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War has brought the world to the brink of a food crisis

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War has brought the world to the brink of a food crisis

“It isn’t whether or not we’re going to have a meals disaster. It is how massive that disaster might be,” Holsether informed CNN Enterprise.

One other main drawback is entry to fertilizer. Important for farmers to hit their manufacturing targets for crops, it is by no means been costlier, as exports from Russia grind to a halt. Output in Europe has additionally plunged due to the surging value of pure fuel, a key ingredient in nitrogen-based fertilizers like urea.

The state of affairs is ringing alarm bells for international well being specialists. The price of corn, soybeans and vegetable oils has been leaping, too.

Agriculture ministers from the G7 nations stated Friday they “stay decided to do what is important to stop and reply to a meals disaster.”

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However fearing shortages, nations are already turning inward, which may in the end depart much less meals for these in want.

Egypt simply banned the export of wheat, flour, lentils and beans amid rising issues over meals reserves within the Arab world’s most populous state. Indonesia has additionally tightened export restrictions on palm oil, which is a element in cooking oil in addition to in cosmetics and a few packaged items like chocolate. It is the world’s prime producer of the product.

The G7 ministers known as on nations to “maintain their meals and agricultural markets open and to protect towards any unjustified restrictive measures on their exports.”

“Any additional enhance in meals value ranges and volatility in worldwide markets may threaten meals safety and vitamin at a world scale, particularly among the many most susceptible dwelling in environments of low meals safety,” they stated in a press release.

Western nations with extra entry to agriculture might be damage, too. Shoppers there have already been stung by greater costs, and the state of affairs is poised to deteriorate additional.

Russia, Ukraine and international meals provides

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Even earlier than Russia launched a conflict in Ukraine, the worldwide meals system was strained. Snarled provide chains and unpredictable climate patterns — typically the results of local weather change — had already pushed meals costs to their highest stage in a few decade. Affordability was additionally a problem after the pandemic left thousands and thousands out of labor.

The variety of individuals on the sting of famine has jumped to 44 million from 27 million in 2019, the UN’s World Meals Programme stated this month.

The battle between Russia and Ukraine, which each play essential roles within the fastidiously calibrated system of worldwide meals manufacturing, stands to make the state of affairs worse.

World wheat costs have fallen from document highs in current days, however stay elevated. They’re anticipated to remain that manner for a while, in keeping with Rabobank commodity analyst Carlos Mera.

The wheat planting season, which is about to start in Ukraine, might be disrupted by preventing. It isn’t clear there might be sufficient farmers to until the land, as individuals within the nation take up arms — or whether or not they’ll be capable of entry equipment and different important merchandise that may sometimes arrive via Black Sea ports.

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“It is anybody’s guess if Ukraine will be capable of export something for the remainder of this 12 months, or subsequent 12 months, or within the foreseeable future,” Mera stated. The nation additionally accounts for half of all exports of sunflower oil.

Getting merchandise from Russia onto the world market has additionally gotten harder, as a result of companies do not wish to threat operating afoul of sanctions or take care of the logistics of touring close to a conflict zone.

Russia and Ukraine function the breadbasket for nations within the Center East, South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa that rely on imports. Many might be hit onerous consequently.

“Any severe disruption of manufacturing and exports from these suppliers will little doubt drive up costs additional and erode meals safety for thousands and thousands of individuals,” the Agricultural Market Info System stated in a current report.

Fertilizer prices soar

The brewing disaster goes past wheat and oils. Russia, together with its ally Belarus, can also be a serious exporter of the fertilizers wanted to plant a variety of crops. However proper now, everyone seems to be shunning their inventory.

“No person needs to the touch a Russian product proper now,” stated Deepika Thapliyal, a fertilizer knowledgeable at Impartial Commodity Intelligence Providers. “When you take a look at the entire merchants, the entire consumers, they’re very scared.”

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The value of pure fuel is exacerbating the problem. Fertilizer producers exterior of Russia and Belarus want fuel to make nitrogen-based merchandise like urea, which is used when sowing crops to spice up yield and even promotes their deep-green coloration.

However Holsether, the CEO of Yara, stated prices have gotten too excessive to maintain operations operating at scale. He is unsure when European manufacturing might be at full capability once more.

“There’s a big a part of the trade that is susceptible to not with the ability to ship merchandise to the farmers, and that may have an effect on the crop yields fairly quickly,” he stated.

Farmers have the inducement proper now to pay what they should get fertilizer, since costs for his or her merchandise are going up, too. Not everybody has this feature, nonetheless. Urea has been buying and selling close to $1,000 per metric ton, about 4 occasions the value at first of 2021, in keeping with Chris Lawson, the pinnacle of fertilizers at CRU Group, a market intelligence agency.

International locations with out home fertilizer manufacturing might also battle to entry it, with large penalties for the worldwide meals system.

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“You may’t develop large fields of wheat, barley or soy with out fertilizer,” stated Johanna Mendelson Forman, a professor at American College who makes a speciality of conflict and meals. Farmers in Mexico, Colombia and Brazil are already nervous about shortages, she added.

The implications

The G7 agriculture ministers stated Friday that their nations would leverage humanitarian assist the place they will to mitigate fallout from the conflict. However they could even be hamstrung by a dearth of provides and rising costs.

“If Ukrainian fields lie fallow this 12 months, assist companies equivalent to ours might be compelled to supply new markets to compensate for the lack of a number of the world’s greatest wheat,” David Beasley, govt director of the World Meals Programme, stated in an op-ed printed within the Washington Put up this week. “Doing so will come at a vastly inflated value.”

Beasley famous that Ukrainian wheat has additionally been important to feeding populations in different nations going through battle, together with Afghanistan, Sudan and Yemen.

“The overwhelming majority of wheat is used for human consumption, and that is irreplaceable,” Rabobank’s Mera stated.

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But even developed nations will really feel the results of a meals disaster. The affordability of meals is an issue for lower-income customers in every single place, Mendelson Forman emphasised.

“We’re used to a globalized system of commerce to get every kind of sorts of meals,” she stated. “Folks will see it of their pocketbooks, and so they’ll see it within the grocery shops.”

— Mostafa Salem contributed reporting.

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Space engine start-up in talks for new capital after funding crunch

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Space engine start-up in talks for new capital after funding crunch

A British technology start-up which had promised to build the world’s first space plane is in last-ditch talks to secure new financing after two of its backers wrote down the value of their investment.

Reaction Engines, which was founded in 1989, is in detailed talks with the UAE-backed Strategic Development Fund (SDF), one of its existing shareholders, about a new injection of capital, according to two people familiar with the situation. The SDF led a £40mn funding round in January last year. 

The British start-up is also backed by several aerospace giants, including BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce, as well as financial investors Artemis and Schroders.

Reaction has previously raised more than £150mn and grew its commercial revenues by more than 400 per cent last year. The company, however, warned earlier this year that it would need to raise additional financing. It has this weekend lined up PwC, the accountancy firm, to act as administrator if the funding talks collapse.

Sky News first reported that PwC had been put on standby. The accountancy firm, which has not yet been formally appointed, declined to comment on Saturday. Reaction also declined to comment. 

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Other existing investors are monitoring the situation, said one of the people close to the talks. 

Artemis and Schroders both announced last week that they had significantly written down the value of their stakes in Reaction. Artemis cut the value of its 2.3 per cent holding by 75 per cent. Artemis Alpha Trust, the fund that manages the London-based fund manager’s stake, now values it at £1.2mn, compared with £6.4mn in April. 

Reaction has in recent years focused on developing a hybrid jet and rocket engine, known as Sabre. The innovative engine was originally planned to power Skylon, a space aircraft also designed by Reaction.

Key to Sabre’s development is Reaction’s groundbreaking pre-cooling technology which prevents engines from overheating and could lead to hypersonic space planes. The company is part of a UK-led military project aiming to make hypersonic flight a reality. At hypersonic speeds, the temperature generated inside a conventional gas turbine would start to melt components unless they were cooled in some way.

More recently the company has focused its attention on developing nearer-term aerospace and commercial applications for its pre-cooling technology. It signed an agreement with US industrial group Honeywell to collaborate on the development of thermal management technologies to help reduce aircraft emissions. 

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Reaction is chaired by Philip Dunne, a former UK defence minister. It has been led by Mark Thomas, who was previously at Rolls-Royce. 

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Former US President Trump hints at support for Florida ballot measure legalising recreational marijuana – Times of India

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Former US President Trump hints at support for Florida ballot measure legalising recreational marijuana – Times of India
Former President Trump has suggested he might support a Florida ballot measure to legalise recreational marijuana for adults, known as Amendment 3, reported the Hill.
Trump, a Florida resident, emphasised the importance of this measure being appropriately managed by the state Legislature to avoid public consumption issues.
Emphasis on responsible legislation
“In Florida, like so many other States that have already given their approval, personal amounts of marijuana will be legalised for adults with Amendment 3,” Trump said in a post on his Truth Social site.“Whether people like it or not, this will happen through the approval of the Voters, so it should be done correctly.”

Trump avoided stating his voting intention or openly backing marijuana legalisation but stressed that responsible legislation is necessary to avoid public nuisances. He pointed to the need for laws that prevent marijuana use in public areas to keep public spaces free from the smell of marijuana, similar to the issues observed in other cities.
“The state Legislature needs to responsibly create laws that prohibit marijuana consumption in public spaces so we do not smell marijuana everywhere we go, like we do in many of the Democrat-run Cities,” said Trump.
Concerns over inconsistent marijuana laws
He also highlighted the inconsistency of criminalising marijuana possession in Florida when it is legal in many other states. Trump emphasised that law enforcement resources and lives should not be wasted on arresting adults for possessing small amounts of marijuana.
“We do not need to ruin lives & waste Taxpayer Dollars arresting adults with personal amounts of it on them, and no one should grieve a loved one because they died from fentanyl-laced marijuana,” he added.
Impact on voter mobilisation and Republican division
Trump’s comments follow recent efforts by Democrats to attract younger voters in Florida, focusing on issues like abortion and marijuana legalisation. These issues have mobilised younger voters in other regions, as seen in Ohio, and Democrats hope for a similar impact in Florida.
Democrats are targeting the fall ballot measures, aiming to increase voter turnout and gain the support of younger voters, a group with which Trump has faced challenges.
Earlier in the year, the Department of Justice made a significant move toward reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug. If this reclassification is approved, marijuana will be downgraded to a Schedule III drug.
Despite the trend toward normalisation and Trump’s comments, some Republicans remain opposed to legalising recreational marijuana. Sen Rick Scott has publicly stated his intention to vote against the measure. He cited personal family experience with addiction as a key reason for his opposition.
“My brother, who died at 67 in April, began smoking marijuana as a teenager and led a life of addiction,” Scott said.

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Big Oil calls on Kamala Harris to come clean on her energy and climate plans

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Big Oil calls on Kamala Harris to come clean on her energy and climate plans

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The US oil industry and Republicans are demanding Kamala Harris clarify her energy and climate policy, as the Democratic candidate tries to please her progressive base without alienating voters in shale areas like Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state.

On Thursday, the vice-president said she no longer supported a ban on fracking, the technology that unleashed the shale revolution. But Harris’s reversal has not quelled attacks from Donald Trump or US executives that she would damage the country’s oil and gas sector.

The heads of the US’s two biggest oil lobby groups said the Democratic candidate must also say whether she would keep or end a pause on federal approvals for new liquefied natural gas plants, and whether she supported curbs on drilling imposed by the Biden administration.

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“Based on what we know of her past positions, the bills that she has sponsored, and her past statements she’s taken a pretty aggressively anti-energy and anti-oil and gas industry stand,” said Anne Bradbury, head of the American Exploration and Production Council.

“These are significant and major policy questions that impact every American family and business, and which voters deserve to understand better when making their choice in November,” she said.

Mike Sommers, chief executive of the American Petroleum Institute, Big Oil’s most powerful lobby group, said Harris should say whether she would stick with Biden administration policies that had unleashed “a regulatory onslaught the likes of which this industry has never seen”.

Trump, the Republican candidate, has accused Harris of plotting a “war on American energy” and has repeatedly blamed her and President Joe Biden for high fuel costs in recent years.

On Thursday, he vowed to scrap Biden administration policies that “distort energy markets”. The former president has called climate change a hoax and his advisers have said he would gut Biden’s signature climate legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act.

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The debate over Harris’s energy policy comes as she and Trump court blue-collar workers in Pennsylvania, a huge shale gas producer that employs 72,000 workers — a potentially decisive voting group in a state Biden won narrowly in 2020.

Harris said in 2019 that she supported a fracking ban but told CNN on Thursday she had ditched that position and the US could have “a thriving clean energy economy without banning fracking”.

US oil and gas production has reached a record high under Biden, even as clean energy capacity has expanded rapidly.

But gas executives in particular have been alarmed at a federal pause on building new LNG export plants, which supply customers from Europe to Asia, saying the policy will stymie further US shale output.

Toby Rice, chief executive of Pennsylvania-based EQT, the US’s largest natural gas producer, said Harris should lift the restrictions, which he argued would compromise energy security.

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“Ignoring her anti-fracking statement four years ago for a second, can we talk about the recent LNG Pause that was put in place this year?”, he said. “This is a policy that has received massive criticism from all sides — our allies, industry and environmental champions . . . a step backwards for climate and American energy security.”

While Biden put climate at the centre of his and Harris’s 2020 White House campaign, Harris has been largely silent, and made only a passing reference to climate change in her speech at the Democratic convention.

“It looks like the Harris campaign has concluded that it’s safer to avoid antagonising producers or climate activists by skirting these issues entirely,” said Kevin Book, managing director of ClearView Energy Partners.

Climate-focused voters are less vexed than energy executives by the lack of explicit policy from Harris.

“Let’s be clear: the most important climate policy right now is defeating Donald Trump in November,” said Cassidy DiPaola of Fossil Free Media, a non-profit organisation. “All the wonky policy details in the world won’t matter if climate deniers control the White House.”

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Last week the political arms of the League of Conservation Voters, Climate Power and the Environmental Defense Fund unveiled a $55mn advertising campaign backing Harris in swing states, focused on economic rather than climate issues.

In contrast, Trump has courted oil bosses who are backing his pledge to slash regulation and scrap clean energy subsidies. His campaign received nearly $14mn from the industry in June, according to OpenSecrets, almost double his oil haul in May.

Additional reporting by Sam Learner

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