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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Leading Trump Narrowly In Michigan And Wisconsin—But Tied In Pennsylvania

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Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Leading Trump Narrowly In Michigan And Wisconsin—But Tied In Pennsylvania


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Vice President Kamala Harris has razor-thin leads over former President Donald Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin, but the two candidates are tied in the crucial state of Pennsylvania, according to a new CBS/YouGov poll—reflecting a tight race in the key battleground states with just two months before the election.

Key Facts

Pennsylvania: Harris and Trump are tied here at 50% of likely voters according to CBS—similar to Trump’s 50%-49% lead over President Joe Biden in an April CBS poll, but a swing in Harris’ favor from July, when Trump was leading by four points in a July Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey (the latest CBS poll had a margin of error of 3.4 points).

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Michigan: Harris is up 50%-49%, CBS and YouGov found, well within the 3.6-point margin of error, and narrower than Harris’ five-point lead in a late August CNN/SSRS poll and her 11-point advantage in the July Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey.

Wisconsin: Harris had a 51%-49% lead in the CBS/YouGov poll, with a 4-point margin of error, a shift from her 50%-44% edge according to CNN and SSRS (though 14% of voters say they could change their minds), and on par with the two-point advantage she held here in July’s Bloomberg poll.

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Arizona: Trump leads Harris by five points, 49% to 44%, according to a survey of likely voters by CNN/SSRS from Aug. 23 to 29, though 14% of Arizona voters said they might change their minds before November—Trump trailed Harris by two points, 49% to 47%, here in the Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey of registered voters taken just after President Joe Biden’s exit from the race.

Georgia: Harris is up by one point here, 48% to 47%, according to CNN/SSRS, within the 4.7-point margin of error, while 11% of likely voters surveyed suggested they could change their minds (she and Trump were tied here in July with 47% support each in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll).

Nevada: Another state with no clear leader, Harris leads by one point, 48% to 47%, and 13% of respondents told CNN/SSRS they’re not firmly committed to the candidates they prefer now, a slight decline from Harris’ two-point lead here in the July survey.

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Big Number

2. That’s how many points Harris leads Trump by in North Carolina, 49% to 47%, among registered voters, according to a late August Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, reversing the 48% to 46% lead Trump held there in July. North Carolina is widely considered a battleground state this year following changes in the population over the past decade that have shifted it more toward the left.

Tangent

Harris is receiving more support from younger, non-white and female voters—demographics who showed indecision over their support for Biden before he dropped out—according to a recent New York Times survey, which noted Harris had support from 84% of Black voters in the polls, a higher share of support than Biden had before withdrawing from the race in July.

Key Background

Biden dropped out of the race on July 21, despite insisting he would continue his campaign amid an intraparty revolt in the wake of his June 27 debate performance. He immediately endorsed Harris, she announced plans to seek the nomination and officially became the nominee in the first week of August when 99% of delegates voted for her in a virtual roll call. Prior to Biden dropping out of the race, polls consistently found Trump would beat him in most battleground states, despite Biden winning six of the seven (with the exception of North Carolina) in the 2020 election.

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Further Reading

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Trump Narrowly Leads In Most Polls After Biden Drops Out (Forbes)

Trump’s Lead Over Biden And Harris Jumped After RNC, HarrisX/Forbes Poll Finds (Forbes)

Trump-Biden 2024 Polls: Here’s Who’s Winning In The 6 States That Will Decide The Election (Forbes)



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Small plane makes emergency landing on interstate in Pennsylvania

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Small plane makes emergency landing on interstate in Pennsylvania


A small airplane made an emergency landing on Interstate 78 in Allentown, Pennsylvania on Saturday morning, according to the Federal Aviation Administration.

The Rockwell Commander landed at around 9:20 a.m. after reporting engine issues, the FAA said.

The two people onboard were not injured, according to Pennsylvania State Police.

Dashcam video of the incident circulating on social media shows the plane flying low overhead before landing on the interstate and slowing down.

Emily Rivera, who posted the video, was traveling from Harrisburg to Lehigh Valley when she saw the plane make the landing.

“Honestly I was in disbelief because I never expected a plane to land in front of me!” Rivera said, adding that she was impressed with how the pilot landed.

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Police said to expect delays in the area and that all traffic eastbound is being detoured onto exit 40. More information will be released later, police said.

The FAA is investigating the incident.



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PENNSYLVANIA DEP TO HOLD PUBLIC HEARING ON HOMER CITY GAS LINE PROJECT

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PENNSYLVANIA DEP TO HOLD PUBLIC HEARING ON HOMER CITY GAS LINE PROJECT


The Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection has announced a public hearing on a proposed natural gas pipeline project connected with the Homer City Redevelopment site.

The hearing will focus on the proposed National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System permit that is part of the Homer City Pipeline project.  The plan is to install close to six miles of 30-inch diameter natural gas pipeline from an interconnect facility in Burrell Township to the proposed Homer City Redevelopment site in Center township.  The line will run through parts of Burrell, Blacklick and Center Townships.

The hearing will be held May 12th at 5:00 PM at the Indiana Theater.

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Brooklyn baby shooting: Second suspect in killing of 7-month-old girl caught after fleeing to Pennsylvania, sources say | amNewYork

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Brooklyn baby shooting: Second suspect in killing of 7-month-old girl caught after fleeing to Pennsylvania, sources say | amNewYork


Police apprehended on Friday a second suspect tied to the horrific, deadly shooting of 7-month-old Kaori Patterson-Moore on Wednesday afternoon, amNewYork has learned.

NYPD

Police apprehended on Friday a second suspect tied to the horrific, deadly shooting of 7-month-old Kaori Patterson-Moore in Brooklyn on Wednesday afternoon, amNewYork has learned.

According to sources familiar with the investigation, the perpetrator was cuffed on Friday afternoon after fleeing to Pennsylvania. Sources identified him as 18-year-old Matthew Rodriguez; he is currently being held in the Keystone State, pending extradition back to New York for prosecution on charges yet to be announced.

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The arrest came 48 hours after Patterson-Moore was shot while being wheeled in her stroller by her mother near the corner of Humboldt and Moore Streets in East Williamsburg at about 1:20 p.m. on April 1. 

The getaway scooter used in the shooting.
The getaway scooter used in the shooting.Photo by Dean Moses

Law enforcement sources said two suspects on a moped rode up to the location and fired the fatal shot before fleeing the scene. Sources said Rodriguez is believed to be the moped’s operator; the alleged shooter, 21-year-old Amuri Greene, was officially charged on Friday with multiple counts of murder.

Patterson-Moore sustained a fatal gunshot wound to her head. Frantic efforts by her parents and bystanders were to no avail; the infant died later on Wednesday afternoon at Woodhull Hospital.

The shooting horrified local residents and the city. Linda Oyinkonyan, the grandmother on Kaori’s mother’s side, said she has been left devastated.

“Heartbroken, horrified. It’s bad, it’s sad, it’s sorrowful, it’s hurtful, it’s nothing you can imagine, nothing, the hurt, the deep hurt,” she said.

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photos of Brooklyn baby killed in shooting
Kaori Patterson-Moore, just 7 months old, was shot and killed by a stray bullet fired in East Williamsburg, Brooklyn, on April 1, 2026.Obtained by amNewYork

Police said Greene and Rodriguez allegedly crashed their ride two blocks away from the shooting scene. Though Rodriguez was able to avoid capture, Greene was hospitalized with injuries after being thrown from the vehicle. He was subsequently charged at his bedside. 

Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch announced on Wednesday evening an extensive manhunt for the second suspect in the killing. That search ultimately led cops to Pennsylvania, and to Rodriguez on Friday.

 



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