

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Video: How Trump Could Justify His Immigration Crackdown

President-elect Donald Trump is likely to justify his plans to seal off the border with Mexico by citing a public health emergency from immigrants bringing disease into the United States. Now he just has to find one. New York Times White House Correspondent, Zolan Kanno-Youngs, explains.

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Trump to be sentenced in New York criminal trial

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Trump to be sentenced in New York criminal trial

President-elect Trump is expected to be sentenced Friday after being found guilty on charges of falsifying business records stemming from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s years-long investigation. 

The president-elect is expected to attend his sentencing virtually, after fighting to block the process all the way up to the United States Supreme Court this week. 

Judge Juan Merchan set Trump’s sentencing for Jan. 10—just ten days before he is set to be sworn in as the 47th President of the United States. 

TRUMP FILES MOTION TO STAY ‘UNLAWFUL SENTENCING’ IN NEW YORK CASE

Merchan, though, said he will not sentence the president-elect to prison. 

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From left to right: Judge Juan Merchan, former President Donald Trump, and Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. (Getty Images, AP Images)

Merchan wrote in his decision that he is not likely to “impose any sentence of incarceration,” but rather a sentence of an “unconditional discharge,” which means there would be no punishment imposed. 

Trump filed an appeal to block sentencing from moving forward with the New York State Court of Appeals. That court rejected his request. 

Trump also filed an emergency motion with the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that it “immediately order a stay of pending criminal proceedings in the Supreme Court of New York County, New York, pending the final resolution of President Trump’s interlocutory appeal raising questions of Presidential immunity, including in this Court if necessary.” 

“The Court should also enter, if necessary, a temporary administrative stay while it considers this stay application,” Trump’s filing requested. 

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Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg walks in the hallways of Manhattan Supreme Court

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg arrives at Daniel Penny’s trial following a lunch break at the Manhattan Supreme Criminal Court building in New York City on Monday, December 2, 2024. (Julia Bonavita/Fox News Digital)

TRUMP FILES EMERGENCY PETITION TO SUPREME COURT TO PREVENT SENTENCING IN NY V. TRUMP

Trump’s attorneys also argued that New York prosecutors erroneously admitted extensive evidence relating to official presidential acts during trial, ignoring the high court’s ruling on presidential immunity. 

The Supreme Court denied Trump’s emergency petition to block his sentencing from taking place on Friday, Jan. 10.

The Supreme Court, earlier this year, ruled that presidents are immune from prosecution related to official presidential acts. 

But New York prosecutors argued that the high court “lacks jurisdiction” over the case. 

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JD Vance, Tom Cotton, John Barrasso, Donald Trump, Shelley Moore Capito, John Thune

Trump has previously explained a strategic component to his one-bill reconciliation approach. (Getty Images)

They also argued that the evidence they presented in the trial last year concerned “unofficial conduct that is not subject to any immunity.” 

 

Trump was charged with 34 counts of falsifying business records in the first degree. He pleaded not guilty to those charges. After a six-week-long, unprecedented trial for a former president and presidential candidate, a New York jury found the now-president-elect guilty on all counts. 

Trump has maintained his innocence in the case and repeatedly railed against it as an example of “lawfare” promoted by Democrats in an effort to hurt his election efforts ahead of November. 

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Column: Trump shoots his mouth off as L.A. burns. His claims about fire hydrants don’t hold water

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Column: Trump shoots his mouth off as L.A. burns. His claims about fire hydrants don’t hold water

OK, I admit it. I’m biased. I hate it when an opportunistic politician capitalizes on other people’s miseries and tries to score political points.

I’m especially biased when it’s a president-elect who shoots off his mouth without regard for facts and blames a governor for fire hydrants running dry.

Not that Democrat Gavin Newsom is a perfect governor. But his California water policies had no more to do with Pacific Palisades hydrants drying up during a firestorm than did Republican Donald Trump’s turning on sprinklers at his golf course.

News reporters shouldn’t allow personal biases to seep into their stories, as Los Angeles Times owner Patrick Soon-Shiong has reminded us. Reporters have long strived to not do so and mostly succeeded. But I’m not a reporter. I’m a columnist who analyzes and opines. And yes, I’m biased — but on issues, not politics.

It has always been my view that liberals, moderates and conservatives all have good and bad ideas. Neither party has a monopoly on truth and justice — except in relating to Trump.

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I wanted to give Trump the benefit of the doubt and watch whether he really intended — as promised — to be a president for all Americans. But the guy just can’t help himself.

When Trump blamed Newsom for water hydrants going dry as Pacific Palisades burned, it wasn’t something people should dismiss as just another Trumpism.

Here was a president-elect mouthing off and showing his ignorance in a barrage of vindictiveness and insensitivity as thousands of people fled for their lives and hundreds of homes blazed into ashes.

Yes, I’m biased against anyone who’s that uncivil, especially when he disrespects facts or — worse — is a pathological liar.

So, let’s recap what Trump did.

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As scores of hydrants went dry while fire crews battled flames in Pacific Palisades, the president-elect instinctively went on social media to point the finger at his left coast political adversary, the Democrat he tastelessly derides as Gov. “Newscum.”

“Governor Gavin Newscum refused to sign the water restoration declaration put before him that would have allowed millions of gallons of water from excess rain and snow melt from the north to flow daily into many parts of California, including the parts that are currently burning in a virtually apocalyptic way,” Trump asserted.

“He wanted to protect an essentially worthless fish called a smelt … but didn’t care about the people of California. Now the ultimate price is being paid.

“I will demand that this incompetent governor allow beautiful, clean, fresh water to flow into California. He is the blame for this. On top of it all, no water for fire hydrants, not firefighting planes. A true disaster.”

True drivel, putting it politely.

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First, what was this so-called water restoration declaration?

“There’s no such document,” responded Izzy Gardon, Newsom’s communications director. “That is pure fiction.”

Trump probably was referring to his policy differences with Newsom on water exports from the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta to farmlands in the San Joaquin Valley. In his first presidency, Trump wanted to drain more fresh water from the delta for irrigation in the valley. But both Govs. Jerry Brown and Newsom took a more centrist approach, striving for a balance between farms and fish.

Second, it’s not the demise of the tiny smelt — the Republicans’ favorite target — that’s so concerning to many conservationists. It’s the rapid decline of iconic salmon that previously provided world-class recreational angling in the delta and fed a healthy commercial fishery on the coast. Salmon fishing seasons have been closed recently to save what’s left of the fish.

Third, despite Trump’s claptrap, plenty of fresh delta water is being pumped south to fill fire hydrants and the tanks of firefighting aircraft. Hundreds of millions of gallons of water flow daily down the California Aqueduct. Major Southland reservoirs are at historically high levels. Anyway, much of L.A.’s water doesn’t even come from the Delta. It flows from the Owens Valley and the Colorado River.

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Fourth, the hydrants went dry simply because there were too many fires to fight, the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power explained. Storage tanks went dry.

“We pushed the system to the extreme,” Janisse Quinones, DWP chief executive and chief engineer, said. “Four times the normal demand was seen for 15 hours straight.”

Yes, I’m biased against politicians who make up stuff.

But you’ve got to listen to Trump because he could follow through on what he’s bellowing about.

For example, Trump vowed during the presidential campaign to deny Newsom federal money to fight wildfires unless the governor diverted more water to farms.

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That apparently wasn’t an idle threat.

Trump initially refused to approve federal wildfire aid in 2018 until a staffer pointed out that Orange County, a beneficiary, was home to many voters who supported him, Politico reported. And in 2020, the Federal Emergency Management Agency rejected an aid request during several California wildfires until Republicans appealed to Trump.

So, what’s Trump going to be like when he actually becomes president again and is wielding real power, not just running off at the mouth?

Will he try to annex Greenland? Seize the Panama Canal? When a reporter asked him whether he’d commit to not using “military or economic coercion” to achieve these goals, he immediately answered: “No.”

Will he keep calling Canada our “51st state?”

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Yep. I’m biased against such immature and dangerous political leaders.

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