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Even Gov. Josh Shapiro couldn’t have saved Pennsylvania for the Democrats

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Even Gov. Josh Shapiro couldn’t have saved Pennsylvania for the Democrats


Elections often tell you less about the winners than the losers. Victory has many fathers, as the saying goes, but defeat shows you exactly what went wrong.

Pennsylvania’s 2024 results offer a master class in Democratic collapse: while Trump edged out Kamala Harris by 2 points in the presidential race, Republicans romped to victory in every down-ballot statewide contest.

Dave McCormick pulled out a narrow victory over three-term Senator Bob Casey; Dave Sunday trounced Eugene DePasquale by 5 points in the attorney general race; and incumbent Tim DeFoor beat Malcolm Kenyatta by an even wider margin for auditor general.

The AP called the Pennsylvania Senate race for Republican Dave McCormick Thursday afternoon. REUTERS

The story of how Democrats fumbled Pennsylvania reveals itself in the campaign’s final weeks. Trump’s operation blanketed working-class neighborhoods with simple, direct messaging: “Trump: Safe Borders/Kamala: Open Borders,” “Trump: Low Inflation/Harris: High Inflation.”

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His team’s “Kamala is for they/them” ad sparked legal threats but achieved its intended effect — the Democrats are worried about boutique issues rather than kitchen-table concerns like inflation. Harris, meanwhile, released a series of slickly-produced but culturally tone-deaf ads attempting to portray Pennsylvania working-class life.

Harris’s response proved telling. Her team launched what they considered their October surprise: a series of joint appearances with unpopular former Republican Liz Cheney focused on “saving democracy.” The rallies, held primarily in affluent suburban enclaves, epitomized the campaign’s fundamental misread of the state’s political geography.

Her campaign’s last notable attempt at working-class authenticity — a commercial featuring a supposed working-class local who seemed like an actor delivering focus-grouped lines about Trump being a “little silver spoon boy” — landed with my working-class relatives about as well as vegan bulgogi tacos at a union hall.

This messaging disconnect infected every Democratic campaign. DePasquale, running for attorney general, leaned heavily on his record as a fiscal watchdog and government reformer — but not as a prosecutor, because he never was one. A compelling pitch in theory, but it withered against career prosecutor Sunday’s relentless focus on fentanyl seizures and declining crime rates in York County. While DePasquale talked process and oversight, Sunday’s team plastered social media with bodycam footage of drug busts and arrests.

Kenyatta’s auditor general campaign highlighted the party’s deeper problems. The 34-year-old progressive rising star, known mainly for viral speeches and an unsuccessful Senate bid, campaigned on transforming the office into a vehicle for social change — which made sense when one realized he had no experience in the role. Against incumbent DeFoor’s straightforward non-partisan message about cutting waste and protecting taxpayers, Kenyatta’s ambitious agenda read like a DEI solution in search of a problem.

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Sen. Bob Casey still hasn’t conceded his seat to Senator-elect Dave McCormick. AP

Even Casey, who built his career on careful moderation and labor support, couldn’t find enough votes to secure a fourth term in office. After decades positioning himself as a blue-collar, Blue-Dog Democrat, Casey’s recent selective embrace of progressive causes provided perfect fodder for McCormick’s advertising team.

While Republican ads hammered Casey’s voting record and association with flip-flopping presidential candidate Harris, his campaign responded with a barrage of increasingly desperate fundraising emails, each one predicting imminent doom. The horrendously off-key messaging — subject lines included “To avoid a catastrophe” and “The worst news yet” — became a self-fulfilling prophecy. Who wants to vote for a loser?

The results expose the bankruptcy of Democrats’ coalition-building strategy. Harris’s team believed they could unite urban progressives and anti-Trump suburbanites while holding just enough working-class voters through careful messaging and strategic positioning. Instead, they achieved a rare political feat: speaking convincingly to absolutely no one.

Gov. Josh Shapiro, floated as Harris’s potential running mate, embodied these contradictions. His “Get Sh*t Done” gubernatorial slogan had promised pragmatic results but delivered historic inaction, as the Commonwealth Foundation has reported — just 111 bills signed in 18 months, the fewest of any Pennsylvania governor in 50 years. For comparison, Virginia’s Glenn Youngkin pushed through 1,654 bills in the same period with a part-time (and divided) legislature.

The implications stretch beyond a single election cycle. Despite its slowly-dwindling population, Pennsylvania’s 19 electoral votes and competitive Senate seats make it essential to any future Democratic coalition.

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Gov. Josh Shapiro has promised pragmatic results but delivered historic inaction. AP

Yet Tuesday’s results suggest the party has lost its ability to communicate effectively with voters outside Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. The state office margins — larger than the presidential gap – indicate problems deeper than any individual candidate’s shortcomings.

Much as they have since 2016, Democrats continued to try to thread an impossible needle: mollifying progressives with substance-free identity politics while also wooing suburban Republicans and maintaining their working-class base in the absence of genuine working-class policy proposals.

The result was messaging so carefully calibrated it became meaningless, every bit as insubstantial as Kamala Harris’ final cameo appearance on SNL.

Unless and until Democrats can craft a message that resonates beyond their urban strongholds — and find experienced, competent candidates capable of delivering said message without sounding like McKinsey consultants explaining steel manufacturing to career steelworkers — Tuesday’s results may augur a permanent realignment in a state they once considered to be winnable.

Here in the Keystone State, as elsewhere in the country, the party’s obsession with building the perfect coalition has left them with hardly any coalition at all.

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Oliver Bateman is a historian and journalist based in Pittsburgh. He blogs, vlogs, and podcasts at his Substack, Oliver Bateman Does the Work.

Reprinted with permission from RealClearPennsylvania.



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Pennsylvania bill would incentivize purchase of near-zero-emission large trucks

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Pennsylvania bill would incentivize purchase of near-zero-emission large trucks


New legislation at the Pennsylvania statehouse is intended to incentivize purchases of near-zero-emission large trucks.

Sen. Rosemary Brown, R-Monroe, introduced a bill last week that would create a Near-Zero-Emission Truck Incentive Program.

The grant program would be administered by the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation. The state Department of Environmental Protection would work in consultation with the highway department to reduce emission from large trucks.

Brown wrote in a memo to state senators that “the federal government took steps to tightly regulate heavy-duty truck emissions between model years 2007 and 2010 by requiring the standardization of selective catalytic reduction and diesel particulate filters.” She added that trucks sold in 2006 emit about 10 times the amount of nitrogen oxides and particulate matter as trucks sold today.

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Brown told lawmakers that about 34% of trucks registered in Pennsylvania are pre-2010 model trucks.

“These trucks contribute the majority of emissions from the trucking industry in the state,” she wrote. “The proposed grant program will lead to the replacement of these trucks with newer, much cleaner trucks, resulting in lower emissions from the trucking industry and cleaner air for all.”

Additionally, she said the addition of multiple standard safety technologies by original equipment manufacturers in post-2010 model trucks will save lives in Pennsylvania.

Grant program

Her bill, SB1348, would require the state DOT and Department of Environmental Protection to apply for federal funds available for the purpose of reducing pollution.

The state would use the funds to create a grant program to incentivize the purchase of model year 2010 or newer trucks to be titled and registered in Pennsylvania, if accompanied by a trade-in of a pre-2010 diesel truck that is also titled and registered in the state.

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“No other single technology transfer can affect Pennsylvania’s air quality and provide immediate health benefits as much as replacing pre-2010 trucks with post-2010 models,” Brown wrote.

The Pennsylvania Motor Truck Association supports the bill.

Rebecca Oyler, PMTA president, said the federal excise tax acts as a disincentive to companies wishing to update their equipment to the latest technology.

“Providing an incentive program at the state level helps offset this impediment and avoids costly mandates that would cripple the trucking industry,” Oyler said in prepared remarks.

SB1348 is in the Senate Transportation Committee. LL

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More Land Line coverage of news from Pennsylvania.



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Pennsylvania Passes Bitcoin Rights Bill, Proposes Strategic Reserve

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Pennsylvania Passes Bitcoin Rights Bill, Proposes Strategic Reserve


Pennsylvania is stepping into the digital future with bold legislation aimed at solidifying its role as a leader in the emerging digital asset economy. On October 23, 2024, the Pennsylvania House of Representatives passed House Bill 2481—dubbed the “Bitcoin Rights” bill by Dennis Porter, co-founder of the Satoshi Action Fund—with a decisive 176–26 bipartisan vote. This legislation positions Pennsylvania among states at the forefront of digital asset regulation and underscores its commitment to fostering innovation in the sector while addressing critical issues like economic empowerment and financial inclusion.

House Bill 2481 enshrines the rights of individuals and businesses to self-custody digital assets, operate blockchain nodes, and conduct transactions without interference from restrictive municipal ordinances. Sponsored by Rep. Mike Cabell (R-Luzerne) and supported by bipartisan vote, the bill reflects a growing recognition across party lines of blockchain technology’s transformative potential.

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The vote also revealed divisions within the Democratic Party, with all 26 opposing votes coming from Democratic representatives. Nevertheless, prominent members of the Democratic party, including Majority Leader Joanna McClinton (D-Phila/Delaware) and Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta (D-Phila), backed the measure highlighting its potential to stimulate economic growth and expand opportunities for underserved communities. Their support signals a broader acknowledgment of blockchain’s role in empowering marginalized groups through equitable access to financial tools.

Building On Momentum: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act

Following the passage of HB 2481, Republican Representatives Mike Cabell and Aaron Kaufer introduced HB 2664 (the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act) on November 14, 2024. If enacted, this legislation would enable the state treasurer to allocate up to 10% of Pennsylvania’s General Fund, Rainy Day Fund, and State Investment Fund into bitcoin and crypto-based exchange-traded products (ETPs), as explained in the bill’s legislative memo. This could mean an investment of up to $970 million in bitcoin, leveraging its potential as both a hedge against inflation and a long-term growth asset, as reported by DeCrypt.

The Strategic Bitcoin Reserves Debate

The introduction of Pennsylvania’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act aligns with a broader conversation about government-held cryptocurrency reserves, echoing national debates sparked by Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis and the Trump administration’s proposal for a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve. The state-level initiative reflects Pennsylvania’s proactive stance, but it has also reignited concerns about the potential risks of investing public funds in bitcoin.

Proponents Highlight Benefits

Proponents argue that bitcoin’s decentralized nature and fixed supply make it a strong hedge against inflation and an asset comparable to gold. As Satoshi Action Fund CEO Dennis Porter noted in a recent CryptoSlate article, “Bitcoin aligns incentives. When incentives align, we all win.” Advocates highlight Bitcoin’s significant appreciation over time and its growing acceptance among financial institutions as a store of value.

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Supporters believe the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act could enhance fiscal stability by diversifying the state’s investments. The proposal mirrors broader efforts in states like Wyoming, where Lummis has championed bitcoin’s inclusion in national reserves, describing it as a safeguard against dollar devaluation and economic volatility.

Critics Raise Concerns

Despite its potential benefits, the concept of holding bitcoin in government reserves faces substantial criticism. Skeptics, including financial analysts and environmental advocates, point to the cryptocurrency’s extreme price volatility as a major risk. Bitcoin’s historical price swings—both surging and plummeting within short periods—raise questions about the stability of using it to back state or national funds.

Additionally, critics highlight security vulnerabilities in holding digital assets. High-profile breaches of institutional-grade storage solutions have underscored the risks of cyberattacks, which could make bitcoin reserves a target for bad actors. Environmental concerns related to bitcoin mining’s energy consumption further fuel opposition to public investment in the asset.

These concerns underscore parallels between Pennsylvania’s debate and the national critique of the Trump administration’s rumored executive order to formalize a U.S. bitcoin reserve. Critics have questioned whether introducing bitcoin into government holdings would expose the economy to unnecessary risk and divert resources from more stable investments. The outcome of this legislation could set a precedent, not only for other states but also for shaping the broader discourse on digital assets in fiscal policy.

Bipartisan Innovation In Action

Pennsylvania’s recent actions stand out in a national landscape often marked by federal gridlock and partisan divides on crypto policy. The state’s forward-looking approach mirrors pioneering efforts in Wyoming, Texas, and Florida. The bipartisan support for HB 2481 and subsequent legislative proposals like the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act demonstrate the economic promise lawmakers on both sides of the aisle see in blockchain technology. By codifying the rights of digital asset holders and creating a framework for state-level investment in crypto, Pennsylvania is charting a path that other states can follow.

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Why Pennsylvania’s Leadership Matters

Pennsylvania’s legislation arrives at a critical moment for the digital asset ecosystem. With the most pro-crypto presidency and Congress in U.S. history set to take office in 2025, states like Pennsylvania have a unique opportunity to shape national policy from the ground up. The Commonwealth’s decisive actions on HB 2481 and the proposed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signal to businesses, investors, and policymakers that Pennsylvania is open for innovation.

HB 2481 is more than a regulatory milestone—it is a strategic move to attract fintech companies, blockchain developers, and digital asset investors. The Pennsylvania Chamber of Business and Industry has expressed strong support, emphasizing that the state’s clear stance on digital assets provides the regulatory certainty businesses need to innovate responsibly.

Beyond its economic implications, the legislation reflects an understanding of blockchain’s potential to drive financial inclusion. Decentralized financial tools can reduce barriers for underbanked communities, empowering individuals and small businesses with access to innovative financial services. Pennsylvania’s proactive approach ensures that these benefits are accessible to all, positioning the state as a model for equitable digital asset adoption.

A New Blueprint For State-Led Innovation

The impact of Pennsylvania’s leadership extends far beyond its borders. In the absence of comprehensive federal regulation, states have emerged as laboratories for blockchain policy, testing innovative approaches to digital asset management. From Wyoming’s recognition of decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) to Florida’s integration of digital assets into its regulatory framework, state-led initiatives are shaping the future of the U.S. digital economy.

Pennsylvania’s efforts build on this momentum, offering a clear roadmap for other states. By fostering a crypto-friendly environment, the Commonwealth is not only boosting its own economic competitiveness but also contributing to a broader movement that could influence federal policy. As blockchain technology continues to redefine global finance, states that embrace innovation now will be well-positioned to lead in the years to come.

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Stepping Into The Digital Future

Pennsylvania’s recent legislative efforts demonstrate a pragmatic approach to navigating the complexities of blockchain technology and digital assets. The passage of HB 2481 and the introduction of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act highlight the Commonwealth’s focus on creating a clear regulatory framework while fostering innovation and economic growth.

By addressing both opportunities and challenges in this rapidly evolving space, Pennsylvania offers a practical model for other states to consider. Its actions underscore the growing role of state governments in shaping the future of the digital economy and ensuring its benefits reach residents and businesses alike. As the legislative process continues, Pennsylvania’s leadership may serve as a valuable reference point for balancing innovation with inclusivity and economic resilience.



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Philly City Commissioners don’t expect recount to change Senate race results

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Philly City Commissioners don’t expect recount to change Senate race results


Representatives from both the Casey and McCormick campaigns will be given the opportunity to observe the recount process.

While the votes were being counted, Commissioner Lisa Deeley said McCormick’s win could easily have been a loss if more Philadelphians who came to the polls actually cast a vote in the race.

“Just 0.24% separate Bob Casey and Dave McCormick to determine who will represent Pennsylvania in the United States Senate for the next six years. That percentage translates to just 16,672 votes,” she said.

Deeley went on to say twice that number of voters didn’t care enough to go down the ballot to vote in the race for U.S. Senate.

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“36,604 Philadelphia fans chose to under-vote the race. They just skipped over it and didn’t have their opinion counted,” she said.

Deeley could not give an explanation for why people came to vote for president, but chose not to vote in the Senate race.

“All of us in the political process, we need to do a better job to get the public to recognize the importance of the down ballot races so that we can have maximum voter participation from Philadelphia voters,” she said.



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