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What could Biden's Israel-Gaza stance mean for his campaign? Michigan is an early test

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What could Biden's Israel-Gaza stance mean for his campaign? Michigan is an early test

Abbas Alawieh, a spokesperson for the group Listen to Michigan, pictured at a coffee shop in Detroit, Mich., on Thursday.

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Abbas Alawieh, a spokesperson for the group Listen to Michigan, pictured at a coffee shop in Detroit, Mich., on Thursday.

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DEARBORN, Mich. — Abbas Alawieh had planned to step away from politics this fall. He’s a Democratic strategist who’s worked with several progressive members of Congress.

Then the Hamas attack on Israel happened that killed 1,200 people and took some 240 hostage, per the Israeli government. Israel’s military response in Gaza has since killed nearly 30,000 people, mostly women and children, according to the ministry of health in Gaza.

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It may feel far away for some Americans, but Alawieh’s city, Dearborn, has felt every death in Gaza deeply. It’s home to one of the largest Arab American communities in the country.

Alawieh started getting calls from cousins, friends and acquaintances in Michigan who’d barely expressed an interest in politics.

“Those same people are reaching out to me right now saying, ‘This is Biden’s fault, what are we going to do to make sure Biden stops this?’” he said.

Just like that, Alawieh was pulled back into politics with an urgency he said he’s never felt before.

“Okay, so you have a community that is alienated, that Biden is alienating beyond what we can even capture in numbers,” he said.

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So he and other progressive organizers in the Detroit metro area are trying to create those numbers. He’s a spokesperson for the Listen to Michigan movement, the self-described “multiracial and multifaith, anti-war campaign” that’s encouraging Democrats and Independents to show up to the polls for Tuesday’s primary.

But they’re not getting out the vote for Biden, who Alawieh himself supported in 2020. They’re urging voters to check the “uncommitted” box instead, as a way of protesting the Biden administration’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war.

A panel of activists and government officials in the Dearborn community at the Arab-American Museum on Thursday in Dearborn, Mich.

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A panel of activists and government officials in the Dearborn community at the Arab-American Museum on Thursday in Dearborn, Mich.

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“What we’re saying is, first and foremost, we need a ceasefire, not some temporary thing,” said Alawieh.

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“We’re also saying, President Biden, you are losing people and have lost many people here in Michigan, key voters, where you need every vote you can get,” he added. “And unless you take a different approach, you will be handing the presidency back to Donald Trump and his white supremacist buddies.”

Michigan is a key swing state. Biden won it by more than 150,000 votes in 2020, while Trump took it in 2016 by a margin of just over 10,000 — which is the minimum number of “uncommitted” votes the Listen to Michigan campaign hopes to get.

The primary on Tuesday is also being watched as an early litmus test for how much Biden’s stance on Gaza could hurt his reelection bid — even though a lot could change before the general election in November.

“I think the more votes we have, the stronger our hand will be to play the next move that saves lives,” Alawieh said.

The heart of the uncommitted campaign is in Michigan’s Arab and Muslim communities. But it’s also resonating with young voters and people of color from a variety of religions and backgrounds. Proponents of the campaign want a permanent ceasefire in Gaza, an end to unconditional U.S. military aid to Israel and a clear path to Palestinian statehood.

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A flyer encouraging voters to vote uncommitted sits at Cairo Coffee and Spotlite, a popular activist gathering spot in Detroit, Mich.

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A flyer encouraging voters to vote uncommitted sits at Cairo Coffee and Spotlite, a popular activist gathering spot in Detroit, Mich.

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In recent weeks, Biden has grown more publicly critical of Israel’s conduct, and is working on a hostage exchange deal that could bring six weeks of respite. Last week, for the third time, the U.S. vetoed a United Nations resolution calling for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire.

Israel has argued that a ceasefire would give Hamas an opportunity to regroup and regain strength, and the Biden administration has been balancing its support for a close ally with pushing for a pause and longer-term solution to the conflict.

Administration officials acknowledged “missteps” when they met with Muslim and Arab American community leaders in Dearborn earlier this month, said Alawieh, who attended the meeting.

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“The feeling of betrayal here in Michigan runs so deep that it will not be wiped away by a TV ad or two or ten or a hundred,” he said.

Many residents are personally affected by the Israel-Hamas war, either because they have lost loved ones or have dealt with similar conflicts in their own family history — including Alawieh, who was a child during the 2006 Lebanon War between Israel and Hezbollah.

“I could have been killed by one of those U.S.-funded Israeli bombs … I could have been one of those kids whose stories we don’t know,” he said. “That child inside of me, a child that too many people here in southeastern Michigan know all too well … is saying the most urgent thing you can do right now is to advise President Biden to call for a cease-fire.”

The administration told NPR that Biden is “working hard to earn every vote in Michigan” and to “create a just, lasting peace in the Middle East.” But many anti-war Democrats who spoke to NPR say they feel taken for granted by the party — and, by voting “uncommitted,” hope to increase pressure on Biden to listen to them and change course.

The campaign aims to send Biden a message

Supporters of the uncommitted effort agree it won’t change Biden’s expected primary victory on Tuesday — his Democratic opponent Dean Phillips trails far behind. But they hope to prove that he needs their support to beat Trump, the leading GOP frontrunner, come the general election in November.

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Among those supporters is former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin, a Democrat who represented parts of metro Detroit in Congress from 2019 to 2023. He’s also a self-described Biden ally who worries the president doesn’t understand how deep the anger is in the Arab American community and beyond in the key swing state of Michigan.

Former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin at the First United Methodist Church in Ferndale, Mich., on Thursday. He is a Biden ally and uncommitted voter.

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Former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin at the First United Methodist Church in Ferndale, Mich., on Thursday. He is a Biden ally and uncommitted voter.

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“The biggest danger for the president in his reelection is not getting that message,” said Levin, who will be voting uncommitted in the primary.

The threat to Biden’s reelection, as Levin sees it, isn’t that anti-war Democrats will vote for Trump. It’s that they won’t vote at all. He says the 150,000 votes that Biden won by in 2020 is actually a relatively slim margin in a state with some 10 million residents.

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“I don’t see how you win the presidency without winning Michigan,” Levin said. “And so then, here’s the kicker: I don’t think he can win Michigan unless he changes course.”

This issue is also personal for Levin. His synagogue, housed in a church, displays a large banner in Hebrew and English, reading: “Jews & Christians praying for ceasefire now.”

“I know Joe Biden understands this conflict and I know he cares a lot about it,” Levin said. “My desire to see him lead on this and change course is both because it’s what must happen to achieve a secure homeland for my people and the Palestinian people and for his own politics so he can be re-elected and we don’t descend into fascism in America.”

Congregation T’chiyah & the First United Methodist Church flies a banner calling for a ceasefire in Ferndale, Mich.

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Congregation T’chiyah & the First United Methodist Church flies a banner calling for a ceasefire in Ferndale, Mich.

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More than 40 Democratic elected officials in Michigan have pledged to vote uncommitted. Among them is Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud, the first Arab mayor of this majority-Arab city.

He says his city — home to residents who have family living through strikes in Gaza, the Israeli-occupied West Bank, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq — is not sleeping, and he wants the president to know that.

“For us here in Dearborn, we don’t wonder what it’s like,” he said. “Not only did we live under those similar conditions — whether it was occupation, apartheid, war, besiegement — but also the people who are dying, these are our family members and our friends, people who we know directly.”

He knows that his city, along with the wider community of Arab Americans and American Muslims in Michigan, aren’t seen as kingmakers in the electorate.

“We’re not sizable enough to make a candidate win,” he said. “But we’re sizable enough to make a candidate lose.”

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He says if Biden calls for a full ceasefire tomorrow it doesn’t automatically repair the damage, but earns the president “another conversation at the table.”

Every minute counts, Hammoud said, and it’s not too late for Biden to take action to prevent additional civilian deaths in Gaza. Israel’s military kills an average of 250 Palestinians a day, a higher rate than any other major 21st century conflict, according to Oxfam.

“There’s always time to do the right thing. But this has to happen outside of the context of, does that mean it moves the needle for what you’re going to support in November?” he said. “Because I refuse to believe that Palestinian lives only are important in the context of polls and outcomes of elections.”

Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud sits at Jabal Coffee House in downtown Dearborn on Thursday.

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Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud sits at Jabal Coffee House in downtown Dearborn on Thursday.

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As he spoke, he walked through a shopping district in west Dearborn, where restaurants serve up everything from Detroit-style pizza to shawarma and Yemeni coffee. He brought a team of reporters to this district to show off the small businesses that reflect his city, but he also wondered if the nation or the administration would care about its pain if an election weren’t at stake.

“It feels like this is a new caliber of dehumanization,” he said. “I think many of us who have children often wonder what world our children are going to grow up in?”

People are in pain and want to be heard

In a few weeks Ramadan begins, the Muslim holy month when those who observe fast from dawn to dusk. In recent years, Dearborn has drawn hundreds of thousands of people to the nighttime festivals.

This year, all of that is canceled because of the war.

“People are not in the mood to be at these celebratory events,” said Hammoud.

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While the pain in Dearborn is predominantly about what residents are seeing in Gaza, it also comes from the increased hate at home.

More than 40 Democratic elected officials in Michigan have pledged to vote “uncommitted” in the upcoming Michigan primary.

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More than 40 Democratic elected officials in Michigan have pledged to vote “uncommitted” in the upcoming Michigan primary.

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Since a Wall Street Journal opinion piece maligned this entire city as “America’s jihad capital” earlier this month, threats have poured in, including to the mayor himself, who is Lebanese American and Muslim.

Hammoud didn’t expect to find himself in the middle of this fierce geopolitical battle when he was elected in 2022.

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“I mean, I ran on the prospect of making sure your garbage is picked up on time. I never imagined myself in a room with senior officials leading conversations on foreign policy,” he said. “But when that foreign policy directly impacts your constituents, I think it’s irresponsible if you walk away right now.”

After Tuesday, what changes?

The message of uncommitted is resonating in Dearborn.

Outside a popular brunch spot, two sisters, Anem Khan and Huma Shahzad, who always vote Democrat, say on Tuesday they’ll check uncommitted because of the daily horrors they’re seeing in Gaza.

“Everything I feel … my mood, my day, everything is based off of what’s going on in Palestine,” Khan said. “It’s not about religion. It’s about kids and adults and parents and families being eliminated.”

What upsets them the most is that their tax dollars are paying for many of the bombs being used in Gaza. They say Biden needs to publicly call for it to stop.

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Anem Khan and Huma Shahzad, pictured in a parking garage in Dearborn on Friday, say they will be voting uncommitted in Tuesday’s primary.

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Anem Khan and Huma Shahzad, pictured in a parking garage in Dearborn on Friday, say they will be voting uncommitted in Tuesday’s primary.

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“Killing innocent people is not the answer to anything, ever,” Khan said. “Unless he calls for a ceasefire, I don’t think that anyone would vote for him.”

But even that might not get their vote.

“I’d need to see action,” said Shahzad.

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In Dearborn that sentiment seems to cross religious and racial lines, but it’s unclear if it’s gaining traction beyond the metro Detroit area.

Biden’s administration is hoping it will win back a sizable share of younger voters ahead of the general election, thanks to his position on issues like climate change and abortion — and the fact that he’s not Trump.

Supporters of the uncommitted campaign in Dearborn bristle at the suggestion that their refusal to vote for Biden is a vote for Trump, or that things could be “worse” under a president who has tried to enforce a travel ban on several Muslim majority countries — known as a Muslim ban — and threatened to bring it back if reelected.

For Shahzad, who is 27, she says her student loans that Biden promises to forgive and her personal safety under a possible Trump presidency are less important than changing the daily reality for Palestinians in Gaza.

“We do have more of a protective layer around us here in America because we are sheltered,” she said. “Where in Palestine they have nothing. They just have the clothes on their backs.”

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Dearborn mayor Hammoud asks, what is he supposed to say to his constituent who lost 80 loved ones in Gaza?

“I think people fail to explain that, they can’t contextualize that for us,” Hammoud said, adding, “I don’t think there is a worse.”

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Video: Airports Struggle to Staff T.S.A. During Partial Government Shutdown

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Video: Airports Struggle to Staff T.S.A. During Partial Government Shutdown

new video loaded: Airports Struggle to Staff T.S.A. During Partial Government Shutdown

Screening delays come as spring break travel is ramping up and as Transportation Security Administration workers are going without pay for the second time in six months because of the partial government shutdown.

March 8, 2026

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Video appears to show U.S. cruise missile striking Iranian school compound

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Video appears to show U.S. cruise missile striking Iranian school compound

Screenshots of a cruise missile hitting a compound where an Iranian girl’s school was struck killing around 175.

Screenshots by Geoff Brumfiel for NPR/ Mehr News on X


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Screenshots by Geoff Brumfiel for NPR/ Mehr News on X

A new video released by Iranian state media shows what appears to be a U.S. cruise missile striking a compound where around 175 Iranian students and staff were killed at a girl’s school a little over a week ago.

The seven-second video was posted by Mehr News, an Iranian state news agency. It shows the missile slamming into a building inside a walled compound – likely a health clinic that was also inside the perimeter of what was at one point an Iranian Revolutionary Guard naval base.

The strike appears to have taken place shortly after the girl’s school was hit. In the new video, smoke is already visibly rising from the part of the compound where the school was located. State media reports put the death toll from the bombing at somewhere between 165 and 180, many of them students.

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Although the quality of the video makes precisely identifying the munition difficult, the missile appears consistent with a Tomahawk cruise missile, according to Jeffrey Lewis, a professor of global security at Middlebury College. The U.S. is the only country known to have Tomahawk missiles, and U.S. officials say the military was operating in the south of the country at the time of the strike.

“The first shooters at sea were Tomahawks unleashed by the United States Navy,” Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff said in a press conference on the Monday after the strike.

Speaking aboard Air Force One on Saturday, President Trump accused Iran of being responsible for the school bombing.

“Based on what I’ve seen, I think it was done by Iran,” Trump said. “Because they’re very, inaccurate as you know, with their munitions. They have no accuracy whatsoever. It was done by Iran.”

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Lewis, however, said that the missile in the video did not appear to be consistent with known, Iranian-made cruise missile designs.

NPR was able to verify the location of where the video was shot to a housing development under construction across the street from the compound. Numerous details, including the sign at the clinic entrance, matched known details about the compound where the school was located. The video was first geolocated by the online research group Bellingcat.

The short video appeared to be authentic. While AI-generated videos have been posted online during the latest conflict with Iran, they typically do not contain details of a specific location, unless it is already well known, like a major landmark. Many also contain errors in physics or other inaccuracies when showing a missile or rocket attack.

The Pentagon did not immediately respond to NPR’s request for a comment about the video.

NPR was the first to report on satellite imagery from the company Planet that suggested multiple buildings, including the clinic, were hit in what appeared to be a precision strike that resulted in the deaths at the school. In total, seven buildings were hit in the strike on the complex, which at one point had been an Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) naval base.

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The base, located in the southeastern city of Minab, appeared to be a relatively minor facility. NPR was able to find one video shot at the base during a 2010 military exercise that showed members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard flying an Ababil-3 drone from an airfield directly across from the compound.

But historic satellite imagery showed little activity at the airfield in the years following that demonstration. NBC News has reported that local officials say the base was abandoned for over a decade, but NPR has not been able to independently verify those claims.

The school was separated from the compound by a wall between 2013 and 2016, according to satellite imagery. Satellite imagery also shows the airstrip was removed in 2024. Online posts from a local construction firm and verified by NPR show the land where the runway once stood was being turned into a housing development. The clinic was walled off between 2023 and 2024, and opened in 2025, according to a local press report from Fars News Agency-Hormozgan, reviewed by NPR.

The opening indicated that the site still had ties to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. According to the reports, the clinic was opened by IRGC chief Hossein Salami, who was killed in an Israeli strike later that year. A photo appeared to show Salami cutting a ribbon at the clinic.

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Lewis said that it’s possible the school and clinic were struck as a result of outdated targeting information.

Speaking beside Trump on Saturday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the U.S. was continuing to look into what happened at the school. “We’re certainly investigating,” he said. “But the only side that targets civilians is Iran.”

NPR’s RAD team contributed to this report.

Contact Geoff Brumfiel on Signal at gbrumfiel.13

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Iran’s new supreme leader has been selected, says deciding body

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Iran’s new supreme leader has been selected, says deciding body

The body in charge of selecting a new supreme leader for Iran says it has reached a decision – although the name was not immediately announced.

Israel has warned it would target any figure chosen to replace Ali Khamenei, who was killed in joint US-Israeli strikes on the first day of the war with Iran.

“The most suitable candidate, approved by the majority of the Assembly of Experts, has been determined,” Mohsen Heydari, a member of the selection body, said on Sunday, according to Iran’s ISNA news agency.

Another member, Mohammad Mehdi Mirbagheri, confirmed in a video carried by Iran’s Fars news agency that “a firm opinion reflecting the majority view has been reached”.

Ayatollah Mohsen Heidari Alekasir suggested the figure chosen to succeed the supreme leader would most probably be someone opposed by Washington.

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He said the “Great Satan” – Iran’s term for the US – had inadvertently done the assembly “a kind of service” by publicly criticising certain candidates. His remarks appeared to refer to comments by Donald Trump, who said it would be unacceptable for clerics to select Khamenei’s son Mojtaba as successor.

Mojtaba Khamenei, the deceased supreme leader’s son. Photograph: Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/Reuters

“Someone opposed by the enemy is more likely to benefit Iran and Islam,” Heidari Alekasir said.

The Israeli military warned it would continue pursuing every successor of Iran’s late supreme leader. In a post on X in Farsi, the Israeli military also said it would pursue every person who sought to appoint a successor for Khamenei.

In recent days, Mojtaba Khamenei, 56, emerged as an early frontrunner. His appointment is far from certain as critics would view the move as entrenching a regime accused by rights groups of killing at least 7,000 people in recent months. In addition, a father-to-son succession is also frowned upon within Iran’s Shia clerical establishment, particularly in a republic born from the overthrow of a monarchy in 1979.

Under Iran’s constitution, the 88-member Assembly of Experts is responsible for selecting the country’s supreme leader. Khamenei, who ruled Iran for 37 years, was killed in a US-Israeli strike on Tehran on 28 February.

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The clerical meeting to appoint a new leader happened as fighting between Israel and Iran intensified over the weekend. Iranian strikes have hit energy infrastructure across the Gulf and Israeli attacks have targeted oil storage and fuel facilities inside Iran.

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A fresh wave of Iranian strikes hit the Gulf on Sunday, with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait all reporting attacks. Saudi Arabia said it intercepted 15 drones, while strikes in Bahrain caused “material damage” to an important desalination plant.

According to reporting by the Washington Post, Fox News, and other US media organisations, Russia has been providing Iran with intelligence that could help it target US military assets in the region. The Guardian is unable to confirm this.

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Tehran oil sites on fire as Iran exchanges strikes with Israel and US – video report

The recent attacks on Gulf states appear to highlight a clash within Iran’s leadership, contradicting remarks made on Saturday by the president, Masoud Pezeshkian, who apologised to countries on the Arabian peninsula and suggested strikes against them would end, provided their airspace and US bases were not used against Iran.

According to analysts, Pezeshkian’s pledge not to strike Gulf states exposed rare public rifts within the ruling elite with Iran’s leadership showing signs of strain, as officials of the regime scrambled to explain and reinterpret the president’s words, which appeared to anger the country’s more conservative factions.

The Beirut hotel damaged in an Israeli airstrike that killed four people. Photograph: Wael Hamzeh/EPA

Nonetheless, the Iranian military continued striking the neighbouring countries.

Overnight, US and Israeli strikes hit five oil facilities around Tehran, an Iranian official said, adding that the sites were damaged but the resulting fires were brought under control. Explosions in the capital’s nearby city of Karaj reverberated across the region, and left the area under smoke. Fuel depots on the outskirts of Tehran were set ablaze early on Sunday as US and Israeli forces widened their campaign against Iranian infrastructure.

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The news agency Axios reported that the US and Israel had discussed sending special forces into Iran to secure its stockpile of highly enriched uranium at a later stage of the war, according to four sources with knowledge of the discussions.

Throughout the day, Iran launched intermittent barrages of ballistic missiles towards Tel Aviv and central Israel. At least one person was seriously injured after a residential building was hit, according to Magen David Adom, the country’s ambulance service. Most of the missiles were intercepted by Israeli air defences and caused no casualties.

Meanwhile, Israel’s war on multiple fronts continued, with the Israel Defense Forces launching intense strikes on Lebanon, where the Iran-backed armed group Hezbollah is based.

Israel’s assault on Lebanon left four people dead in a hotel blast in Beirut and killed a further 12 in strikes on southern areas of the country. Israel said it was targeting “key commanders” in the Iranian military’s Quds Force.

Lebanon’s health ministry said at least 339 people had been killed in the conflict. The Norwegian Refugee Council said about 300,000 people had fled their homes.

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AFP contributed to this report

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