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As Russian Troop Deaths Climb, Morale Becomes an Issue, Officials Say

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As Russian Troop Deaths Climb, Morale Becomes an Issue, Officials Say

WASHINGTON — In 36 days of combating on Iwo Jima throughout World Warfare II, almost 7,000 Marines have been killed. Now, 20 days after President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia invaded Ukraine, his army has already misplaced extra troopers, in line with American intelligence estimates.

The conservative facet of the estimate, at greater than 7,000 Russian troop deaths, is larger than the variety of American troops killed over 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan mixed.

It’s a staggering quantity amassed in simply three weeks of combating, American officers say, with implications for the fight effectiveness of Russian models, together with troopers in tank formations. Pentagon officers say a ten % casualty fee, together with useless and wounded, for a single unit renders it unable to hold out combat-related duties.

With greater than 150,000 Russian troops now concerned within the battle in Ukraine, Russian casualties, when together with the estimated 14,000 to 21,000 injured, are close to that degree. And the Russian army has additionally misplaced no less than three generals within the battle, in line with Ukrainian, NATO and Russian officers.

Pentagon officers say {that a} excessive, and rising, variety of battle useless can destroy the need to proceed combating. The end result, they are saying, has proven up in intelligence studies that senior officers within the Biden administration learn day-after-day: One latest report targeted on low morale amongst Russian troops and described troopers simply parking their automobiles and strolling off into the woods.

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The American officers, who spoke on the situation of anonymity to debate operational issues, warning that their numbers of Russian troop deaths are inexact, compiled by way of evaluation of the information media, Ukrainian figures (which are usually excessive, with the newest at 13,500), Russian figures (which are usually low, with the newest at 498), satellite tv for pc imagery and cautious perusal of video photographs of Russian tanks and troops that come below fireplace.

American army and intelligence officers know, for example, what number of troops are normally in a tank, and might extrapolate from that the variety of casualties when an armored car is hit by, say, a Javelin anti-tank missile.

The excessive fee of casualties goes far to elucidate why Russia’s much-vaunted drive has remained largely stalled outdoors of Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital.

“Losses like this have an effect on morale and unit cohesion, particularly since these troopers don’t perceive why they’re combating,” mentioned Evelyn Farkas, the highest Pentagon official for Russia and Ukraine through the Obama administration. “Your general situational consciousness decreases. Somebody’s obtained to drive, somebody’s obtained to shoot.”

However, she added, “that’s simply the land forces.” With Russian floor forces in disarray, Mr. Putin has more and more regarded to the skies to assault Ukrainian cities, residential buildings, hospitals and even colleges. That aerial bombardment, officers say, has helped camouflage the Russian army’s poor efficiency on the bottom. President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine mentioned this week that an estimated 1,300 Ukrainian troopers had been killed within the battle.

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Indicators of Russia’s challenges abound. Late final week, Russian information sources reported that Mr. Putin had put two of his prime intelligence officers below home arrest. The officers, who run the Fifth Service of Russia’s primary intelligence service, the FSB, have been interrogated for offering poor intelligence forward of the invasion, in line with Andrei Soldatov, a Russian safety companies professional.

“They have been answerable for offering political intelligence and cultivating networks of help in Ukraine,” Mr. Soldatov mentioned in an interview. “They informed Putin what he needed to listen to” about how the invasion would progress.

Russians themselves could also be listening to solely what Mr. Putin needs them to listen to about his “operation” in Ukraine, which he refuses to name a battle or an invasion. Because it started, he has exerted iron management over the information retailers in Russia; state media isn’t publicizing most casualties, and has minimized the destruction.

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However some Russians have entry to digital personal networks (VPNs) and are in a position to get information from the West.

“I don’t imagine he can wall off, indefinitely, Russians from the reality,” William J. Burns, the C.I.A. director, informed the Senate final Thursday. “Particularly as realities started to puncture that bubble, the realities of killed and wounded coming house, and the growing quantity, the realities of the financial penalties for extraordinary Russians, the realities of the horrific scenes of hospitals and colleges being bombed subsequent door in Ukraine, and of civilian casualties there as nicely.”

The information of the generals’ deaths is trickling out, first from Ukrainians, then confirmed by NATO officers, with one demise acknowledged by Mr. Putin in a speech. They’ve been recognized as Maj. Gen. Andrei Kolesnikov, a commander from Russia’s japanese army district; Maj. Gen. Vitaly Gerasimov, first deputy commander of the forty first Mixed Arms Military; and Maj. Gen. Andrei Sukhovetsky, deputy commander of the forty first Mixed Arms Military.

Western officers say that round 20 Russian generals have been in Ukraine as a part of the battle effort, and that they might have pushed nearer to the entrance to spice up morale.

“Three generals already — that’s a stunning quantity,” Michael McFaul, the previous United States ambassador to Russia, mentioned in an interview.

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On Wednesday, Ukrainian officers reported {that a} fourth normal, Maj. Gen. Oleg Mityaev, the commander of the one hundred and fiftieth motorized rifle division, had been killed in combating.

Two American army officers mentioned that many Russian generals are speaking on unsecured telephones and radios. In no less than one occasion, they mentioned, the Ukrainians intercepted a normal’s name, geolocated it, and attacked his location, killing him and his workers.

If Russian army deaths proceed to rise, the sorts of civic organizations that known as consideration to troop deaths and accidents through the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan might as soon as extra come to prominence.

However the Russian toll, some army specialists and lawmakers say, is unlikely to vary Mr. Putin’s technique.

“It’s beautiful, and the Russians haven’t even gotten to the worst of it, after they hit city fight within the cities,” Consultant Jason Crow, Democrat of Colorado and a member of the Home Armed Providers and Intelligence committees, mentioned in an interview.

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“I don’t suppose it’ll have an effect on Putin’s calculus,” Mr. Crow mentioned. “He isn’t prepared to lose. He’s been backed right into a nook and can proceed to throw troops on the drawback.”

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Trump to be sentenced in New York criminal trial

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Trump to be sentenced in New York criminal trial

President-elect Trump is expected to be sentenced Friday after being found guilty on charges of falsifying business records stemming from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s years-long investigation. 

The president-elect is expected to attend his sentencing virtually, after fighting to block the process all the way up to the United States Supreme Court this week. 

Judge Juan Merchan set Trump’s sentencing for Jan. 10—just ten days before he is set to be sworn in as the 47th President of the United States. 

TRUMP FILES MOTION TO STAY ‘UNLAWFUL SENTENCING’ IN NEW YORK CASE

Merchan, though, said he will not sentence the president-elect to prison. 

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From left to right: Judge Juan Merchan, former President Donald Trump, and Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. (Getty Images, AP Images)

Merchan wrote in his decision that he is not likely to “impose any sentence of incarceration,” but rather a sentence of an “unconditional discharge,” which means there would be no punishment imposed. 

Trump filed an appeal to block sentencing from moving forward with the New York State Court of Appeals. That court rejected his request. 

Trump also filed an emergency motion with the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that it “immediately order a stay of pending criminal proceedings in the Supreme Court of New York County, New York, pending the final resolution of President Trump’s interlocutory appeal raising questions of Presidential immunity, including in this Court if necessary.” 

“The Court should also enter, if necessary, a temporary administrative stay while it considers this stay application,” Trump’s filing requested. 

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Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg walks in the hallways of Manhattan Supreme Court

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg arrives at Daniel Penny’s trial following a lunch break at the Manhattan Supreme Criminal Court building in New York City on Monday, December 2, 2024. (Julia Bonavita/Fox News Digital)

TRUMP FILES EMERGENCY PETITION TO SUPREME COURT TO PREVENT SENTENCING IN NY V. TRUMP

Trump’s attorneys also argued that New York prosecutors erroneously admitted extensive evidence relating to official presidential acts during trial, ignoring the high court’s ruling on presidential immunity. 

The Supreme Court denied Trump’s emergency petition to block his sentencing from taking place on Friday, Jan. 10.

The Supreme Court, earlier this year, ruled that presidents are immune from prosecution related to official presidential acts. 

But New York prosecutors argued that the high court “lacks jurisdiction” over the case. 

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JD Vance, Tom Cotton, John Barrasso, Donald Trump, Shelley Moore Capito, John Thune

Trump has previously explained a strategic component to his one-bill reconciliation approach. (Getty Images)

They also argued that the evidence they presented in the trial last year concerned “unofficial conduct that is not subject to any immunity.” 

 

Trump was charged with 34 counts of falsifying business records in the first degree. He pleaded not guilty to those charges. After a six-week-long, unprecedented trial for a former president and presidential candidate, a New York jury found the now-president-elect guilty on all counts. 

Trump has maintained his innocence in the case and repeatedly railed against it as an example of “lawfare” promoted by Democrats in an effort to hurt his election efforts ahead of November. 

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Column: Trump shoots his mouth off as L.A. burns. His claims about fire hydrants don’t hold water

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Column: Trump shoots his mouth off as L.A. burns. His claims about fire hydrants don’t hold water

OK, I admit it. I’m biased. I hate it when an opportunistic politician capitalizes on other people’s miseries and tries to score political points.

I’m especially biased when it’s a president-elect who shoots off his mouth without regard for facts and blames a governor for fire hydrants running dry.

Not that Democrat Gavin Newsom is a perfect governor. But his California water policies had no more to do with Pacific Palisades hydrants drying up during a firestorm than did Republican Donald Trump’s turning on sprinklers at his golf course.

News reporters shouldn’t allow personal biases to seep into their stories, as Los Angeles Times owner Patrick Soon-Shiong has reminded us. Reporters have long strived to not do so and mostly succeeded. But I’m not a reporter. I’m a columnist who analyzes and opines. And yes, I’m biased — but on issues, not politics.

It has always been my view that liberals, moderates and conservatives all have good and bad ideas. Neither party has a monopoly on truth and justice — except in relating to Trump.

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I wanted to give Trump the benefit of the doubt and watch whether he really intended — as promised — to be a president for all Americans. But the guy just can’t help himself.

When Trump blamed Newsom for water hydrants going dry as Pacific Palisades burned, it wasn’t something people should dismiss as just another Trumpism.

Here was a president-elect mouthing off and showing his ignorance in a barrage of vindictiveness and insensitivity as thousands of people fled for their lives and hundreds of homes blazed into ashes.

Yes, I’m biased against anyone who’s that uncivil, especially when he disrespects facts or — worse — is a pathological liar.

So, let’s recap what Trump did.

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As scores of hydrants went dry while fire crews battled flames in Pacific Palisades, the president-elect instinctively went on social media to point the finger at his left coast political adversary, the Democrat he tastelessly derides as Gov. “Newscum.”

“Governor Gavin Newscum refused to sign the water restoration declaration put before him that would have allowed millions of gallons of water from excess rain and snow melt from the north to flow daily into many parts of California, including the parts that are currently burning in a virtually apocalyptic way,” Trump asserted.

“He wanted to protect an essentially worthless fish called a smelt … but didn’t care about the people of California. Now the ultimate price is being paid.

“I will demand that this incompetent governor allow beautiful, clean, fresh water to flow into California. He is the blame for this. On top of it all, no water for fire hydrants, not firefighting planes. A true disaster.”

True drivel, putting it politely.

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First, what was this so-called water restoration declaration?

“There’s no such document,” responded Izzy Gardon, Newsom’s communications director. “That is pure fiction.”

Trump probably was referring to his policy differences with Newsom on water exports from the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta to farmlands in the San Joaquin Valley. In his first presidency, Trump wanted to drain more fresh water from the delta for irrigation in the valley. But both Govs. Jerry Brown and Newsom took a more centrist approach, striving for a balance between farms and fish.

Second, it’s not the demise of the tiny smelt — the Republicans’ favorite target — that’s so concerning to many conservationists. It’s the rapid decline of iconic salmon that previously provided world-class recreational angling in the delta and fed a healthy commercial fishery on the coast. Salmon fishing seasons have been closed recently to save what’s left of the fish.

Third, despite Trump’s claptrap, plenty of fresh delta water is being pumped south to fill fire hydrants and the tanks of firefighting aircraft. Hundreds of millions of gallons of water flow daily down the California Aqueduct. Major Southland reservoirs are at historically high levels. Anyway, much of L.A.’s water doesn’t even come from the Delta. It flows from the Owens Valley and the Colorado River.

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Fourth, the hydrants went dry simply because there were too many fires to fight, the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power explained. Storage tanks went dry.

“We pushed the system to the extreme,” Janisse Quinones, DWP chief executive and chief engineer, said. “Four times the normal demand was seen for 15 hours straight.”

Yes, I’m biased against politicians who make up stuff.

But you’ve got to listen to Trump because he could follow through on what he’s bellowing about.

For example, Trump vowed during the presidential campaign to deny Newsom federal money to fight wildfires unless the governor diverted more water to farms.

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That apparently wasn’t an idle threat.

Trump initially refused to approve federal wildfire aid in 2018 until a staffer pointed out that Orange County, a beneficiary, was home to many voters who supported him, Politico reported. And in 2020, the Federal Emergency Management Agency rejected an aid request during several California wildfires until Republicans appealed to Trump.

So, what’s Trump going to be like when he actually becomes president again and is wielding real power, not just running off at the mouth?

Will he try to annex Greenland? Seize the Panama Canal? When a reporter asked him whether he’d commit to not using “military or economic coercion” to achieve these goals, he immediately answered: “No.”

Will he keep calling Canada our “51st state?”

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Yep. I’m biased against such immature and dangerous political leaders.

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How a Phone Call Drew Alito Into a Trump Loyalty Squabble

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How a Phone Call Drew Alito Into a Trump Loyalty Squabble

Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. received a call on his cellphone Tuesday. It was President-elect Donald J. Trump, calling from Florida.

Hours later, Mr. Trump’s legal team would ask Justice Alito and his eight colleagues on the Supreme Court to block his sentencing in New York for falsifying business records to cover up a hush-money payment to a pornographic film actress before the 2016 election. And the next day, the existence of the call would leak to ABC News — prompting an uproar about Mr. Trump’s talking to a justice before whom he would have business with substantial political and legal consequences.

Justice Alito said in a statement on Wednesday that the pending filing never came up in his conversation with Mr. Trump and that he was not aware, at the time of the call, that the Trump team planned to file it. People familiar with the call confirmed his account.

But the fact of the call and its timing flouted any regard for even the appearance of a conflict of interest at a time when the Supreme Court has come under intense scrutiny over the justices’ refusal to adopt a more rigorous and enforceable ethics code.

The circumstances were extraordinary for another reason: Justice Alito was being drawn into a highly personalized effort by some Trump aides to blackball Republicans deemed insufficiently loyal to Mr. Trump from entering the administration, according to six people with knowledge of the situation, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private conversations.

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The phone call centered on William Levi, a former law clerk of Justice Alito’s who seemingly has impeccable conservative legal credentials. But in the eyes of the Trump team, Mr. Levi has a black mark against his name. In the first Trump administration, he served as the chief of staff to Attorney General William P. Barr, who is now viewed as a “traitor” by Mr. Trump for refusing to go along with his efforts to overturn his loss in the 2020 election.

Mr. Levi has been under consideration for several jobs in the new administration, including Pentagon general counsel. He has also been working for the Trump transition on issues related to the Justice Department. But his bid for a permanent position has been stymied by Mr. Trump’s advisers who are vetting personnel for loyalty, according to three of the people with knowledge of the situation.

As Mr. Trump puts together his second administration, Mr. Barr is among a handful of prominent Republicans who are viewed with such suspicion that others associated with them are presumptively not to be given jobs in the administration, according to people familiar with the dynamic. Republicans in that category include Mr. Trump’s former secretary of state Mike Pompeo and his former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley. To be called a “Pompeo guy” or a “Haley person” is considered a kiss of death in Mr. Trump’s inner circle. Resistance to such people can usually be overcome only if Mr. Trump himself signs off on their hiring.

Tuesday’s phone call took place against that backdrop. Several people close to the Trump transition team on Thursday said their understanding was that Justice Alito had requested the call. But a statement from Justice Alito framed the matter as the justice passively agreeing to take a call at the behest of his former clerk.

The disconnect appeared to stem from Mr. Levi’s role in laying the groundwork for the call in both directions. It was not clear whether someone on the transition team had suggested he propose the call.

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Mr. Levi did not respond to a request for comment. The Supreme Court press office said it had nothing to add to the statement it put out from Justice Alito on Wednesday. In that statement, Justice Alito said that Mr. Levi “asked me to take a call from President-elect Trump regarding his qualifications to serve in a government position. I agreed to discuss this matter with President-elect Trump, and he called me yesterday afternoon.”

He added: “We did not discuss the emergency application he filed today, and indeed, I was not even aware at the time of our conversation that such an application would be filed. We also did not discuss any other matter that is pending or might in the future come before the Supreme Court or any past Supreme Court decisions involving the president-elect.”

During the call, according to multiple people briefed on it, Mr. Trump initially seemed confused about why he was talking to Justice Alito, seemingly thinking that he was returning Justice Alito’s call. The justice, two of the people said, told the president-elect that he understood that Mr. Trump wanted to talk about Mr. Levi, and Mr. Trump then got on track and the two discussed him.

A spokesman for Mr. Trump did not respond to an email seeking comment.

While it is unusual for an incoming president to speak with a Supreme Court justice about a job reference, it is routine for justices to serve as references for their former clerks. Justices traditionally treat their clerks as a network of protégés whose continued success they seek to foster as part of their own legacies.

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Seemly or not, there is a long history of interactions between presidents and other senior executive branch officials and Supreme Court justices who sometimes will have a say over the fate of administration policies.

In 2004, a controversy arose when there was a lawsuit seeking disclosure of records about Vice President Dick Cheney’s energy task force meetings. One of the litigants, the Sierra Club, asked Justice Antonin Scalia to recuse himself from participation in the case because he had recently gone duck hunting with Mr. Cheney. Justice Scalia declined, issuing a 21-page memorandum that explained why he believed stepping aside was unjustified.

Part of Justice Scalia’s argument was that Mr. Cheney was being sued over an official action. That makes Mr. Trump’s pending attempt to block his sentencing for crimes that he was convicted of committing in his private capacity somewhat different, although the basis of Mr. Trump’s argument is that being sentenced and then fighting an appeal would interfere with his ability to carry out his official duties.

In trying to justify his decision not to recuse, Justice Scalia noted that justices have had personal friendships with presidents going back years, including some who played poker with Presidents Franklin D. Roosevelt and Harry S. Truman but did not recuse themselves from cases challenging their administrations’ policies and actions.

Mr. Trump has long sought to pressure the Supreme Court, in some cases by publicly hectoring the justices on social media for decisions he disagrees with. Mr. Trump has often privately complained that the three justices he appointed in his first term — Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett — had “done nothing” for him, according to a person who has discussed the matter with Mr. Trump.

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One week after the 2018 midterm elections, Mr. Trump and the first lady, Melania Trump, had lunch with Justice Clarence Thomas and his wife, Virginia Thomas. Ms. Thomas, a longtime conservative activist, made suggestions about personnel shake-ups to Mr. Trump and later supported his efforts to try to overturn the 2020 election results.

In December 2020, Mr. Trump attacked the Supreme Court as “incompetent and weak” for refusing to address his legal team’s efforts to challenge the 2020 election. Two years later, he attacked the court again for giving Congress access to his tax returns.

The Supreme Court redeemed itself in Mr. Trump’s eyes last summer when the six Republican-appointed justices ruled that former presidents have broad immunity from being prosecuted over actions they took in their official capacity. That ruling threw into doubt how much of the indictment brought against Mr. Trump for his efforts to overturn the 2020 election could actually survive to go to trial — even after prosecutors filed a revised version trying to account for the court’s decision.

The Supreme Court’s intervention also seriously delayed the case’s progress, effectively making it impossible to get the charges to a jury before the election. And once Trump won the 2024 race, he could no longer face prosecution under Justice Department policy.

Kirsten Noyes contributed research from New York.

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